May 30, 2014

Prepared by:
The Fidelis Group
122 West Way, Suite 300
Lake a!kso", T# $$%&&
Fidelis Group, LL' (ll )i*hts )eser+ed 1
)eliability Modeli"* So,t-are
.e,i"ed
/si"* Tita"0 )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are
Table of Contents
TABLE OF CONTENTS..........................................................................................................................................................................2
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY.......................................................................................................................................................................3
KEY DEFINITIONS....................................................................................................................................................................................3
TITAN RELIABILITY MODELING SOFTWARE........................................................................................................................................3
RELIABILITY DEFINED.............................................................................................................................................................................4
MODELING DEFINED................................................................................................................................................................................4
SOFTWARE DEFINED................................................................................................................................................................................4
TITAN RELIABILITY MODELING SOFTWARE........................................................................................................................................4
RELIABILITY MODELING SOFTWARE GENERAL APPROACH...............................................................................................5
SCOPE OF RELIABILITY MODELING SOFTWARE......................................................................................................................7
WHAT CAN BE MODELED BY RELIABILITY MODELING SOFTWARE? ..............................................................................7
USES AND BENEFITS OF RELIABILITY MODELING SOFTWARE.........................................................................................10
RELIABILITY MODELING SOFTWARE - OIL PRODUCTION......................................................................................................................10
RELIABILITY MODELING SOFTWARE - REFINING..................................................................................................................................10
RELIABILITY MODELING SOFTWARE - CHEMICAL PROCESSING...........................................................................................................11
RELIABILITY MODELING SOFTWARE - POWER/COGEN.........................................................................................................................12
RELIABILITY MODELING SOFTWARE - MINING.....................................................................................................................................12
RELIABILITY MODELING SOFTWARE SCREENSHOTS...........................................................................................................13
Fidelis Group, LL' (ll )i*hts )eser+ed 2
Executive Summary
This do!u1e"t -as prepared by The Fidelis Group, LL' a"d is i"te"ded to i",or1 a"d edu!ate the
reader o" the !o"!ept o, )eliability Modeli"* a"d the uses o, )eliability Modeli"* so,t-are2
3ey .e,i"itio"s
12 Reliability 4 is the probability that a" ite1 -ill per,or1 its i"te"ded ,u"!tio" ,or a spe!i,ied
i"ter+al u"der stated !o"ditio"s2
)5t6 7 e89t -here t 7 ti1e, 9 7 ,ailure rate 51:MT;F6
22 Modeling 4 a set o, ideas a"d "u1bers that des!ribe the past, prese"t, or ,uture state o, a
syste1 5su!h as a pro!essi"* syste1 or utility<s syste162 Sour!e: Webster<s .i!tio"ary
32 Software 4 the e"tire set o, pro*ra1s, pro!edures, a"d related do!u1e"tatio" asso!iated -ith
a syste1 a"d espe!ially a !o1puter syste12 Sour!e: Webster<s .i!tio"ary
Whe" the three key ter1s are !o1bi"ed, )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are is used to !reate a
!o1puteri=ed si1ulatio" o, a !o1ple> pro!essi"* syste12 The spe!i,i! so,t-are that The Fidelis
Group, LL' desi*"ed a"d utili=es is Tita"0 )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are2
Tita"0 )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are
Tita"0 is u"i?ue a1o"* sto!hasti! or dy"a1i! )eliability si1ulatio" so,t-are tools i" its ability to
ha"dle all o, the !o1ple>ities that typi!ally arise i" the pro!ess pla"t e"+iro"1e"t, thereby *e"erati"*
1ore a!!urate a"d pro,itable outputs2 .uri"* the desi*":a!?uisitio" phase, )eliability Modeli"*
So,t-are !a" help *uide the de+elop1e"t a"d desi*" o, "e- syste1s2 The i"si*hts pro+ided by
)eliability Modeli"* So,t-are !a" help !o1pa"ies a+oid issues be,ore they happe" 8 sa+i"* ti1e a"d
1o"ey2 @"!e a syste1 is ru""i"* 5i"8ser+i!e phase6, there is the pote"tial ,or i1pro+e1e"t2 Ao-
1u!h i1pro+e1e"t a"d -hat ki"d o, i1pro+e1e"ts are ?uestio"s -hi!h )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are
!a" help a"s-er2
Fidelis Group, LL' (ll )i*hts )eser+ed 3
Introduction & Objectives of Reliability Modeling Software
This do!u1e"t -as prepared by The Fidelis Group, LL' a"d is i"te"ded to i",or1 a"d edu!ate the
reader o" the !o"!ept o, )eliability Modeli"* a"d the uses o, )eliability Modeli"* so,t-are2
Spe!i,i!ally, The Fidelis Group desi*"s, li!e"ses a"d utili=es Tita"0 )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are to
produ!e dis!rete8e+e"t e"+elope studies that e"ables our !lie"ts a"d users to deter1i"e the reliability
a"d key !o"tributors to losses e>pe!ted o+er ti1e2
)eliability .e,i"ed
Reliability 4 is the probability that a" ite1 -ill per,or1 its i"te"ded ,u"!tio" ,or a spe!i,ied i"ter+al
u"der stated !o"ditio"s2
)5t6 7 e89t -here t 7 ti1e, 9 7 ,ailure rate 51:MT;F6
For e>a1ple, -hat is the probability that P8101 -ith a ,ailure rate o, 2001 5MT;F 7 1000 hours6 -ill
operate ,or %00 hours -ithout ,ailB
)5%006 7 e 580200165%006 7 02&0&% 7 &1C
Modeli"* .e,i"ed
Modeling 4 a set o, ideas a"d "u1bers that des!ribe the past, prese"t, or ,uture state o, a syste1
5su!h as a pro!essi"* syste1 or utility<s syste162 Sour!e: Webster<s .i!tio"ary
So,t-are .e,i"ed
Software 4 the e"tire set o, pro*ra1s, pro!edures, a"d related do!u1e"tatio" asso!iated -ith a
syste1 a"d espe!ially a !o1puter syste12 Sour!e: Webster<s .i!tio"ary
Whe" the three key ter1s are !o1bi"ed, )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are is used to !reate a
!o1puteri=ed si1ulatio" o, a !o1ple> pro!essi"* syste12 The spe!i,i! so,t-are that The Fidelis
Group, LL' desi*"ed a"d utili=es is Tita"0 )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are2
Tita"0 )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are
Fidelis Group, LL' (ll )i*hts )eser+ed 4
Tita"0 is u"i?ue a1o"* sto!hasti! or dy"a1i! reliability si1ulatio" so,t-are tools i" its ability to
ha"dle all o, the !o1ple>ities that typi!ally arise i" the pro!ess pla"t e"+iro"1e"t, thereby *e"erati"*
1ore a!!urate a"d pro,itable outputs2 So1e o, the ,eatures i"!lude:
Aa"dli"* o, 1ultiple ,lo-s
Aa"dli"* o, redu!ed a"d tur"8up ,lo- s!e"arios
Aa"dli"* o, pooled spare parts
D"te*rated spare parts opti1i=atio" e"*i"e
Aa"dli"* o, stora*e ta"ks 5,eed, i"ter1ediate a"d produ!t6
Aa"dli"* o, !o1ple> ta"k lo*i!
The ability to i"put a"y ki"d o, !o1ple> operati"*, 1ai"te"a"!e or lo*isti!s lo*i!
throu*h a !usto1 Mi!roso,t E;( i"ter,a!e
Speedier si1ulatio" ti1es due to state o, the art so,t-are !odi"*
("i1ated si1ulatio" to easily +alidate !o1ple> 1odels
.e,ault outputs tailored to the pro!ess i"dustries
Fasy to use Graphi!al /ser D"ter,a!e
D"ter,a!es -ith e>ter"al databases 5'MMS, F>!el, LP 1odels, et!6
Tita"0 )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are utili=es a Mo"te 'arlo e"*i"e i" order to si1ulate all o, the
probable ,uture per,or1a"!e 1etri!s o, a *i+e" desi*"2 The output is used to ?ua"ti,y the e!o"o1i!s
o, e?uip1e"t related de!isio"s su!h as redu"da"!y, spare parts, e?uip1e"t si=i"*, 1ai"te"a"!e
pra!ti!es a"d poli!ies, ?uality o, !o1po"e"t, et!2
( se"siti+ity list ?ua"ti,ies the !o"tributio" o, ea!h !o1po"e"t i" the 1odel to "o"8per,or1a"!e
allo-i"* the user to opti1i=e the desi*" ,or lo-est li,e8!y!le !ost2
Reliability Modeling Software General Approach
The ProGe!t Modeli"* Tea1 -ill !o"du!t the a"alysis as ,ollo-s:
12 'reate a predi!ti+e 1odel o, the pro!essi"* site usi"* syste1 lo*i!, !o",i*uratio" i",or1atio",
PF.<s a"d PHD.<s2
22 /se u"it a"d e?uip1e"t reliability i",or1atio" a"d repair a"d 1ai"te"a"!e data ,ro1 the ProGe!t
tea1 , i"dustry databases, a"d Fidelis Group, LL' reliability database2
32 Ealidate the reliability 1odel per,or1a"!e a"d data assu1ptio"s -ith the proGe!t tea12
42 F>plore the i1pa!t o" syste1 reliability ,or the base !ase 1odel a"d alter"ati+e studies2
%2 'o11u"i!ate results orally a"d i" a -ritte" report2
The Tita"0 reliability 1odel -as ru" ,or 1a"y li,e8!y!les o, 10830 years ea!h2 Fa!h o, the reliability
1odeli"* so,t-are ru"s is a possible ,uture per,or1a"!e o, the pro!essi"* Syste12 Statisti!s are
Fidelis Group, LL' (ll )i*hts )eser+ed %
kept ,or ea!h li,e8!y!le a"d a**re*ated at the e"d o, the si1ulatio" to pro+ide probabilisti! outputs 4
e>pe!ted syste1 beha+ior a"d the +ariatio" possible i" the beha+ior2
D" *e"eral, Tita"0 a"d other Mo"te 'arlo dis!rete8e+e"t si1ulatio" pro*ra1s utili=e statisti!al
sa1pli"* te!h"i?ues i" order to predi!t ,uture per,or1a"!e o, a syste12 The beha+ior o, !o1po"e"ts
i" the syste1 5pu1ps, 1otors, rea!tors, et!26 is represe"ted by a probabilisti! distributio" ,u"!tio"2
This ,u"!tio" is deri+ed by usi"* !ur+e ,itti"* te!h"i?ues o" the ra- data2 )a- data is si1ply
i"ter+als bet-ee" ,ailures a"d repairs2 The !ur+e that is *e"erated represe"ts the possible ,ailure or
repair beha+ior o, the !o1po"e"t2 Tita"0 sa1ples ,ro1 this !ur+e a"d deri+es a ti1e to ,ailure or
repair ,or ea!h pie!e o, e?uip1e"t2 Ma"y li,e8!y!les are ru" i" order to sa1ple e"ou*h poi"ts ,ro1 all
o, the !o1po"e"ts i" the 1odel to i"sure that all possible !o1bi"atio"s are take" i"to a!!ou"t2
Fa!h li,e8!y!le is a possible ,uture li,e o, the a!tual syste12 (,ter 1a"y li,e8!y!les, a histo*ra1 o, the
possible outputs is !reated2 D" this -ay, the results ha+e a !o",ide"!e or probability atta!hed to
the18"ot Gust a" a+era*e or 1ea"2
(s ea!h !o1po"e"t ,ails, it has a" e,,e!t o" the u"it that it is i" -hi!h i" tur" has a" e,,e!t o" the ,lo-
se"t throu*h the pipes atta!hed to that u"it both upstrea1 a"d do-"strea12 Tita"0 tra!ks the ,lo-
throu*h the pipes as -ell as the utili=ed a"d a+ailable !apa!ities o, the u"its2
This study be*a" -ith a" Ias8isJ 1odel o, the syste12 ( proGe!t ,lo- dia*ra1, asset re*ister 5list o,
e?uip1e"t a"d their ,ailure a"d repair distributio"s6, a"d operati"* rules -ere !o"stru!ted ,or the
1odel2 D"put data supplied by the tea1 -as i"!orporated i"to the 1odel2
D"puts
K Syste1 !o",i*uratio" dia*ra1s
K F?uip1e"t list
K D1pa!t o, !o1po"e"t ,ailures
K @perati"* rules
K F?uip1e"t "o1i"al a"d desi*" !apa!ities
Fidelis Group, LL' (ll )i*hts )eser+ed &
Scope of Reliability Modeling Software
The s!ope o, the )eliability Modeli"* e,,ort is deter1i"ed by the 1odeli"* obGe!ti+e2 The si=e a"d
s!ope o, the 1odeli"* e,,ort should o"ly be as lar*e as is re?uired to 1eet the obGe!ti+e2 D" *e"eral,
)eliability Modeli"* e,,orts i"!lude all pro!ess !riti!al e?uip1e"t ide"ti,ied i" the PF.<s or PHD.<s2
For e>a1ple, the 1odel i"!luded all pu1ps, 1otors, blo-ers, rea!tor, a"d so1e !riti!al
i"stru1e"tatio" a"d +al+es2 D" additio", "o"81e!ha"i!al e+e"ts su!h as -eather, operator error, a"d
pre+e"tati+e pla""ed 1ai"te"a"!e are i"!luded2
!hat can be modeled by Reliability Modeling Software"
F"tire Supply 'hai"
Pro!ess Site
Pro!ess /"its
Sub8Syste1s
!ithin these modeling subsets# the user can include
Me!ha"i!al F?uip1e"t
Fi>ed, )otati"*, et!2
Pipes
Ta"ks
)ea!tors
D"stru1e"ts
Fle!tri!al Syste1s 5s-it!hes, breakers, buss bars, et!26
Au1a" ;eha+ior
Failure Modes
S!heduled (!ti+ities
Fidelis Group, LL' (ll )i*hts )eser+ed $
)eliability Modeli"* So,t-are Sub8Syste1
)eliability Modeli"* So,t-are Pro!ess /"it

)eliability Modeli"* So,t-are Pro!ess Site
Fidelis Group, LL' (ll )i*hts )eser+ed L
)eliability Modeli"* So,t-are Supply 'hai"
Fidelis Group, LL' (ll )i*hts )eser+ed M
$ses and %enefits of Reliability Modeling Software
.uri"* the desi*":a!?uisitio" phase, )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are !a" help *uide the de+elop1e"t
a"d desi*" o, "e- syste1s2 The i"si*hts pro+ided by )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are, !a" help
!o1pa"ies a+oid issues be,ore they happe" 8 sa+i"* ti1e a"d 1o"ey2 @"!e a syste1 is ru""i"* 5i"8
ser+i!e phase6, there is the pote"tial ,or i1pro+e1e"t2 Ao- 1u!h i1pro+e1e"t a"d -hat ki"d o,
i1pro+e1e"ts are ?uestio"s -hi!h )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are !a" help a"s-er2 Aere are so1e
real li,e e>a1ples2
)eliability Modeli"* So,t-are 8 @il Produ!tio"
.uri"* the desi*" phase, our )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are -as used to deter1i"e i, a si"*le oil
pro!essi"* trai" +ersus a double oil pro!essi"* trai" -ould per,or1 1ore opti1ally2 .esi*"
spe!i,i!atio" su!h as the si=e o, ea!h trai", the ?uality o, !o1po"e"ts a"d the a1ou"t o, redu"da"!y
-ere !o"sidered2 For e>a1ple, -ould a si"*le 1 > 100C redu"da"!y trai" per,or1 better tha" a 2 >
%0C t-o8trai" oil pro!essi"* !o",i*uratio"B With the alter"ate !ase results !o1plete, the si1ulatio"
pro+ided the "et !ha"*e i" re+e"ue 5or barrels per day62 ;y !o1pari"* the re+e"ue strea1s to the
asso!iated !apital i"+est1e"ts, this key desi*" de!isio" -as a" easy o"e2
@" a"other desi*" proGe!t, our )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are -as used to deter1i"e i, a !o1pa"y<s
oil produ!tio" should be se"t ,or pro!essi"* throu*h a subsea tie8ba!k ,or third party pro!essi"* or i,
a sta"dalo"e topside pro!essi"* ,a!ility should be !o"stru!ted2 The !ost delta bet-ee" these t-o
optio"s -as e"or1ous, but the di,,ere"!es i" e>pe!ted pro,its pro+ided ?ua"titati+e a"s-ers ,or
de!isi+e de!isio" support2
.uri"* the i"8ser+i!e phase, our )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are is 1ost o,te" used to ide"ti,y a"d
?ua"ti,y ,a!ility bottle"e!ks2 For 1a"y !lie"ts, this a"alysis be!o1es "e!essary either -he" a!tual
oil, -ater a"d *as ,ore!asts di,,er ,ro1 e>pe!ted esti1ates or perhaps -he" a ,ield has rea!hed
reser+oir 1aturity2 Whe" this o!!urs, the oil:-ater:*as ratios 1ay !ha"*e si*"i,i!a"tly -hi!h i" tur"
!o"strai"s the ,a!ility2 For these !ases, our )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are has bee" used to ide"ti,y
these bottle"e!ks, ?ua"ti,y the e,,e!t o" re+e"ue a"d opti1i=e the s!hedule ,or !apital i1pro+e1e"ts,
a"d e+aluate di,,ere"!e !apital i1pro+e1e"t 1ethodolo*ies2
)eliability Modeli"* So,t-are 8 )e,i"i"*
.uri"* the desi*" phase, our )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are has bee" used to opti1i=e u"it
redu"da"!y "eeds, tur"8up !apa!ity, 1ai"te"a"!e s!heduli"*, spare parts ?ua"tities a"d
i"ter1ediate bu,,eri"*2 To e"sure that produ!t de1a"ds are 1et, our reliability 1odeli"* so,t-are
Fidelis Group, LL' (ll )i*hts )eser+ed 10
1easured the "et i1pro+e1e"t o, either !ha"*i"* !o1pressor redu"da"!y or trai" !apa!ity2 Whe"
our )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are !o1pleted se+eral alter"ate si1ulatio"s, +aryi"* ea!h o, these
+ariables i" tur", the o+erall re,i"i"* !apabilities i1pro+ed a"d retur" o" i"+est1e"t i"!reased2
With re,i"i"*, operati"* ,le>ibility is +ery i1porta"t2 @ur )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are has bee" used
to i"!rease operati"* ,le>ibility a"d i1pro+e shippi"* lo*isti!s2 D" this i"dustry, de1a"d is +ariable
a"d produ!t pro,itability is dy"a1i!2 Gi+e" the !urre"t 1arket !o"ditio"s, our )eliability Modeli"*
So,t-are -as used to test the per,or1a"!e o, se+eral operati"* 1odes2 )eliability Model So,t-are
pro+ed that s1all desi*" i1pro+e1e"ts dra1ati!ally i"!reased operati"* ,le>ibility a"d the ability to
!ha"*e produ!t 1i>es to 1a>i1i=e pro,itability2 D" additio", i1pro+ed o+erall per,or1a"!e si1pli,ied
lo*isti!s, 1ai"te"a"!e, a"d de!reased !ost pe"alties asso!iated -ith 1issed deli+eries or +essel
bu"keri"* delays2
@"!e i" operatio", re,i"i"* i"+ol+es !o1ple> day to day de!isio"s re*ardi"* opti1al pre+e"tati+e
pla""ed 1ai"te"a"!e a"d spare parts pro!ure1e"t de!isio"s2 For e>a1ple, should a !o1pa"y allo-
e?uip1e"t to ru" to ,ailure or ser+i!e proa!ti+elyB Should a !o1pa"y ha+e 1 spare part o" the shel,
or te"B @ur )eliability Modeli"* tool has bee" used to a"s-er these ?uestio"s a"d i1pro+e
pro,itability by i"!reasi"* re,i"ery per,or1a"!e -hile opti1i=i"* spare parts i"+e"tory2
)eliability Modeli"* So,t-are 8 'he1i!al Pro!essi"*
.uri"* the desi*" phase o, a" i"te*rated !he1i!al pro!essi"* ,a!ility, our )eliability Modeli"*
So,t-are -as used to deter1i"e the appropriate u"it !apa!ity, trai" redu"da"!y, tur"8up !apability
a"d ?uality o, !o1po"e"t2 With the alter"ate !ase results !o1plete, the si1ulatio" pro+ided the
opti1al !o1bi"atio" o, all o, these +ariables -hile e"suri"* that produ!tio" tar*ets -ere 1et2 Gi+e"
!urre"t 1arket !o"ditio"s a"d esti1ates, the e"*i"eeri"* tea1 -as the" able to use these produ!tio"
outputs to deter1i"e the li,e !y!le !ost be"e,its2 For e>a1ple, does the desi*"ed ,a!ility a"d
e>pe!ted produ!tio" o,,er a ,ast e"ou*h retur" o" i"+est1e"t to -arra"t ,urther pro*ress -ith this
proGe!tB 'apital 'ost sa+i"*s -ere 1easured i" the M di*it ra"*e2
.uri"* the desi*" phase o, a ti*htly i"te*rated petro!he1i!al site, the si=e a"d lo!atio" o, bu,,er
+olu1es is i"stru1e"tal2 @ur )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are -as used to opti1i=e o+erall site
i"te*ratio" by i"trodu!i"* key bu,,er +olu1es throu*hout the pro!ess a"d opti1i=i"* the si=e to
de!rease !apital !osts2 For e>a1ple, should your ethyle"e a"d propyle"e bu,,er ta"ks be lar*er or
s1allerB (re there additio"al i"ter1ediate produ!t bu,,ers "eeded to help 1iti*ate do-"strea1
produ!t lossesB
Fidelis Group, LL' (ll )i*hts )eser+ed 11
@"!e i" operatio", opti1i=i"* pre+e"tati+e pla""ed 1ai"te"a"!e s!hedules a"d spare parts
pro!ure1e"t de!isio"s is +ery +aluable2 @ur )eliability Modeli"* tool -as used to a"s-er these
?uestio"s a"d i1pro+e pro,itability by i"!reasi"* site per,or1a"!e -hile opti1i=i"* spare parts
i"+e"tory2
)eliability Modeli"* So,t-are 8 Po-er:'o*e"
.uri"* the desi*" phase o, a po-er *e"eratio" ,a!ility, our )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are -as used to
deter1i"e i, a utility *rid !o""e!tio" -ould pro+ide ade?uate ele!tri!al reliability2 This optio" -as
!o1pared to o"e -ith sel, *e"eratio"2 For these !ases, the 1odel deter1i"ed that the utility *rid did
pro+ide ade?uate reliability a"d that the additio"al !ost o, addi"* o"8site *e"erators -as
u""e!essary2 This pro+ed to be a si*"i,i!a"t !ost sa+i"*s to the !o1pa"y2
Whe" desi*"i"* a "e- stea1 *e"eratio" ,a!ility, our )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are -as used to
deter1i"e the si=e a"d opti1al "u1ber o, stea1 boilers2 (,ter ru""i"* se+eral alter"ate !ases -ith
1a"y di,,ere"t si=e di,,ere"tials a"d !o",i*uratio"s, the 1odel la"ded o" the 1ost e!o"o1i!al desi*"
that -ould pro+ide the re?uired le+el o, reliability2 This !ould be !o1pleted ,or a"y utility pla"t su!h
as air !o1pressio", po-er *e"eratio", !o8*e"eratio", or e+e" -ater supply H treat1e"t2
.uri"* the operatio"al phase o, 1a"y utility pla"ts, de1a"ds ,or ele!tri!ity, strea1, a"d i"stru1e"t air
o,te" i"!rease as the !usto1er pla"ts *ro- a"d i"!rease produ!tio"2 @ur )eliability Modeli"*
So,t-are has bee" used to help e+aluate 1a"y di,,ere"t de8bottle"e!k alter"ati+es2 Whe" the
desired reliability o, ea!h alter"ati+e is a!hie+ed, !o1pleti"* a !ost a"alysis is a" easy -ay to sele!t
the 1ost e!o"o1i!al solutio"2 So1e e>a1ples o, this 1ay i"!lude: sele!ti"* a +e"dor ,or a "e- skid,
i"stalli"* sta"dby *e"eratio" or diesel ba!kups, !o""e!ti"* to a sta"dby utility header or i1pro+i"*
site re!o+ery 1ethods2
)eliability Modeli"* So,t-are 8 Mi"i"*
.uri"* the desi*" phase o, the proGe!t, our )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are -as used to e+aluate the
proGe!t li,e !y!le !osts2 The 1odel -as i"itially !o"stru!ted at a hi*h le+el, but added additio"al detail
o+er 1a"y 1o"ths as the desi*" pro!ess 1o+ed ,or-ard2 (,ter ea!h 1aGor desi*" phase, the 1odel
-as used to 1easure retur" o" i"+est1e"t2 D" this -ay, the proGe!t !o"ti"ued to pro+e its +alue a"d
e+e"tually 1o+ed i"to !o11issio"i"* a"d start8up -ith a" assura"!e o, pro,itability2
Withi" a 1i"i"* operatio", 1eeti"* +ariable de1a"ds a"d allo!ati"* resour!es is a day8to8day
!halle"*e2 To o+er!o1e these !halle"*es, our )eliability Modeli"* So,t-are has bee" used as a
day8to8day pla""i"* tool2 Pulli"* ,ro1 a" e>pe!ted de1a"d s!hedule, the 1odel -as used to predi!t
Fidelis Group, LL' (ll )i*hts )eser+ed 12
the le+el o, hu1a" resour!es re?uired a"d the e?uip1e"t that -ould be "eeded to a!hie+e produ!tio"
*oals2
Reliability Modeling Software Screenshots
Titan Reliability Modeling Software Control Panel
Fidelis Group, LL' (ll )i*hts )eser+ed 13
Titan Reliability Modeling Software Animation Screen
Titan Reliability Modeling Software RAM Data Editor (imported directly from Excel)
Fidelis Group, LL' (ll )i*hts )eser+ed 14
Titan Reliability Modeling Software Re!lt " Sytem Seniti#itie
Titan Reliability Modeling Software Re!lt " Time baed performance ($nit A#ailability)
Fidelis Group, LL' (ll )i*hts )eser+ed 1%
Titan Reliability Modeling Software Re!lt " Probability to meet or exceed %itogram
Titan Reliability Modeling Software Re!lt " Seniti#ity S!mmary
Fidelis Group, LL' (ll )i*hts )eser+ed 1&
Titan Reliability Modeling Software Re!lt " $nit Capacity S!mmary
Titan Reliability Modeling Software Re!lt " $nit S&!tdown'Slowdown S!mmary
Fidelis Group, LL' (ll )i*hts )eser+ed 1$
General Disclaimer
This report a"d asso!iated 1odel ,iles su11ari=e the key ter1s a"d uses o, )eliability Modeli"*
So,t-are2 The appli!ability a"d a!!ura!y o, the de,i"itio"s reported herei" are depe"de"t upo" the
appli!atio" o, the key ter1sN this do!u1e"t is i"te"ded to aid i" edu!ati"* the audie"!e about
)eliability Modeli"* So,t-are2
Oo Third Party ;e"e,i!iaries: This report is i"te"ded ,or use solely by Fidelis Group LL' ,or
edu!atio"al purposes2 Dt 1ay "ot be used or relied upo" by a"yo"e else2 There are "o Third Party
;e"e,i!iaries2
Fidelis Group, LL' (ll )i*hts )eser+ed 1L