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PowerofthePress?
Analyzingtheimpactofthenewsmediaonthe2014GubernatorialElection
Rationale:
Atthecourseselectionassemblylastyear,Irememberscribbling"themedia'seffecton
elections"onastickynote.Thisisaprojectthatistheperfectmarriageofmyintendedmajors
(politicalscienceandmediastudies/communication)Ithinkthatthisprojectwillputmeina
reallygoodplaceforcollege,anditissomethingthatIampassionateabout.
ResearchProposalFINALdraft
1.
Statetheessentialquestion
Howdoesthenewsmediapresentcandidatesandpoliticalissues,andwhateffect
doesmediacoveragehaveonvoters?
2.
Statetheprimaryresearchquestion
HowdidtheBostonprintmediacoverthe2014gubernatorialelection,andwhateffect
doesmediacoveragehaveonvoters?
3.
Statethesecondaryresearchquestionsyouhave(makesurethesearefairly
comprehensiveandextensive).
Howoftenwasthegubernatorialelectionreportedon?
Weretheremorearticles/moreindepthcoverageoftheelectionintheSundaypaper(the
mostwidelyread)?
Howisthecoverageofthegubernatorialelectiondecidedupon?
Whatistheaverageturnaroundtimeonanelectionarticle?
Whateffectdoesthenewsmediahaveonvoters?
HowoftendidtheGlobetweetabouttheelection,andwhatwastheresponse?
Whatisthereadership(preferablybrokendownbydemographics)?
Howarecampaignendorsementsdecidedupon?
Howmuchofanimpactdoesamediaendorsementhaveonvoters?(Potentiallyseenthrough
pollingresults)
Whatisthepercentageofpositive,negative,andneutralpiecesoneachcandidate?Didthat
haveanymeasurableeffect?
Howdoyou(I?)qualityandarticleaspositive,negative,orneutral?
Whicharticlesontheelectionarethestrongest(havethemostimpact)?(Thismaybean
opinionquestioninaninterview,orsomethingImaybereflectuponeafter,butthereare
alwayssomearticlesineachelectionthatstandoutforsomereasons.Iwouldliketotryand
identifythosearticlesforthiselection...iftheyexist)
Howoftenispathos,ethos,andlogosusedwhilereportingontheelection?Whichwasthe
mosteffective?
Howoftenarethe"issues"mentioned/covered?
Isthepressaneffectiveagentofpoliticalideology?
Howoftendoesthenewsmediadepicttheelectionasa"horserace"(articlesthatrelyheavily
uponwhoisupinthepolls)
Isanewsmedia'sTwitterplatformrunbyreportersoranoutsidePRfirm?
Howmuchaccessdoreportersgettocandidates?
Doesthetoneofcampaigncoveragechangeovertime?
Whichissuesarementioned/reportedonthemost?
Whichissuesarehardlyevermentioned?
Whodojournalistsinterviewwhilewritinganarticle,andwhy?
Interviewquestion:Isanelectionadifficultthingtocoverasajournalist?Whichaspectsofit
arechallenging?Whatmakesitchallenging?
Isthisinformationweneedinthevotingbooth?
Isthisthebestpossibleformoftheargument?
Isthestoryinhistoricalcontext?
HowdidthedeathofMayorMeninoimpacttheelection?(wasvoterturnoutinBoston,
especiallyamongDemocrats,higherorlower?)
HowdideachcampaignandcandidaterespondtothedeathofMayorMenino?
4.
Descriptionofwhatthefinalproductwilllooklike.
Wk Weekof
#
WhatIamplanningtoaccomplishduringthatweek
Readsourcematerial,andlookforstrongpointsthatIcouldtrackover
thecourseoftheelectioncoverage
Developastrongerfoundationincampaigns,newsmedia,andelections
11/3/14
11/10/14
Continuetoreadsourcematerialandfindtrackingpoints
Begintogetandconductinterviewswithreportersonelectioncoverage
IntheinterviewsIwillbelookingfortheirtakeonmediacoverageof
theelection(whatwasstrong,whatwasweak,whichstoriesdoyouthink
madethebiggestimpact)
find/createafocusgroupforresearchusingNGPVAN
11/17/14
begintoanalyzearticles(usingtheformatIhavedescribedinpart9)
fromweekof9/9andthenanalyzethepollingquestionsandrelatetothe
dataforthatweek
potentiallychoosewhatIfeltwasthestrongestarticlefromthatweek
11/24/14
(Thanksgiv
ingweek)
begintoanalyzearticles(usingtheformatIhavedescribedinpart9)
fromweekof9/16andthenanalyzethepollingquestionsandrelateto
thedataforthatweek
potentiallychoosewhatIfeltwasthestrongestarticlefromthatweek
12/1/14
begintoanalyzearticles(usingtheformatIhavedescribedinpart9)
fromweekof9/23?andthenanalyzethepollingquestionsandrelateto
thedataforthatweek
potentiallychoosewhatIfeltwasthestrongestarticlefromthatweek
12/8/14
begintoanalyzearticles(usingtheformatIhavedescribedinpart9)
fromweekof9/30andthenanalyzethepollingquestionsandrelatetothe
dataforthatweek
potentiallychoosewhatIfeltwasthestrongestarticlefromthatweek
12/15/14
begintoanalyzearticles(usingtheformatIhavedescribedinpart9)
fromweekof10/6andthenanalyzethepollingquestionsandrelateto
thedataforthatweek
potentiallychoosewhatIfeltwasthestrongestarticlefromthatweek
12/22/14
Decbreak
begintoanalyzearticles(usingtheformatIhavedescribedinpart9)
fromweekof10/13andthenanalyzethepollingquestionsandrelateto
thedataforthatweek
potentiallychoosewhatIfeltwasthestrongestarticlefromthatweek
12/29/14
Decbreak
begintoanalyzearticles(usingtheformatIhavedescribedinpart9)
fromweekof10/20andthenanalyzethepollingquestionsandrelateto
thedataforthatweek
potentiallychoosewhatIfeltwasthestrongestarticlefromthatweek
10
1/5/15
begintoanalyzearticles(usingtheformatIhavedescribedinpart9)
fromweekof10/27andthenanalyzethepollingquestionsandrelateto
thedataforthatweek
potentiallychoosewhatIfeltwasthestrongestarticlefromthatweek
11
1/12/15
begintoanalyzearticles(usingtheformatIhavedescribedinpart9)
fromweekof11/30andthenanalyzethepollingquestionsandrelateto
thedataforthatweek
potentiallychoosewhatIfeltwasthestrongestarticlefromthatweek
12
1/19/15
compilethestrongest/mostinfluentialarticlesfromeachweekandlook
forcorrelationsandtrends
interviewreporters(ifwhatIhadfromNovemberisinsufficient)
interviewapollingexpertfrommaybeSocialSphere(**Iamgoingto
WBURontaponthursdaytolearnmoreaboutpolling,soIwillrevisit
this)
13
1/26/15
createwebsite(usingweebly
createadatabaseorsomewherethaticanparkallthearticlesthatIused
14
2/2/15
turnmydataintoaccessibleinfographicswhichcouldpotentiallybe
interactiveonmywebsite
15
2/9/15
createa(maybeinteractive)timelineoftheelectionandmaybeusethat
asthemainpageofmywebsite
16
2/16/15
Febbreak
17
2/23/15
soatthispointIwillbedonewithanalyzingdatafromtheelection,and
hopefullyIwillbeabletoprojectmyfindingingsontofutureelectionsto
makethemrelevant
18
3/2/15
soatthispointIwillbedonewithanalyzingdatafromtheelection,and
hopefullyIwillbeabletoprojectmyfindingingsontofutureelectionsto
makethemrelevant
19
3/9/15
createapageonmywebsiteforprojectionsontofutureelections
20
3/16/15
createabiographiespageforeveryonewhoIinterviewontherecord
(reportersandsuch)toaddcredibility
21
3/23/15
finishwebsite
23
3/30/15
DEADLINEFORFINALPROJECT
term3endson4/2/15
5.
Statehowthisresearchwilladvancethefrontiersofknowledgeand/ormatter
andbesignificantinameaningfulway.
Iwanttobeabletoexaminehowmuchweightnewsmediahasinanelection.Votersare
becomingincreasinglylessinvolvedinelections(otherthanpresidential)andthepolitical
process,whileatthesametimebecomingmorefrustratedwithhowtheirgovernment
functionsthisthenleadingtomorevoterapathy.
FormyprojectIwouldliketoexaminewhatrolethenewsmediaplaysinthisissue.Iwould
likemyaudiencetobecomemoreawareofhowandwhytheyvoteandwheretheygettheir
informationfrom.Isthenewsmediaareliablesourceofinformationforelections?Forthe
mostpart,Ithinkthatvotersviewthenewsmediaasplayingapassiveroleinelections,
simplyreportingonwhatishappening,asopposedtoplayinganactiveroleinforming
opinions.
6.
Stateanticipatedpotentialpitfallsorproblemsofthisresearcheffort
ThesheeramountofinformationanddatathatIwillbeanalyzingisabitoverwhelming,but
mygoalistofocusmyprojectenoughsothatIdonotgetoverwhelmed.
Findingnocorrelationorrelationship.
Makingthisprojectaccessibletomyaudience
Ihavenotonlyalotofdata,butalsoalotofsecondaryresourcesthatIwillneedtouse
efficiently
7.
Stateyouratentativeplantolocateandreviewtheliteraturerelatedtoyour
project.Thisincludesprinted/publishedsourcesandonlinesources.[The
researchstrategy,part#1]
Iampullingeveryarticlefromtheprimaryuntilelectionday,andanalyzingthem.However,
beforeIbeginanalyzingarticles,Iwillneedtostrengthenmyfoundationinpoliticalscience
andcommunications.Iwillbelookingatstudiesontherelationshipbetweenmediaand
electionsthatarealreadyinexistence(Yalehasaverystrongdatabaseforthis).Iwillalsobe
readingsomebooksoncampaignstrategiesandelections.Forexample,VictoryLab,hasbeen
highlyrecommendedbypeopleinthefield.So,Iseethatsourceasastrongjumpingoffpoint
formyresearch.MysecondarysourceswillhelpmeunderstandwhatIshouldbelookingfor
asIgetintomyresearch.
8.
Stateatentativeplanforresearchanddatacollection.(Datacollectioncantake
multipleformssurveys,testgroups,interviews,observations,etcetc.Thiswill
differfromprojecttoproject.[Theresearchstrategy,part#2]
Lookattrendsweekbyweekinmediacoverageandhowitrelatestopollingquestionssuch
as:
Ifthegeneralelectionforgovernorwereheldtoday,forwhomwouldyouvote?
Caresaboutpeoplelikeme.
Willensurethatwehavehighqualityaffordablehealthcare
Willcreatejobsandimprovetheeconomy
Willmanagethestategovernmenteffectively
Iwillbeinterviewingreportersonwhytheydecidedtotakespecificanglesoncertainarticles,
Iwillalsobeseeingwhatimpacttheythinktheirnewssourcehasonelections.
ImaybeusingNGPVAN(thevoterregistrydatabase)todevelopafocusgroupandseetheir
individualthoughtsonhowthenewsmediainfluencedthemandhowtheymadetheir
decisions(howmuchoftheirdecisionwasbasedonwhattheyreadinthenewspaper)
9.
Stateatentativeplanforresearchanddataanalysisandinterpretation.[The
researchstrategy,part#3]
ExampleArticle:Bakerleapstoaleadof9pointsintheGlobepoll
TheBostonGlobeOctober24,2014
ByJimOSullivan
Focus:pollingresults
Tone(negative,positive,neutral):neutral(positiveforBaker,butnegativeforCoakely
reflectingpollingdata)
Examples:pollingdataof500likelyvotersfromOctober19October22
Interviews(whoisisandtoneofquote):
pollsterremarksonmomentum
Logos:pollingdata
Bakerhasoffsetthedeficitshefacedonissuessuchaseducationandhealthcare
Pathos:n/a
Ethos:statementfromchiefexecutiveofSocialSphereInc.
Isthisinformationwe(voters)needinthevotingbooth?:no
WordChoice(specificallylookingatthedifferenceinwordchoicetodescribethe
differentcandidates):
Baker
Coakley
opened
improved
stronger
gains
growth
pickedupmomentum
create
stillholds
dropped
led
So,myplanistoevaluateeacharticle,likeIdidfortheexampleaboveinordertobeable
toevaluateeacharticleandlookfortrends.AsIgetintomyresearch,Iwillverylikely
alter(slightly)whatIamlookingforineacharticle.
AndthenIimaginesomesortofinfographic,whichmaynotbepossibleinreallife,butit
wouldbeagraphandthexaxiswouldbeeachweekfromtheprimaryuntilthe
election.Thetheyaxiswouldbethenumberofarticles.SoIcouldcreatethatvisual.
Andthenmakeanothergraphwiththesamexaxis,andthenpollingresultsforboth
candidatesontheyaxis.ThenIwouldsuperimposeonegraphontotheotherto
visuallypresentthedata.Again,Iamnotsureifthisisanideathatexclusivelymakes
senseinmyhead,butI'llplayaroundwithit.ButthisisawaythatIcouldtrackthe
data,andthenvisuallypresentit.
9.
Listthetoolsyouwillneedtocompletethiseffort.Identifytoolsthatmight
currentlybeunavailabletoyou
Myfinalprojectwillbeawebsite,atthispointIthinkthatIwillbeusingtheCapstone
accountforWeeblyalreadyinexistence.AtthispointIthinkthatWeeblywouldworkwellfor
mebecauseitissimpleenoughtouseandthereisapollingelementthaticouldencorporate.I
seenoreasonthatWeeblywouldnotworkwellformyprojectatthispoint.
10.
Budget:whatmaterialsdoyouanticipateneedingforyourproject?Please
providealistwithquantitiesandanapproximatecostperitem,alongabrief
descriptionofwhyyouneedthisforyourproject.
item
(pleasebe
specificbrand,if
relevant,anditem#
quantity
ofthis
item
costperitem
retailerwhereyou
wanttopurchasethis
(andthesourceof
yourprice)
whyyouneedthisitemfor
yourproject
11.
Bibliographyearlydraft.Thisbibliographymustincludeatleast5books,5
scholarlyjournalarticles,5websites,andleastonepotentialsourcewhoyou
mightinterview.Useproperbibliographiccitation(MLAorAPAformatyour
choice).YouarewelcometouseEasyBiborrefertotheformattingtemplate
createdbyPurdueUniversity:https://owl.english.purdue.edu/owl/Explainwhy
youanticipate(atthispoint)thatthesesourceswouldberelevant.
5Books
Dines,Gail,andJeanMcMahonHumez.Gender,Race,andClassinMedia:ATextreader.
ThousandOaks,CA:Sage,1995.Print.
Thiselectionisbetweenamanandawoman,soatsomelevel,genderplaysarole.This
sourcewillgivemeinformationwhichwillhelpmeunderstandandanalyzethegenderbiasin
themedia.
Graber,DorisA.MassMediaandAmericanPolitics.Washington,D.C.:Congressional
Quarterly,1980.Print.
Thisissimplyasourceanalyzingtherelationshipbetweenmedia(newspaperand
television...itwasthe80's)andgovernment,Idonotplanreadingallofthisbook,butitcould
potentiallyhavesomeinterestingthingstocompare(thingsthathavechangedovertime).
Issenberg,Sasha.TheVictoryLab:TheSecretScienceofWinningCampaigns.NewYork:
Crown,2012.Print.
Thisisessentiallythebibleforpoliticaloperatives.Iwanttosee,fromacampaign
perspective,whateffectthemediahasonhowcampaignsarerun.Itisnotsimplyvotersthat
areaffected,atsomelevel,campaignshavetoreactandrespondtocoverage.
Iyengar,Shanto,andDonaldR.Kinder.NewsThatMatters:TelevisionandAmerican
Opinion.Chicago:UofChicago,1987.Print
TheUniversityofChicagohasverystrongcasestudiesonpolitcs,soitisanextremely
crediblesourcethatIaminterestedinusing.Thissourcewillhelpmeunderstandthemedia's
effectonopinion(whichisobviouslybroaderthanavote).
Jamieson,KathleenHall.,andKarlynKohrs.Campbell.TheInterplayofInfluence:News,
Advertising,Politics,andtheMassMedia.Belmont,CA:WadsworthPub.,1992.Print.
Thissourcewillhelpmeunderstandthechangeinmediaovertime.
Popkin,SamuelL.TheReasoningVoter:CommunicationandPersuasioninPresidential
Campaigns.Chicago:UofChicago,1991.Print.
Iaminterestedinseeingthissource'stakeonmediaasatoolofpersuasion.
5Journals:
Hetherington,MarcJ."TheMedia'sRoleinFormingVoters'NationalEconomicEvaluations
in1992."JSTOR.N.p.,n.d.Web.27Oct.2014.
Thiswillhelpmeanalystthemediaasitcoverseconomicplatformpieces,anditis
somethingthatvotersvalue(economicstability).
Freedman,Paul."MeasuringMediaExposureandtheEffectofNegativeCampaignAds."
JSTOR.N.p.,n.d.Web.27Oct.2014.
Iwillbefocusingonrhe"measuringmedia"partofthis.Campaingadsareinteresting,but
notmyprojectandIsimplydon'thaveenoughtime.
"TheFoxNewsEffect:MediaBiasandVoting."NBER.N.p.,n.d.Web.26Oct.2014.
Thiswillhelpmeunderstandthemotivesbehindhows
Weaver,DavidH."WhatVotersLearnfromMedia."JSTOR.N.p.,n.d.Web.
Thissourcewillbeused(hopefully)tohelpmehoneinonmyobjective.
Prior,Markus."PostBroadcastDemocracy."GoogleBooks.N.p.,n.d.Web.27Oct.2014.
Anothersourceondemocracy,andhowthemediainfluencesit.IfeellikeIneedmultiple
sourcesothatIcancomparethem(theywereallwrittenoverthecourseof30years,sothere
arealotofchangingvariables)
5Websites:
"MappingTheWBURPollShowsCitiesToBeTheBattleground."MappingTheWBURPoll
ShowsCitiesToBeTheBattlegroundRSS20.N.p.,n.d.Web.27Oct.2014.
IamusingpollingdatathatWBURproduces.AlsoImaybeinterestedtoresearch
battlegrounddistrictsinMAandseeifthemediahasanyeffectinthoseareasspecifically.
Alsoitisagoodmodelofaninfographic.
"2014VoterContactEffortsOutpacing2010."NGPVANTheLeadingTechnology
ProvidertoDemocraticandProgressiveCampaigns.N.p.,n.d.Web.27Oct.2014.
IamusingNGPVANasadatabaseandsource.Virtuallyalldemocraticcampaignsuse
VAN,andIknowthattheCoakleycampaigndoes.(TheRepublicanshavenocentralized
database).
"Panagopoulos2006cNewspaperGOTVAdsandVoterTurnout|GetOutTheVote.N.p.,
n.d.Web.15Oct.2014.
GOTV(getoutthevotetheweekorsobeforetheelection)isthemosthectictimeduringa
campaign,thiswebsitehasdataspecificallyinadsandmediaduringGOTV,soIwillusethis
datawhileIanalyzethelasttwoweeksoftheelection.
"CharlieBakerforGovernor."CharlieBakerforGovernor.N.p.,n.d.Web.26Oct.2014.
"MarthaCoakleyforGovernor."Issues.N.p.,n.d.Web.26Oct.2014.
ObviouslyIwillneedtohaveaprettyclearunderstandingofboththecandidatesandtheir
platforms,bothplatformsareavailableontheircampaignwebsite(campaignwebsites
generallydisappearbyJanuaryorFebruarysoIpulledbothoftheirplatformsforreference)
Interview
goingoffofmyexamplearticlefromearlier,JimO'Sullivanwouldbeagoodpersonto
interviewbecausehetendstowriteabouttheelectionmultipletimesaweek