Metode Slope Intercept

tahun
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000

komoditi
Propylene Glikol
Propylene Glikol
Propylene Glikol
Propylene Glikol
Propylene Glikol
Propylene Glikol
Propylene Glikol
Propylene Glikol
Propylene Glikol
Propylene Glikol
Propylene Glikol

no
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
total

x
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
22055

y
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016

y1
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014

kebutuhan pada tahun 2016 =

70 % kebutuhan =
100 % =
60 % =

72000000.000
43200000.000

jan
2390591.644
1738709.000
1904437.000
1437471.000
1549705.000
1631891.000
856453.000
782401.000
948751.000
1371595.000
754180.000

feb
1785409.000
1624047.000
1799728.000
1477936.000
1171055.000
1657883.000
1672684.000
1323258.000
916731.000
1156054.000
1093169.000

x2
y
4000000.000
17678285.000
4004001.000
14609323.000
4008004.000
14577274.000
4012009.000
12217255.000
4016016.000
16941857.000
4020025.000
18602076.000
4024036.000
17544457.000
4028049.000
20054114.000
4032064.000
22873143.000
4036081.000
23667078.000
4040100.000
26355769.644
205120631.644 486423025.000

y2
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

x
29044461.288
31733152.932
34421844.576
37110536.219
39799227.863
42487919.507

42487919.507
29741543.655

kg
kg

29512080.493
132.000

mar
3357971.000
2452242.000
2006296.000
1624360.000
1299947.000
1090490.000
2272087.000
950319.000
1029496.000
2364867.000
1872370.000

y2
312521760541225.000
213432318518329.000
212496917271076.000
149261319735025.000
287026518608449.000
346037231509776.000
307807971424849.000
402167488324996.000
523180670698449.000
560130581058084.000
694626593522321.000
42074473525992500.000

x1
23667078.000
26355769.644
29044461.288
31733152.932
34421844.576
37110536.219

70 % =

50400000.000

223576.367

236096.644

apr
1920672.000
2266823.000
1973973.000
1577434.000
1665389.000
1867092.000
1043662.000
726990.000
1040986.000
1237338.000
1170472.000

mey
1504525.000
1597078.000
2254545.000
1729188.000
988485.000
1340885.000
961738.000
756417.000
3113471.000
1228513.000
599170.000

jun
1603692.000
1841111.000
2067063.000
1725367.000
1452800.000
1602077.000
1492797.000
1294849.000
947354.000
1474779.000
1321988.000

jul
2109138.000
1927264.000
2537406.000
1726249.000
2061774.000
1266970.000
1220472.000
840869.000
1308288.000
930094.000
1002714.000

agus
2596879.000
2450159.000
3014669.000
1888366.000
1735129.000
1490304.000
1978806.000
638946.000
843956.000
922489.000
907415.000

x.y
35356570000.000
29233255323.000
29183702548.000
24471161765.000
33951481428.000
37297162380.000
35194180742.000
40248606798.000
45929271144.000
47547159702.000
52975096984.239
411387648814.239

pembilang =
penyebut =

1328606050
4864230250

slope =

0.273

pembilang =
penyebut =

90702243539538500
4864230250

intercept =

18646782.5

y = Ax + B

x
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016

y
18647331.788
18647332.061
18647332.335
18647332.608
18647332.881
18647333.154

x2
26355769.644
29044461.288
31733152.932
34421844.576
37110536.219
39799227.863

sep
866384.000
1270019.000
2052205.000
2269565.000
1764904.000
1530696.000
1735606.000
1267091.000
632756.000
1200060.000
1561700.000

ok
3758728.000
3039664.000
1693551.000
996821.000
958838.000
2057703.000
1678650.000
922929.000
1048034.000
1364220.000
1335586.000

nov
2347601.000
1753934.000
801171.000
2439338.000
1530255.000
1382083.000
1101534.000
1309931.000
1088305.000
699497.000
4089425.000

des
2114179.000
1706028.000
768099.000
1162019.000
1366176.000
1684002.000
927368.000
1403255.000
1659146.000
659817.000
1970096.000

total
26355769.644
23667078.000
22873143.000
20054114.000
17544457.000
18602076.000
16941857.000
12217255.000
14577274.000
14609323.000
17678285.000

metode interpolasi
tahun

komoditi

jan

feb

mar

apr

mey

2010

Propylene Glikol

2,154,495

1,785,409

3,357,971

1,920,672

1,504,525

2009

Propylene Glikol

1,738,709

1,624,047

2,452,242

2,266,823

1,597,078

2008

Propylene Glikol

1,904,437

1,799,728

2,006,296

1,973,973

2,254,545

2007

Propylene Glikol

1,437,471

1,477,936

1,624,360

1,577,434

1,729,188

2006

Propylene Glikol

1,549,705

1,171,055

1,299,947

1,665,389

988,485

2005

Propylene Glikol

1,631,891

1,657,883

1,090,490

1,867,092

1,340,885

2004

Propylene Glikol

856,453

1,672,684

2,272,087

1,043,662

961,738

2003

Propylene Glikol

782,401

1,323,258

950,319

726,990

756,417

2002

Propylene Glikol

948,751

916,731

1,029,496

1,040,986

3,113,471

2001

Propylene Glikol

1,371,595

1,156,054

2,364,867

1,237,338

1,228,513

2000

Propylene Glikol

754,180

1,093,169

1,872,370

1,170,472

599,170

y
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016

y1
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014

y2
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

x
28572268
31024863
33477458
35930053
38382648
40835243

x1
23,667,078
26,119,673
28572268
31024863
33477458
35930053

x2
26,119,673
28572268
31024863
33477458
35930053
38382648

40835243
28584670.1

kg/tahun
kg/tahun

kebutuhan pada tahun 2016 =

70 % kebutuhan =

Seharusnya :
100 % =
60 % =
70 % =

72000000
43200000
50400000
Selisih =

kg/tahun
kg/tahun
kg/tahun
31164757

kg/tahun

tahun

komoditi

jan

feb

mar

apr

mey

2010

Propylene Glikol

2,619,525

2,250,439

3,823,001

2,385,702

1,969,555

2009

Propylene Glikol

1,849,789

1,735,127

2,563,322

2,377,903

1,708,158

y
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016

y1
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014

y2
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

x
38400028
45100023
51800018
58500013
65200008
71900003

x1
25,000,038
31,700,033
38400028
45100023
51800018
58500013

x2
31,700,033
38400028
45100023
51800018
58500013
65200008

71900003
50330002.1

kg/tahun
kg/tahun

kebutuhan pada tahun 2016 =

70 % kebutuhan =

jun

jul

agus

sep

ok

nov

des

1,603,692

2,109,138

2,596,879

866,384

3,758,728

2,347,601

2,114,179

1,841,111

1,927,264

2,450,159

1,270,019

3,039,664

1,753,934

1,706,028

2,067,063

2,537,406

3,014,669

2,052,205

1,693,551

801,171

768,099

1,725,367

1,726,249

1,888,366

2,269,565

996,821

2,439,338

1,162,019

1,452,800

2,061,774

1,735,129

1,764,904

958,838

1,530,255

1,366,176

1,602,077

1,266,970

1,490,304

1,530,696

2,057,703

1,382,083

1,684,002

1,492,797

1,220,472

1,978,806

1,735,606

1,678,650

1,101,534

927,368

1,294,849

840,869

638,946

1,267,091

922,929

1,309,931

1,403,255

947,354

1,308,288

843,956

632,756

1,048,034

1,088,305

1,659,146

1,474,779

930,094

922,489

1,200,060

1,364,220

699,497

659,817

1,321,988

1,002,714

907,415

1,561,700

1,335,586

4,089,425

1,970,096

0
0

0
0

465030
111080

jun

jul

agus

sep

ok

nov

des

2,068,722

2,574,168

3,061,909

1,331,414

4,223,758

2,812,631

2,579,209

1,952,191

2,038,344

2,561,239

1,381,099

3,150,744

1,865,014

1,817,108

total
26,119,673
23,667,078
22,873,143
20,054,114
17,544,457
18,602,076
16,941,857
12,217,255
14,577,274
14,609,323
17,678,285

total
31,700,033
25,000,038