METODO MINIMOS CUADRADOS

d =

d =

s
1 + G

1+

d = a0 + a1 ( ) + a2 ( ) + a3 ( )

1860 = a0 + a1 ( 0.0539) + a2 ( 0.0539) + a3 ( 0.0539) + a4 ( 0.0539)

1900 = a0 + a1 ( 0.0706) + a2 ( 0.0706) + a3 ( 0.0706) + a4 ( 0.0706)

1980 = a0 + a1 ( 0.0895) + a2 ( 0.0895) + a3 ( 0.0895) + a4 ( 0.0895)

2

1930 = a0 + a1 ( 0.1106) + a2 ( 0.1106) + a3 ( 0.1106) + a4 ( 0.1106)

( d ) = ( w ) ( A )
1860
1900
( d) := 1980
1930

a0
a1
( A) :=
a2
a3

1 1

1 2
( w) :=

1 3
1 4

2
3
2 2
2
3
3 3

2
3
4 4

1 := 0.0539

2 := 0.0706
4

3 := 0.0895
4

4 := 0.1106

42.2599
29.6452
7.1169
20.7316

1638.3178
1237.947
312.3634
1 712.7342
( w)
=
8030.4286 20118.4932 16559.9252 4471.8607
29665.418 79206.666 70437.7934 20896.5454

( A) := ( w)

( )

3228.8437
61155.4912
( A) =
869421.0514
3821510.393

d = a0 + a1 ( ) + a2 ( ) + a3 ( ) + a4 ( )

d ( ) := 3228.8437 61155.4912 ( ) + 869421.0514 ( ) + 3821510.393 ( )

d
d( ) = 0
d
2
d
d( ) 1.7388421028e6 + 1.1464531179e7 61155.4912
d

61155.4912
d := 1.7388421028e6

1.1464531179e7

polyroots( d ) =

0.0554

0.0962
2

d ( ) := 5.707557318e6 + 7.67575798113e7 + 3.373552348576e8 + 139947.0795

d ( 0.0962) = 1989.4871