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Consumerdurable August2013 130926012304 Phpapp02
Consumerdurable August2013 130926012304 Phpapp02
6%
12.5
7.3
FY12
FY15E
Consumer Durables market in India (USD billion)
400
CAGR: 24.4%
69.6
2012
2020E
Electronics demand ( in USD billions)
CAGR: 18.1%
17.7
7.7
2012
2017E
Television industry in India (USD billions)
Source: Asian Development Bank, Aranca Research;
Note: PPP - purchasing power parity, E - Estimate,
* includes overall television industry such as revenues from advertisement and subscription
Growingdemand
demand
Growing
FY12
Market
size:
USD7.3
billion
Opportunities
machines
Advantage
FY15E
Market
size:
USD12.5
billion
India
Increasing investments
Policy support
CONSUMER DURABLES
Consumer
electronics
(brown goods)
Consumer
appliances
(white goods)
Televisions
Air conditioners
Refrigerators
CD and DVD
players
Personal
computers
Washing
machines
Sewing
machines
Laptops
Digital cameras
Electric fans
Cleaning
equipment
Electronic
accessories
Camcorders
Microwave
ovens
Other domestic
appliances
Source: Electronic Industries Association of India, Corporate Catalyst India, Aranca Research
Late 2000s
Early 2000s
Liberalisation
Pre-liberalisation
Closed market
Increased
product
availability,
increased media
penetration and
advertising
Increasing availability
and affordability of
consumer finance
Liberalisation of
provides impetus to
markets
growth
Influx of global
Low penetration of
players such as LG
high-end products
and Samsung
such as air
Shift in focus from
conditioners (<1 per
promotion to
cent)
product innovation
Companies look to
consolidate market share
Indian companies such as
Videocon gaining global
identity
Increasing penetration of
high-end products such as
air conditioners (>3 per
cent)
Introduction of new
aspirational products such
as High Definition TVs
(HDTVs)
Companies targeting high
growth rural market
6.3
CAGR: 10.8%
3.8
5.2
4.7
7.3
2.9
3.2
4.2
3.5
FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
Source: Electronic Industries Association of India,
Corporate Catalyst India, Aranca Research
Note: FY Indian Financial Year (April-March),
CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate
Urban markets account for the major share (65 per cent) of
total revenues in the consumer durables sector in India
Demand in urban markets is likely to increase for nonessential products such as LED TVs, laptops, split ACs and,
beauty and wellness products
Rural
35%
Urban
65%
The Indian DVD market accounted for 4.0 million units sold in 2011
The organised market has a share of 80 per cent in the total market
Direct-to-home (DTH)
The set-top box (STB) market is growing rapidly, due to the expansion of DTH and
introduction of the conditional access system (CAS) in metros
The DTH market was worth USD2.2 billion in FY12; the subscriber base reached 44
million from 23 million during 2010-12, subscriber base is expected to reach 200 million by
2018 ,thereby making India the one of the worlds largest DTH market
Source: Electronic Industries Association of India, Corporate Catalyst India, India Infoline, TV Veopar Journal 2011,
Business Line, Aranca Research, BMI Research, IHS iSuppli Research
Refrigerators
The Indian ACs market accounted for sales of 3.2 million units in 2012
ACs are perceived as high-end products; current penetration stands at 3 per cent
The segment had a 13.0 per cent share (2010) in the consumer appliances market
High income growth and rising demand for split ACs are the key growth drivers
Washing appliances
Electric fans
Washing machines are the second largest contributor to the consumer appliances market
(after refrigerators); in 2011 total sales was 6.0 million units
Fully automatic washing machines are garnering an increasing share of the market due to
reduction in prices and higher disposable incomes
Company
Product category
Company
Product category
TVs, home theatre systems, DVD players, audio products, personal care
products, household products, computers and phones
TVs, home theatre systems, DVD players, mobile phones, digital cameras and
camcorders, refrigerators, ACs, washing machines, microwave ovens and
computers
TVs, projectors, DVD players, audio systems, home theatre systems, digital
cameras and camcorders, computers, video-gaming products and recording
media
TVs, DVD players, microwave ovens, refrigerators, washing machines, ACs and
power backup solutions
Refrigerators, washing machines, microwave ovens, water purifiers and power
backup solutions
Increasing presence of
organised retail
Increased affordability
of products
Focus on energy-efficient
and environment-friendly
products
The Indian retail market is currently worth USD516 billion and is likely to expand at a
CAGR of 18.8 per cent to USD866 billion by 2015
The penetration of modern retail is 12.0 per cent in consumer durables segment
The sector is witnessing the emergence of modern durable retail chains and e-retailers
like Tata Croma, Reliance Digital, E zone
Companies are expanding their product portfolio to include products like high-definition
televisions (HDTVs), tablets and smart phones, etc, demand for which are rising with
consumers income, easy availability of credit and wide use of online sales
Advancement in technology and higher competition are driving price reductions across
various consumer durable product segments such as computers, mobile phones,
refrigerators and TVs
Higher real
disposable
incomes
Easy consumer
credit
Growing consumer
base
Increasing investments
Policy
support
Strong
government
support
Growing demand
Setting up of
EHTPs
Inviting
Increasing
liberalisation,
favourable FDI
climate
Resulting
in
Expanding
production and
distribution
facilities in India
Increased R&D
activity
Providing support
to global projects
from India
Source: EHTP - Electronic Hardware Technology Park, FDI - Foreign Direct Investment, R&D - Research and Development
30%
25%
2,000
20%
1,500
15%
1,000
10%
500
5%
0%
-5%
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012E
2015E
2018E
Electronics sector the first in India to be allowed complete customs exemption on certain
items used for manufacturing electronic goods
The peak rate of basic customs duty is 10 per cent and 217 tariff lines (under the ITA-1)
are exempted from duty
Encouragement to FDI
National Electronics
Policy 2012
100 per cent FDI is permitted in electronics hardware-manufacturing under the automatic
route
FDI into single brand retail has been increased from 51.0 per cent to 100 per cent; the
government is planning to hike FDI limit in multi-brand retail to 51.0 per cent
EPCG allows import of capital goods on paying 3.0 per cent customs duty
EHTP provides benefits, such as duty waivers and tax incentives, to companies which
replace certain imports with local manufacturing
Source: Department of Commerce, Government of India; Corporate Catalyst India, Aranca Research; Note: FDI - Foreign Direct Investment,
EPCG - Export Promotion Capital Goods scheme, EHTP - Electronic Hardware Technology Park Scheme, ITA-1 - Information Technology Agreement
2010
2011
2012- 2013
2012
Source: Company websites, The Hindu, Economic Times, Business Standard, Aranca Research
Note: R&D - Research and Development
Videocon
Others
75%
3,057
In the first nine months of this year, revenue and net profit
stood at USD1,884 million and USD24 million respectively
1,815
178
FY07
1,954
194
FY08
2,692
1,884
83
155
FY09
FY10*
Revenues
114
FY11
24
9MFY12
Net Profits
Plans to set up a
SEZ in Pune and
Aurangabad in
Maharashtra
Market capitalisation of
USD1436 million
Acquires
Thomson, Philips,
and Electrolux
plants
Focuses on R&D
Builds strong
brand presence in
Tier 2 and Tier 3
cities
Sales expanded at a
CAGR of 10.4 per cent
during FY0711
Launches LCD TV
bundled with DTH
and Internet chip
Focuses primarily on
consumer electronics
products
198595
199505
4.2
3.4
2.4
1.3
2011
Samsung
LG
Premium
Segment
Mass
Segment
Before 2005
Product innovation, heavy investment in R&D, and
customer preferences have been the key factors behind the
success of the two Korean giants
LG
After 2005
Samsung
71%
67%
58%
44%
44%
37%
29%
20%
21% 21%
31%
27%
17%
11%
2%
Air
Mircowaves
Conditioners
Samsung
Mobile
Phones
others
5.0%
2.5%
FY11
FY15E
LG
Samsung
592.9
389.0
376.6
FY08
FY09
537.0
508.1
FY12
9M FY13
320.6
FY10
FY11
Product
Standing
Market Share
Refrigerator
Third
17 per cent
Washing
Machine
Third
15 per cent
Microwave
Fourth
9 per cent
Air Conditioner
Fifth
6 per cent
Achieves
presence through
more than 2200
wholesale dealers
and 18000 retail
outlets
Focuses on
refrigerators,
microwaves, air
conditioners and
washing machines.
Targets rural
market by lower
pricing and
innovation like
Chotokool
Builds strong
brand presence in
metros and Tier 1
cities
Sales expected to
expand at a growth of 25
per cent during FY1314
Launches a new
premium product
range under EON
brand to target
high-end segment
Focuses primarily on
consumer electronics
products
19802005
Consumer durables market expected to expand at a CAGR of 14.8 per cent to USD12.5 billion in FY15 (from USD7.3
billion in FY12)
Demand from rural and semi-urban areas is expected to expand at a CAGR of 25 per cent to USD6.4 billion in FY15 from
USD2.1 billion in FY10
By FY15, rural and semi-urban markets are likely to contribute a majority of consumer durables sales
Rural
35%
Urban
65%
FY11
USD7.3
billion
FY15
USD12.5
billion
Urban
49%
Rural
51%
Increasing
rural income
with higher
non-farm
income
Lower
penetration
generating
demand for
first time
buyers
CAGR: 13.5%
20.6
2005
2012
Increasing reach of
companies and
customised products
for the rural market
Market leader LG plans to invest USD166.7 million in capacity expansion for various product categories and India specific
R&D and USD145.8 million in marketing and branding in 2013
Whirlpool plans to invest more than USD156.3 million in India by 2015, with more than half of it earmarked for innovation
Japans Panasonic plans to invest USD208 million by 2014 in setting up manufacturing units and an advanced R&D centre
Videocon plans to invest about USD12.5 million in R&D in 2012
Samsung plans to invest USD94 million to expand capacity by 2015
Nokia intends to invest up to USD52.1 million to revamp operations in India by 2014
Carrier plans to invest USD104 million over the next five years to expand production capacity at its newly commissioned
plant in Gurgaon
Cumulative FDI in electronics sector for April 2000 February 2013 stood at USD1,197.8 million
Carrier
9.9
104.2
Whirpool
375.0
Blue star
Haier
Videocon
208.3
CAGR: 87.6%
12.5
6.3
3.3
187.5
1.5
Panasonic
LG
300.0
312.5
2009
2010
2011E
2012E
Households with
TVs in India
channels
2018
200
CAGR: 28.7%
44
2012
2018E
Source: Department of Information Technology; KPMG;
Aranca Research
Increase in
employment
Sector
Infrastructure
Investment
Removing middlemen
Entry route
Benefiting Indian
manufacturers
FDI limit
Automatic
100%
Foreign Investment
and Promotion Board
100%
Foreign Investment
and Promotion Board
51%
Year
Year
2004-05
44.95
2005
45.55
2005-06
44.28
2006
44.34
2006-07
45.28
2007
39.45
2007-08
40.24
2008
49.21
2008-09
45.91
2009
46.76
2009-10
47.41
2010
45.32
2010-11
45.57
2011
45.64
2011-12
47.94
2012
54.69
2012-13
54.31
2013
54.45
Average for the year
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