CONFIDENTIAL*

1. 2 . 6
10
11 5 9 7 5 12 6 4

+ + + + + + + + + q p
(M1)

3 + q p
(M1)
p = 1, q = 2 (A1)
2.
(b) i) median = 11.5 (B1)
ii) number of days = 24 19 = 5 (B1)(B1)
3. (a)

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1
CONFIDENTIAL*
(b)
30
2501
x (M1)
= 83.4 (A1)

2
30
2501
30
209765

,
_

(B1) 209765 seen, M1- all corrects

= 6.49 (A1)
(c) median = 84
2
84 84

+

(B1)

st
1
quari!e =
th
th
5 . 7
4
30
= 78
(B1)
3
th rd
quartile 5 . 22 30
4
3
= 89
(B1)
Semi interquartile range = 5.5 (A1)
(d)

D1 range,
D1- Q1, Q2 and Q3
D1 all corrects
(e) "#e disribuion is s$e%ed o #e !ef be&ause
2 3 1 2
Q Q Q Q >
(B1)(B1)
4. (a) mode = 5.6 (B1)
(b)
"ime 'requen&y (umu!ai)e
frequen&y
4.2 4.6 2 2
4.6 5.0 5 7
5.0 5.4 18 25
5.4 5.8 30 55
5.8 6.2 20 75
6.2 6.6 5 80
B1B1
i) *edian =
4 . 0
30
25 50
4 . 5

,
_

+
= 5.73 (*1)
(+1)
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2
CONFIDENTIAL*
ii) 'irs quari!e =
4 . 0
18
7 20
0 . 5

,
_

+
(*1)
= 5.29
"#ird quari!e =
4 . 0
20
55 60
8 . 5

,
_

+

(*1)
= 5.90
Interquartile range = 5.90 5.29 (B1-for Q1, Q3 corrects)
= 0.61 (A1)
5. (i). (a) P ( R Q ) = P ( R ) + P ( Q ) P ( R Q ) ..M1
Since R and Q are mutually exclusive events, R Q =

and
P ( R Q ) = 0
P ( R Q ) = P ( R ) + P ( Q ) - 0 M1
=
4
3
4
1
2
1
+ A1
(b). P ( R Q ) = P ( R ) + P ( R ) P ( R Q )
Since P and Q are independent events,
P ( R Q ) = P ( R ) x P ( Q ) .B1
P ( R Q ) = P ( R ) + P ( Q ) - P ( R ) x P ( Q )
=
8
5
4
1
2
1
4
1
2
1

,
_

+ ..M1A1
(ii) ,f + and B are %o inde-enden e)ens. / ( + B ) = / ( + ) 0 / ( B ).
/ ( +1 B1 ) = / ( + B )1 222.B1
= 1 / ( + B )
= 1 3 / ( + ) 4 / ( B ) / (+ B ) 5
= 16 / ( + ) / ( B ) 4 / ( + ) 7 / ( B ). 222.*1
= 3 16 / ( + ) 5 3 16 / ( B ) 5
= / ( +1 ) 7 / ( B1 ) 222.+1
8en&e. +1 and B1 are a!so inde-enden e)ens. 3s#o%n 5
/ ( +1 B1 ) = / ( +1 ) 7 / ( B1 )
= 3 16 / ( + ) 5 3 16 / ( B ) 5
=
,
_

,
_

5
2
1
3
1
1
222..*1
=
5
2
222..+1
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3
CONFIDENTIAL*
6. 9e + = re-resen #e e)en #a s#ooer + sri$es #e ar:e and
B = re-resen #e e)en #a s#ooer B sri$es #e ar:e.
/ ( s#ooer + sri$es #e ar:e firs )
= / 3 (+)4 (+1B1+) 4 (+1B1+1B1+) 4 (+1B1+1B1+1B1+) 4 225 222.*1
= (
.....
6
5
5
1
6
1
5
1
6
1
6
5
5
1
6
1
)
6
5
+
,
_

+
,
_

+

222*1
=
,
_

+ + + + ....
27000
1
900
1
30
1
1
6
5
=

,
_

30
1
1
1
6
5
. usin: :eomeri& -ro:ression 222..*1
=
29
25
222..+1
7. 9e * #e e)en #a an a--!i&an is ma!e.
' 6 #e e)en #a an a--!i&an is fema!e and
;6 #e e)en #a an a--!i&an is a de:ree #o!der.
(a). / ( #e su&&essfu! a--!i&an is a de:ree #o!der )
= / ( * ; ) 4 / ( '

; ) or equi)a!en .22*1
=
,
_

+
,
_

3
2
4
3
2
1
4
1

=
8
5
222.+1
(b). / ( '
D
) =
) (
) (
D P
D F P
222.B1
=
8
5
3
2
4
3

222.*1
=
5
4
2 22.+1
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4
CONFIDENTIAL*
8. (a). / ( 0 < ) = / ( 0 ) 4 / ( < ) / ( 0 < ) 222B1
= 0.6 4 0.7 0.95 222*1
= 0.35 222+1
(b). / ( < =0 ) =
) (
) (
X P
Y X P
22..B1
=
60 . 0
35 . 0
22..*1
= 0.583 22 +1
(&). / ( 0 <
1
) = / ( 0 ) 4 / ( <
1
) / ( 0 <
1
)
= / ( 0 ) 4 1 3/ ( < )5 3/ ( 0 ) 6 / ( 0 < )5 22.B1
= 0.3 4 0.35 22.*1
= 0.65 22.+1
9. (a) P(X=x) = ....... 3 . 2 . 1
2
1

,
_

r
r

1
1 ) (
r
x X p

= .........
2
1
2
1
2
1
3 2
+
,
_

+
,
_

+
,
_

..M1
=
1
1
]
1

+
,
_

+ + ........
2
1
2
1
1
2
1
2
...M1
= [ ]

S
2
1
, using S
n
=
r
a
1

=
1
1
1
1
]
1

2
1
1
1
2
1
M1
= 1
X is a dis&ree random )ariab!e. 222 +1
(b) (i)

22.;1
(ii) (a).
) 2 ( ) 3 ( ) 3 ( x p x p x P
= 0.2560.13 222*1
= 0.12 or equi)a!en 222+1
(b).
) 2 ( 1 ) 2 ( > x p P
222*1
= 160.13
= 0.87 or equi)a!en 222+1
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7 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
'(7) 0.03 0.07 0.13 0.25 0.65 0.8 1
5
CONFIDENTIAL*
10. (a)

8
0
1 ) (
x
x X P
1
16
1
8
1
4
1
2
1
+ + + + p

16
1
p .B1

2 ) ( x E
..B1 or

2
1
7 ) (
2
x E .B1

7 3 ) ( 2 ) 3 2 ( + + x E x E
.M1
) ( 2 ) 3 2 (
2
x Var x Var + .M1
5 )) ( ( ) ( 3 4
2 2
x E x E

5 4 5 . 7 3 4
14 ..A1
(b)
) 1 . 1 ( ) 0 . 2 ( ) 2 . 0 ( ) 2 (
2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1
+ + + X X p X X p X X p X X P

2..*1

)
2
1
2
1
( )
16
1
4
1
( )
4
1
16
1
( x x x + +
22..*1

32
9

22..+1
11. (a) *ean =
2 . 1 np
222B1 or
>arian&e =
08 . 1 npq
222.B1

10
9
q

10
1
p
222+1 ( ei#er one? )a!ue p or q )
12 n
@o.
)
10
1
. 12 ( A B X
22.+1
'or
282 . 0 )
10
9
( )
10
1
( ) 0 (
0 10
0
12
C x p


37 . 0 ) 1 ( x p
0

230 . 0 ) 2 ( x p

085 . 0 ) 3 ( x p
222B1( ei#er one )
bu
85 . 0 889 . 0 ) 2 ( ) 1 ( ) 0 ( > + + x p x p x p
22.*1
#en&e . #e !eas ine:er a su&# #a
85 . 0 ) ( > < a x p
is a = 3 2 +1
(b)
1 ) ( x X p
1 15 . 0 25 . 0 3 . 0 1 . 0 + + + + k
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6
CONFIDENTIAL*
2 . 0 k 22.B1

Bi)en
6 ) ( x E
6 8 . 1 25 . 0 2 . 1 9 . 0 1 . 0 + + + + n 22..*1

25 . 0
2
n
8 n 222 +1
12. 9e 0 =number of bro$en bu!bs on a days

) 00015 . 0 . 12000 ( A B X
222..B1

n = 12000C50 . p = 0.00015 D 0.1
X &an assume a /oisson disribuion %i#
) 00015 . 0 12000 ( A P X


) 8 . 1 ( A P X
22B1
(a)
) 0 ( 1 ) 1 ( X p X P

22.*1

8 . 1
1

e
= 0.835 22..+1
(b) 9e Y = number of bro$en bu!bs in #ree &onse&ui)e days

) 3 8 . 1 ( A x P Y

) 4 . 5 ( A P Y
22.B1
) 4 . 5 ( ) 1 (
4 . 5
e Y P 22.*1
= 0.024 22.+1
(& )
3 ( X P
=
) 1 X
) 1 (
) 1 3 (

X P
X X P

22..*1

) 0 ( 1
) 3 (

X P
X P

22 .*1

) 1 ( E 3
) 8 . 1 (
8 . 1
3 8 . 1

e
e

22..*1
= 0.385 22..+1

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7