Say No A2: Cabello

Cabello also says no he wont engage UNTIL the US recognizes Maduros victory
AVN 13 (Deputies shall acknowledge Venezuela constitutional President, 4-30,
http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/deputies-shall-acknowledge-venezuela-constitutional-president)

National Assembly chairperson and first vice-president of the United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV), Diosdado Cabello reaffirmed
Monday that opposing deputies must acknowledge Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro to be recognized themselves
as lawgivers and have right to speak in parliament. Cabello said that rightist deputies' behavior is hypocrite since they claim not to have
the right to speak though it is a right granted by the population, but they reject people's will when they chose Nicolas Maduro as Head of State. At
PSUV weekly press conference, in Caracas, Cabello recalled that many of those rightist deputies who refuse to acknowledge Nicolas Maduro's
victory were the same who supported the annulment of parliament during the April 2002 coup d'tat against president Hugo Chavez. "Those
that live by the sword die by the sword," Cabello said referring to some opposing deputies who have refused to acknowledge the
victory of Maduro over their rightist candidate. US-opposition Diosdado Cabello stated that the United States Administration
has a meddling policy towards Venezuela and emphasized its attachment to the speech of the local Right, since
they insist on disowning public powers in Venezuela and president Nicolas Maduro, who was elected by 7,586,251 voters last
April 14. "The only country which has not acknowledged Nicolas' victory is the United States and some opposing gentlemen
here," said the Deputy, emphasizing that the Venezuelan people defeated a dirty war. Congratulating the labor carried out by units of the Hugo
Chavez campaign group, the socialist leader said that "campaigning for ten days, we were able to defeat a machinery which has been in war for
two years against the Venezuelan people and a barefaced dirty war against comrade Nicolas Maduro." "If the United States recognizes
the victory of comrade Nicolas Maduro, they will for sure remain without any argument," Cabello added.
Their card concludes neg the most likely scenario is that Cabello will wait until 2015 BEFORE co-opting
Maduro
Lees, 13 -- corporate attorney in Washington, DC
[Kevin, "Its Diosdado Cabellos world, the rest of Venezuela is just living in it," Suffragio, 6-4-13,
suffragio.org/2013/06/04/its-diosdado-cabellos-world-the-rest-of-venezuela-is-just-living-in-it/, accessed 7-30-13,
AEL]

You dont have to believe that Silvas gossip is necessarily 100% true to realize that chavismo is going through an internal civil war to determine
whether Maduro or Cabello truly controls the government. Cabello doesnt necessarily need to effect a coup against Maduro in order to win that
fight, however he has allies and loyalists in so many various parts of the Venezuelan government that he can effectively checkmate Maduro
from his perch in the National Assembly. Even if Cabello could push Maduro out of office tomorrow, why would he want to
take ownership of Venezuela in its immediate state anyway if he can control enough behind the scenes to ensure his continued role in
diverting sufficient gains to himself and his supporters?
==========Their Card Ends==========
A more likely possibility is that Cabello could gradually co-opt the oppositions position, move toward the center
in the coming years, advocate a more orthodox economic policy, and break from Maduro in the 2015 parliamentary elections to
essentially become Venezuelas opposition. He need not even form a new party or declare a grand rupture, he need only
control enough members of the National Assembly, and that may well become easier after years of rationing and economic
hardship, especially after the memory of Chvez fades and Venezuelans come to associate Maduro with failure. After all,
Maduro will be eligible to be recalled in 2016 as a legal matter if Cabello doesnt strike, Capriles and the opposition most
certainly will. Even in countries with relatively healthy institutions and economies, feuds at the top levels of a government can be incredibly
destabilizing (witness the friction between former United Kingdom prime minister Tony Blair and former chancellor Gordon Brown). In a
country where theres a credible threat of one figure leading a military-backed coup against the other, however, its all the more crippling.
Whether you think that Maduros victory was legitimate or fraudulent, or whether you think Chvez was a savior or a charlatan, the last thing
that Venezuela needs is an internecine battle within chavismo when it faces so many more pressing structural,
economic, political and diplomatic challenges.
==========Their Article Ends==========