ESTIMATE OF FIRST 5 EVALUATION COSTS based on audited financials

PROP 10
FUNDS 07/08
COUNTY
LOS ANGELES
SAN DIEGO
ORANGE
SAN BERNARDINO
RIVERSIDE
SANTA CLARA
ALAMEDA
SACRAMENTO
FRESNO
KERN
CONTRA COSTA
SAN JOAQUIN
VENTURA
SAN MATEO
SAN FRANCISCO
STANISLAUS
TULARE
MONTEREY
SANTA BARBARA
SONOMA
SOLANO
MERCED
SANTA CRUZ
PLACER
IMPERIAL
MARIN
YOLO
BUTTE
KINGS
SAN LUIS OBISPO
MADERA
EL DORADO
SHASTA
NAPA
HUMBOLDT
MENDOCINO
SUTTER
YUBA
TEHAMA
LAKE
SAN BENITO
NEVADA
TUOLUMNE
SISKIYOU
GLENN
CALAVERAS
COLUSA
DEL NORTE
AMADOR
LASSEN
PLUMAS
MONO
SIERRA
ALPINE
TRINITY
MARIPOSA
MODOC
INYO

$138,815,724
$41,937,052
$40,185,540
$29,347,812
$28,903,864
$25,184,935
$19,154,259
$18,166,275
$14,722,054
$11,986,507
$11,948,760
$10,978,910
$10,794,317
$8,998,035
$8,935,981
$7,788,036
$7,448,810
$7,310,591
$5,745,664
$5,420,738
$5,280,698
$4,950,993
$3,313,512
$3,240,574
$2,696,811
$2,593,257
$2,571,418
$2,477,811
$2,408,751
$2,369,066
$2,216,738
$1,973,691
$1,950,606
$1,618,514
$1,491,069
$1,425,396
$1,327,902
$1,205,623
$1,009,867
$971,922
$961,133
$948,154
$683,581
$621,270
$592,183
$572,363
$548,633
$534,618
$509,281
$494,080
$490,509
$479,510
$471,626
$442,414
$440,518
$434,149
$431,779
$400,942

GREEN =

EVAL ACTUALS
07/08
from audits

ACTUALS plus
ESTIMATES

$6,954,203
$1,049,579
$1,838,673

5%
3%
5%

$525,838
$810,661
$1,100,682
$1,144,000

2%
3%
6%
6%

$966,160
$355,079
$732,372

8%
3%
7%

$298,805
$353,056
$482,723

$290,200

$185,156
$210,000
$86,361
$97,424

$36,637

$47,392

4%
5%
7%

5%

6%
8%
3%
4%

2%

3%

$6,954,203
$1,049,579
$1,838,673
$1,232,971
$525,838
$810,661
$1,100,682
$1,144,000
$891,480
$966,160
$355,079
$732,372
$606,608
$561,098
$454,892
$298,805
$353,056
$482,723
$315,752
$297,896
$290,200
$272,081
$182,094
$185,156
$210,000
$86,361
$97,424
$88,197
$85,739
$36,637
$54,310
$48,355
$47,790
$39,654
$47,392
$42,205
$39,319
$35,698
$29,902
$28,778
$28,459
$28,074
$20,241
$18,396
$17,534
$16,947
$16,245
$15,830
$15,080
$14,629
$14,524
$14,198
$13,965
$13,100
$13,044
$12,855
$12,785
$11,872

estimated using average rate of 4

bracketing counties, two above and two
below

no financial docs posted

no financial docs posted

budget was about $700,000
no financial docs posted
part of county, not sep report
no financial docs posted

estimated at Solano rate

estimated at Solano rate
estimated at Solano rate
estimated at Solano rate
06/07 expense

estimated at avg Marin,Yolo & SLO

estimated at avg Marin,Yolo & SLO
estimated at avg SLO & Hum
estimated at avg SLO & Hum
estimated at avg SLO & Hum
estimated at avg SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum
estimated at avg Marin, Yolo, SLO & Hum

ANNUAL ESTIMATE FOR FY 07/08

ACTUAL 7 YEAR ESTIMATE thru FY 07/08

Balllpark Estimate to 2009

$23,217,594
$162,523,157
$100,000,000

acknowledges less spent in early yrs

with implied inflation adj for prior yrs

adjustment of
adjustment as a percent of estimate

$62,523,157
38%

PROJECTED TOTAL EVALUATION EXPENDITURES

flat dollars

at this estimated
rate without
increasing for
inflation

10 yrs
15 yrs
20 yrs
25 yrs

$232,175,938
$348,263,907
$464,351,876
$580,439,845

Adjusted for
inflation

with 3% inflation

10 yrs
15 yrs
20 yrs
25 yrs

$312,025,046
$542,583,819
$838,671,140
$1,215,312,136

Yr Ending
2011
2016
2021
2026
2011
2016
2021
2026