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( : )
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= /

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= 31

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/ =351=211+51+111

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=
3

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49.0 = 31+ 19.0

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111 = 111

5 251 = 51

3 211 = 71

/ =561=211+251+111

||51

( :)
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1.35

611

/ = 211

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1.0 111 3

/01=3

/312=01+12+211=3
/15.1=312%5=3

/317.1=15.1+312=3

( : )
1 751 = 751

2 141= 71

/ =091=141 +751

1451 = 091+561

/ =

/ =14.5=111/1451

331.6 = 317.1 + 14.5

||52


( : )
1

111 = 111

5 251 = 51

3 211 = 71

/=561=211+251+121

( : )
/

1 751 = 751

2 141 = 71

/ =091=141+751

( : )
1

1.25 151 = 611

1.4 12 = 313

1.0 01 = 111 3

/
242=01+12+151

/12.1=242%5=3

/ 254.1=12.1+242=3

1451 = 091+561

/ =

||53

 / =14.5=111/1451
/

260.6 = 14.5 + 254.1

( : )
1 -
1

111 = 111

2 151 = 75

2 111 = 55
2 01 = 41

/ =
441=01+111+151+111

( : )
= 5511

=91

=495=55111.19

1 4
= 6

/ = 24=64
/
2.16 = 1.19 24

||54

 /
497.16 = 2.16+495

/
41 = 1.19 441

537.16 = 497.16 + 41

/ 24.05=497.16 %5 =3

( : )
1 -
1

111 = 111

2 151 = 75

2 111 = 55
2 01 = 41

/ =
441=01+111+151+111

( : )
= 5511

=141

=771=55111.14

1 4

||55

= 6

/ = 24=64
/

3.36 = 1.14 24
/
773.36 = 3.36+771

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61.6 = 1.14 441

034.96 = 773.36 + 61.6

/ 30.66 =773.36 %5 =3

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111 = 111

2 151 = 75

2 111 = 55
2 01 = 41

/ =
441=01+111+151+111

||56

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= 5511

=121

=661=55111.12

1 4
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/
52.0 = 1.12 441

= 715.60 = 662.00 + 52.0

/33.14 =662.00 %5 =3

15

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1

111 = 111

5 251 = 51

3 211 = 71

||57

 /=561=211+251+121

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/

1 751 = 751

2 141 = 71

/ =091=141+751

( : )
1
1.25 151 = 611

1.4 12 = 313

1.0 01 = 111 3

/
242=01+12+151

/12.1=242%5=3

/ 254.1=12.1+242=3

1451 = 091+561

/ =

/ =14.5=111/1451
/
260.6 = 14.5 + 254.1
1

= 6

15

/44.76 =6/260.6 =2

||58

( : )
1

111 = 111

5 251 = 51

3 211 = 71

/=561=211+251+121

( : )
/

1 751 = 751

2 141 = 71

/ =091=141+751

( : )
1

1.25 151 = 611

1.4 12 = 313

1.0 01 = 111 3

/
242=01+12+151

/12.1=242%5=3

/ 254.1=12.1+242=3

1451 = 091+561

/ =

||59

/ =14.5=111/1451
/
260.6 = 14.5 + 254.1
1

= 14

7
2

/19.10 =14/260.6 =2

1 3 25
( :)
2 161 = 01
2 121 = 61
201 = 41

/
/
/

1 41 = 41

/ = 411

/ =3 /
= 111 =4/411

( :)
-

1 3 511 25612

1 3 -
511411/
1.7023.4 = 31 3

211 = 1111/

1.27 162 = 611

/305.4 = 162+23.4+211 =3

||60

 1 3 +
405.4=305.4 +111
-

1 3 = %21%7+
= + 105.4 %21211%7
= 51.10

( :)
= 41

/ = 3 / /
= 11 = 4/41

1 3 + +

495.4= 11+ 305.4 + 111

1 2 12
( :)
2 161 = 01
2 121 = 61
201 = 41

/
/
/

1 41 = 41

/ = 411

/ =3 /
= 13.3 = 31/411

( :)
-

1 2 60 25612

1 2 -

||61

 60411 /
1.134 = 31 3

27.2 = 1111/

/50.2=27+ 4 + 27.2=2
1 2 +
-

1.145 27 = 611

=71.5

= 50.2+13.3

1 2 = %21 %7 +
= %21+ 27+427.2 %7
=0.1

( :)
= 41

/ = 3 / /
= 1.33 =31/41

1 2 + +

72.0=1.33+71.5

32
-

1 2 12
( :)
2 161 = 01
2 121 = 61
201 = 41

/
/
/

1 41 = 41

/ = 411

/ =3 /
= 13.3 = 31/411

||62

( :)
-

1 2 60 25612

1 2 -
60461/
1.134 = 31 3

31.20 = 1111/

1.145 27 = 611

/ 62.20=27+4+31.20=2 /
-

1 2 = %21%7+

= %21+ 27+431.20%7
=0.3

= 41

/ = 3 / /
2

= 1.33 =31/41

12 + +

76.91=1.33+62.20+13.3

25
-

1 3 25
( :)
2 161 = 01
2 121 = 61
201 = 41

/
/
/

1 41 = 41

/ = 411

/ =3 /
= 111 =4/411

||63

( :)
-

1 3 511 25612

1 3 -
3

511461/
1.7023.4 = 31 3

231 = 1111//
3

1.27 162 = 611

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-

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= %21+ 162+23.4231%7
= 53.10

( :)
= 41

/ = 3 / /
= 11 = 4/41

1 3 + +

525.4= 11+415.4+111

( :)
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261 =31

/
/

/ = 221

/ =2 /
= 1.1 =211/221

( :)
-

1 2 -
3

5 7= 35

2 2.3 14.52/33.35 =2

||64

 /60.35=33.35+35=2
12 +

/
=

69.45=60.35+1.1

-3-:
-

5 2

(:)
-

1 2
1 111 = 111
01 = 01

151 = 51

/
/

/ = 231

/ =2 /
2

12.77 = 10/231/

/ 3 = 63.00=512.77/

( :)

/ 3 = 07.5=4/ 51.1252011

/ 3 =4.0=25/ 51.112411

/ 3 =21=41/ 51.172411

/ 3 =9.6=25/ 51.122411

/ 3 =4.0=25/ 564
/

127.7=4.0+9.6+21+4.0+07.5

/ 3 +
=191.50

= 127.7+63.00

||65

/
3

 -2 -:
-

0 2

1 2
1 111 = 111
01 = 01

151 = 51

/
/

/ = 231

/ =2 /
2

12.77 = 10/231/

/ 3 = 112.16=012.77 /
( :)

/ 3 = 04=0/ 01.132011

/ 3 =23.14=25/ 01.132411

/ 3 =

=11.5

/ 3 =

/ 3 =
/
= 124.74

=4.0 /
= 2.4/

=2.4+4.0+11.5+23.14+04

/ 3 +
= 226.9

=124.74+112.16

||66

 -1 -:
-

5 2

(:)
-

1 2
1 111 = 111
01 = 01

/
/

151 = 51

/ = 231

/ =2 /
2

12.77 = 10/231 /

/ 3 = 63.00=512.77 /
( :)

/ 3 = 92.4=5/ 51.1332011

/ 3 =

=2.4

/ 3 =

=11.5

/ 3 =

/ 3 =
/

=4.0 /

= 2.4 /

2.4+4.0+11.5+ 2.4+ 92.4

= 112.5

/ 3 +
= 176.30

=112.5+63.00

||67


-3-:
-

5 2

(:)
-

1 2
1 111 = 111
01 = 01

151 = 51

/
/

/ = 231

/ =2 /
2

6.30 = 36/231 /

/ 3 = 31.9=56.30

-2 -:
-

0 2

(:)
-

1 2
1 111 = 111
1

01 = 01

151 = 51

/
/

/ = 231

/ =2 /
2

6.30 = 36/231/

/ 3 = 51.14=06.30

||68

 -1 -:
-

5 2

(:)
-

1 2
1 111 = 111
01 = 01

151 = 51

/
/

/ = 231

/ =2 /
2

6.30 = 36/231/

/ 3 = 31.9=56.30

1 2
:
+ +
4

2 + 1 +

= 211 / 2
4

341 = 05

2 111 = 51

2 01 = 41

/ = 521 = 01 + 111 + 341

/ = 2 / / = 2.6 = 200 / 521

||69

 :
0.035 <-------1.15 = 31 3

7.7 <---- 4.05 = 1.63

1.25 <----- 1.15 = 1.6

1.34 = 05 1.114 ------

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/ = 2 +

= 0.39 = 6.39 + 2.4

-1 2.5 25 25
:
4 341 = 05

6 241 = 41

/
/

/ = 501 = 241 + 341

/ = 2 / / = 0.70 = 66 / 501
:
1.17 -------2.1 = 31 3

8 --- ) 4.0 = 1111 / 611

1.5 ---1.45 = 1111 / 911 ) 3

1.16 ---1.0 = 31 3
36.75 = 35 1.15 ----

2
2

||70

2 2

 /45.9 = 36.75 + 1.0 + 1.45 + 4.0 + 2.1 = 2

/1.910 = 45.9 %2 = 2
/46.0 = 2

/
2

/ = 2 +
2

= 55.50 = 46.0 + 0.70

2 2 21 21
:
4 341 = 05

6 241 = 41

/
/

/ = 501 = 241 + 341

/ = 2 / / = 0.70 = 66 / 501

:
1.17 -------2.1 = 31 3

8 --- ) 4.0 = 1111 / 611

1.5 ---1.45 = 1111 / 911 ) 3

1.16 ---1.0 = 31 3

26.25 = 25 1.15 ----

2
2

/35.4 = 26.25 + 1.0 + 1.45 + 4.0 + 2.1 = 2

2

/1.71 = 35.4 %2 = 2

/36.11 = 2

/ = 2 +
= 44.00 = 36.11 + 0.70

||71



:
4 341 = 05

6 241 = 41

/ = 501 = 241 + 341

/ = 2 / / = 0.70 = 66 / 501

:
1.17 -------2.1 = 31 3

8 --- ) 4.0 = 1111 / 611

1.5 ---1.45 = 1111 / 911 ) 3

1.16 ---1.0 = 31 3
157.5 = 151 1.15 ----

/166.65 = 157.5 + 1.0 + 1.45 + 4.0 + 2.1 = 2

/3.33 = 166.65 %2 = 2
/169.90 = 2

/ = 2 +
= 170.76 = 169.90 + 0.70

||72



:
1 05 = 05
2 111 = 51

/
/
/

/ = 105 = 111 + 05

/ = 2 / / = 1.23 = 151 / 105

= 71

= 01

12

12

= 221

31

5.83 = 12 / 71 ------

6.6 = 12 / 01 ------

7.3 = 31 / 221 ------

/19.73 = 7.3 + 6.6 + 5.03 = 2

/ = 2 +
= 21.96 = 19.73 + 1.23

||73

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
9
11
11
12
13
14
15
16

1
1
2
1
1
1
1
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||74

1
2
3
4

5
6

-:
+ +
= 113444 = 11444 + 14444 + 287444

-:
%2.5 = 71142.1241= %2.5 1451441.371
= +
= 117142.1241 = 71142.1241 + 113444
= + =
= 1141145.545 = 117142.1241 + 1451441.371

||75

4111
11111
6111
11111
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3111

34000

1
2
3
4

1
1116
1112
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32910.4
55377.6
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2
2
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3
2
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35106.6
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2606
65673.68

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51.66

2
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331.6

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331

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21612.25
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2
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110

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331

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33309.06
27749.60
91617.60
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131
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191.50

331
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11963.70
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3
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24

25

26
27
20

29

31

22
16
42
2 23
7 22
2 16
42
2 23
0 22
2 16
43
2 23
2 33
2 16
43
2 23
5 33
2 16
43
2 23
6 33
2 16
43
2 23
0 33
2 16

13


21 2


1.62 2

13



2 21 2

13

1 221


25


0/5

171

171

14

105

2591

125

125

105

105

215

215

245

491

41

201

111

211

35

175

111

111

1251

1251

||84



51 2
5
2
175

1
31 3
36
.
36
32
113
2
57
.
0
33

114 2
20
.
51
34

3211

1
35 1.5

1311

1
A1
36

971

1
A2
37

241

1
A3
30

261

1
A1
39

341

1
A0
41

221

1
A4
41

41

151
42

175
1296
456
1411
3211
1311
971
241
261
341
221
6111
42935

1
2
3
4
5

2.362.25

112

1.33131
11

513115/11

111
97.71
11.21
1

.
.
.

241
215
761
11111

26641
21115.51
7752
11111

162

70

12636

||85

1
1

6
2
7

411

1

0
5111

1

9

= 3528411.588
= 23528411.588
= 1451441.371

||86

551
191

551
191
411
5111
84173.5

||87

:
.

||88

-1

-2 .
-3 .
-4 .
-5
-6

.
.

-1 ....

.
-2

-3

-1

.

61.
-2

||89

 -3

-4

.
-5

-6

-7

-0
-9

-1 .
-2 .
-3 .
4 .

-1
.

-2

-3

||90


-1 .
-2

.
-3

-4

-5

-1

-2 .
-3

-1

-2

-3

||91


-1 .
-2 .
-3 .
-4 .
-5 .

-1
.

.
-2

||92

 -1

-2 .
-3

-4
-5

-6
-0
-9

-11

-1

.
-2

-1 .
-2

||93


-:
: -:
-1
-2

-3

:
-:
-1
-2

-3

-1
= 537.16

/ 3

= 537.16

/ 351.66 +62.16

= 61139.55

-2
( : )
1 -
1

111 = 111

2 151 = 75

2 111 = 55

||94

 2 01 = 41

/ =
441=01+111+151+111

( : )
= 5211

=91

=477=53111.19

1 4
/

= 6

/ = 24=64
/
2.16 = 1.19 24

/
479.16 = 2.16+477

/
41 = 1.19 441

519.16 = 479.16 + 41

= 519.16
= 519.16
= 59191.79

/ 3
/ 351.66 +62.16

||95

-3

( : )
1 -
1

111 = 111

2 151 = 75

2 111 = 55
2 01 = 41

/ =
441=01+111+151+111

( : )
= 5711

=91

=513=57111.19

1 4
/

= 6

/ = 24=64
/
2.16 = 1.19 24

/
515.16 = 2.16+ 513

/
41 = 1.19 441

||96

555.16 = 515.16 + 41

= 555.16

/ 3

= 555.16

/ 351.66 +62.16

= 63100.31

-1
3

= 034.96 5//
= 034.96 5/110
= 10135.136

-2
( : )
1 -
1

111 = 111

2 151 = 75

2 111 = 55
2 01 = 41

/ =
441=01+111+151+111

( : )
= 5311

=141

||97

=742=53111.14

1 4
/

= 6

/ = 24=64
/

3.36 = 1.14 24

/
745.36 = 3.36+ 742

/
61.6 = 1.14 441

016.96 = 745.36 + 61.6

= 016.96
= 17431.336

-3

/35/110

( : )
1 -
1

111 = 111

2 151 = 75

2 111 = 55
2 01 = 41

||98

 / =
441=01+111+151+111

( : )
= 5711

=141

=790=57111.14

1 4
= 6

/ = 24=64
/

3.36 = 1.14 24

/
011.36 = 3.36+790

/
61.6 = 1.14 441

062.96 =011.36 + 61.6

= 062.96
= 10639.936

/35/110

||99

-1
/3

= 715.60
=715.60

/35/351

= 51241.736

-2
( : )
1 -
1

111 = 111

2 151 = 75

2 111 = 55
2 01 = 41

/ =
441=01+111+151+111

( : )
= 5311

=121

=636=53111.12

1 4
= 6

/ = 24=64

||100

5/

2.00 = 1.12 24
/
630.00 =2.00+636

/
52.0 = 1.12 441

= 691.60
= 40555.936

-3

= 691.60 = 630.00 + 52.0

/35/351

( : )
1 -
1

111 = 111

2 151 = 75

2 111 = 55
2 01 = 41

/ =
441=01+111+151+111

( : )
= 5711

=121

=604=57111.12

||101

 1 4
= 6

/ = 24=64
/

2.00 = 1.12 24
/
606.00 =2.00+ 604

/
52.0 = 1.12 441

= 739.60

= 739.60

= 51925.536

= 606.00 + 52.0

/35/351

= laudiseR
= 2253455.151 = 845417.82 -1451441.371

||102

 ()ksiRatc lduP
( )ksiRatc lduP

-3

||103

 -2

||104

 -1

||105

Cumulative Probabilities -1

|106|

 -:
( %81 )
= 1458131
= -%81
= 2524.821 = 1451441.371 - 1458131

= /

=
2520.824/3493495.505
=
0.072%

||107

||108

S1

1
S1
2
S1

3
S1
4
S1

5
S1

6
S1

7
S2
0
S2

9
S2
11
S2
11

4057
32910.4
23115.70
35106.6
4170.9
11963.70
33309.06
32910.4
23115.70
35106.6
4170.9
214444

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
9
11
11
12
13
14
15
16

S
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S2
S2
S2
S2

||109

21612.25
1902.91
9111.79
27749.60
17131.75
1647.95
23157.4
27600.0
46567.6
23157.4
27600.0
31401
11963.70
33309.06
21612.25
1902.91

S2
17
S2
10
S2
19

9111.79
27749.60
17131.75
177731.11

S1
1
S1

2
S1

3
S1
4
S1

5
S1

6
S1

7
S1

0
S1
9
S1
11
S2
11
S2
12
S2
13
S2
14
S2
15
S2
16
S2
17
S2
10
S2
19
S2
21
S2
21

19246.0
5354.04
10135.136
7699.76
1214.544
13440.916
1211
51241.736
23270.32
2239.30
1647.95
23157.4
27600.0
46567.6
23157.4
27600.0
31401
19246.0
5354.04
10135.136
7699.76
172172.438

1

2

3
4

5
6
7
0
9
11

||110

S
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1

16247.06
14512
432
6194.94
2140
11353.164
5671.10
429.124
11794.4
5575

S1
11
S1
12
S1
13
S1
14
S1
15
S1
16
S1
17
S1
10
S1
19
S1

21
S2
21
S2
22
S2
23
S2
24
S2
25
S2
26
S2
27
S2
20
S2
29
S2
31
S2
31

3273.1
4104
3614
3019.6
7766
5354.04
10135.136
7699.76
1214.544
13440.916
13440.916
1211
51241.736
23270.32
2239.30
16247.06
14512
432
6194.94
5354.04
10135.136
242414.542

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
9
11
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
10

||111

S
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1

1211
51241.736
23270.32
2239.30
16247.06
14512
432
11353.164
6194.94
2140
5671.10
11794.4
429.124
5575
3273.1
3614
3019.6
7766

S1
19
S1
21
S1
21
S1
22
S2
23
S2
24
S2
25
S2
26
S2
27
S2
20
S2
29
S2
31
S2
31
S2
32
S2
33
S2
34
S2
35
S2

36
S2

37
S2

30
S2

39

5354.04
10135.136
7699.76
1214.544
2140
11353.164
5671.10
429.124
11794.4
5575
3273.1
036.0
3614
3019.6
7766
7699.76
1214.544
13440.916
1211
51241.736
23270.32
151131.528

1

2

3
4

5
6

7

0
9
11
11
12

13
14
15
16
17
10

||112

S
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2

13440.916
1211
51241.736
23270.32
2239.30
16247.06
14512
432
6194.94
2140
5354.04
10135.136
2239.30
16247.06
14512
432
6194.94
2140

S2
19
S2
21
S2
21
S2
22
S2
23
S2
24
S2
25
S2
26
S2
27
S2
20
S2
29
S2
31
S2
31
S2
32
S2
33
S2
34
S2
35

11353.164
5671.10
429.124
11794.4
5575
3273.1
3614
3019.6
7766
5354.04
10135.136
7699.76
1214.544
13440.916
1211
51241.736
23270.32
117851.428

1
2
3
4

5

6
7

0
9
11
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
10
19
21
21
22

||113

S
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2

11353.164
5671.10
429.124
11794.4
5575
3273.1
3614
3019.6
7766
7699.76
1214.544
13440.916
1211
51241.736
23270.32
2239.30
16247.06
14512
432
6194.94
2140
11353.164

S2
23
S2
24
S2
25
S2
26
S2
27
S2
20
S2
29
S2
31
S2
31
S2
32
S2
33
S2
34
S2
35
S2
36
S2
37

5671.10
429.124
11794.4
5575
3273.1
3614
3019.6
7766
5354.04
10135.136
7699.76
1214.544
13440.916
1211
51241.736
114544.121

1
2

3
4
5

6
7
0
9
11
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
10
19
21
21
22
23
24

||114

S
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S2

2239.30
16247.06
14512
432
6194.94
2140
11353.164
5671.10
429.124
11794.4
5575
3273.1
3614
3019.6
7766
5354.04
10135.136
7699.76
1214.544
13440.916
1211
51241.736
23270.32
23270.32

S2
25
S2
26
S2
27
S2
20
S2
29
S2
31
S2
31
S2
32
S2
33
S2
34
S2
35
S2
36
S2
37
S2
30
S2
39
S2
41

2239.30
16247.06
14512
432
6194.94
2140
11353.164
5671.10
429.124
11794.4
5575
3273.1
5354.04
10135.136
7699.76
1214.544
118412.518

1
2
3
4

5
6

7
0
9
11
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
10
19
21
21
22
23

||115

S
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1

2239.30
0554.20
16247.06
14512
432
6194.94
2140
11353.164
5671.10
429.124
11794.4
5575
3273.1
3614
3019.6
7766
2019.74
0145
11353.164
2411
6011
6723.75
431

S1
24
S1
25
S2
26
S2
27
S2
20
S2
29
S2
31
S2
31
S2
32
S2
33
S2
34
S2
35
S2
36
S2
37
S2
30
S2
39

3961
11794.4
3614
3019.6
7766
13440.916
1211
51241.736
23270.32
2239.30
0554.20
16247.06
14512
432
6194.94
2140
144725.431

1
2
3
4

5

6
7

0
9
11
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
10
19
21
21
22
23

||116

S
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S2
S1
S1
S1
S1
S2

11353.164
5671.10
429.124
11794.4
5575
3273.1
3614
3019.6
7766
2019.74
0145
11353.164
2411
6011
6723.75
431
3961
11794.4
15
151
22423
4701
15

S2
24
S2
25
S2
26
S1
27 2
S1
20
S1
29
S1
31
S1
31
S2
32 2
S2
33
S2
34
S2
35
S2
36

||117

151
22423
4701
741
12636
55397.5
11111
5411
741
12636
55397.5
11111
5411
128741.522

||118



= 3156193.176
= 37412.3294

= 3493495.515

= %1 = 3156193.176%4
= 122243.727

= %4
= 2521.024

= % 1.102
= %1 = 3156193.176%1
= 31561.93176

= %1

= + +
= 31561.93176+2521.024+122243.727
= 155325.4020

= 3640021.900 =1141145.545+155325.4020

= + + 1+
= 1+ %1+%1.102+%4
= 1.15102

||119

) )

=()34/17142.1241

=Expence

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
9
11

239991
377716.33
372472.910
292931.592
353413.520
367053.120
341599.324
340962.540
319725.114
320793.522

3741.23294
3741.23294
3741.23294
3741.23294
3741.23294
3741.23294
3741.23294
3741.23294
3741.23294
3741.23294

243731.23
301456.56
376213.140
296671.022
357153.750
371593.250
344339.554
352712.770
313465.244
332533.752

||120

Income
=
3.45482
256116.6
411042.10
395332.3
311747.633
375314.312
391477.627
361030.091
371627.133
329395.547
349433.117