Resultados

Ajuste de una serie de datos a la distribucin Gumbel

Serie de datos X:
---------------------------------------N
X
---------------------------------------1
73.4
2
71.7
3
68.5
4
66.5
5
63.5
6
62.3
7
61.8
8
58.6
9
56.3
10
55.7
11
55.6
12
54.1
13
51.3
14
50.5
15
49.9
16
48.5
17
46.8
18
45.0
19
42.0
20
41.9
21
41.8
22
41.3
23
41.3
24
40.9
25
38.7
26
36.8
27
36.0
28
35.3
29
35.1
30
33.1
31
33.0
32
31.8
33
31.5
34
31.4
35
30.3
36
28.9
37
26.3
38
24.6
39
22.6
----------------------------------------

Clculos del ajuste Smirnov Kolmogorov:

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------m
X
P(X)
G(Y) Ordinario G(Y) Mom Lineal Delta
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------1
22.6
0.0250
0.0098
0.0176
0.0152
2
24.6
0.0500
0.0215
0.0336
0.0285
3
26.3
0.0750
0.0378
0.0536
0.0372
4
28.9
0.1000
0.0764
0.0970
0.0236
5
30.3
0.1250
0.1046
0.1269
0.0204
6
31.4
0.1500
0.1303
0.1532
0.0197
7
31.5
0.1750
0.1328
0.1557
0.0422
8
31.8
0.2000
0.1404
0.1634
0.0596
9
33.0
0.2250
0.1727
0.1956
0.0523
10
33.1
0.2500
0.1756
0.1983
0.0744
11
35.1
0.2750
0.2360
0.2569
0.0390
12
35.3
0.3000
0.2423
0.2630
0.0577
13
36.0
0.3250
0.2650
0.2846
0.0600
14
36.8
0.3500
0.2915
0.3098
0.0585
15
38.7
0.3750
0.3560
0.3704
0.0190
16
40.9
0.4000
0.4311
0.4405
0.0311
17
41.3
0.4250
0.4445
0.4530
0.0195
18
41.3
0.4500
0.4445
0.4530
0.0055
19
41.8
0.4750
0.4612
0.4686
0.0138

20
41.9
0.5000
0.4645
0.4717
0.0355
21
42.0
0.5250
0.4679
0.4747
0.0571
22
45.0
0.5500
0.5630
0.5635
0.0130
23
46.8
0.5750
0.6152
0.6124
0.0402
24
48.5
0.6000
0.6605
0.6552
0.0605
25
49.9
0.6250
0.6949
0.6878
0.0699
26
50.5
0.6500
0.7088
0.7010
0.0588
27
51.3
0.6750
0.7265
0.7180
0.0515
28
54.1
0.7000
0.7818
0.7714
0.0818
29
55.6
0.7250
0.8073
0.7963
0.0823
30
55.7
0.7500
0.8089
0.7979
0.0589
31
56.3
0.7750
0.8182
0.8071
0.0432
32
58.6
0.8000
0.8505
0.8391
0.0505
33
61.8
0.8250
0.8867
0.8757
0.0617
34
62.3
0.8500
0.8916
0.8807
0.0416
35
63.5
0.8750
0.9025
0.8919
0.0275
36
66.5
0.9000
0.9253
0.9156
0.0253
37
68.5
0.9250
0.9376
0.9286
0.0126
38
71.7
0.9500
0.9533
0.9455
0.0033
39
73.4
0.9750
0.9600
0.9528
0.0150
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ajuste con momentos ordinarios:
------------------------------------------------------Como el delta terico 0.0823, es menor que el delta tabular 0.2178. Los datos se ajustan a la distribucin Gumbel, con un nivel de
significacin del 5%
------------------------------------------------------Parmetros de la distribucin Gumbel:
------------------------------------------------------Con momentos ordinarios:
Parmetro de posicin ()= 39.0468
Parmetro de escala (alfa)= 10.7401
Con momentos lineales:
Parmetro de posicin (l)= 38.6212
Parmetro de escala (alfal)= 11.4775
-----------------------------Caudal de diseo:
-----------------------------El caudal de diseo para un periodo de retorno de aos, es