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Quản Lý Dự Án - TS. Trịnh Thùy Anh
Quản Lý Dự Án - TS. Trịnh Thùy Anh
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MC LC
Gii thiu mn hc
17
30
2.1 Vn c bn v la chn d n
30
36
43
43
3.2 Gim c d n
49
3.3 Xy dng i ng d n
54
64
69
74
83
5.1 Cc vn c bn v s mng
83
87
95
98
108
116
118
119
124
124
128
133
142
8.2 Hp ng v qun tr hp ng d n
152
160
160
163
165
9.4 Bo co tng kt
170
GII THIU MN HC
Cho mng cc bn sinh vin n vi chng trnh o to t xa
ca trng i hc M TP. H Ch Minh.
KHI QUT V MN HC
Trong nn kinh t th trng hin nay, cc d n l ht sc a dng,
phc tp, v lin quan n mi mt, mi hot ng ca nn kinh t.
iu ny i hi vic qun tr d n phi mang tnh chuyn nghip
cao, i hi cc phng php v k thut qun tr d n ngy cng
tin tin v hin i. D n l mt hot ng nh nht pht trin
nn kinh t quc gia. Mt khc n cng l cng c mang li li
nhun v cc li ch khc cho cc bn lin quan. Nh vy bn c th
thy, vic qun tr d n - vi mc ch l hng d n ti thnh
cng v hiu qu theo cc mc tiu t ra c mt ngha quan trng
c bit vi cc ngnh, cc cp, cc bn lin quan. V bn cng c th
thy trong bi cnh ngun lc hn ch, vic nghin cu qun tr d n
s h tr cho bn - trong vai tr nh qun tr d n cc kin thc, k
thut, bn c th dn dt d n i n thnh cng trong iu kin
rng buc v ngun lc. y chnh l ngha ca mn hc.
MC TIU CA MN HC
YU CU CA MN HC
NI DUNG MN HC
Chng 2: La chn d n
Chng ny gip bn nm bt c mc tiu v ni dung ca
vic la chn d n, hiu v bit cch p dng cc phng php nh
lng v nh tnh trong la chn d n. Ngoi ra la chn d n
trong iu kin c bin ng v ri ro cng c xem xt trong
chng ny.
Chng 5: Lp tin d n
Hiu c cc vn v lp tin d n d n, bit cch p
dng lp biu Gantt v s mng th hin tin d n l mt
vic lm ht sc quan trng trong qu trnh qun tr d n. Chng
ny cp n cc vn v s mng, cch thc thit lp s
mng, gm mng CPM v mng PERT. Chng ny c cc bi tp
bn tp luyn cch lp tin d n.
Chng 8: Qun tr ri ro v hp ng d n
10
of
Knowledge
(PMBOK
Guide),
Newtown
Square
11
CHNG 1
MC TIU
Sau khi hc xong chng ny, bn s nm c cc vn :
Khi nim c bn v d n: c im, chu k, cc bn lin quan.
Hiu c s nh hng ca cc c im d n n qu trnh
qun tr d n
Cc vn v qun tr d n: mc tiu, qu trnh, ni dung qun tr
d n. Hiu c vic qun tr d n theo cc giai on v theo cc
lnh vc khc nhau.
NI DUNG CHNH
TNG QUAN V D N
1.1.1 D n v cc c trng ca d n
a. Khi nim
Bn c th xem xt d n t nhiu gc khc nhau. Nhng nhn
chung bn c th nh ngha d n nh sau:
12
D n: s dng cc ngun
lc hu hn thc hin
nhiu cng vic khc nhau,
nhng c lin quan vi
nhau v cng hng ti mt
mc tiu chung nhm t
cc li ch c th.
D n: gii php ha hn mt
li ch c th
Mc ch: lm ra tin hoc tit
kim tin
Ngun lc: thi gian, vn, con
ngi, my mc thit b, vt
liu
b. c im ca d n
Cc d n u t c nhng c im c bn nh sau:
D n l tm thi v c chu k
sng: D n mang bn cht tm
D n c mt im xut pht v
thi, tc l c thi im bt u ch n c th.
v thi im kt thc c th. Vic
kt thc ca mt d n l thi
im ta bt u nghin cu c
hi u t cho mt d n mi.
D n l mt hot ng c mc ch: Mc ch, hay cn gi mc
tiu tng th ca d n l kt qu cui cng m nh u t mong i.
t c mc ch, bn c th phn chia kt qu mong mun thnh
cc mc tiu c th cn t c trong tng giai on ca d n. Cc
mc tiu ny cn c xc lp nhm m bo nguyn tc: c th, o
lng c, kh thi, cn i v ngun lc, c thi hn nht nh.
Tnh c th: Mi d n u c
nhng yu t c th so vi cc d n
khc, khng c d n nghin cu
pht trin hay d n xy dng, d n
sn xut no hon ton ging nhau.
Mi d n u phi c tin hnh
nghin cu t m, thit k k thut c
th, vic qun l v khai thc vn
hnh cng c nhng c th khc
nhau.
13
Mi d n l duy nht,
trc v sau n khng c d
n th hai ging ht vy.
Ri ro lun
song hnh
cng d n
Hu ht cc d n u tri
qua cc giai on ging
nhau, t lc khi u cho
ti khi hon thnh
% hon thnh ca d n
Kt thc chm
Tng trng
nhanh
Bt u
chm
Thi gian
14
Cc bn tham gia d n c
th h tr hp tc vi
nhau, tuy nhin cng c
th mu thun nhau.
a. Khch hng
Khch hng y chnh l nh u t. Bn cn phn bit khch
hng ca d n - l ngi t hng xy dng, thc hin, qun l mt
d n; v khch hng ca sn phm d n - tc l i tng s dng
cc sn phm do d n to ra. Khch hng c th l mt ngi, mt t
15
16
Qun tr d n: ng dng cc
kin thc, k nng, vo cc
hot ng d n m bo
d n t c cc mc tiu,
yu cu t ra.
17
a. Cc mc tiu thuc v d n
C th k ra ba yu t c bn xc nh mc tiu ca qun tr d
n, l: thi gian, chi ph v cht lng cng vic; v gia chng li
c lin quan cht ch vi nhau. Khng n thun ch l hon thnh kt
qu, m thi gian cng nh chi ph t kt qu u l nhng yu
t khng km phn quan trng. Tuy mi quan h gia ba mc tiu c
th khc nhau gia cc d n, hoc gia cc thi k i vi cng mt
18
Li nhun
Cc
mc tiu
nh gi
s hi
lng ca
khch
hng
Cc
mc tiu
thuc v
d n
Mc tiu
cp 2
Cc ch
ban u
Thi gian
thc hin
Sn phm/
dch v
Chi ph
Mc tiu
cp 1
Cht lng
d n
19
20
Lp k hoch
Thit lp mc tiu
iu tra ngun lc
Xy dng k hoch
Gim st
o lng kt qu
So snh vi mc tiu
Bo co
Gii quyt cc vn .
21
a. Qun l v m i vi d n
Qun l v m hay qun l Nh nc i vi d n bao gm tng
th cc bin php v m tc ng n cc yu t ca qu trnh hnh
thnh, hot ng v kt thc d n. Trong qu trnh trin khai thc
hin d n, Nh nc (m i din l cc c quan qun l Nh nc)
lun theo di cht ch, nh hng v chi phi hot ng ca d n,
nhm m bo d n ng gp tch cc vo s pht trin kinh t - x
hi. Nhng cng c qun l v m ca Nh nc gm cc chnh sch,
k hoch, quy hoch. V d chnh sch v ti chnh tin t, t gi, li
sut, chnh sch u t, u i u t, chnh sch thu, h thng lut
php, nhng quy trnh v ch k ton, thng k, bo him, tin
lng.
b. Qun tr vi m i vi hot ng d n
d n.
23
KH tng quan
Qun tr phm vi
- Lp k hoch
- Thc hin k
hoch
- Qun tr thay
i
- Xc nh phm
vi
- Lp k hoch
phm vi
- Qun tr thay
i phm vi
- Xc nh cng
vic
- D tnh thi
gian
- Qun tr tin
Qun tr chi ph
Qun tr nhn lc
- Lp k hoch
ngun lc
- Tnh ton chi
ph
- Lp d ton
- Qun tr chi ph
- Lp k hoch
cht lng
- m bo cht
lng
- Qun tr cht
lng
- Lp k hoch
nhn lc
- Tuyn dng
- Pht trin
nhm, xy
dng i ng
Qun tr ri ro
Qun tr cung ng
- K hoch qun
tr thng tin
- Phn phi
thng tin
- Bo co tin
- Xc nh ri
ro
- Chng trnh
qun tr ri ro
- Phn ng i
vi ri ro
- K hoch cung
ng
- La chn nh
cung ng
- Qun tr hp ng
- Qun tr tin
cung ng
24
Giai on
khi u
Giai on
hoch nh
Giai on
thc hin
Giai on
kt thc
Giai on khi u:
giai on ny, tng d n bt u c nh hnh v pht
trin, ngi ta xc nh bc tranh ton cnh v mc tiu, kt qu cui
cng v phng php thc hin kt qu . Xy dng tng d n
c bt u ngay khi nhn c ngh lm d n: do , qun tr
d n c i hi ngay t khi d n bt u hnh thnh. Tp hp s
25
Giai on kt thc:
26
TM TT
D n hng ti vic t c cc li ch c th. l mt tp
hp cc cng vic c th cn phi hon thnh trong mt thi hn nht
nh, vi ngn sch nht nh v phi m bo t c cc yu cu
nht nh v cht lng.
Cc d n u tri qua ba giai on pht trin: chun b, thc hin
v kt thc. Cc giai on l mt chu trnh khp kn v c tc ng vi
nhau.
Mi d n u gm nhiu hot ng c mc ch c th, mi d
n c tnh c th ring khc nhau, cc d n u c chu k sng v
mang tnh cht tm thi, cc hot ng ca d n v mi quan h gia
cc bn lin quan mang tnh tng h v mu thun nhau. Do d n
chu s tc ng ca mi trng kinh t - x hi, d n li thng tn
ti trong mt khong thi gian di, ngun vn huy ng ln, nn lun
tim n nhiu ri ro v bt trc.
D n lin quan n nhiu bn tham gia, bao gm khch hng
(ch u t), ngi c y quyn (t chc t vn; xy dng); bn
cung ng (nh thu cung ng vt t, thit b; nh thu ph); t chc ti
tr vn; v cc c quan qun l Nh nc. Do vy qun tr d n cn
c s phi hp cht ch, hp tc v h tr ln nhau gia cc bn lin
quan.
27
CU HI N TP
1. c im ca d n chi phi vic qun tr d n nh th no?
2. Bnh lun v s thnh cng ca d n, th no l d n thnh
cng? Cho bit cc mc tiu ca qun tr d n? t c cc mc
tiu ny qu trnh qun tr d n phi ch nhng vn g?
HNG DN TR LI
1. c im ca d n l tnh tm thi v c vng i nht nh; c
mc ch; mang tnh c th; tnh khng chc chn, tnh ph thuc v
xung t. Nh vy qun tr d n l mt qu trnh phc tp, lin quan
ti nhiu bn khc nhau, nn nh qun tr d n khng trc tip gii
quyt tng cng vic m thng qua mt nhm nhng ngi thc hin
d n, do vy phi ch vn qun tr nhn lc v mi quan h gia
28
29
CHNG 2
LA CHN D N
La chn d n l cng vic quan trng u tin, bi nu chn sai
d n th ngun lc s khng c s dng c hiu qu, bn thn d
n cng kh t c thnh cng. Ton b chng ny dnh trnh
by cc vn v la chn d n.
MC TIU
Chng ny nhm gip bn t c cc mc tiu sau:
Cc vn d cn xem xt khi la chn d n.
La chn d n trn c s cc ch tiu nh gi hiu qu ti chnh
kinh t x hi, kt hp vi cc ch tiu k thut.
La chn d n mt cch ton din xt n mi kha cnh lin
quan khc.
La chn d n xt n cc yu t ri ro v bt trc.
30
NI DUNG CHNH
2.1 VN C BN V LA CHN D N
2.1.1 Khi nim la chn d n
Vic la chn d n c thc hin trong giai on lp d n.
Vic lm ny c ngha rt quan trng. N gip bn tm chn thc
hin cc d n mang li hiu qu cao nht trong iu kin cc ngun
lc ngy cng khan him.
Cn nghin cu, xem xt mt
cch khch quan, khoa hc v
ton din cc ni dung c bn
nh hng trc tip ti tnh kh
thi, tnh hiu qu ca d n, t
c quyt nh la chn ng
d n.
D n c chn phi
c hiu qu cho ch
u t v/ hoc mang
li li ch cho x hi.
31
32
NPV =
t =0
Bt C t
(1 + r ) t
Bt : khon thu nm th t
Ct : khon chi nm th t
n : tui th ca phng n
r : sut chit khu
33
Bt C t
(1 + IRR)
t =0
=0
BCR =
Bt
(1 + r )
t =0
n
Ct
(1 + r )
t =0
Bt C t
(1 + r )
t =0
=0
Gia
Cc tiu ch
trng
la chn
tng
c vn
khch sn,
phng
nh hng
35
Sn xut ht
nha
A: Li nhun
0,3
B: S thun li
0,15
C: Trnh CT
0,2
D: t ri ro
0,15
0,1
0,1
3,1
2,85
l
F: Li ch khc
Tng im
Ghi ch:
A: Yu t li nhun, th hin t c cc ch tiu ti chnh.
B: S thun li, th hin vic d dng trong vic xin c cp php,
kh nng gii phng mt bng, s thun li v h tr ca c quan
qun l nh nc v chnh quyn a phng trong qu trnh thc hin
d n.
C: Trnh ch u t, th hin kinh nghim, chuyn mn ca ch
d n trong lnh vc u t.
D: t ri ro, th hin vic t chu s tc ng ca mi trng kinh t
x hi.
E: Kh nng khai thc, qun l, th hin kh nng d dng trong
khai thc, qun l mt cch chuyn nghip.
F: th hin vic nng cao uy tn sau khi thc hin d n, kh nng
pht trin lu di v sau, v cc li ch khc.
nh gi ri ro nh hng n kt qu ca d n nh th no,
c th gi thit mt s kch bn xy ra i vi d n. L thuyt xc
sut nghin cu tnh bt trc ca cc s kin, x l thng tin t nhiu
ngun khc nhau, t a ra gi tr k vng ca li nhun d n.
mi kch bn, tng ng vi xc sut xy ra Pi, d n s mang
li mc li nhun Xi nht nh. Nh vy, gi tr k vng ca li nhun
mong i c th c tnh nh sau:
.
39
e. M phng
Phng php m phng s dng m hnh ton hc m t chi
tit nh hng ca cc yu t ri ro c th n mc tiu ca d n. M
phng d n da trn c s k thut Monte Carlo.
Phng php m phng cho php xc nh chi ph ca d n theo
mt hm ca cc yu t nh hng c th. Nh s liu thu thp c
trong qu kh bn c th xc nh c mi lin quan gia cc nhn
t ny, tc l xc nh c tham s ca m hnh. T s dng m
hnh d on cc mc chi ph c th i vi d n.
TM TT
CU HI N TP
41
HNG DN TR LI
1. La chn d n nhm tm ra d n tt nht u t v thc hin.
Tt nht y cn tu thuc quan im nh gi. Trong lnh vc t
nhn, ngi ta quan tm ti vn li nhun. Cn trong lnh vc cng
th ch n cc li ch m c nn kinh t, c x hi c hng li.
D n c chn phi l d n mang tnh kh thi v hiu qu cao.
c th chn c d n nh vy, bn cn xem xt phn tch v cc ni
dung k thut, ti chnh, kinh t x hi, mi trng, cc ngun lc v
hnh thc t chc thc hin d n.
42
CHNG 3
THIT K T CHC D N
V XY DNG I NG D N
Sau khi la chn c d n thch hp, vic lm tip theo l
thit k m hnh t chc thc hin, tm chn mt gim c thch hp,
gy dng v pht trin i ng d n. Chng 3 trnh by v cc vn
lin quan n yu t con ngi trong qun tr d n.
MC TIU
Sau khi hc xong chng 3, bn s nm c cc vn sau:
Bit cch la chn v thit k c cu t chc d n.
Hiu c cc yu cu, trch nhim ca gim c d n.
Nm c cch thc c bn xy dng, pht trin v lnh o i
ng d n.
43
NI DUNG CHNH
3.1 THIT K C CU T CHC D N
Nhiu m hnh t chc khc nhau c s
dng thc hin d n. Cch b tr c
th ty thuc vo iu kin ca cng ty
thc hin d n, kh nng lc lng lao
ng sn c, quy m v yu cu c th ca
d n, quan im ca nhng ngi ra
quyt nh
Qun l d n c
ngha l qun l
nhng con ngi
Nh qun tr c th chia mt d n
thnh cc cng vic khc nhau v ch
nh chng cho cc b phn chc
nng thch hp. Trn c s d n
c thc hin v iu hnh thng
qua s phn cp qun tr. Hnh 3.1 th
hin m hnh ny.
c im ni bt ca
m hnh chc nng l
phn cp qun tr nn
mang tnh chuyn mn
ha cao, khai thc trit
nhn ti, nhng kh
qun tr v hp tc.
Gim c
Trng phng
kinh doanh
Trng phng
k thut
Trng phng
ti chnh
D n 1
D n 3
D n 5
D n 2
D n 4
D n 6
44
Gim c
Trng
phng
kinh doanh
Ch
nhim d
n A
Ti
chnh
Tip
th
Sn
xut
Ch
nhim d
n B
Ti
chnh
Tip
th
Trng
phng
ti chnh
Sn
xut
46
Tng gim c
Ch nhim
Gim c
ch-ng trnh - sn xut
Gim c
ti chnh
Ch nhim
ng Thng
ng Hng
d n A -- B Lan -- C H-ng -C Vinh
ng Ti
- Gim c
k thut
- Gim c
nhn s
ng nh
-- ng Dn --
Ch nhim -- C Thanh
ng Tm
ng Dng ---d n B
ng Minh
ng Ti
B H
C Hin
-- C Hin
Ch nhim
ng Thng -- ng Tm -- ng Dng -- ng C-ng --d n C
ng Dn
C Hin
48
3.2 GIM C D N
Ngy nay, vai tr ca nh qun tr d
n ngy cng tr nn quan trng hn.
chnh l ngi quyt nh s
thnh bi ca d n. Nng lc qun
tr d n, kh nng t chc, iu
hnh cng nh t cht kin thc,
kinh nghim v ti
Nh qun tr d n
mt phn ln thi
gian quan h v gii
quyt vi cc bn
tham gia d n
Gim c d n l
trng tm ca qun tr
d n v c vai tr
quan trng trong hot
ng d n.
49
50
51
3.3 XY DNG I NG D N
3.3.1 i ng d n
a. Khi nim i ng d n
i ng d n l mt tp
th cc cn b nhn vin
trc tip thc hin cc
cng vic d n. i ng
d n c thnh lp trong
thi gian tn ti ca d n.
i ng d n khng ch l
mt t hp cc chuyn gia
m n c s khc bit v
bn cht so vi qun th.
Nu i ng thiu tinh thn
tp th th kh to ra sc
mnh. y chnh l nguyn
nhn tht bi ca i ng.
54
55
a. Pht trin i ng d n
o to v bi dng
Cn bi dng cc thnh vin trong i ng v quan im nhm
mc ch nng cao tnh gic ng, bi dng k nng nghip v, k
nng i ng thc y s trng thnh ca tng thnh vin cng
nh ton i ng. Coi trng vic bi dng, o to nhn vin nhm
nng cao k nng giao tip, trnh k thut ca mi ngi phi c
xem l mt bin php quan trng pht trin i ng d n.
nh gi v khuyn khch
Gim c d n cn tin hnh nh gi v khuyn khch thng
xuyn i vi cc thnh vin d n xy dng vn ha v tinh thn
i ng d n. y l nhn t quan trng nng cao nng sut i
ng, thc y i ng thc hin t cc mc tiu t ra. Cn c c ch
nh gi hiu qu cng vic ca i ng thng qua s nh gi bn
ngoi v s nh gi ca chnh bn thn cc thnh vin trong i ng.
Cn xy dng c ch nh gi thnh tch i ng ngay sau khi thnh
lp i ng. Chnh sch khuyn khch cc thnh vin trong i ng
cng l v kh thc y s pht trin ca i ng.
56
b. Lnh o i ng d n
b. Xy dng vn ha i ng d n
58
d. Qun tr xung t
Xung t l s va chm ca cc
khuynh hng i lp, khng
tng ng, trong mt thi k
nhn thc no ca con ngi.
Xung t c th xy ra trong quan
Xung t c th gip
xy dng, cng c th
to ra s v.
59
60
TM TT
C th t chc d n theo m hnh chc nng, m hnh d n v
m hnh ma trn. Mi m hnh c u, nhc im v phm vi p dng
ring. Vic la chn m hnh no ty thuc vo iu kin c th, quy
m v tnh cht phc tp ca d n cng nh quan im ca nh qun
tr.
Gim c d n l ngi ng vai tr quan trng, quyt nh s
thnh bi ca d n. Qun tr d n chnh l qun tr con ngi, gim
c d n cn thc r iu ny trong trch nhim ca mnh. Gim
c d n i hi phi c t cht tt v kin thc chuyn mn, kin
thc tng hp v kin thc qun l. Kin thc l iu kin cn nhng
cha , gim c d n cn phi c cc nng lc lnh o, nng lc
ngoi giao v nng lc ra quyt nh. Nhng nng lc ny gip cho
gim c cho li con thuyn d n i n ch. Mt khc, gim c
cn phi c phm cht tnh cch v o c tt.
Mt gim c d n gii cha gip d n thnh cng.
Gim c gii cn phi bit to ra mt i ng ln mnh h tr cho
mnh. pht trin i ng, gim c d n cn phi ch trng vic
o to, bi dng, nh gi v khuyn khch ng vin cc thnh
vin. ng thi cn ch trng ti vic lnh o i ng mt cch dn
ch, sng to, to bu khng kh ci m v nhit thnh trong i d
n. Kh nng xy ra xung t cng l mt vn cn xem xt, i hi
ti nng v kinh nghim ca gim c d n.
61
CU HI N TP
1. C nhng m hnh no t chc thc hin d n? Bn s chn m
hnh no cho d n ca bn?
2. Gim c d n c vai tr g? m bo vai tr gim c d
n phi l ngi tho mn nhng yu cu nh th no?
3. Th no l i ng d n tt? c mt i ng d n tt bn cn
lm g?
HNG DN TR LI
1. C 3 m hnh t chc thc hin d n l m hnh kiu chc nng,
m hnh kiu d n v m hnh kiu ma trn. Mi m hnh u c u
nhc im ring. La chn m hnh no l tu thuc vo iu kin
c th ca d n, kh nng lc lng lao ng sn c, quy m v yu
cu c th ca d n, cng nh quan im ca bn. Tuy nhin bn c
th tham kho mt s gi sau:
M hnh dng chc nng kh thch hp vi cc d n quy m
nh v ch trng k thut m khng thch hp vi cc d n c s
bin i tng i ln v mi trng d n. Nguyn nhn l do s
bin i mi trng i hi phi c s hp tc cht ch gia cc b
phn chc nng, trong khi s tn ti ca bn thn b phn chc
nng v s xc nh gii hn ca quyn lc v chc trch li l mt
tr ngi m s phi hp cht ch gia cc b phn khng th vt
qua.
Khi trong mt cng ty bao gm rt nhiu d n hoc quy m d
n tng i ln, k thut phc tp th nn la chn m hnh dng d
n. So vi m hnh chc nng, khi phi i mt vi hon cnh bt n,
62
63
4 CHNG 4
5 LP K HOCH
6 V NGN SCH D N
Sau khi thit lp c i ng nhn vin thc hin d n, vic
lm tip theo l lp k hoch d n. Vic lp k hoch c coi l
khi im u tin cho cc cng vic thc hin d n. Chng ny s
trnh by cc vn c bn nht v lp k hoch v ngn sch d n.
MC TIU
Chng ny nhm gip bn nm c cc vn sau:
Cc vn v k hoch, cch thc lp k hoch d n.
Xy dng c cu phn chia cng vic c s lp k hoch d
n.
Phng php lp v cc b phn cu thnh nn ngn sch d n.
NI DUNG CHNH
4.1 CC VN V LP K HOCH D N
Bo co,
kt thc
S
k hoch
Pht trin
k hoch
Lp tin
thc hin
Bc 1: Xc lp mc tiu d n
Bc 3: Xy dng s k hoch d n
Bc 6: Chun b bo co v kt thc d n
Ni dung 2: Cc mc tiu ca d n
Ni dung 4: Vn hp ng ca d n
Ni dung 5: Tin d n
Ni dung 6: Ngun lc d n
Ni dung 7: Nhn s d n
68
Ni dung 9: Cc vn ri ro tim n
Vn ri ro v k hoch i ph vi ri ro cn c xem xt t
u khi ri ro xy ra c cc phn ng kp thi nhm lm gim cc
hu qu gy bt li n mc tiu d n.
4.2
69
10.00.00 D n xy dng
nh
11.00.00 Chun b
12.00.00 Xy nh
14.00.00 Hon thin
11.10.00 hp vi
12.10.00 mng
14.10.00 ...
.phng
11.20.00 o c
12.20.00 Lm tng 1
14.20.00
11.30.00
12.30.00 Lm tng 2
14.30.00
12.31.00
11.31.00
12.31.10
11.32.00
12.31.20
11.32.10
12.31.21
11.32.20
12.31.22
11.32.21
11.32.32
12.32.00
12.40.00
70
71
72
OBS
WBS
73
Gim Gim K s
c
Trng Trng
PD
d n
GS
TT
YK
YK
YK
TT
YK
YK
YK
GS
TT
YK
YK
PD
YK
TT
YK
PD
YK
YK
TT
hoch d
n
Xc nh
WBS
c tnh
chi ph
Lp KH
th trng
Lp tin
d n
Ghi ch: PD: ph duyt cui cng; GS: gim st chung; C: ch o
v ph duyt; TT: trch nhim trc tip; YK: phi c tham kho
kin.
4.3
NGN SCH D N
74
Cn c vo s liu v
kinh nghim qu kh,
chi ph ca cc khon
mc s chim mt t l
% nht nh trong tng
th
Vic d ton chi ph trc tip cho cc cng vic c thc hin
bi nhng nh qun tr cp thp. Cn tnh ton cc yu cu v ngun
lc nh lao ng, tiu hao nguyn vt liu v ngy cng i vi cc
cng vic nh, ri cng dn ln cho cc cng vic ln hn, theo c
cu phn chia cng vic WBS. S phn tch ny c chuyn i
tng ng sang con s c th bng tin.
Nhng khc bit v quan im cn phi c gii quyt bng cc
cuc tranh lun gia cc cp qun tr. Gim c d n v cc chuyn
gia chu trch nhim v chuyn mn phi cng bn bc a ra c
d ton ngn sch chnh xc. Sau khi chuyn gia xc nh c chi
ph trc tip ca cc cng vic, nh qun tr d n s thm vo mt s
cc chi ph gin tip nh chi ph qun l chung v hnh chnh, chi ph
d phng d n, v li nhun nh mc m t chc yu cu.
Phng php lp ngn sch t di ln thng l chnh xc hn
i vi cc nhim v nh nhng c mc quan trng cao. Tuy nhin
phng php ny c v phc tp v kh a ra c mt danh sch
hon ho chi ph cho cc cng vic phi lm so vi phng php t
trn xung.
76
b. Chi ph chung
78
c. Li nhun nh mc v thu
TM TT
K hoch d n l cn c rt quan trng tin hnh trin khai
thc hin v qun tr d n. Ngn sch d n c xc nh cng vi
qu trnh lp k hoch d n. Lp k hoch v xc nh ngn sch d
n l cc cng vic u tin phi lm khi nhm qun tr d n tip
nhn d n, bt u qu trnh trin khai thc hin.
Vic lp k hoch d n c tin hnh theo mt trnh t v
nguyn tc nht nh. Cn c lp k hoch d n l c cu phn
chia cng vic WBS. Ch l WBS cng c xc lp theo trnh t
v cc nguyn tc c th. Mc phn chia cng vic chi tit n u
l ty thuc vo c im, yu cu v phc tp ca d n, nhng
thng thng ch s dng 6 cp bc.
79
CU HI N TP
HNG DN TR LI
81
82
CHNG 5
7
8 LP TIN D N
Sau khi lp k hoch d n, vic tip theo l bn cn lp tin
d n. Tin d n c ngha rt quan trng. l cn c u tin
gip bn qun tr thi gian d n, nhm mc tiu hon thnh d n
ng thi hn quy nh.
MC TIU
Chng ny s gip bn gii quyt cc vn sau:
Thit lp s mng th hin tin d n.
p dng phng php v tnh ton s mng CPM v s
mng PERT.
NI DUNG CHNH
5.1 CC VN C BN V S MNG
Tin d n l c s trin khai thc hin d n, iu hnh v
gim st cc hot ng ca d n. Tin d n c lp trn c s
thit lp biu Gantt v s mng. Sau y bn s nghin cu tng
loi s ny.
83
Cc thng tin v cng vic v thi gian thc hin cng vic trong
biu Gantt c minh ha trong hnh 5.1. Trong , ct dc trnh
by cng vic c th; trc honh th hin thi gian; mi on thng
biu hin mt cng vic. di on thng l di cng vic. V tr
ca on thng th hin quan h th t trc sau gia cc cng vic.
Biu Gantt cho bit khi no cc cng vic bt u v kt thc,
mc hon thnh ca cc cng vic, d kin tnh trng ca d n ti
cc thi im khc nhau, cc hot ng song song c th thc hin
ng thi vi nhng hot ng khc. Biu Gantt c lp theo kiu
tin ti, t tri sang phi, cng vic no cn lm trc xp trc.
Cng
vic
9 10 11
A1
A2
A3
A4
Hnh 5.1 : V d v biu Gantt
84
b. S mng
S mng l m hnh th hin
ton b d n thnh mt th
thng nht. S mng m t
mi quan h lin tc gia cc
cng vic, ni kt cc cng vic
v cc s kin
S mng: mng
th hin mi quan h
gia cc cng vic d
n
ng v ng gng: ng l s sp xp lin tc ca cc
cng vic i t s kin bt u n s kin kt thc. Chiu di ca
ng l tng thi gian thc hin cc cng vic nm trn ng .
ng c di ln nht l ng gng. Cng vic nm trn ng
gng l cng vic gng.
Ngun lc: thi gian v vt cht cn thit thc hin d
n.
Thi gian cng vic: l khong thi gian hon thnh cng
vic theo c lng, c n nh trc hay tnh ton trc.
Tn cng vic
1
5 ngy
15/2/2007
10/2/2007
86
S kin c t ti nt, l
im chuyn tip nh du mt (mt
nhm) cng vic hon thnh v
khi u ca mt (mt nhm) cng
vic k tip.
j
Ej
m
i
Lj
87
Ej
Lj
j: s kin ang xt
i: s kin ng trc i n j
bng ng di nht
Ej , Lj: thi im sm, mun ca
s kin ang xt
Thi im sm ca s kin
Thi im sm ca s kin j (k hiu Ej) l thi im sm nht
kt thc cc cng vic i vo s kin j, hoc sm nht bt u
cc cng vic i ra khi s kin j.
Nu ng trc j ch c mt s kin i th Ej = Ei + ti j
Nu ng trc j c nhiu s kin th Ej = Max (Ei + ti j )
S kin bt u c E1 = 0
Thi im mun ca s kin
Thi im mun ca s kin j (k hiu Lj) l thi im mun
nht kt thc cc cng vic i vo s kin j, hoc mun nht bt
u cc cng vic i ra khi s kin j
Nu ng sau j ch c mt s kin k th Lj = Lk t jk
Nu ng sau j c nhiu s kin th Lj = Min (Lk tjk)
S kin kt thc c Ln = En
Thi gian d tr ca s kin
Mt s kin c 2 thi im xut hin l sm Ej v mun L j;
nhng n cng c th xut hin bt c lc no gia 2 thi im .
88
89
IRij = Ej Li tij
90
TT
Thi hn
hiu
1
91
Lm sau A
Lm sau B
12
Lm sau C
Lm sau F, E, D
Sau G
Sau C
A, 4
1
G, 4
D, 3
2
E, 6
B, 2
3
3
I, 4
F, 12
K, 3
C, 4
L6 = L7 t67 = 24 4 = 20
L5 = L6 t56 = 20 4 = 16
L4 = min [L7 t47; L5 t45] = L5 t45 = 4
L3 = L5 t35 = 16 6 = 10
L2 = L5 t25 = 16 3 = 13
L1 = min [L2 t12; L3 t13; L4 t14] = L4 t14 = 0
Bc 3: Xc nh ng gng
1
0
13
16
E, 6
6
20
B, 2
G, 4
D, 3
A, 4
20
16
4
I, 4
3
2
10
1
C, 4
F, 12
4
4
K, 3
24
24
vic
Ei
Lj
(1)
A (1-
(2) (3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
(8)
(9) (10)
13
10
2)
B (13)
C (1-
93
4)
D (2-
16
13
16
10
F (4- 12
16
16
16
20
20
16
20
20
24
20
24
21
17
17
17
17
5)
E (35)
5)
G (56)
I (67)
K (47)
Ch :
SR14 = 4 0 4 = 0
SR25 = 16 13 3 = 0
SR35 = 16 10 6 = 0
SR45 = 16 4 12 = 0
SR56 = 20 16 4 = 0
SR67 = 24 20 4 = 0
SR47 = 24 4 3 = 17
FR14 = 4 0 4 = 0
FR25 = 16 4 3 = 9
FR35 = 16 2 6 = 8
FR45 = 16 4 12 = 0
FR56 = 20 16 4 = 0
FR67 = 24 20 4 = 0
FR47 = 24 4 3 = 17
IR14 = 4 0 4 = 0
94
IR25 = 16 13 3 = 0
IR35 = 16 10 6 = 0
IR45 = 16 4 12 = 0
IR56 = 20 16 4 = 0
IR67 = 24 20 4 = 0
IR47 = 24 4 3 = 17
(a + 4m + b)
6
ba
6
Phng sai:
Phng sai l i lng o phn tn cc gi tr ngu nhin
xung quanh gi tr trung bnh, cho php xc nh chnh lch gia
cc gi tr trung bnh:
b - a
V= =
S = te = ti j
DS
D S
=
tong
2ij
Cng vic
te
2.5
0.8
0.7
4.0
0.3
0.1
4.5
0.8
0.7
3.2
0.5
0.3
6.0
0.7
0.4
11
12
16
12.5
0.8
0.7
4.5
1.2
1.4
4.7
1.0
1.0
3.5
1.2
1.4
DS
2
ij
28 26
3,8
= 1, 028
97
98
100
ngi na.
101
102
TM TT
Trong giai on trin khai thc hin d n, u tin cn phi lp
tin d n. y l cn c trin khai thc hin d n cng nh
iu hnh v gim st cc hot ng ca d n sau ny. C nhiu
phng php lp tin nh phng php biu Gantt, phng
php s mng. Biu Gantt d hiu hn v cho thy trng thi
hin ti ca d n mt cch r rng hn. Tuy nhin, biu ny cng
c mt s hn ch nh khng ch ra mt cch r rng cc cng vic u
tin v mi lin h ph thuc ln nhau gia cc cng vic. Do cc u
vit ni tri nn s mng l phng php c s dng ph bin.
S mng bao gm CPM v PERT. V mt hnh thc, cc tham
s thi gian trong CPM v PERT l nh nhau. Hai phng php ny
tuy c nhng nt khc nhau, PERT gi nh thi gian thc hin cc
cng vic thay i nhng c th tnh c nh phng php xc sut
cn CPM li s dng cc c lng thi gian xc nh. Nhng c hai
phng php u ch r mi quan h lin tc gia cc cng vic, u
dn n tnh ton ng gng, cng ch ra thi gian d tr ca cc
cng vic. S mng c th t cng vic trn nt (AON) hoc t
cng vic trn ng (AOA). Thc cht hai mng ny l tng
ng. V d trnh by trong chng l mng AOA.
Sau khi thit lp s mng cn xc nh thi gian sm v mun
ca cc s kin v cc cng vic, thi gian d tr ca cc s kin v
cng vic. Trn c s xc nh ng gng l ng ni t cng
vic/s kin u tin n cng vic/s kin cui cng vi di thi
gian ln nht. S mng c ti u ha bng cch tp trung vo
cc cng vic trn ng gng rt ngn tin thc hin d n.
103
CU HI V BI TP
1. Ni dung lp tin d n? Lp tin d n c th c thc
phng php AON hay phng php AOA? S khc nhau gia s
mng AON v AOA?
5. Hy lp s mng th hin tin d n, cho bit cc thng tin
Thi gian
Lm sau A
Lm sau A
Lm sau B v D
Lm sau B v D
hiu
104
Lm sau C v E
Lm sau F
HNG DN TR LI
Cc cu hi 1 4 xem cc chnh trong phn tm tt chng.
5. Ta lp c bng tnh cc thng s thi gian v v s mng d
n nh sau :
A, 3
4
12 12
3
1
0
C, 2
2
4
D, 3
0
0
B, 5
G, 4
16
E, 6
H, 3
F, 4
16
12
5
13
n
1
ij
1- 3 0
vic
0 0 0
105
2
2
3 3 0
1- 5 0
5 10 1
3
3
2- 3 3
6 6 0
3
4 12 12 0
2- 2 3
5 12 13 1
6 16 16 0
3- 6 6 12 6
3- 4 6 10 9
4- 4 12 16 12 1
6
5- 3 12 15 13 1
6
te
CV
gng
1-2
2.5
3.0
0.2
8
1-3
2-3
2-4
2.5
4
106
5 0.06
5.1
0.5
3.0
0.2
0.06
2.1
0.5
0.25
0.25
x
3-4
3-5
4-6
5-6
5.5
6.0
0.2
4.1
0.5
4.1
0.5
3.1
0.5
x
0.06
0.25
x
0.25
0.25
DS
ij2
20 16
2, 05
= 2,8
107
CHNG 6
PHN B NGUN LC
Lp xong tin d n, bn cn bit cch phn b ngun lc
thc hin d n. C mt vn bn lun phi i mt, l ngun lc
thng lun hn ch so vi yu cu t ra. Chng ny s gip bn
xem xt vic qun tr cc ngun lc lun b gii hn ca d n.
MC TIU
Sau khi hc xong chng ny, bn cn nm c cc vn ct
yu sau:
Hiu c cc vn c bn v ngun lc.
Vn v iu ha ngun lc.
Bit cch phn b ngun lc trong iu kin hn ch.
NI DUNG CHNH
MT S VN C BN V NGUN LC
125
Pht
trin
nng
cao
Thit
k chi
tit
Lao ng ph thng
100
Ch
to
Kt
thc
Vt liu
K s
500
400
75
300
50
200
Cc yu cu vt liu ($100)
Thit
k s
b
25
100
6.2 IU HA NGUN LC
113
R 1
= rij t ij
T T i j
Rtb
Rmax
vic sao cho t c biu ngun lc cng bng phng cng tt.
lm c vic , bn c th chuyn dch cc cng vic (thay i
thi im bt u) hoc gim ngun lc cn thit (ko di thi gian
thc hin vi iu kin khng vt qu thi gian d tr).
V d trong biu ngun lc hnh 6.2, ngy 1 v 2 cn 19 ngi; nhng ngy 3 v 4 ch cn 13 ngi; ngy 5, 6, 7 li cn ti 22
ngi Trong khong thi gian ny c cc cng vic 1-4; 4-5; 5-6; 67 l gng, khng th thay i, cn li cc cng vic khc khng gng
c th thay i thi im bt u trong phm vi thi gian d tr. Nh
cng vic 1-2; 1-3; 2-5; 3-5; 4-7 c d tr thi gian nn c th y li
li sau. Qu trnh c th ko di n khi biu nhn lc gn bng
phng l c. Nh vy, vi vic chuyn dch cc cng vic trong
phm vi thi gian d tr bn c th thu c biu cht ti ngun
lc iu ho hn (hnh 6.3).
2
4
4
3
2
0
4
20
5
3
1
0
10
16 16
4
0
20
5
4
13
1
12
4
4
24
3
4
24
6
4 !4! 7
4
3 !6! 5
2
!5!
1 !5! 4
1 !6! 3
1 !8!
2
5
!7!
!8!
!10!
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
22
19
2
4-7
0 1-3 13 3-5
12
10
1-2
8
7
2-5
1
115 5-6
1-4
6-7
5
4-5
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
13
12
20
11
10
1-3 3-5
15
1-2
2-5 4-7
8
10
4-5
5-6
6-7
1-4
5
0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
116
!12! 7
5 !12! 6
4 !4! 7
3 !6! 5
2
!5!
1 !7! 4
1 !6! 3
1
!8!
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
19 20 21 222 23 24
2
8 2
3-5
7
2
2
41
18
2 1-4 5 4-7
0
1-3
1
0
3-5
1-2
4-5
2-5
13
12
45 5-6
6-7
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
19 20 21 22 23 24
vic 5-6 gim 2 ngy vi nhu cu nhn lc tng thm 4 ngi; cng
vic 4-5 gim 4 ngy v nhu cu nhn lc cn tng 6 ngi. R rng,
vic gim thi gian v tng ngun lc l khng cng mt t l tng
xng. Trong v d ny, tin c rt ngn xung 16 ngy, v
ngun lc i hi tng ln, thi im cao nht cn 28 ngi.
6.4
PHN B NGUN LC HN CH
119
6.5
TM TT
121
CU HI N TP
1. Cc ngun lc thc hin d n l g? Cc loi ngun lc v c
im ca chng?
2. Hiu th no l iu ho ngun lc? Ti sao cn phi cn i cc
ngun lc?
3. Khi ngun lc s dng cho d n b hn ch, bn phi lm th no?
HNG DN TR LI
122
123
124
CHNG 7
KIM SOT D N
Kim sot ng vai tr quan trng trong qu trnh qun tr d n.
Vn tip theo sau khi lp k hoch l kim sot d n. Kim sot l
tt yu trong qu trnh qun tr d n, nhm gip cho vic thc hin
theo k hoch vch ra, hoc iu chnh vic thc hin khi c mt s
sai lch trong thc t. Chng ny s nghin cu cc vn v kim
sot d n.
MC TIU
Sau khi hc xong chng ny, bn s nm c 2 vn c bn l:
Qu trnh kim sot d n.
Ni dung kim sot d n.
NI DUNG CHNH
7.1 VN C BN V KIM SOT D N
7.2
7.1.1 Khi nim kim sot d n
Kim sot d n l qu
trnh o lng, nh gi,
iu chnh vic thc hin
nhm m bo cho cc
mc tiu, k hoch ca d
n c hon thnh c
hiu qu.
125
Kt qu
mong
mun
Khng cn
iu chnh
So snh
Kt
qu
thc t
Thc
hin
iu
chnh
o lng
kt qu
thc t
Xy dng
k hoch
iu chnh
Phn tch
nguyn
nhn sai
lch
Xc
nh
sai
lch
126
Lp k hoch
tng quan
- Cc k hoch
thc hin
- Cc ngun lc
- Cc cng ngh
Cc
hot ng
iu chnh
Qu trnh
thc hin
d n
Theo di, o
lng
- Cc kt qu
- Cc ch tiu
thc t
Cc thay
i, cc
ri ro, cc
vn
pht sinh
Thu thp
thng tin,
bo co v
tnh hnh
thc hin
Phn tch
thc trng
127
Cc ni
dung kim
sot chung
Cc
bo co
tin trnh
Kim sot
chung i vi
cc thay i
Kim
sot
tin
Kim
sot
chi ph
Kim sot
cht lng
Kim
sot
ri ro
7.2
y l bc u tin trong qu
trnh gim st d n. Trc tin
l thu thp v x l d liu v
tnh hnh cng vic thc t.
o lng tin
d n, bn c th s
dng cc thc o
khc nhau tu thuc
c th ca cng vic
ang thc hin.
Bo co cn c cp
nht thng xuyn. Bo
co c thc hin bi
nhng nh qun tr cp
di bo co cho cp
qun tr cao hn.
c. Phn tch kt qu
Phn tch kt qu l qu trnh so
snh cc kt qu thu c vi k
hoch nhm pht hin cc sai
lch, phn tch xu hng cc sai
lch, c cc phn ng kp thi
nhm ngn nga v gim thiu
tc hi ca chng.
132
b. Xem xt li chi ph
d. Xem xt li thi hn
133
f. Dng d n
y l quyt nh nng n v kh khn nht nhng n c th c a ra nu cc chi ph cho d n theo d bo vt qu cc thu nhp
mong i. Quyt nh dng d n ngoi cc kha cnh kinh t thun
tu cn cn phi vt qua cc ro cn tm l lin quan ti quyn li
ca cc thnh vin khc nhau ca d n.
7.3
cng vic cha hoc ang thc hin v nt t. Hai s trong ngoc l
sai lch (tun) ca thi im khi cng v thi im hon thnh. S
mang du m ngha l chm, du dng l nhanh hn so vi k hoch
ban u. Theo biu trn, tin lp ghp nh d kin chm so vi
k hoch ban u 1 tun.
T C Ni dung
T V
Thi gian
1
1 A Lm mng nh
2 B Vn chuyn cn
(0/-1)
(-1/-1)
trc
3 C Lp dng cn trc
(-1/0)
4 D Vn chuyn cu
(0/1)
kin
5 E Lp ghp khung
(-1/-1)
nh
Hnh 7.5. So snh biu xut pht v biu hin hnh ca tin
lp ghp nh
136
180
160
Chi ph (triu ng)
140
120
Chi ph tch ly
100
80
60
40
20
0
1
tun
40
35
30
Chi ph
25
Gii hn trn
20
Gii hn di
15
10
5
0
1
Hnh Thi
7.7.gian
Chi(tun)
ph theo tun
7.3.4 Tch hp kim sot thi gian, chi ph, cht lng v cc thay
i
TM TT
Lp k hoch tt, d tr ngn sch hp l, c b my nhn s
iu khin v qun tr d n tt cha , mt d n khng th t
c thnh cng nu qu trnh kim sot khng c ch trng. Kim
sot nhm m bo qu trnh thc hin trong thc t t gn c
nh k hoch d kin. Trong qu trnh kim sot, nh qun tr d n
phi thng xuyn theo di pht hin ra nhng sai lch, t c
phng n iu chnh v x l kp thi. c th xy dng c mt
h thng kim sot tt cho d n, cn phi tun theo cc nguyn tc c
th, trong thng tin phn hi l c bit quan trng. Kim sot d
n bao gm c kim sot chung v cc kim sot h tr trn cc lnh
vc nh kim sot thi gian, kim sot chi ph, kim sot cht lng,
139
CU HI N TP
1. Kim sot l g? Mc tiu ca kim sot l g? Kim sot hng ti
ci g?
2. Qu trnh kim sot c tin hnh nh th no? Kim sot bao
gm cc ni dung g?
140
HNG DN TR LI
1. Kim sot d n l qu trnh o lng, nh gi, kim tra, iu
chnh trong qu trnh thc hin d n m bo t c cc mc
tiu t ra.
Mc tiu ca kim sot, l gip cc nh qun tr xem xt hiu qu
v thm nh tnh ng sai ca cc hot ng lp k hoch, chng
trnh, t chc v iu hnh.
Kim sot d n l hot ng tch cc ca nh qun tr m
bo rng d n c hon thnh ng thi hn, trong phm vi ngn
sch cho v p ng c cc yu cu v cht lng v quy cch
k thut. Kim sot m bo cho cc k hoch d n c thc hin
vi hiu qu cao.
Kim sot m bo thc thi quyn lc ca nh qun tr, bi thng
qua kim sot, cc nh qun tr c th kim sot c nhng yu t s
nh hng n s thnh cng ca d n.
Kim sot gip d n theo st v i ph vi s thay i, gip
cc nh qun tr nm c bc tranh ton cnh v mi trng v c
nhng phn ng thch hp trc cc vn v c hi thng qua vic
pht hin kp thi nhng thay i ang v s nh hng n d n.
Kim sot to tin cho qu trnh hon thin v i mi.
2. Qu trnh kim sot gm vic theo di d n; o lng v phn tch
kt qu; iu chnh trong qu trnh kim sot.
Theo di c th c tin hnh bng cch n gin nht theo
phng php 0-100 hoc mc chi tit hn nh phng php 5050 hay theo mc thi gian.
o lng tin thc hin d n, cn lp bo co v tin d
n, lm c s cho vic phn tch v mt thi gian, chi ph, v cht
lng cng nh s thay i trong thit k.
141
Khi phn tch thy tnh hnh thc t sai lch so vi k hoch, ta
cn tin hnh mt s iu chnh. Mc iu chnh nhiu hay t ty
vo sai bit l ln hay nh so vi d kin. mc sai lch t, bn
c th tm mt c hi gii quyt khc. Nu mc sai lch l ln hn,
bn c th xem xt gia tng thm chi ph, gia tng thm thi gian
cho cc cng vic cn li ca d n. Nu mc sai bit l ln hn na,
bn c th thay i quy m v mt s yu cu ca d n cho ph hp.
Khi sai lch l cc k ln v khng c bin php iu chnh, bn cn
quyt nh dng d n.
Kim sot bao gm nhiu ni dung, trong cc ni dung chnh
l: kim sot s thay i, kim sot thi gian chi ph cht lng,
v kim sot ri ro. Mt khc, bn cn bit cch tch hp cc ni dung
ny li xc lp mt h thng kim sot ton din.
142
CHNG 8
9 QUN TR RI RO
10 V HP NG D N
Do ri ro lun tim n trong cc d n, nn qun tr ri ro c coi
l mt ni dung quan trng trong qu trnh qun tr d n. Mt khc,
trong qu trnh qun tr d n, mi quan h ca cc bn lin quan n
d n u c iu tit qua hp ng. Chng ny s gii thiu cc
ni dung quan trng ny.
MC TIU
Sau khi hc xong chng ny bn cn nm c cc vn :
Cc vn v qun tr ri ro d n: cc loi ri ro tim n, ni
dung v qu trnh qun tr ri ro d n.
Cc vn v hp ng d n: k kt v thc hin hp ng d
n, thay i, hy b hoc chm dt hp ng, cc phng thc gii
quyt tranh chp hp ng d n.
143
NI DUNG CHNH
8.1 RI RO V QUN TR RI RO D N
Ri ro c c trng bi hai yu t:
Ri ro = Xc sut xut hin Mc tc ng
Phn
theo
mi
trng
tc
ng
Phn
theo
i
tng
Mi
trng
bn
trong
Mi
trng
bn
ngoi
Mi trng hot ng d n
Nhn thc ca con ngi
Mi trng thin nhin
Mi trng vn ho
Mi trng x hi
Mi trng chnh tr
Mi trng lut php
Mi trng kinh t
Mi trng cng ngh thng tin
Ri ro v ti sn
Ri ro v nhn lc
Ri ro v trch nhim php l
Phn theo
ngnh, lnh
vc hot
ng
Phn theo
bn cht
Ri ro thun tu
Ri ro suy tnh
Phn theo kh
nng lng ha
Ri ro c th tnh ton c
Ri ro khng th tnh ton c
Phn theo kh
nng bo him
Ri ro c th bo him
Ri ro khng th bo him
Ri ro c h thng
Ri ro khng c h thng
145
146
Ri ro c th bo him: l nhng ri ro nu xy ra s dn n cc
thit hi, v ngi ta gim nh thit hi bng cch mua bo him
trc. V d nh bo him chy n, bo him ti sn
Ri ro khng th bo him: bao gm ri ro c bc v u c,
khng bit r kt cc nn khng th bo him c. V d cc phng
n u t vo th trng chng khon hoc bt ng sn.
8.1.3 Qun tr ri ro d n
Qun tr ri ro l vic xc
nh, phn tch, ra cc
bin php kim sot v
khng ch cc s kin, tnh
hung bt ng nh hng
n cc mc tiu t ra.
Xc nh
ri ro
Phn tch
nh tnh
ri ro
Kim sot,
iu chnh
ri ro
Lp k
hoch i
ph ri ro
Phn tch
nh lng
ri ro
149
Bc 1: Lp k hoch qun tr ri ro d n
Bc 2: Xc nh ri ro d n
150
Bc 5: Lp k hoch i ph vi ri ro
152
8.2 HP NG V QUN TR HP NG D N
8.2.1 Khi nim hp ng d n
Hp ng d n l bn tha thun
v quyn li v ngha v gia cc
bn tham gia d n. N ch r mi
quan h gia cc bn v l cn c
thc hin d n.
Hp ng l hnh
vi php lut, hai
bn tham gia c v
tr bnh ng trong
hp ng
153
a. K kt hp ng d n
b. m phn hp ng d n
c. Bo m ca hp ng d n
e. Ph duyt hp ng d n
154
f. Thc hin hp ng d n
a. Thay i v hy b hp ng d n
iu kin thay i v hy b hp ng l:
Hai bn tham gia t nguyn bn bc nht tr, v khng c lm
nh hng n li ch quc gia, li ch x hi.
Do iu kin v tnh hung bt kh khng.
Do mt bn tham gia vi phm hp ng, gy nh hng
nghim trng n quyn li ca bn kia hoc nh hng n d n.
Xut hin iu kin hy b hp ng nh quy nh trong hp
ng d n.
b. Chm dt hp ng d n
156
157
TM TT
Qun tr ri ro l mt vic lm cn thit, bi n s gip d n hn
ch v gim thiu c nhng tc ng bt thng xy ra gy nh
hng n mc tiu chung ca d n.
Trong chng ny, bn tm hiu khi nim v ri ro vi hai c
trng ca n l xc sut xut hin v mc tc ng. Vic phn loi
ri ro cng l mt vic lm c ngha, bi vi mi loi ri ro khc
nhau th vn qun tr ri ro cng hon ton khc nhau. qun
tr ri ro, bn c th p dng quy trnh gm 6 bc. u tin, bn cn
lp k hoch qun tr ri ro nh hng chung v cc cng vic v
phm vi cn thc hin qun tr ri ro. Sau bn tin hnh xc
nh ri ro, tc l lp danh mc cc ri ro c kh nng xy ra cho d
n. T , bn s phn tch nh tnh, v nu c th th nh lng xc
sut xut hin v mc tc ng ca ri ro. Cc ri ro ln, nghim
trng cn s ch c bit trong khi bn lp k hoch i ph vi ri
158
CU HI N TP
1. Vic phn loi ri ro c tc dng g i vi vic qun tr ri ro?
2. Nh qun tr d n thng qua hp ng qun tr d n nh th
no?
HNG DN TR LI
1. C th phn loi ri ro theo nhiu tiu thc khc nhau. Cc loi ri
ro khc nhau v bn cht, c im, mc nghim trng th vic
qun tr chng s khc nhau. Chng hn trnh hoc hn ch cc ri
ro do mi trng bn ngoi d n gy ra, bn cn tm hiu k cng v
iu kin c th ti ni u t d n. Hoc v d khc, bn khng th
lm g c khi cc ri ro c h thng xy ra, ch c mt cch l nu
thy ri ro ny qu ln th bn s khng la chn d n ngay t u.
159
160
CHNG 9
11 KT THC D N
Kt thc d n l mt vic lm quan trng v cn thit trong qu
trnh qun tr d n. Chng ny bn s nghin cu l do cn phi kt
thc d n cng nh xem y l mt vic lm nghim tc trong qu
trnh qun tr.
MC TIU
Nghin cu chng ny bn s nm c cc vn sau:
L do v cc hnh thc kt thc d n.
Cc du hiu nhn bit ra quyt nh kt thc d n.
T chc vic kt thc d n v lp bo co tng kt.
NI DUNG CHNH
Tt c cc d n u phi kt thc. Giai on kt thc d n c
th din ra rt nhanh chng, nhng thng th n l mt qu trnh di
v c lc trong thc t khng th kt thc c d n. Giai on kt
thc d n hu nh khng c nh hng nhiu n s thnh cng hay
tht bi v mt k thut, nhng n lin quan nhiu n thi v s
nh gi ca khch hng, cng nh nh hng n cc lnh o v i
ng nhn vin d n. N cng cho php a ra kinh nghim v bi
hc v thnh cng, hoc tht bi.
161
162
Hu ht cc d n u mang tnh ni b, tc l n do mt
nhm d n trong t chc m thc hin. V d nh khi mt cng ty
khi st nhp v tch ra khi mt cng ty m, th cc d n c ca cng
ty con s c chuyn thnh d n nhnh ca cng ty m, hoc cc d
n ca cng ty m c th c chuyn giao nh mt d n c lp ca
cng ty con.
Khi thnh cng ca d n dn n vic kt thc d n bng cch
b sung, qu trnh chuyn i thc s khc bit vi kiu kt thc hon
ton. Trong c hai trng hp d n u khng tn ti na. Nhn s,
ti sn v thit b ca d n c chuyn t d n ang kt thc sang
b phn mi thnh lp. Khi chuyn i t d n sang mt b phn,
mt d n khc, bn s phi i mt vi nhng sc p v tr ngi t
hot ng chuyn i. Khi st nhp bn cn ch n kinh nghim,
kh nng ca t chc chnh (hoc khch hng) v cng ngh, nhn
s...
163
164
166
9.4 BO CO TNG KT
H thng qun l d n tt l mt
h thng phi ghi li c c s d
liu v n. Bo co tng kt d n
ghi li ton b c s d liu ca d
n. N khng phi ch n thun l
mt bn nh gi qu trnh, m hn
th, n l nht k v
Bo co tng kt l nht k
ghi li d liu v qu trnh
thc hin d n. Mc ch
cn bn ca n nhm ci
thin nhng d n trong
tng lai.
169
170
TM TT
Tt c cc d n d thnh cng hay tht bi cng u cn phi
c kt thc. Trong chng ny, chng ta nghin cu cc hnh thc
kt thc d n, cng nh cc iu kin c th kt thc d n. Nh
ch ra trn, mt vi d n khng hon ton kt thc, nhng cc
hot ng v ngn sch li suy gim i rt nhiu. Chng ta xem xt
vi m hnh h tr quyt nh c th gip mt t chc trong vic
171
d n.
CU HI N TP
1. Lit k v miu t ngn gn nhng cch no chm dt d n? Vn
g s ny sinh nu nh qun tr d n khng tip tc theo di d
n na khi d n sp kt thc?
2. Nhn t g c coi l quan trng nht khi quyt nh chm dt d
n?
3. Nhim v chnh ca nh qun tr ph trch kt thc d n l g?
172
HNG DN TR LI
1. C th chm dt d n theo kiu kt thc hon ton; kt thc bng
cch b sung, st nhp; v kt thc bng cch b ri. Khi d n chun
b kt thc, d vi bt c hnh thc no, cho d d n l thnh cng
hay tht bi, nh qun tr u cn phi quan tm theo di d n. Nu
khng, d n s b ri vo tnh trng qu trnh kt thc c ko di ra
mi, hoc khng th kt thc c. Bn ch ti vng i ca d n
m t chng 1, giai on u d n khi ng rt chm, giai
on thc hin khi gung my d n bt u hot ng, d n s
trin khai pht trin nhanh v mnh, n giai on cui d n b ko
di ra mi, cho d d n ang c thc hin ht sc thnh cng.
Do vy s quan tm ca nh qun tr n d n t nht cng gip cho
qu trnh kt thc d n khng b ko di. i vi d n khng thnh
cng th vic quan tm kt thc d n li cng quan trng. Nhng
tc ng nh gy tm l bt an, lo lng cho ton b i ng, sp xp
li c cu t chc khng ph hp, ti sn thit b khng c qun l
d b h hng xung cp l cc nguy c rt d xy ra trong trng
hp ny. Trong trng hp d n c st nhp vi mt d n khc
ln hn th vic quan tm n qu trnh bn giao chuyn i ny cng
rt quan trng v n nh hng trc tip n cc hot ng ca d n
c st nhp. Tt nhin c nhiu trng hp ngi ta khng th
tuyn b kt thc d n nhng y khng phi l trng hp ph bin.
2. Trong trng hp d n b thiu h tr t pha cc nh qun tr cao
cp, hoc ngi ta ch nh nhm nh qun tr d n, hoc vic lp
k hoch qu d, qu trnh kim sot khng t c cc yu cu ti
thiu t ra, c nhiu tc ng ri ro t bn ngoi nh thiu vn trm
trng, hoc khng p ng c v mt k thut, cng ngh, mi
173
174
Project
Management
Institute,
Newtown
Square
175
i ng
ngha
l
nhiu
ngi lm
nhng iu
Management:
Engineering,
Technology,
and
176