*

**

[ ]

[ ]

G20 A 167406022012030005-09

* 2011

**
1 http://bbs.m4.cn/thread-281185-1-1.html.

2012329

2
3.0
0.0 Kakarudo 2004 12
14 What is China3
Kakarudo4
What is China
2005 3 3
5
1.0

2005 5 19
William H. Overholt China
And Globalization6 2005 8 25
7
2 http://bbs.m4.cn/thread-281185-1-1.html.
3 http://forums.military.com/1/OpenTopic?a=tpc&s=78919038&f=8001934822&m=107109774.
4Kakarudo 2005 20 2003
5A http://www.tutorial.com.hk/forum/viewpro.php?username=kakarudo&sid
=JuZ47OcC http://www.diocesans.net/vbb/member.php?u=942
5 http://www.rxhj.net/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?t=1703&.
6 http://www.rand.org/pubs/testimonies/CT244/.
7 http://wenku.baidu.com/view/953c36c52cc58bd63186bd50.html.

2020 2020

Janyse 2007 3 5 1.0

2020
1.0
8
2.0

2.0 2010 5 1
2020

3.0
1.0

1.0
3.0 9
1011
Several online postings containing false information regarding RAND Corporation
research have appeared on various websites and blogs produced in China. With titles
such as China will become the poorest country in the world in 2020andRAND
Corporations evaluation of Chinese people,the online postings contain extremely
negative comments about the Chinese people, and attribute those to RAND. RAND has
never published the comments or reports cited in the online postings.
2020

3.0

8 http://www.360doc.com/content/07/0305/16/17433_385345.shtml.
9 http://blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_4c1ef21a0100j2zv.html.
10 http://www.rand.org/.
11 http://www.rand.org/news/announcements/2010/10/04/.

2012329

3.0
2008 8 24

08 12

2008
Google57

657

3.0 2011 10 29

6750000
141000
:202061700
51600
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500000
10%
20 / 50 /
1000
2500

2500

2020

13
fenghui234

2020
( )

2010 9 19 2011 10 30 9
181636 742

742

12 http://www.tianya.cn/publicforum/content/free/1/1414922.shtml.
13 http://www.tianya.cn/publicforum/content/develop/1/485396.shtml.

652

a
b

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9

2012329

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= 84.40%

/ 23.31%

23.31%+0.77%=24.08%

1/5

14
15

(justice.fyfz.cn)

16

17 CEO
18

14 http://blog.ifeng.com/article/9555962-27.html.
15 http://puyjan.blog.hexun.com/19041246_d.html.
16 http://justice.fyfz.cn/art/203716.htm.
17 http://baike.baidu.com/view/1279404.htm.
18 http://blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_476bdd0a0100ggvp.html.

10

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1.
2020
( )

11

2012329

2.

24.08%

3.

21.01%

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652 [E(X)=1.518]

2011 6 4.85
19 ,

1.
19 http://www.cnnic.cn/dtygg/dtgg/201107/t20110719_22132.html.

12

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