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Valuation - Assumptions & Comparables
Valuation - Assumptions & Comparables
Assumptions
The cost of equity capital was calculated using the formula Risk Free Rate + Levered
Market Beta*Risk Free Rate. With the risk free rate being the current rate of return
on 30yr Treasury Bonds 3.97% (Source: Federal Reserve of St. Louis). The Equity
Beta (Levered) used was 0.88 which is the Pharamacuetical Industry average
globally. With a Market Premium of 4.96%. Which gives us a cost of capital of
8.33% which is not too far off from the industry average of 8.64%.
We also assumed a long-term growth rate of 3% stemming from analyst reports.
Comparables Valuation
In order to choose comparable companies, we looked at the product lines of
BioTech/Pharmaceutical companies and selected those with drugs similar to the
ones Amgen has developed. The peer group comprises of the following companies:
AbbVie (ABBV)
Global Biotech company that sells a number of drugs to treat patients with
multiple sclerosis, hemophilia, or leukemia.
Celegene (CELG)
Teva Pharmaceutical
(TEVA)