range of care, and be charged individual supplements. From 1 January 2009, all private insurance funds must ofer a new basis tarif, which must be comparable with the range of benefts ofered by the public system and cost no more than the maximum contribution to a public fund. Individuals on other more expensive private plans will be able to switch to this during a six-month transition period, a limitation imposed afer intense lobbying by the private insurers, who feared a wave of cancellations. Tis move is intended to increase competition between private insurers. Members over the age of 55 will be allowed to switch to the cheaper option, but must remain with the same fund. Funds will be obliged to accept anyone who meets the statutory income criteria, without making a risk assessment. Te reform with the biggest impact in terms of fnancing will also begin in 2009, with the establishment of a national health fund (Gesundheitsfonds). Tis fund will receive all employer and employee contributions to the public system some 145 billion as well as some revenue from central government. At this point, all statutory funds will have the same contribution rate. Local funds will then receive a per capita sum for each member, based on a risk assessment of their average needs efectively creating a national single system of fnancing based on need. If this does not prove suf cient to meet a funds expenses, it will be entitled to levy an additional 1% on members taxable income. However, should this happen, members will be allowed to switch funds. Where a fund operates more economically than the average, it will be able to return money to its members. Tere will also be a rationalisation in the overall management of the system, with one national association for statutory funds (in place of the current seven). Te key question posed by critics of the reform is whether contributions will fall on average. Some have argued that the reforms are not likely to curb the expected rise in costs in the next few years, with a number of commentators anticipating that contributions to the new fund will be running at over 15% of pay in 2009. GREECE One-fth of Greeks live in relative poverty Recent months have seen a political debate on income distribution and efective welfare policy as it becomes increasingly likely that general elections, due in spring 2008, may be brought forward and could take place any time afer April 2007. Te debate opened with the conservative New Democracy government publicising the fndings of a national statistics service (NSS) survey, based on 2004 data, examining unequal income distribution, poverty and the resulting social exclusion. It found that almost one in fve Greek citizens, or about 2 million people, live in conditions of relative poverty. In terms of the ratio of total income received by the 20% of the population with the highest income to that received by the 20% of the population with the lowest income, the top ffh are six times as well of as the lowest. Tis is one of the most unequal income distributions among the pre-2007 25 EU member states. Te government has announced plans to increase social spending by 1% of gross domestic product (GDP) in the next four-year term, if it is re-elected. On the other hand, the main opposition party, the socialist PASOK, has been running a political campaign under the slogan just society or society with justice, and has drafed an electoral programme focusing on income redistribution. Other opposition parties have been concentrating their campaigns on inequality issues, as have the trade union confederations representing private sector employees (GSEE) and civil servants (ADEDY). Te NSS study defned the poverty threshold in 2004 as 5,649.78 a year for single people and 11,864.54 for a family with two dependent children. Applying this defnition, a total of 832,456 households or 2,088,701 people, representing 19.6% of the population were found to be living in relative poverty in 2004. Women were found to be slightly more vulnerable to poverty than men (20.9% compared with 18.3%), as were older people: 27.9% of those over the age of 65 were found to be living in poverty. Regarding the impact of welfare spending in Greece in 2004 compared with the old EU15 and excluding welfare payments, the study found that 23% of the population in Greece lived below the poverty line, compared with an EU15 average of 26%. Including welfare payments, the percentage in Greece falls to 20% and to 17% on average in the EU15. Tese fndings have sparked a debate about the efectiveness of social policy design and spending on welfare policies. In Greece, this amounts to 45 billion a year, which is 26.3% of GDP. Total social protection expenditure as a percentage of GDP reached the EU25 average in 2001 and, although it has fallen slightly since then, it remains close to that average, at 26%, compared with 27.3% in 2003. Controversy over ship crew plans Te Greek-owned merchant feet, which is the world leader, accounting for 16.1% of global shipping capacity, is expanding fast, but there is a shortage of of cers to crew the ships. Tis shortage has emerged as new-generation vessels are being added to the feet and it is causing serious problems for shipowners, the maritime shipping ministry and the Panhellenic seafarers federation (PNO). One response to the situation has been the ministrys promise to expand the marine of cers training college. Te ministry is also proposing to permit more fexibility in the composition of crews sailing under the Greek fag, in an attempt to increase the share of the Greek merchant feet fying under national colours; according to Lloyds shipping register, only 32% of Greek-managed ships are on the Greek register. Of the remaining ships, 14% sail under the fag of Panama; 13% are registered in Malta; 10% in Cyprus and Liberia; and 7% in the Bahamas. Greek-owned ships account for 49.7% of the EUs deadweight tonnage; 50% of Chinas dry bulk cargo and 60% of its liquid cargo. Te ministrys plans to reduce the compulsory proportion of Greek seafarers on Greek-registered ships have been sharply criticised by the PNO trade union federation, which is concerned that, although there may be a shortage of high-level of cers, many of its lower-level crew members remain unemployed. Te union has considered industrial action, but decided against a strike at this stage. For its part, the EEE Hellenic shipowners association has welcomed government measures aimed at improving the competitiveness of the national register, commenting that, as a result, the number GERMANY GREECE NEWS EIRR398_News.indd Sec2:7 9/3/07 14:02:30 398 EUROPEAN EMPLOYMENT review MARCH 2007 9 of Greek-registered ships may rise. It has also called on the government to make more efort to inform young Greeks of the opportunities as high-level seafarers on board and in shipping enterprises. Tis, it hopes, may help resolve structural imbalances in the sectors labour market. HUNGARY Central pay recommendations agreed for 2007 On 30 January, representatives of trade unions, employers organisations and the government on the tripartite National Interest Reconciliation Council (OT) agreed a recommendation for private sector pay increases in 2007. Te deal suggests that nominal wage rises should be between 5.5% and 8%. With a predicted infation rate of 6.2% in 2007, real wage increases are likely to be low or negative, although the centrally recommended pay rise fgure tends to be outstripped by actual increases for example, while the recommendation for 2006 was 4%5%, average private sector wage increases stood at around 8%. Bargaining over the recommendation in the OT lasted some three months, which is considerably longer than usual. Unions had initially demanded 8%11%, later dropping this to 6%9%, while employers organisations ofered 4%6%, later increasing the upper end of the range to 8%. Following the deal, both unions and employers stated that the compromise recommendation expressed their willingness to take responsibility for the national economic situation, in the context of the governments convergence programme for joining the eurozone, which foresees a cut in real wages in 2007. Te OT debated and accepted the convergence programme in autumn 2006. In the public sector, a pay deal for 2007 was reached on 19 February, following union threats to strike afer the government initially proposed a wage freeze, and then ofered a 5.5% rise. Te agreed increase will be 6.65%, while the government has also promised a bonus in 2008 if the euro-entry programme is on track. Social dialogue laws questioned In December 2006, parliament adopted by an overwhelming majority laws on the tripartite National Interest Reconciliation Council (OT) and on bipartite sectoral social dialogue commissions. However, the president of Hungary, Lszl Slyom, has refused to sign these laws and referred them to the Constitutional Court for examination of their constitutionality. Te OT has functioned since 1988 as a national-level institution where trade unions, employers organisations and the government debate matters such as labour legislation, pay, social security and the labour market, ofen reaching consensus (for example, during the economic and labour market restructuring of the early 1990s). Te sectoral social dialogue commissions, bringing together unions and employers organisations at individual industry level, were set up in 2004 in an attempt to address the general absence of collective bargaining at this level. Both the OT and the sectoral commissions were established by governmental decrees rather than parliamentary legislation and, in the 1990s, Slyom, who was then president of the Constitutional Court, questioned the legitimacy of the OT exercising public authority without democratic authorisation. According to Slyom, the rights of this tripartite body to decide on minimum wage rates and to manage the Employment Fund (which fnances labour market policy measures) represent public authority functions, while its members are not elected but appointed on the basis of a tripartite agreement. According to the president, this is not suf cient to confer the democratic legitimacy required to exercise public authority. Afer the creation of the sectoral commissions, the government bowed to pressure from the Constitutional Court and sought to give them and the OT the backing of legislation adopted by parliament. Te two resulting laws were approved almost unanimously in December (with 338 votes in favour and only two against) and received the support of both government and opposition parties. However, they are now on hold pending the Constitutional Courts decision. Unions and employers organisations have stated that they will not accept any outcome that would diminish their rights and argue that the laws adopted by parliament have laid down criteria for the social partners representation that should provide democratic legitimacy for the operation of the OT and the sectoral bodies. IRELAND Ryanair offer to pilots Ryanair has informed its Dublin-based pilots that it is open, ready and willing to discuss and negotiate the 2007 pay round with them directly, whether they are a member of any union or not. Te low-cost airline is set to ofer these pilots the same pay rise as its pilots at other bases across Europe and states that it has started negotiations with its employee representative councils on the April 2007 pay review. Tis move follows a long-running dispute between the Dublin pilots and the company regarding the conditions surrounding the introduction of a feet of new planes. Te dispute started in 2004, when, among other things, pilots were told that they would have to repay the 15,000 cost of training for the new planes if the airline was forced to deal with a trade union within fve years (EER 379 p.9). A case relating to the dispute was brought in the Labour Court (LC) by the Impact trade union on behalf of pilots afer an amendment to the Industrial Relations Act in 2004 gave the LC jurisdiction to hear complaints from workers at companies where no union recognition or collective bargaining was in place (EER 374 p.10). Te LC decided to investigate the case, as it found that no bargaining existed for pilots at the company (which does not recognise unions but has employee representative councils). Ryanair challenged the LCs right to investigate. Te High Court ruled in October 2005 that there was a trade dispute at Ryanair and that the LC had jurisdiction to investigate the dispute (EER 382 p.9). Ryanair appealed against this ruling to the Supreme Court, which, in February 2007, ruled that the LCs procedures for hearing the preliminary case were fawed. Some commentators interpret the Supreme Courts ruling as contradicting the LCs fnding that Ryanairs employee representative councils do not constitute a proper bargaining unit. However, the Supreme Court has referred the case back to the LC for reconsideration and Impact claims that the ruling upholds the power of the Labour Court to make fndings in such cases where NEWS GREECE HUNGARY IRELAND EIRR398_News.indd Sec2:8 9/3/07 14:02:41