Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Webinar-Design Thinking - With Polls
Webinar-Design Thinking - With Polls
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 1
Bill Burnett
Consulting Assistant Professor
of Mechanical Engineering, Design Group
Executive Director, Stanford Design
Program
Carl Spetzler
Paul Marca
cspetzler@sdg.com
pmarca@stanford.edu
wburnett@stanford.edu
scpd-sdrm@stanford.edu
1-866-234-3380
http://strategicdecisions.stanford.edu
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 2
100%
Top
priority
Top 3
priority
Top 10
Priority
Not a
Priority
23%
25%
26%
43%
39%
26%
26%
8%
10%
6%
2008
2009
2010
Yes
43%
No
57%
52%
55%
48%
45%
2009
2010
45%
23%
or Dont
Know
2008
Page 3
Very satisfied
9% (18)
Somewhat satisfied
54% (104)
Somewhat dissatisfied
Very dissatisfied
30% (57)
7% (13)
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 4
Strategic Innovation
1.
2.
3.
4.
Learning More
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 5
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 6
1946 1966
1982 - 2000
Page 7
1966 1980
2001 2011
Page 8
Merger or acquisition
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 9
Leadership
Directional
Decisions
Choose
Choosethe
theroad
road
Operations
Management
Change
Implementation
Make
Makethe
theturn
turn
Run
Runbetter
betterand
and
faster
fasterthan
thanthe
the
competition
competition
Management
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 10
Leadership
Directional
Decisions
Choose
Choosethe
theroad
road
Strategic
Innovation
Operations
Management
Change
Implementation
Make
Makethe
theturn
turn
Run
Runbetter
betterand
and
faster
fasterthan
thanthe
the
competition
competition
Management
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 11
Strategic Innovation is
Creative
Significant
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Real
Page 12
Strategic Innovation
1.
2.
3.
4.
Learning More
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 13
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 14
Fast Company,
September, 2010
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
The Economist,
February, 2010
Page 15
University of Toronto
Page 16
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 17
How is it different?
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 18
MANUFACTURING
TECHNOLOGY
Engineering Analysis
Mechanical Engineering
Electronics & Mechatronics
Computer Science
Bioengineering
Manufacturing Technology
Manufacturing Strategy & Process
BUSINESS
Business Principles
Finance
Marketing
Market Research
ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR
DESIGN & INTERACTIVITY
Team Building
Business Strategy
Entrepreneurship
Human-Computer interaction
Visual Thinking
Design for Sustainability
HUMAN VALUES
Social Sciences
Need-Finding
Psychology, Anthropology, Sociology
Art / Industrial Design
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 19
Page 20
3-yr. Stock
Returns (%/yr)*
2011 Rank**
3-yr. Stock
Returns (%/yr)
Apple
35%
Apple
36%
10%
Private
Microsoft
3%
Private
IBM
12%
Nissan
Toyota Motor
-20%
Groupon
Amazon.com
51%
LG Electronics
31%
Dawning
Private
BYD Auto
99%
Netflix
199%
General Electric
-22%
Zynga
Private
10
Sony
-19%
Epocrates
5%
Private
0%
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 21
Content
Business Model
Artists
Business Process
& Platforms
Hollywood
Advertisers
Developers
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 22
13% (24)
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
30% (54)
25% (45)
33% (60)
Page 23
Strategic Innovation
1.
2.
3.
4.
Learning More
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 24
Shareholder
Value
Spreadsheet
Analysis
Wow
Factor
Applied
Applied
Creativity
Creativity
Value
Value
Discipline
Discipline
NumberCrunching
Excitement
Fuzzy
Bean Counters
Evaluation is a
sword in the hands
of the controllers.
Creativity is a
nice-to-have once
we hit our targets.
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 25
Growth
Opportunities
Processes are
linear, not cyclical
Value
Value
Discipline
Discipline
Applied
Creativity
Value
Guidance
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Execution
Excellence
Implementation
failures
Page 26
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 27
($ millions)
900
Appeal to Market Size
Next-Gen Cost
Display Resolution
TV Cost
New Broadcast Standard
Screen Size
Development Costs
600
300
300
600
0.5x Base
900
2x Base Estimate
None
High
High
Low
None
Rapid Changes
40
2x Estimates
50
Base Case
TV Replacement Cycle
Slow
Rapid
Distribution Markup
Low
High
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 28
Value Creation
Opportunities
Respects & leverages
the practical nature
of business analysis
1
Respects &
nurtures the
open-ended
nature of
creativity
Applied
Applied
Creativity
Creativity
Cycle builds
learnings and
buy-in
Value
Value
Significance
Significance
Value Guidance
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 29
The New Yorker Collection 1986 Frank Modell from cartoonbank.com. All Rights Reserved.
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 30
Value Creation
Opportunities
Applied
Creativity Reinforcing
Cycle
Value
Guidance
Value
Value
Discipline
Discipline
4
Execution
Excellence
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 31
1.
1. Growth
Growth is
is driven
driven with
with
imagination
imagination
breakthroughs
breakthroughs and
and
dreaming
dreaming sessions.
sessions.
Value Creation
Opportunities
Applied
Creativity Reinforcing
Cycle
Value
Guidance
3.
3. ItIt is
is aa cycle
cycle in
in which
which
everyone
everyone has
has to
to
participate.
participate.
Value
Value
Discipline
Discipline
4
Execution
Excellence
4.
4. Execution
Execution discipline
discipline is
is intense,
intense,
with
with adequate
adequate funding
funding and
and the
the
best
people
being
assigned
best people being assigned to
to
deliver
on
the
innovation
deliver on the innovation
initiatives.
initiatives.
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 32
When
When II got
got the
the job,
job, II knew
knew II wanted
wanted the
the company
company to
to be
be more
more
innovative,
more
global,
and
more
focused
on
the
customers.
innovative, more global, and more focused on the customers.
But
But itit does
does take
take aa year
year or
or two
two or
or three
three to
to really
really put
put ideas
ideas into
into
initiatives
initiatives and
and get
get the
the team
team aligned.
aligned.
The
The big
big difference
difference is
is that
that the
the business
business leaders
leaders have
have no
no choices
choices
here.
here. Nobody
Nobody is
is allowed
allowed not
not to
to play.
play. Nobody
Nobody can
can say,
say, I'm
I'm going
going
to
to sit
sit this
this one
one out.
out. That's
That's the
the way
way you
you drive
drive change.
change.
When
When we
we have
have an
an idea
idea factory
factory like
like IDEO
IDEO talk
talk to
to us
us about
about
innovation,
its
my
job
to
translate
what
they
say
into
innovation, its my job to translate what they say into GE.
GE. That
That
means
putting
it
in
terms
of
process
and
metrics.
means putting it in terms of process and metrics.
Sources: July 2005 interview of Jeff Immelt by Fast Company. June 2006 interview in HBR
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 33
3% (6)
14% (28)
33% (69)
38% (79)
12% (24)
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 34
Strategic Innovation
1.
2.
3.
4.
Learning More
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 35
Strategic Innovation
Creative
Day 2
Day 1
Learn Design Tools
and Process
INSTRUCTORS:
Significant
Real
Day 3
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 36
Academic
Programs
Professional
Education
Meeting
Degrees, Certificates,
Individualeducation
Courses
needs of technology
professionals, managers and executives
to meet your education and schedule requirements
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 37
Electrical Engineering
Biomedical Informatics
Chemical Engineering
Civil and Environmental
Engineering
Computer Science
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 38
Professional/Executive Programs
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 39
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 40
Managing Risk
in Healthcare
Organizations
Strategic
Innovation
& Design
Thinking
Modeling
for Strategic
Insight
NEW!
ValueDriven
Enterprise
Risk Management
Decision
Quality
Decision
Analysis
Collaborative
DecisionMaking and
Negotiation
NEW!
Strategic
Portfolio
Decisions
Biases in
DecisionMaking
Leading
Strategic
DecisionMaking
Converting
Strategy into
Action
Advanced
Project
Management
Program
Additional Electives:
Ethical Decision-Making
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 41
2011 Schedule
SEPTEMBER
Decision Quality
AT STANFORD
Strategic Innovation
& Design Thinking
Decision Analysis
Converting Strategy
into Action
http://strategicdecisions.stanford.edu
DECEMBER
Decision Quality
IN HOUSTON*
Leading Strategic
Decision-Making
*Houston program offered in collaboration with the Center for Lifelong Engineering Education,
University of Texas at Austin.
http://strategicdecisions.stanford.edu/texas
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 42
Bill Burnett
Carl Spetzler
Paul Marca
wburnett@stanford.edu
cspetzler@sdg.com
pmarca@stanford.edu
scpd-sdrm@stanford.edu
1-866-234-3380
http://strategicdecisions.stanford.edu
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 43
Decision Quality
The Art and Science of Good Decision-Making
October 19, 2011
910 a.m. PDT
2011 by Stanford Strategic Decision and Risk Management. All rights reserved.
Page 44