-

-
- &

13 2012

1.

2.

3.


2020

,

.

, ,
Frederick

, , ,
University of Houston, Cullen College of Engineering, oil & gas consultant

, ,

, ,
Frederick

,
,

, ,

: 7 9 tcf

Leviathan: 16 tcf

Tamar: 8.4 tcf




: 1.68 bbl
: 122 tcf
50 75 Tcf ( )
50 Tcf = 50 Billion MBtu

17 2010

17 2003

17 2007


( )



(, )

6x60MWe steam turbines

2x50MWe internal
combustion engines

3x130MWe steam turbines

1x220MWecombined cycle
1x38MWe gas turbine
6x30MWe steam turbines
4x37,5MWe gas turbines

1x11MWe internal
combustion engines






.
(.. SHELL 2011).
.

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(.. 11/07/2011)


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To

2011
23.06%



To


(11/06/2011 , 04/04/2012
)

( < 25 % )


,
21% 2020
2005

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.
( Shell . 2011)


(oil dependency)
Commerce &
Agriculture
Services
2.1%
13.2%

1400
1200

Million Euros

1000

Household
16.3%

800
600
400
200
0
2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

Industry
13.7%

Transport (Air)
14.5%

Transport
(Road)
40.1%

.4()/2007 (... 51/2007 & .,.

113/2009),
.

.


.



10 1982 Montego Bay,
(UNCLOS III)




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1.
1.2

1.

2.

2.1 Sovereign Wealth Funds
,
, $5
-

Abu Dhabi Investment Authority $ 627 Billion (1976)

Norway Government Pension Fund $ 611 Billion (1990)



2.

2.2

SWF :
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(50 tcf .. ???)


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,




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(Shell 2011)



(Dutch Disease)
Dutch disease [The Economist 1977]


( 1959)

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Dutch disease


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1











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