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Dibujar las curvas de variacin estacional, para las probabilidades 50, 70, 75, 85,90%.
Dibujar la curva masa, usando los datos mensuales correspondientes a los aos 1995-96 a 1998-99.
AO
HIDROLOGICO
Estacin Corobic
MAYO
JUNIO
1974-75
6.4
1975-76
4.25
1976-77
1977-78
1978-79
1979-80
Ro Corobic
JULIO
AGOSTO
SEPTIEMBRE
OCTUBRE
NOVIEMBRE
DICIEMBRE
ENERO
FEBRERO
MARZO
ABRIL
14.1
13
12.7
21.3
41.9
12.3
11.4
8.77
8.28
5.66
4.39
10.2
20.21
13.7
39.3
99
31.5
16.9
10.2
6.94
6.14
4.52
10
11.4
12.8
9.6
11.6
14
19.5
19.2
11.2
6.26
4.63
3.21
3.57
2.99
5.19
4.42
5.43
8.32
6.44
9.13
4.36
4.92
5.3
2.46
3.05
5.42
4.45
5.9
5.27
5.15
4.59
6.97
3.85
2.72
2.84
2.58
2.56
5.75
6.2
9.03
8.68
11.2
7.71
8.51
7.76
4.06
2.5
1980-81
5.81
7.94
6.7
10.5
14.4
19.6
15.6
8.81
5.11
4.06
3.5
2.57
1981-82
2.83
4.45
5.73
5.81
14.4
10.1
24.4
8.51
8.89
5.99
5.08
2.61
1982-83
4.3
13.9
7.83
8.2
9.88
16.1
7.87
7.61
5.52
4.6
3.89
4.23
1983-84
4.04
4.28
4.21
4.7
5.66
6.25
13
9.48
4.54
2.95
2.64
2.39
1984-85
2.45
4.52
8.89
10.4
18.1
14.8
6.63
6.02
6.87
4.97
3.77
2.65
1985-86
2.88
4.02
7.38
5.89
10.2
12.2
8.95
5.46
3.28
2.36
3.9
3.34
1986-87
6.1
13.9
9.28
10.3
8.5
27.8
9.18
9.82
12
6.99
4.33
3.23
1987-88
3.96
10
9.22
12.2
16.4
17.8
13.5
12.2
8.08
5.41
3.09
4.09
1988-89
4.89
19.6
8.63
7.4
10.5
9.13
8.97
6.89
4.32
4.18
3.31
2.74
1989-90
2.51
6.16
5.26
9.78
10.9
43.1
13.8
12.1
6.47
7.29
4.74
3.98
1990-91
7.62
10.3
8.11
18.9
34.3
31
19.1
17.4
14.1
7.8
4.95
4.15
1991-92
4.59
8.85
6.66
6.85
26.27
50.8
10.3
5.3
10.5
5.03
3.42
2.4
1992-96
4.22
5.96
9.27
5.72
7.66
5.88
4.84
4.81
3.02
2.71
1.85
2.13
1993-94
2.83
4.53
11.1
14.6
23.1
44.4
16.4
6.76
6.16
5.3
3.3
2.25
1994-95
4.82
9.27
1995-96
2.32
4.01
7.46
8.2
29.9
14.5
8.34
6.47
4.32
3.54
2.29
1.79
5.79
6.14
17.1
14.2
24.9
14.9
5.18
4.54
3.05
2.06
1996-97
4.1
6.42
8.48
7.47
9.51
9.94
8.46
8.29
3.87
2.39
2.12
2.17
1997-98
1998-99
2.69
5.95
6.95
9.05
8.4
10.8
5.62
4.54
3.21
2.72
1.83
1.72
2.47
6.92
5.46
6.99
11.7
16.4
10.1
9.12
3.47
2.33
1.87
2.77
1. Para graficar en la curva de variacin estacional ordenamos los valores de cada mes (correspondientes a n aos) en
orden descendente, determinando para cada valor, la probabilidad de que el evento sea igualada excedida, aplicando
el mtodo de Hazen:
2 1
x100
MAYO
Q(m3/s)
JUNIO
Q(m3/s)
JULIO
Q(m3/s)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
10
7.62
6.4
6.1
5.81
4.89
4.82
4.59
4.3
4.25
4.22
4.1
4.04
3.96
3.57
3.05
2.88
2.83
2.83
2.69
2.56
2.51
2.47
2.45
2.32
19.6
14.1
13.9
13.9
11.4
10.3
10.2
10
9.27
8.85
7.94
6.92
6.42
6.16
5.96
5.95
5.75
5.42
4.53
4.52
4.45
4.28
4.02
4.01
2.99
20.21
13
12.8
11.1
9.28
9.27
9.22
8.89
8.63
8.48
8.11
7.83
7.46
7.38
6.95
6.7
6.66
6.2
5.79
5.73
5.46
5.26
5.19
4.45
4.21
AGOSTO SEPTIEMBRE
Q(m3/s)
Q(m3/s)
18.9
14.6
13.7
12.7
12.2
10.5
10.4
10.3
9.78
9.6
9.05
9.03
8.2
8.2
7.47
7.4
6.99
6.85
6.14
5.9
5.89
5.81
5.72
4.7
4.42
39.3
34.3
29.9
26.27
23.1
21.3
18.1
17.1
16.4
14.4
14.4
11.7
11.6
10.9
10.5
10.2
9.88
9.51
8.68
8.5
8.4
7.66
5.66
5.43
5.27
OCTUBRE
Q(m3/s)
99
50.8
44.4
43.1
41.9
31
27.8
19.6
17.8
16.4
16.1
14.8
14.5
14.2
14
12.2
11.2
10.8
10.1
9.94
9.13
8.32
6.25
5.88
5.15
NOVIEMBRE DICIEMBRE
Q(m3/s)
Q(m3/s)
31.5
24.9
24.4
19.5
19.1
16.4
15.6
13.8
13.5
13
12.3
10.3
10.1
9.18
8.97
8.95
8.46
8.34
7.87
7.71
6.63
6.44
5.62
4.84
4.59
19.2
17.4
16.9
14.9
12.2
12.1
11.4
9.82
9.48
9.13
9.12
8.81
8.51
8.51
8.29
7.61
6.97
6.89
6.76
6.47
6.02
5.46
5.3
4.81
4.54
ENERO
Q(m3/s)
FEBRERO
Q(m3/s)
MARZO
Q(m3/s)
ABRIL
Q(m3/s)
PI
14.1
12
11.2
10.5
10.2
8.89
8.77
8.08
7.76
6.87
6.47
6.16
5.52
5.18
5.11
4.54
4.36
4.32
4.32
3.87
3.85
3.47
3.28
3.21
3.02
8.28
7.8
7.29
6.99
6.94
6.26
6
5.99
5.41
5.3
5.03
4.97
4.92
4.6
4.54
4.18
4.06
3.54
2.95
2.72
2.72
2.71
2.39
2.36
2.33
6.14
5.66
5.3
5.08
4.95
4.74
4.63
4.33
4.06
3.9
3.89
3.77
3.5
3.42
3.31
3.3
3.09
3.05
2.84
2.64
2.29
2.12
1.87
1.85
1.83
4.52
4.39
4.23
4.15
4.09
3.98
3.34
3.23
3.21
2.77
2.74
2.65
2.61
2.58
2.57
2.5
2.46
2.4
2.39
2.25
2.17
2.13
2.06
1.79
1.72
2%
6%
10 %
14 %
18 %
22 %
26 %
30 %
34 %
38 %
42 %
46 %
50 %
54 %
58 %
62 %
66 %
70 %
74 %
78 %
82 %
86 %
90 %
94 %
98 %
2. Plotenado en un papel de probabilidad log-normal, para cada mes trazamos la recata al ojmetro que mejor se ajuste
al grfico.
600.00
500.00
400.00
300.00
200.00
100.00
0.00
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
700.00
Dibujar las curvas de variacin estacional, para las probabilidades 50, 70, 75, 85,90%.
Dibujar la curva masa, usando los datos mensuales correspondientes a los aos 1995-96 a 1998-99.
ENERO
FEBRERO
MARZO
ABRIL
MAYO
JUNIO
JULIO
AGOSTO
SEPTIEMBRE
1965
125.23
386.85
365.19
164.77
110.85
104.40
88.74
51.84
75.33
74.90
70.10
97.06
1966
183.88
178.21
233.48
108.90
96.13
82.60
88.32
96.27
83.17
102.87
138.27
260.26
1967
205.17
550.93
485.06
298.12
159.29
140.83
129.74
100.00
110.40
143.94
101.81
130.38
1968
212.79
242.93
369.06
141.62
93.84
88.97
102.03
101.84
72.97
74.88
117.57
144.06
1969
119.16
197.11
198.81
217.17
91.56
83.00
98.97
113.42
61.80
89.71
78.17
178.39
1970
540.52
397.39
266.84
268.30
178.45
102.87
100.38
95.48
88.53
78.03
85.23
174.65
1971
286.71
381.64
490.13
280.57
108.65
76.23
82.35
85.13
86.90
75.10
65.80
106.32
1972
275.88
285.72
557.87
533.27
181.71
114.83
106.65
109.39
86.57
90.35
81.53
136.16
1973
437.35
452.07
728.23
481.93
200.74
127.00
106.18
96.46
117.42
116.00
196.77
206.97
1974
429.29
737.39
544.90
336.50
155.32
103.90
106.29
105.81
102.73
91.97
86.77
83.23
1975
150.61
246.29
604.52
199.37
182.81
119.13
81.03
87.90
81.98
78.65
79.80
112.48
1976
370.03
578.31
537.23
231.90
134.71
117.40
102.90
95.48
96.33
82.48
72.03
79.06
1977
126.87
298.57
362.71
150.87
121.23
89.40
81.74
82.74
75.10
74.88
152.73
124.84
1978
249.00
534.25
311.10
154.27
96.00
83.70
84.23
68.13
77.63
80.03
104.57
124.19
1979
133.42
340.86
543.71
294.40
113.61
85.40
88.87
82.58
76.50
71.81
71.80
75.18
1980
115.84
161.10
252.84
140.67
81.77
69.17
72.77
66.45
65.77
91.74
94.20
118.94
1981
191.42
880.93
481.77
186.27
103.87
97.27
98.06
93.71
101.83
99.32
175.97
198.23
1982
373.87
592.57
341.94
220.30
120.58
104.00
104.48
93.84
83.03
104.58
181.03
151.90
1983
185.87
113.32
190.94
181.53
96.35
85.03
91.16
89.46
84.30
78.90
57.67
76.87
1984
174.03
640.31
550.06
332.83
139.48
115.80
92.97
94.96
97.23
100.19
127.60
222.48
1985
209.10
277.45
320.84
317.48
159.03
136.41
112.19
112.25
110.06
101.88
96.32
141.09
1986
335.00
609.89
714.66
491.68
307.52
185.87
143.15
122.36
128.34
115.83
111.28
136.28
1987
466.93
353.99
221.00
144.14
118.10
90.38
88.31
85.52
76.45
73.15
83.01
141.83
1988
350.00
418.40
326.50
325.35
145.95
118.47
107.63
90.90
70.28
75.88
71.33
107.85
1989
1990
267.64
374.86
539.77
312.23
151.71
135.08
112.38
107.97
102.86
112.18
116.94
90.85
190.47
137.22
146.08
85.33
75.88
77.13
71.51
75.45
72.37
91.14
176.13
165.39
OCTUBRE NOVIEMBRE
DICIEMBRE
1991
185.41
155.94
340.41
159.98
122.84
85.78
92.40
93.83
99.51
85.77
81.47
78.16
1992
89.57
66.57
140.04
84.00
47.42
50.24
48.91
47.13
46.47
45.89
46.08
44.97
1993
112.87
299.84
571.33
262.84
136.44
79.52
77.04
75.80
88.58
83.91
179.63
319.16
1994
342.57
517.80
517.80
428.85
195.43
129.23
117.78
107.58
107.72
91.84
88.18
85.13
1995
134.10
304.83
304.83
191.57
84.86
82.71
83.38
84.75
71.42
68.63
80.13
62.24
1996
177.29
307.28
254.90
230.68
90.64
77.50
79.65
80.69
80.90
75.99
73.33
92.09
1997
178.93
355.64
241.73
90.15
89.80
70.10
69.39
73.98
70.48
76.08
97.18
136.93
1998
252.29
329.99
290.86
222.31
81.28
80.18
80.11
85.64
83.44
82.44
87.82
100.90
1999
128.40
407.33
377.21
291.54
143.82
88.75
89.65
91.33
94.97
100.24
93.17
122.13
2000
2001
281.30
415.93
506.85
403.79
543.85
565.84
301.13
260.37
149.04
121.45
102.78
101.05
97.78
96.44
100.68
94.93
98.87
95.61
116.14
100.86
98.00
103.57
119.58
145.02
2002
103.51
279.46
358.10
225.15
118.12
97.31
96.21
94.82
94.29
96.88
132.36
205.08
2003
211.22
352.06
491.58
313.56
139.91
106.03
98.11
99.92
99.02
93.36
89.83
133.41
2004
119.23
247.49
190.27
128.49
79.26
70.29
87.64
86.81
86.91
83.89
108.36
175.86
2005
193.40
195.28
225.80
150.64
74.06
83.44
84.86
78.11
78.11
86.58
79.03
83.26
1. Para graficar en la curva de variacin estacional ordenamos los valores de cada mes (correspondientes a n aos) en
orden descendente, determinando para cada valor, la probabilidad de que el evento sea igualada excedida, aplicando
el mtodo de Hazen:
2 1
x100
ENERO
FEBRERO
MARZO
ABRIL
MAYO
JUNIO
JULIO
AGOSTO
SEPTIEMBRE
OCTUBRE
NOVIEMBRE
DICIEMBRE
Pi
540.52
880.93
728.23
533.27
307.52
185.87
143.15
122.36
128.34
143.94
196.77
319.16
2.44 %
466.93
737.39
714.66
491.68
200.74
140.83
129.74
113.42
117.42
116.14
181.03
260.26
7.32 %
437.35
640.31
604.52
481.93
195.43
136.41
117.78
112.25
110.40
116.00
179.63
222.48
12.20 %
429.29
609.89
571.33
428.85
182.81
135.08
112.38
109.39
110.06
115.83
176.13
206.97
17.07 %
415.93
592.57
565.84
336.50
181.71
129.23
112.19
107.97
107.72
112.18
175.97
205.08
21.95 %
373.87
578.31
557.87
332.83
178.45
127.00
107.63
107.58
102.86
104.58
152.73
198.23
26.83 %
370.03
550.93
550.06
325.35
159.29
119.13
106.65
105.81
102.73
102.87
138.27
178.39
31.71 %
350.00
534.25
544.90
317.48
159.03
118.47
106.29
101.84
101.83
101.88
132.36
175.86
36.59 %
342.57
517.80
543.85
313.56
155.32
117.40
106.18
100.68
99.51
100.86
127.60
174.65
41.46 %
10
335.00
506.85
543.71
312.23
151.71
115.80
104.48
100.00
99.02
100.24
117.57
165.39
46.34 %
11
286.71
452.07
539.77
301.13
149.04
114.83
102.90
99.92
98.87
100.19
116.94
151.90
51.22 %
12
281.30
418.40
537.23
298.12
145.95
106.03
102.03
96.46
97.23
99.32
111.28
145.02
56.10 %
13
275.88
407.33
517.80
294.40
143.82
104.40
100.38
96.27
96.33
96.88
108.36
144.06
60.98 %
14
267.64
403.79
491.58
291.54
139.91
104.00
98.97
95.48
95.61
93.36
104.57
141.83
65.85 %
15
252.29
397.39
490.13
280.57
139.48
103.90
98.11
95.48
94.97
91.97
103.57
141.09
70.73 %
16
249.00
386.85
485.06
268.30
136.44
102.87
98.06
94.96
94.29
91.84
101.81
136.93
75.61 %
17
212.79
381.64
481.77
262.84
134.71
102.78
97.78
94.93
88.58
91.74
98.00
136.28
80.49 %
18
211.22
374.86
377.21
260.37
122.84
101.05
96.44
94.82
88.53
91.14
97.18
136.16
85.37 %
19
209.10
355.64
369.06
231.90
121.45
97.31
96.21
93.84
86.91
90.35
96.32
133.41
90.24 %
20
205.17
353.99
365.19
230.68
121.23
97.27
92.97
93.83
86.90
89.71
94.20
130.38
95.12 %
21
193.40
352.06
362.71
225.15
120.58
90.38
92.40
93.71
86.57
86.58
93.17
124.84
100.00 %
22
191.42
340.86
358.10
222.31
118.12
89.40
91.16
91.33
84.30
85.77
89.83
124.19
104.88 %
23
190.47
329.99
341.94
220.30
118.10
88.97
89.65
90.90
83.44
83.91
88.18
122.13
109.76 %
24
185.87
307.28
340.41
217.17
113.61
88.75
88.87
89.46
83.17
83.89
87.82
119.58
114.63 %
25
185.41
304.83
326.50
199.37
110.85
85.78
88.74
87.90
83.03
82.48
86.77
118.94
119.51 %
26
27
183.88
299.84
320.84
191.57
108.65
85.40
88.32
86.81
81.98
82.44
85.23
112.48
124.39 %
178.93
298.57
311.10
186.27
103.87
85.03
88.31
85.64
80.90
80.03
83.01
107.85
129.27 %
28
177.29
285.72
304.83
181.53
96.35
83.70
87.64
85.52
78.11
78.90
81.53
106.32
134.15 %
29
174.03
279.46
290.86
164.77
96.13
83.44
84.86
85.13
77.63
78.65
81.47
100.90
139.02 %
30
150.61
277.45
266.84
159.98
96.00
83.00
84.23
84.75
76.50
78.03
80.13
97.06
143.90 %
31
134.10
247.49
254.90
154.27
93.84
82.71
83.38
82.74
76.45
76.08
79.80
92.09
148.78 %
32
133.42
246.29
252.84
150.87
91.56
82.60
82.35
82.58
75.33
75.99
79.03
90.85
153.66 %
33
128.40
242.93
241.73
150.64
90.64
80.18
81.74
80.69
75.10
75.88
78.17
85.13
158.54 %
34
126.87
197.11
233.48
144.14
89.80
79.52
81.03
78.11
72.97
75.10
73.33
83.26
163.41 %
35
125.23
195.28
225.80
141.62
84.86
77.50
80.11
75.80
72.37
74.90
72.03
83.23
168.29 %
36
119.23
178.21
221.00
140.67
81.77
77.13
79.65
75.45
71.42
74.88
71.80
79.06
173.17 %
37
119.16
161.10
198.81
128.49
81.28
76.23
77.04
73.98
70.48
74.88
71.33
78.16
178.05 %
38
115.84
155.94
190.94
108.90
79.26
70.29
72.77
68.13
70.28
73.15
70.10
76.87
182.93 %
39
112.87
137.22
190.27
90.15
75.88
70.10
71.51
66.45
65.77
71.81
65.80
75.18
187.80 %
40
103.51
113.32
146.08
85.33
74.06
69.17
69.39
51.84
61.80
68.63
57.67
62.24
192.68 %
41
89.57
66.57
140.04
84.00
47.42
50.24
48.91
47.13
46.47
45.89
46.08
44.97
197.56 %
4000.00
3000.00
2000.00
1000.00
0.00
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
Ene
Feb
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
Jul
Ago
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dic
5000.00
600.00
500.00
400.00
300.00
200.00
100.00
A
Abr
Feb
Mar
Dic
Ene
Nov
Oct
Sep
Jul
Ago
Jun
Abr
May
Feb
Mar
Dic
Ene
Oct
Nov
Sep
Jul
Ago
Jun
Abr
May
Mar
Feb
Dic
Ene
Oct
Nov
Sep
Ago
Jul
Jun
Abr
May
Feb
Mar
Dic
Ene
Oct
Nov
Sep
Jul
Ago
Jun
0.00
May
700.00