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Richard Foleys Argument:

1. Lockean Thesis:
High degree of confidence is necessary and sufficient for rational belief.
2. Challenges raised by the preface paradox and lottery paradox
No threshold is high enough and no threshold is too low for rational beliefs
and the 2 assumptions that it is based on:
Non-contradiction
Conjunction
If both abandoned, Lockean Thesis would have to be rejected, but he doesnt like
that to happen.
3. Suggestion of replacing belief with degree of belief and why this doesnt work
4. Rejection of Conjunction Principle

5. Rejection of Non-contradiction Principle


The Lockean Thesis
It is epistemically rational for us to believe a proposition p just in case it is
epistemically rational for us to have a degree of confidence in p that is sufficient for
belief.

My objection:
The betting example does not hold a perfect analogy with rational beliefs.
For one thing, there are more than 3 doxastic attitudes. Even if we do not
Also, belief is not strictly analogous to a decision making process.
Distinction between having

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