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Copyright , 2010
. All rights reserved.
.
/Abstract
1.
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
2. Nash
2.1 John Nash
2.2 Nash
2.3
2.3.1 Prisoners dilemma
2.3.2 Battle of the Sexes
2.3.3 Chicken Game
2.3.4 Risk Dominance
2.3.5 Matching Pennies
3.
3.1
3.2
3.2.1 Prisoners dilemma
3.2.2 Battle of the Sexes
3.2.3 Chicken Game
3.2.4 Risk Dominance
3.2.5 Matching Pennies
3.2.6
3.2.7
Nash.
,
.
.
Nash.
John Nash,
.
: ,
, chicken game, matching pennies.
.
, .
ABSTRACT
This thesis addresses with the analysis of game theory and in particular the Nash
equilibrium. It starts with a general reference to game theory and continues with its
development, from its first discovery until today. It shows all the applications in
different fields and analyzed some important definitions for understanding.
Then the focus shifts to Nash equilibrium. It describes the concept of
equilibrium that took its name from John Nash, whose life is summarized. Moreover
presented five of its most famous games which were used in research: the prisoner's
dilemma, the battle of the sexes, the chicken game, the risk dominance and the
matchingpennies.
The next chapter analyzes the results of research conducted with the help of
students at the University of Macedonia for all these games and compared with
previous experiments. Eventually, the conclusions which resulted from the
development of this work are being presented and what could be done to be further
development in
the
future.
1.1
.
,
. [1]
, .
, .
, .[2]
1.2
18 (1838)
Augustin Cournot
. [3]
,
.
Theory of Games & Economic Behavior, 1944,
John von Neumann Oskar Morgenstern.[4]
1950
John Nash -
, Nash. ,
,
, .
Russel Crow,
,
29 .
,
. 1965 Reinhard Selten
( )
(subgame perfect equilibrium)
(trembling hand perfect equilibrium), 1975 John Harsanyi
John Nash - .
, , 1994,
.
1970 ,
John Maynard Smith
(evolutionary stable strategy).[5]
1990
.
.[6]
2005 Tomas Schelling
Robert Aumann
.
2007 Roger Myerson, Leonid Hurwicz Eric Maskin
.[7]
1.3
,
.
, , ,
, , ,
.[8]
,
, .[9]
( )
(industrial organization), (mechanism design)
, , , , (
1838 ) [10]
.
,
.
,
. [11]
(Collective action),
.
.
. [12]
. (
) 1 1 . Ronald Fisher (1930)
,
!
,
.
,
,
. [13]
1.4
. ,
( ),
,
,
.[14]
(outcome),
. (payoff),
,
. [15]
,
, .
pure
mixed. ()
.
,
.[16]
,
.
. [17]
,
(normal) (strategic)
. [18]
,
, .
:
(
).
.
, ,
.
. [19]
, . ,
.
.
, 1, 2.
,
1, , 2.[21]
(, payoff)
.
, .
.
. ,
(1) (1) 5
.
10
, ,
.
.
dominant
.
.
dominated
.[22]
1
2, (5>4) (1>0),
1 , 1 2.
1 .
.
1 ,
1, (5>0) 2, 1
2 (-100<0).
.
.
.
weakly dominates
.
weakly dominated
strategy. 1 2
(5>-100) (0=0).
equilibrium.
. [23]
(1, 1) (5, 5)
11
1, 1
(1, 1).
, .
, dominated
,
.
.
Iterated Elimination of Dominated Strategies, IEDS.
.
,
.
, .
. [24]
Nash .
1.5
.
. :
.
,
( n), n ,
.
,
.
. [25]
12
. ( )
.
(cooperative games)
,
(non cooperative games). [26]
.
,
(zero-sum games).
. - (non zero-sum
games) .
,
.[27]
.
,
,
.
. [28]
.
.
,
.
.
.
, .
.[29]
13
2
Nash
2.1 John Nash
John Nash
.
Nash 1928.
, .
1945 Carnegie Institute of Technology Pittsburgh
,
.
1948 Princeton
,
.
John Nash
Princeton University, R. L. Duffin.
Nash . Nash
21 ! 1950 Proceedings of the
National Academy of Sciences. Equilibrium Points in n-Person Games,
.
1951
Annals of Mathematics Non-cooperative Games. [30]
, Nash
,
1994.
Nash. [31]
14
Nash ()
.
.
2.2 Nash
Nash
,
,
. ,
.
() .
Nash. [32]
,
.
.
,
.
[33] ,
.
Nash, :
. [34]
Nash,
.
15
.
1 .
. 1 5
, 2 0(
, ).
1 5. .
2 2
(-100<0), 0 .
, :
2.2
.
1 , 1 5
4 (
, ).
2 , 1 1
0 . .
:
16
2.2
Nash
,
. .
(1, 1)=(5, 5).
Nash,
Nash.
.
.
1 p
2 p-1.
, .
.
Nash
( )
Nash ()
Nash ( ), Nash
. [36]
,
. [37]
, .
,
. [38]
17
2.3
Nash
Nash .
Nash ,
,
.
.
18
2.3 ( ) [41]
,
.
2.4 ( ) [42]
.
:
(confess), (not confess).
.
,
. .
,
( ),
.
.
. .
, ,
.
19
.
. ,
. ,
. Nash ,
, (1,1)=(1,1), .[43]
Gambit,
Nash
.
.
Gambit
.
(1, 1)=(1, 1)
( ) ( 1)
( ) ( 1).
.
.
,
20
.[44] :
. ,
.
,
- Nash
. [45]
free rider problem( ).
. (
,
)
, ,
.
,
John Nash(
) Robert Axelrod. 70
Axelrod ,
.
.
,
. Anatol Rapoport
, Tit for Tat, .
, ,
.
.
21
( ) (
).[46]
, .
, , .
.
,
. [47]
.
:
,
.
.
50(
) . [48]
,
.
.
,
. [49]
, .
/
. [50]
. ,
. [51]
22
, `50,
.
,
.
.
,
.
2.5 [52]
, ,
.
.
,
.[53]
, .
.
.[54]
.
( )
.
.
23
,
. ( )
.
. Nash
, (1,1)=(2,1) (2,2)=(1,2).
2 1
, 2 1.
. [55]
Gambit
.
1 2 ,
1 2 .
Gambit
24
:
( ), ( ).
.
.
, .
, .
. [57]
(
, ,
) .
, . [58]
.
Nash :
(12)=(3,1) (21)=(1,3).
.
, .
. [59]
25
Gambit.
,
.
Gambit
Hawk-Dove(-).
.
.
( )
( 11=0,0
). ( )
( 22=2,2 ).
.[60]
Nash ,
.
(
).
,
.
chicken game battle of the sexes,
, .
26
Nash.
Nash
,
chicken game ( ).
(
). [61]
Gambit
,
.
27
28
Gambit
.
Gambit
. ,
, Nash
.
,
, , .
baseball, .[63]
(odds and
evens). ,
.[64]
29
3
Nash.
.
.
3.1
.
Nash.
30
31
3.2
233
, (116
117 ). 109 (59
50 ) 124 (57 67 ).
,
,
Nash .
SPSS
.
(
).
.
3.1
(
) 1 2. 82%(191
233 ) 1
32
, .
( 10)
3.2
( ) 1
78%(85 109) 22%(24 )
2 .
33
( 20)
:
3.3
.
.
34
.
.
( 300)
:
3.4
116 ,
81%(94 ) 1
.
35
(
400) :
3.5
117 , ,
82,9%(97 ) 1 .
1
.
36
85%(198 ) 1 ,
15%, 2
.
3.7
1
76,1%(83 109).
37
:
3.7
1
92,7(115 124).
1 .
38
3.8
116 ( )
87,9%(102) 1 .
3.9
39
42,5% (99 ) 1 ,
57,5%(134 ) 2.
.
(1, 2)= (3, 1) (2, 1)=(1, 3).
40
3.11
1 50,5(55 109)
2 49,5, 54
.
:
3.12
35,5%(44 124 ) 1 .
.
41
(
300).
3.13
35,3%(41 116) 1 .
42
117
3.14
. 49,6%(58 )
1 50,4%(59) 2.
. 1
.
43
.
71,7%(167 ) 2
.
.
:
3.16
1 36,7(40
109).
44
:
3.17
,
1
Nash.
(risk averse behavior),
.
:
3.18
45
1
2 . 1
25 116 21,6%.
:
3.19
46
,
, .
.
.
,
.
( ),
47
.
62,1% (144 ) 1 37,9% (88
) 2 , .
1 63,3%(69
109) .
3.21
48
3.22
1 61%(75 124).
, .
.
49
3.23
67,2% 1 .
116 78 1 38 2.
.
3.24
56,9%(66 117) 1
.
10% .
.
50
3.2.6
1
, .
3.25 1
1(%)
2(%)
3(%)
4(%)
5(%)
82
85
42,5
28,3
62,1
78
76,1
50,5
36,7
63,3
85,5
92,7
35,5
21
61
81
87,9
35,3
21,6
67,2
82,1
49,6
35
56,9
82,9
SPSS
. x2
. p-value 0,05
.
51
:
3.26
x2
p-value
2,210
0,137
12,515
0,000
5,323
0,021
7,069
0,008
0,133
0,715
p-value 0,05 :
, chicken game
0,05.
:
3.27
x2
p-value
0,138
0,710
1,578
0,209
4,825
0,028
5,222
0,022
2,636
0,104
, chicken game ,
p-value 0,05.
.
3.2.7
,
,
.
.
52
Ariel Rubinstein .
Ariel Rubinstein Princeton University Tel Aviv
University, 40
.
:
.
.
, ,
1999 .
.
, .
36 75% ,
1 (2, 1), Nash.
50%
50% .
(
) 1
: 75% Rubinstein, 76,1 .
: 36
Rubinstein, 109 .
,
,
53
.
1 28,3%,
1 .
2
.
.
,
, . Rubinstein
33 49, ,
233, . [65]
.
.
Coleman (1983) 1500 .
1950 .
RAND Corporation (
, UCLA Alchian
Williams, RAND,
54
100 . Nash (
) 14 (
) 60 .
( ).
,
.
.
Frank, Gilovich Regan (1993)
,
. (
).
(
).
.
, ,
:
24%
.
( ) 33%
.
17%
.
28%, 53%.(
,
, ).
( 13%
).
55
. [67]
,
:
( )
(
).
24% .
:
22% 14,5%
(
2 ).
.
13% ,
:
.
2 19%,
17,1%.
56
.
.
,
.
.
(
).
(
),
,
.
,
,
.
.
.
, ,
.[67]
,
,
2009
ACM(Association for
Computing Machinery),
,
. ,
,
57
50 .
Nash,
Nash(
).
, ,
.[68]
.
Nash
.
( )
.
.
Nash .
.
,
(
),
.
.
( ).
,
Nash .
58
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