1t

1
2
3
4
promedio
indice
estacional

2t

3t

4t

2
4
4
6

3
5
6
8

5
7
8
10

3
4
6
7

5.5

7.5

5.5

1 1.36363636

0.90909091

0.72727273

ventas
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

2
3
5
3
4
5
7
4
4
6
8
6
6
8
10
7

2.75
3
3.66666667
3.3
5.5
5
5.13333333
4.4
5.5
6
5.86666667
6.6
8.25
8
7.33333333
7.7
8.48166667
8.83245098
9.18323529
9.53401961
desestaciona
lizadas

6.16848485
8.83245098
12.5225936
8.66729055

ventas
proyectadas

y = 0.3508x + 2.5183
9
8

Axis Title

7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0

10

Axis Title

15

20

y = 0.3508x + 2.5183
R = 0.8861

Linear ()

20

1t
1
2
3
4
5
promedio
indice estac

2t

3t

4t

1
2
4
3
2
3
5
4
2
4
5
3
3
4
7
6
5
7
8
7
2.6
4
5.8
4.6
0.61176471 0.94117647 1.36470588 1.08235294

4.25
1

ventas desestacionalizadas

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27

ventas
1.63461538
2.125
2.93103448
2.77173913
3.26923077
3.1875
3.6637931
3.69565217
3.26923077
4.25
3.6637931
2.77173913
4.90384615
4.25
5.12931034
5.54347826
8.17307692
7.4375
5.86206897
6.4673913
6.96362664
7.22206727
7.4805079
7.73894853
7.99738917
8.2558298
8.51427043

2.125 2.93103448 2.77173913

3.1875
3.6637931 3.69565217
4.25
3.6637931 2.77173913
4.25 5.12931034 5.54347826
7.4375 5.86206897
6.4673913

1.63461538
3.26923077
3.26923077
4.90384615
8.17307692

9
8
7

Axis Title

1.63461538
3.26923077
3.26923077
4.90384615
8.17307692

6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0

ventas ajustadas por tendencias

4.260101
6.79723978
10.2086931
8.37627371
4.89252043
7.77019275
11.6194749

0.61176471 0.94117647

28
29
30
31
32

8.77271106
9.0311517
9.28959233
9.54803296
9.80647359

9.49516962
5.52493986
8.74314572
13.0302567
10.6140655

2.125 2.93103448 2.77173913

3.1875
3.6637931 3.69565217
4.25
3.6637931 2.77173913
4.25 5.12931034 5.54347826
7.4375 5.86206897
6.4673913

ventas
y = 0.2584x + 1.5364
R = 0.7731

ventas
Linear (ventas)

10

15

20

25

Axis Title

1.36470588

1.08235294

0.61176471
0.94117647
1.36470588
1.08235294

precio
rdto
cv
mb

3751.67
6
5
4
3.499
3
2

6
1500
5248.33
3751.67

1500
3752
2252
752
0
-748
-2248

1200
1952
752
-448
-1050
-1648
-2848

1000
752
-248
-1248
-1749
-2248
-3248

874.72
0
-875
-1749
-2188
-2624
-3499

700
-1048
-1748
-2448
-2799
-3148
-3848

15000
1.36
7.79276508
20.6465697
5661.54466