-1-

()

ASEAN

(.)

()
()

()

()

(doi moi)

( )

(
)

-2-

( )

(Structural reform)

Recession

Wall

Street

The Great Depression

-3-

Recession

()

AFTA

AFTA

AFTA

Recession AFTA


-4-

()

doi moi (renovation)

(Central

Planning


Economy

CPE)

-5-

()


(SOEs)


( )

()

(outward- oriented
policy) (



( ) )
()


( )

-6-

GDP %

()

(two way trade) GDP
% () ()

() (WTO)

(bi-lateral

trade

agreement)

(labor-intensive

(light-manufacturing)

manufacturing)


-7-

(export

structure)

()

()
()
()
()


-8-

consumer goods

()

producers

goods

()

FDI

()

()
()
()
()

()
()

()

(
)

-9-

()

()

()




()

()
()


- 10 -

()


()

()

()

()

()

- 11 -

()

()

()

()


()

() ()

(175cm3 )
() ( )

()


- 12 -

() ( )




()


()

()
() ( )
() ( )
()
() ( )

()


- 13 -

()

()


()
()
()
()

( )




()

( )
()


- 14 -

%
()

( )

()
()
() ( )

( )

- 15 -

()

( )

() -

)
() - ( ) ( )
() - ( / ) ( )
() -

)
() - (

() -

(-

)
( -
)
() - ( )
() - ( )


- 16 -

()

()

() MOTHER MILK - (

()
() (SCT)
() (VAT)

SCT

-%

VAT


- 17 -

()

()

()

()

( )

()

()


- 18 -

( )

()

()
()

()

FOB

()

CIF


- 19 -

()

()

()
() ( )
()
() ( )
()
() ( )
()

( )


- 20 -

( )

() ()
() ( )
()
() (C/O )


- 21 -

16/1999/ND-CP ()


- 22 -

-/

HS

- 23 -


- 24 -


- 25 -

()

() ()

()
()
() ()
()

()

- 26 -

()

(.)

(.)

()

(.)

consumer

goods

()

( )
producers goods ()


- 27 -

- 28 -

()

()

X-Rays


- 29 -

- -

()

(.)
(%) -
()

()

()
() ()

()

( )

% %


- 30 -

% %
Custom Duty
() Custom Duty
% % % %

Custom Declaration Form /

Custom
/

- 31 -

()
() ()

()

(TRANSPARANCY) INTERNET

()
()

()


- 32 -

X-RAY MACHING

()

CUSTOM DUTY ()

- 33 -


- 34 -


- 35 -


- 36 -

()

(Strategic

Vision)

) () (

)
( )
( )
()

( ) (international competitiveness)


- 37 -

()

( )


- 38 -

( )

()

( )


- 39 -


- 40 -

- 41 -


- 42 -

Hai Duong Hung Yen

Bac Ninh Thai Binh

Ninh Binh Phu My

Ninh Binh Bac Giang Ca Mau


- 43 -

.
( . )

( .
)

. ( .
)

. ( . )

(

.)

(
.

()


- 44 -

()
()
(trade flows)

(GDP)

(.) ()

(market reform)
(economic

growth)

( )

- 45 -

/


Value-added


- 46 -

Transperancy and Flexibility

.%

.% .
.
.% %


(.%)
()

() %

Partner

Lien Partners

Bin Duong

In Can Uren

- 47 ()

() ()
%
( ) ( )

- (. ) -

(.)

.

( )
- (. )

- - . %

(. ) -

(. )

.
% .

- 48 %
-

()
()

( )

()

( )

( )

()
( )

( )

()
( )

( )

()


( )

- 49 -


- 50 -


- 51 -


- 52 -


- 53 -

% %

Robusta

Dak
Lak

(.)


- 54 -

(
)

%
%

( )

()


- 55 -

Mr. Simon
Cream Mr. Tim Groser

Phetchaburi
()

--


- 56 -

( )

- 57 -

()


- 58 -


- 59 -

()

-

- 60

()

Firm

- 61

GDP

( . %
) .% .%

.%

GDP
% . %


- 62 -

()
AFTA
AFTA

AFTA

AFTA

- 63 -

AFTA

AFTA

(External

shock)


- 64 -

AFTA

(Trade

Liberalization) (Free
and Fare Trade)

(GATT)

(WTO)

(WTO)

(ASEAN)

(BIMST-EC)

CEPT


- 65 -

(AFTA)

(AFTA)
/

(AFTA)

(AFTA)


- 66 -

()

- US$

. US$ .
.%

US$ .
US$
. .%

- US$ .

US$ .
.% US$ .
US$ .
.%

- 67 -

US$

US$ .

US$ . .%

US$ . US$ .
.%

US$ . US$ .
.%

-

US$ .
US$
. .%
US$ .
US$ .
.%

US$

US$

.%

US$ . US$ .

.%

US$

US$ . .%

- 68 -

US$

US$ . .%

US$ .
US$ . .%

US$

-
.

US$

.%

US$

-
.

US$

.%

(+) .

(+) .

(+) .

(+) .

( )

- 69 -

.
.

--

Mr. Nguyen Thanh Bien

--
()

--


- 70 -

FAO

. US$

FAO

US$

- 71 -

AFTA Product

- - FTA

ITC (Fisheries)

Top Ten




(Processed

Food)

(Backing

Arrangement)

ICT

VIETEL VMPT -


- 72 -

Internation Roaming
VIETEL
Telecommunication

(Banking

Services)

(Representative

Office)

Banking

and

Financial

Services

Shipping Services

( )

- 73 -

()

ACMECS GMS
Four Counties one
destination
-

()

()
()
Petro

Vietnam

Viettel

(%)
.

- 74 -

()

--

()

--( )

()

--

--

--

--

( )

() -
( )
( )
()

( )
( )
()

( )
( )


- 75 -

() -

--

--

()
( )
()

( )
( )


- 76 -

()

(revenue-to-GDP ratio)

(.) (.)

(deficit)
(.)

(.)

(.)

(.)

(VAT)

(AFTA)

(expenditure-to-GDP

ratio)

(.) (.)

(current

expenditure

(capital expenditure)

(.) (.)
(.) (.)


- 77 -

()
()
()
()

()
()

()

()


- 78 -

( )

IMF,

WB

ADB

()

()

(.)

(.)

(.)

(.)

GDP ADB

( )

- 79 -

(mixed economy)

.
( . )

( .
)


- 80 -

()

()
(trade flows)

16/1999/ND-CP ()


- 81 -

X-RAY MACHING /

() (Global Interdependence )
() (Protectionism
and
Growing Economic Blocs)
( )
(Transnalization
oF
Multinational Corporations MNCs)
() ( Rapid Technological Advances)
( ) (Conflicting Politics and
Tribalism)
( )
( Growth of


- 82 -

Environmental Concerns )

(Trade off )

(Trade off) ()

()
()

()


()
(Overvalue
Exchange Rate )

(Currency Crisis )
() (International
Competitiveness)


()

- 83 -

( Policy Distortion )
() (Coping with Inflation)
()

(Stimulating

Capitan

(Managing

Foreign

Investment )
()

Exchange Rates)
() (Managing Fiscal Policy )
()

(Dealing

With

Unemployment)
() (Coping With
External
Shocks)

(Op-portunities)

(Constraints) (Competitive Conditions)

- 84 -

Scope

and

Intensity

Capabilities)

(Nations

() (Government leadership)
() (Nations Factor endowment)
()
(Nations Industrial Organization )
() (Nations Social Cohesion)
()

(Nations Culture ,

Attitude and
Value)

(growth

( Develop-ment )

(economic

growth

productivity
(natural

resources)

( human resource ) ( capital )

(technology

advance)

(economic development )

(rising per capita

income )

(fundamental changes

of

structure

of

the economy)


- 85 -

( )

( )

( population and age structure ) ( consumption pattern)

(necessities) ( consumer
durables) (Leisure time products and
services )

( process

of changes in structure )

(Consumption) (Investment) (
Government Expenditure ) (Export) (Import )


- 86 -

(Fiscal Policy )
(Monetary Policy )

(Economic

Activities)

(Per Capita Real Income) (Income

inequality )

(Efficiency)

entry

(competition)

(Government Intervention)

( Regulatory Simplification )

(Foreign direct

investment)

(Tech-nology Diffusion )
( Know how)
(Management and
Marketing skill)
(Potential Export Market)

Creation

of

Job

opportunities)

(Infrastructural facilities
)

( Circulation of Money Supply)

(Hyperinflation)


- 87 -

( Obstacles to Develop-ment )

(Government

Sector

(Check
and Balance )

(Clean and Good

Government)

(Feedback )

(Quality of Law )

Accountability

- 88 -

(
Ad ministration and Public Fiance)

Public

Com-Petition

and

entry

( Power De-centralization)

(Attitude )

( Self- Motivation )
( Incentive )

(Productivity

of

Labor)

(Efficiency)

International

Respectability

- 89 -