Delhi Assembly Elections 2008 Regression Model

Here we are trying to analyze the elections held in Delhi for Assembly in 2008. We are trying to find the
factors which may affect the total votes for a candidate. Delhi has seventy constituencies and in 2008
there were around 875 candidates who filed nominations for the elections.
There were 43 candidates selected from Congress (INC), 23 from BJP, 2 from BSP, 1 from LJP and 1 is
independent. 67 seats were won by males and other three seats by females (all three from congress).
Following equation provides us the relation between the total votes which can be gained by a candidate
incorporating the factors which can affect the votes gained by a candidate. Below the equation thereby
we had given how a variable is affecting the votes. We had shown this by providing the significance level
for the variables.
Total votes = -11812.17225 + 23669.87581 * NP + 5348.4365 * Crime + 1749.99966 * Graduation +
114.09613 * Age + 128.60042 * Turnout
NP National Party or Not: Total votes which are gained by a candidate is highly dependent if the
candidate belonging to the national party. It is having third level of significance.
Crime: The candidates which are having the criminal background happen to win on one third of the
seats. This variable is giving us the third level of significance.
Graduation: This variable is having the second level of significance.
Age: This variable is having the significance of second level.
Turnout: Turnout have only first level of significance.