Professional Documents
Culture Documents
The Wealth Report 2012
The Wealth Report 2012
2012
CONTRIBUTORS
ANDREW SHIRLEY
WELCOME
DEFINITIONS
HNWI
LIAM BAILEY
ever before have wealth creation, economic risk and politics been so
closely intertwined with the performance of prime residential and commercial
property markets. Drawing on insight from Knight Frank, Citi Private Bank and
other leading commentators, The Wealth Report 2012 pulls together all these
strands and explains their connections and likely implications.
Using exclusive data and survey results, we uncover how the wealth being
generated by the worlds fastest growing economies is an integral part of the
equation, but also discover on page 16 that economic growth alone is not enough
to create cities considered genuinely important by the worlds wealthiest people.
The central trend dominating prime
property markets has been the relentless
growth of plutonomy economics, a
phenomenon that sees the wealth of the
richest 1% growing far quicker than that of
the general population a trend we initially
examined in our first Wealth Report in 2007.
A year later, in the eye of the global
economic storm, plutonomy seemed under
threat as asset values plummeted. Ironically
the response to the financial crisis did more
to revive the value of investments held by
the wealthy than improve the position of the
wider population. Grinne Gilmores article
on page 10 of this years report highlights
growing political concerns about the
potential effects of income inequality.
My own analysis of prime residential
property on page 26 points to the growing interest in wealth accumulation
and wealth flows, both in the countries leading economic expansion in the
emerging world, and also across Europe and North America where this money
is increasingly being invested. In addition, our annual Attitudes Survey provides
a unique insight into HNWI investment and spending trends. The results are
featured throughout the report and there is a detailed regional breakdown on
page 64 of Databank.
I hope you find our annual update on prime property and wealth both
interesting and useful. If Knight Frank or Citi Private Bank can be of further help
please do get in touch. You can find our contacts at the back of the report.
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
CONTENTS
MONITOR
PAGES 6-23
Our map of the latest concentrations of global mega-wealth reveals that the momentum is undeniably
with the worlds emerging economies. However, when it comes to choosing a home, its the familiar
places that are still drawing the super-rich.
PERFORMANCE
PAGES 24-45
Prime housing markets around the world have had a mixed year, but safe-haven locations are proving
resilient. They are also attracting commercial investors.
PORTFOLIO
PAGES 46-57
In light of ongoing global political and economic turmoil, the super-rich are thinking long and hard
about how best to invest and safeguard their wealth. Many are looking to combine business with
pleasure by investing in art, wine and sport.
DATABANK
58
CONTACTS
66
KEY
Throughout The Wealth Report we have used these symbols to signpost readers to content that draws
on our Attitudes Survey of HNWIs, our PIRI index of global prime property markets and
HNWI interviews.
Attitudes
Survey
ATTITUDES SURVEY
What the wealthy think about
everything from property
to philanthropy
PIRI
2012
PRIME INTERNATIONAL
RESIDENTIAL INDEX
The ultimate guide
to the best prime residential
property globally
WEALTH TALK
Exclusive insight from leading
lights and trendsetters in the
world of wealth
MONITOR
GLOBAL WEALTH DISTRIBUTION AND LOCATIONS
FAVOURED BY THE SUPER-RICH EXPLORED
WEALTH FLOWS
We investigate the
emerging centres of wealth
across the world
14
SLICK CITIES
The Wealth Report reveals
the cities that really matter
to HNWIs
22
LIFES LUXURIES
Emerging economies are
hungry for luxury, says
Cartier boss
MONITOR
RISE
OF THE
NEW
RICH
PREDICTED INCREASE
IN CENTA-MILLIONAIRES
2011-2016
UNITED
STATES
+23%
+59%
BRAZIL
20062011
20102011
20112016
1980
2012
GLOBAL
NORTH
AMERICA
LATIN
AMERICA
+29%
+7%
+37%
+6%
+6%
+24%
+67%
0%
+60%
2050
5,000
8,000
17,000
21,000
London School of Economics professor Danny Quah has calculated that the worlds
economic centre of gravity the average location of economic activity by GDP is on
the move. By 2050, the steady rise of emerging economies in Asia will have pushed the
theoretical centre of gravity modelled by Professor Quah from its location in 1980 in
the Atlantic Ocean to somewhere between China and India by 2050. He predicts that
political influence will follow a similar trajectory eastwards.
SOURCE: GLOBAL ECONOMYS CENTRE OF GRAVITY, QUAH (2011)
63,000
86,000
= 1,000 centa-millionaires, 2011 2016
Centa-millionaire = $100m disposable assets
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
+76%
RUSSIA
UNITED
KINGDOM
+44%
+9%
SWITZERLAND
+106%
CHINA
+114%
INDIA
UNITED
ARAB EMIRATES
+25%
+15%
JAPAN
+65%
HONG KONG
+67%
SOURCE: LEDBURY RESEARCH
SINGAPORE
EASTERN
EUROPE
WESTERN
EUROPE
-7%
+8%
+7%
AFRICA
MIDDLE
EAST
SOUTH &
CENTRAL ASIA
SOUTHEAST ASIA
3,000
5,000
1,000
2,000
2,000
3,000
3,000
6,000
Inflation INDIAN
14,000
15,000
$39.9
TOTAL NET WORTH OF
CENTA-MILLIONAIRES 2011
TRILLION
18,000
26,000
E
MONITOR
conomic turbulence
failed to curb the rise in the number of ultra-wealthy
individuals last year, according to exclusive new figures
produced for The Wealth Report.
There are now 63,000 people worldwide with $100m
or more in assets, according to Ledbury Research, which
specialises in monitoring global wealth trends. The
number of these centa-millionaires has increased by
29% since 2006 and is forecast to rise even further (see
graphic, p8).
But HNWIs were not spared
from the challenges that
faced all investors across the
globe last year. Amid growing
economic and political tensions,
manifested most clearly in the
eurozone crisis and the Arab
Spring uprisings, many world
stock markets fell sharply.
Commodity prices were also
volatile and the growth in
average global real estate values
slowed with the exception of
localised out-performance in
some markets (see our Prime
International Residential Index,
p26, and our commercial
property trends report, p36).
The global economy expanded, but the pace of
growth was much slower than in 2010. The US economy
grew by just 1.8% and GDP in the troubled eurozone
rose just 1.6%. In contrast, Asia managed to chalk up
economic growth of 7.9%, although even this was down
on the 9.5% achieved 12 months earlier.
The London School of Economics professor Danny
Quah forecasts that by 2050 the worlds economic centre
of gravity, a theoretical measure of the focal point of
global economic activity based on GDP, will have shifted
eastwards to lie somewhere between China and India
(see map, p8). Professor Quah calculated that in 1980 it
was in the middle of the Atlantic.
GRINNE GILMORE
Head of UK Residential
Research, Knight Frank
HEADING EAST
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
11
Singapore:
highest GDP
per capita now
and in 2050
TABLE 1
THE WORLDS LARGEST
ECONOMIES
2010
GDP $tn
1
US
14.12
2
China
9.98
3
Japan
4.33
4
India
3.92
5
Germany
2.91
6
Russia
2.20
7
Brazil
2.16
8
UK
2.16
9
France
2.12
10 Italy
1.75
TABLE 2
ECONOMIC GROWTH
2010 - 2050
2050
1
India
2
China
3
US
4
Indonesia
5
Brazil
6
Nigeria
7
Russia
8
Mexico
9
Japan
10 Egypt
GDP $tn
85.97
80.02
39.07
13.93
11.58
9.51
7.77
6.57
6.48
6.02
TOP 10
1
Nigeria
2
India
3
Iraq
4
Bangladesh
5
Vietnam
6
Philippines
7
Mongolia
8
Indonesia
9
Sri Lanka
10 Egypt
%
8.5
8.0
7.7
7.5
7.5
7.3
6.9
6.8
6.6
6.4
SOURCE: GLOBAL GROWTH GENERATORS, CITI INVESTMENT RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS, 2011
TABLE 3
GDP PER CAPITA
BOTTOM 10
1
Spain
2
France
3
Sweden
4
Belgium
5
Switzerland
6
Austria
7
Netherlands
8
Italy
9
Germany
10 Japan
%
2.0
2.0
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.8
1.7
1.7
1.6
1.0
2010
1
Singapore
2
Norway
3
US
4
Hong Kong
5
Switzerland
6
Netherlands
7
Australia
8
Austria
9
Canada
10 Sweden
2010 PPP US$
$US
56,532
51,226
45,511
45,301
42,470
40,736
40,525
39,073
38,640
36,438
2050
1
Singapore
2
Hong Kong
3
Taiwan
4
South Korea
5
US
6
Saudi Arabia
7
Canada
8
UK
9
Switzerland
10 Austria
$US
137,710
116,639
114,093
107,752
100,802
98,311
96,375
91,130
90,956
90,158
MONITOR
PERCENTAGE
COMPOSITION OF
WORLD GDP
1950-2050*
28%
29%
10%
28%
26%
9%
10%
4%
8%
4%
3%
3%
2%
1%
2%
205
0
4%
7%
27%
to 49% in
2050. China
8%
will overtake
12%
the US to become the
worlds largest economy
by 2020, which in turn will
be overtaken by India in 2050
(see Table 1, p11).
Citi research shows that while China and
India are likely to grow rapidly over the next 40
years, there are other key countries with promising
chances for growth that do not necessarily match the
traditional assumptions about where future growth will
emanate from.
For example, Russia and Brazil, which make up the
so-called BRIC nations alongside China and India, do not
make it on to Citis list of Global Growth Generators or
3G countries (see commentary, opposite and Table 2,
p11). Instead, Citi includes countries such as Bangladesh,
Egypt, Indonesia, Iraq, Mongolia, Nigeria, Philippines,
Sri Lanka and Vietnam on this list.
All of these countries are poor today and have
decades of catch-up growth to look forward to. Some of
them, including Nigeria, Mongolia, Iraq and Indonesia,
also have large natural resources that we hope will be
more beneficial than they so often have been in the
past, Mr Buiter says.
Mexico, Turkey, Thailand and Iran are also
mentioned as countries to watch, as is Brazil, although
Citi says major fiscal or political adjustments would
have to take place before they would be eligible to join
the 3G list.
While these countries can expect rapid economic
growth, much of the wealth already held in developed
economies will be maintained, according to Citi.
Measuring a countrys affluence in terms of GDP per
capita shows that Singapore currently tops the chart,
with Norway and the US in second and third place
3%
5%
7%
6%
203
0
11%
4%
1%
HNWI FEARS
FUTURE WEALTH
CREATION
%
OF ASIA-PACIFIC
HNWIs PESSIMISTIC
36%
OF EUROPEAN
HNWIs PESSIMISTIC
For more
survey results
and investor
intelligence turn
to Databank
on p58
*SOURCE: GLOBAL GROWTH GENERATORS, CITI INVESTMENT RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS, 2011
8%
4%
9%
4%
197
Mr
0
Lawson
1%
adds: Just
199
0
looking at the
1%
wealthiest in some
201
0
emerging markets, you can
see the sectors where they are
generating their wealth include natural
resources, manufacturing or construction.
Willem Buiter, Citis Chief Economist, agrees:
As part of the process of fast economic growth, vast
wealth will be created. The distribution of that wealth
will be dictated by political factors as much as the
economic process itself, but there will be high returns
from investment in skills and education.
4%
4%
11%
N
Am ort
er h
ica W
e
Eu ste
ro rn
pe D
ev
el
As opin
ia g
1%
4%
15%
CI
S
7%
3%
9%
M
id
Ea dle
st
2%
49%
19%
8%
4%
3%
44%
27%
L
Am atin
er
ica
4%
22%
3%
8%
14%
Ce
nt
Ea ral
a
Eu ster nd
ro n
pe
Af
ric
a
4%
195
0
10%
2%
Au
Ne stra
w lia
Ze an
al d
an
d Jap
an
8%
24%
25%
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
13
GLOBAL GROWTH
GENERATORS
WILLEM BUITER
WILLEM BUITER
UNCERTAIN FUTURES
The dissatisfaction
with income inequality
already being
manifested in the
Occupy Wall Street
demonstrations will
gain momentum
Citis Chief
Economist
MONITOR
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
15
CITY
POWER
EMERGING ECONOMIES MIGHT
DOMINATE GLOBAL ECONOMIC
GROWTH FORECASTS, BUT TWO
STUDIES SUGGEST THE WORLDS
ESTABLISHED TOP CITIES WILL
CONTINUE TO DRAW THE WEALTHY
FOR SOME TIME TO COME. VICKI
SHIEL LOOKS AT THE NUMBERS
W
MONITOR
ith the
seismic shifts taking place in economies, power structures and
societies around the world, a very different economic landscape is
developing in which the rise of the emerging economies looks set
to be a permanent feature. But what does this mean for the worlds
global cities? Traditionally the likes of London and New York have
reigned supreme, but will they be able to maintain their dominance
in the face of growing competition?
Research by Knight Frank suggests that, for now at least, their
position looks safe. This year sees the first instalment of our new-look
global cities study a sentiment survey that draws on the insight
of Citi Private Banks wealth advisors around the world, as well as
luxury property specialists from Knight Franks global network.
The objective of the survey is to assess the importance of key cities
to HNWIs, based on everything from investment potential and
economic openness to their appeal as somewhere to live or visit.
According to our findings, London continues to lead the pack,
coming top in virtually every category of our survey.
But that could all change with emerging-economy
cities such as Beijing and Shanghai rising up the
ranks as places to watch over the next decade.
Here we consider the results of our survey as well
as the findings of research into the competitiveness
of 120 cities, conducted by the Economist Intelligence
Unit (EIU) and commissioned by Citi Private Bank.
VICKI SHIEL
Residential Research,
Knight Frank
London continues
to lead the
pack. But that
could change
as emerging
economy cities
rise up the ranks
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
17
63
WHAT IT TAKES TO
BE A GLOBAL CITY
VERY IMPORTANT FACTORS
21%
OF HNWIs SAY
EDUCATION
For more
city rankings
and investor
intelligence turn
to Databank
on p58
THE CITIES THAT MATTER
TO HNWIs GLOBAL
CITIES SURVEY
MOST IMPORTANT NOW
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
London
New York
Hong Kong
Paris
Singapore
Miami
Geneva
Shanghai
Beijing
Berlin
MOST IMPORTANT IN
10 YEARS
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
London
New York
Beijing
Shanghai
Singapore
Hong Kong
Paris
Sao Paulo
Geneva
Berlin
GROWING IN IMPORTANCE
TO HNWIs THE FASTEST
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Beijing
Shanghai
London
Singapore
Hong Kong
New York
Sao Paulo
Dubai
Mumbai
Paris
EASTERN PROMISE
MONITOR
20
50
18
We asked leading
commentators to
predict the worlds top
city in 2050. Shanghai,
Chinas financial centre,
emerged as the most
popular choice
Investor, Singapore
JIM ROGERS
Valuation Director,
Brand Finance, London
BRYN ANDERSON
DAVID ADAM
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
19
Shanghai:
poised to
become the
worlds leading
city in 2050
New York: a
rich cultural mix
keeps it in the
top league of
world cities
MONITOR
NEW WORLD
ORDER
DOMINANT CITIES
REPLACED BY MULTIPLE
CITY NETWORKS
Saskia Sassen
New York
Chicago
Washington
13 Brasilia
12 Rio de Janeiro
11 Sao Paulo
7 Berlin
8 Frankfurt
14 Brussels
Istanbul
10 Ankara
16 Beirut
15 Cairo
4 Beijing
Shanghai
5 Hong Kong
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
21
FAST-GROWING EMERGING
MARKET MIDDLEWEIGHTS
Jaana Remes
7
13
11
12
3
14 8 7
17 18
9 10
15
16
4
19
4
1
3
2
6
GLOBAL INTELLIGENT
COMMUNITIES
Louis A. Zacharilla
MONITOR
23
MONITOR
25
PERFORMANCE
THE WORLDS LEADING RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL
PROPERTY HOTSPOTS REVEALED
26
HOT PROPERTY
Knight Franks PIRI index
explores the worlds prime
residential markets
36
FIRM FOUNDATIONS
Commercial property
investment is enjoying a
comeback worldwide
44
GLOBAL CONCERNS
John Caudwell on why the
world has more to worry
about than the economy
PERFORMANCE
IN
TERNATION
IDENT
2012
RES
PIRI
AL
A N K S P RI M
26
IN
DEX
K NI G
FR
IA
PRIME
NUMBERS
H
LIAM BAILEY
Head of Residential
Research, Knight Frank
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
27
DOUGLAS ELLIMAN
Rising
high: prime
residential
prices in New
York remain
buoyant
PERFORMANCE
PIRI
IA
2012
IDENT
DEX
K NI G
FR
TERNATION
RES
IN
IN
AL
A N K S P RI M
28
67
SECOND-HOME
LOCATION
MOST IMPORTANT FACTORS
SAFE HAVENS
OF HNWIs SAY
LIFESTYLE
40%
OF HNWIs SAY A SAFE
HAVEN FOR CAPITAL
For more
survey results
and investor
intelligence turn
to Databank
on p58
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
29
PIRI
AVERAGE PRICE CHANGE
Rank Location
Country/Area
1
Nairobi
Kenya
2
Kenyan Coast
Kenya
3
Miami
US
4
Bali
Indonesia
5
Jakarta
Indonesia
6
London
UK
7
Vancouver
Canada
8
Moscow
Russia
9
Toronto
Canada
10
Beijing
China
11
Tel Aviv
Israel
12
Bangkok
Thailand
13
Kiev
Ukraine
14
Hong Kong (apartments) China
15
Auckland
New Zealand
16
St Petersburg
Russia
17
New York (Manhattan)
US
18
Zurich
Switzerland
19
Meribel
France (Alps)
20
Los Angeles
US
21
Cape Town
South Africa
22
Phuket
Thailand
23
Aspen
US (ski)
24
Rome
Italy
25
Vienna
Austria
26
Brussels
Belgium
27
Amsterdam
Netherlands
28
Cyprus
Cyprus
29
Sardinia
Italy
30
Marbella
Spain
31
British Virgin Islands
Caribbean
32
Cayman Islands
Caribbean
33
St Barts
Caribbean
34
Venice
Italy
35
Val dIsere
France (Alps)
36
Courchevel 1850
France (Alps)
37
Chamonix
France (Alps)
38
Megeve
France (Alps)
39
Verbier
Switzerland (Alps)
40 St Moritz
Switzerland (Alps)
41
Gstaad
Switzerland (Alps)
42
Revelstoke, Calgary
Canada (ski)
43
Christchurch
New Zealand
44
Washington DC
US
45
Barcelona
Spain
46
Paris
France
47
Dubai
UAE
48
Shanghai
China
49
Madrid
Spain
50
Singapore
Singapore
51
Geneva
Switzerland
52
Tuscany
Italy
53
Barbados
Caribbean
54
Cap Ferrat
France
55
St Tropez
France
56
Provence
France
57
Telluride, Colorado
US (ski)
58
Florence
Italy
59
Umbria
Italy
60 Kuala Lumpur
Malaysia
61
Lake Como
Italy
62
Western Algarve
Portugal
63
Cannes
France
64
Sydney
Australia
65
Monaco
Monaco
66
Milan
Italy
67
Mallorca
Spain
68
Mustique
Caribbean
69
Dordogne
France
70
Mougins
France
71
Mumbai
India
2011
price
change
25.0%
20.0%
19.1%
15.0%
14.3%
12.1%
10.4%*
9.8%
8.5%*
8.1%
8.1%*
6.1%
5.4%
4.6%
4.5%
4.0%
3.1%
3.0%
3.0%
2.5%*
2.4%
1.7%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
-0.5%
-1.2%
-1.8%
-3.0%
-3.0%
-3.4%
-4.4%
-4.7%
-5.0%
-5.0%
-5.0%
-5.0%
-5.0%
-5.0%
-5.0%
-5.0%
-5.0%
-5.6%
-7.0%
-7.0%
-8.0%
-9.0%
-10.0%
-10.0%
-10.0%
-10.0%
-10.0%
-10.0%
-18.1%
* Q3 2010 to Q3 2011
All data from Knight Franks global network other than: Barcelona
Lucas Fox; Aspen Mason Morse; Revelstoke Sothebys
Realty; Telluride Telluride Properties
PIRI
AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ M
HOW MANY
SQUARE METRES
WILL $1M BUY
YOU?
o
nac
Mo 17
g
Kon
g
n
Ho 21
is
Par 38
ttan
nha 43
a
M
i
gha
n
a
Sh 51
jing
Bei 57
ai
mb
Mu 88
d
klan 7
c
u
A 12
mi
Mia 158
i
rob
Nai 588
Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
Location
$ per sq m Q4 2011
Monaco
58,300
Cap Ferrat
51,800
London
48,900
Hong Kong*
47,500
Courchevel 1850
44,000
St Moritz
42,600
Gstaad
39,900
St Tropez
38,800
Geneva
31,900
Hong Kong**
28,300
Paris
27,200
Cannes
25,900
Singapore
25,600
Moscow
24,000
Sardinia
24,000
Zurich
23,900
New York (Manhattan)
23,300
Sydney
22,400
Val dIsere
22,000
Meribel
21,400
St Petersburg
20,200
Shanghai
19,600
Mustique
19,400
Verbier
18,700
Rome
18,100
Beijing
17,400
Megeve
15,500
Vienna
14,200
Amsterdam
12,900
Mougins
12,900
Florence
12,300
Mallorca
11,900
Lake Como
11,700
Marbella
11,700
Venice
11,700
Mumbai
11,400
Milan
11,000
Cayman Islands
10,800
Aspen
10,500
Chamonix
10,400
Madrid
10,100
Barbados
9,700
Tuscany
8,700
Cyprus
8,700
British Virgin Islands
8,600
Telluride, Colorado
8,200
Auckland
7,900
Kiev
7,900
Provence
7,800
Revelstoke, Calgary
7,400
Bangkok
6,500
Western Algarve
6,500
Miami
6,300
Cape Town
6,000
Brussels
5,800
Barcelona
5,300
Kuala Lumpur
5,000
Umbria
4,400
Christchurch
3,400
Jakarta
2,900
Bali
2,600
Kenyan Coast
2,100
Nairobi
1,700
PERFORMANCE
DEX
K NI G
2012
IA
FR
PIRI
IDENT
TERNATION
RES
IN
IN
AL
A N K S P RI M
30
prices might have fallen 3.4% in 2011, but they are still
37.5% higher than they were in early 2009, says Thomas
Lam Ho Man, Knight Franks Head of Research for
Greater China. In addition, the Chinese government has
made a concerted effort to halt runaway price growth.
This objective confirms two key issues that will become
more and more important for future performance in the
prime residential market.
The first is the political reaction to a widening
imbalance in the distribution of wealth in China. As
well as the potentially destabilising economic effects of
rapid price growth, the Chinese government has become
increasingly worried about rising popular discontent
as housing affordability becomes an issue even for the
countrys middle classes.
The second issue something I have highlighted
in previous editions of The Wealth Report is Chinas
increasingly confident use of policy levers to attempt to
set prices in an ostensibly free market. Much has been
made recently of the rise of state capitalism. In Chinas
housing market an unusual mix of private and state
control is creating something of a planned market for
housing. It is a policy that has been exported in varying
degrees to Singapore and Hong Kong.
Unsurprisingly, the attempt to control prices in
China has seen investors switch their focus to
commercial property markets and also to the prime
residential market in Hong Kong. Mainland Chinese
buyers now make up 25% of prime market purchases
in Hong Kong, where prime apartment prices rose by a
further 4.6% in 2011, compounding the 60% growth seen
since the beginning of 2009.
In India, meanwhile, the government has not had to
resort to specific cooling measures to check the growth
of the countrys burgeoning prime residential markets;
weaker economic conditions and high inflation, with
a concomitant decision by the Bank of India to raise
interest rates 13 separate times in 2011, contributed to
prices in Mumbai falling by more than 18% last year.
Indias prime market is unusually vulnerable to
internal economic events because the countrys strict
limits on foreign buyers removes the potential safety net
provided by inward capital flows from overseas buyers.
Elsewhere in the Asia-Pacific region, prime Australian
prices have also slipped as affordability becomes an
increasing constraint.
But weaker price performance is not the whole
story of Asia's prime residential market. Knight Frank
Indonesias Fakky Hidayat points out that Jakartas
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
31
View to a thrill:
Courchevel
1850 is an
HNWI ski
Mecca
Miami nice:
the city boasts
stunning
architecture
PERFORMANCE
PIRI
IA
2012
IDENT
DEX
K NI G
FR
TERNATION
RES
IN
IN
AL
A N K S P RI M
32
TIGHT FIT
Safety AFRICAN
The view INDIAN
Location AMERICAN
Safety and anonymity
LATIN AMERICAN
Potential return on
investment MIDDLE
EASTERN
For more
survey results
and investor
intelligence, turn
to Databank on
p58
TROUBLE AHEAD
PROPERTY
SECTOR PRICE
CHANGES
REGIONAL
PRICE
CHANGES
City +1.7%
+4.3%
-2.0%
+2.6%
-3.0%
+15.8%
+1.0%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
Swiss franc
Chinese yuan
Singapore dollar
Euro
HK dollar
US dollar
-30%
140
130
120
110
100
90
Pound sterling
US dollar
Singapore dollar
Swiss franc
Euro
Chinese yuan
Russian rouble
2011 Q4
2011 Q3
2011 Q2
2011 Q1
2010 Q4
2010 Q3
2010 Q2
2010 Q1
2009 Q4
80
2009 Q3
Price index
25%
Russian rouble
RELATIVE FIVE-YEAR
PRICE CHANGE OF
PRIME LONDON
PROPERTY IN STERLING
AND CHINESE YUAN
30%
2009 Q2
CURRENCY MATTERS
2009 Q1
-15
%
33
Pound sterling
+29
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
PERFORMANCE
K NI G
DEX
2012
IA
FR
PIRI
IDENT
TOP-TIER
MARKETS
FULLY PRIMED
TERNATION
RES
IN
IN
AL
A N K S P RI M
34
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
35
WILLIAM DANIELS/PANOS
Flying high:
Hong Kong
boasts one of
Asia Pacific's
few superprime markets
PERFORMANCE
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
37
CONCRETE
ASSETS
PERFORMANCE
JAMES ROBERTS
Head of Commercial
Research, Knight Frank
LONDON CALLING
41.6
57.4
70.6
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
39
GLOBAL
PROPERTY GROWTH
PRIVATE MONEY
INVESTED WORLDWIDE
IN COMMERCIAL
PROPERTY
$BN
2009
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
$BN
2010
$BN
2011
PERFORMANCE
59
COMMERCIAL
INVESTMENT HOTSPOTS
INTEREST IN 2011
%
OF HNWIs MORE
INTERESTED IN OFFICES
31%
OF HNWIs MORE
INTERESTED IN RETAIL
For more
survey results
and investor
intelligence turn
to Databank
on p58
GLOBAL HOTSPOTS
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
41
AGENCE VU
Boutique
property is a
firm favourite
among
investors
PERFORMANCE
A popular saying, which we often hear repeated by investors from the Middle East, is:
Property may get sick, but it never dies. That sums up the thinking of many wealthy
individuals who are targeting property today.
Our London office helps HNWIs from around the world invest confidentially in
European property, especially commercial, offering them an alternative to the open
market brokerage route. Interest has increased as uncertainty has grown in the global
economy, pushing investors to seek refuge in the safety of bricks and mortar.
Bond-style income is in demand, but the debt crisis has trimmed back the number
of countries offering triple-A covenants, encouraging investors to look for viable
alternatives. With the steady income from rent, property offers investors an equivalent
of a bonds coupon payment, but with the possibility of
some additional income if rents increase.
I would say around 95% of clients want to buy in
London, which is the market that has recovered fastest post2009. The West End is easier to deploy smaller sums into,
as the buildings are typically smaller, but prices are higher,
as it is considered the exclusive market. The City offers a
higher yield, but with bigger buildings you need to have
greater funds to deploy in an individual deal. We think the
midtown district could offer interesting opportunities.
There can be cultural differences between the types of
assets different nationalities will target. Investors from East
Asia often prefer the City as they want their funds deployed
in buildings occupied by banks and brokers. Middle Eastern
investors, and some Russians, prefer the exclusivity and
upmarket status of the West End. Many Middle Eastern
buyers also like to collect trophy buildings, which they hold
for the long term. Asian investors are traders when they have achieved their target
return, or feel the market has run its course, they sell and move on.
Up until now the focus has been principally on prime offices and prime retail in
London, but interest may now widen to other qualities of building and different uses,
with hotels rising up the agenda.
16.4
27.7
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
43
CAPITAL FLIGHT
%
2008
%
2011
GLOBAL PRIME
RETAIL YIELDS
7%
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012 (F)
3%
2%
1%
0%
Shanghai
$0
Sydney
$15
Madrid
$30
4%
Singapore
5%
Frankfurt
$45
Paris
$60
6%
Tokyo
London
$75
Hong Kong
PERFORMANCE
CAPITALIST WITH A
CONSCIENCE
JOHN CAUDWELL
PHILANTHROPIST
I am not particularly
bothered about making
money any more since
Im far more focused on
helping society
45
PERFORMANCE
47
PORTFOLIO
THE INSIDE VIEW ON HOW THE WEALTHY ARE
PROTECTING AND SPENDING THEIR MONEY
48
SAFE BET
Experts reveal how the
rich are preserving and
investing their money
52
56
GOOD SPORT
Raj and Shilpa Shetty
Kundra on why cricket
makes good business sense
PORTFOLIO
TIM HETHERINGTON/GALLERYSTOCK
WHICH
WAY
NOW?
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
49
MALAY GHATAK
PORTFOLIO REBALANCING
CONTINUES
The shift in our clients attitudes towards
their investments that we saw in 2008 and
2009 continues. They are still focused on
reducing risk, increasing transparency and
improving liquidity.
Clients are asking far more questions
than ever before and really want to examine
the risk profile of their portfolios. Not only
do they want more detail about the overall
structure of an investment product, but
they are also probing into the various
constituents within it. For example, if we
were looking at a fund with exposure to
emerging markets, they would want to
know the individual risk profiles of the
various countries covered.
To minimise risk, many of our private
investors have increased the allocation
towards cash, or cash-like products, in their
core portfolios. This creates a dilemma
because high inflation means you inevitably
end up compromising your returns by
following this strategy. On balance, however,
there is an acceptance that this is a price
worth paying. It also leaves people well
positioned to make an opportunistic
investment when the value of a target asset
drops below a certain level.
A lot of cash is simply being held on
deposit, but there has been some demand
for long-duration, mostly five-year, sovereign
debt. Unsurprisingly, it is only German
bunds, UK gilts and US treasuries that are
of real interest. Returns rely on capital gains
because yields are so low.
Gold is by no means featured in all our
clients portfolios, but this traditional safe
haven has proved attractive to a number
of them over the past year. There was a
particularly active period when it was priced
between $1,200 and $1,600/oz. Interest
waned when it hit $1,700/oz.
Some investors do consider the precious
metal something of a relic, but it is still
hugely popular in Asia, and quantitative
easing measures tend to increase demand.
PORTFOLIO
PHILIP WATSON
INNOVATIVE RISK
SPREADING
Last year was all about finding cleverer,
more efficient ways for our clients to invest
their money. That search continues in 2012.
Building a diversified portfolio of risk
exposures is much more complicated than
it used to be. Markets and asset classes are
more closely correlated than they have ever
been. Some portfolios diversified along
traditional lines have actually proved to
be very volatile. For some, this has meant
maintaining a highly cautious portfolio
in order to protect and preserve capital,
although this has not always been successful
either due to the impact of inflation.
To take one example, equity portfolios
and their corresponding stock weightings
are usually allocated based on market
capitalisation, the total value of a
companys tradable shares. This system is
the foundation of many of the indices most
commonly used around the world today.
However, we think this approach gives
rise to certain biases and inefficiencies,
and can increase risk as it often leads to a
clustering effect, by sector, capitalisation
and type. A very significant percentage of
the S&P 500 index is actually accounted
for by the S&P 100, for example. And if one
sector, such as telecoms, is performing well
you can end up overweight in that area,
tending to buy at the top of the market
when market capitalisation is highest.
In response, we prefer to make allocations
by equalising risk; each component of an
investment portfolio will carry an equal
share of risk. We have found this approach
can potentially improve risk-adjusted
returns, limit downside risks and correct
some of the biases previously mentioned.
In addition to this, we identify
opportunities for our clients that are
market- or sector-neutral. Asset classes dont
have to be mainstream for example we
have helped some of our clients invest in
the carbon emissions market. This was less
to do with the outlook for that particular
RICHARD COOKSON
FINDING VALUE IN
EQUITIES
market at the time and more about the
timing of the investment, utilising market
dislocations and market volatility. In the
commodity markets, we have looked to
bring value to clients by capitalising on the
contract selection methodology employed
by some of the largest index providers.
We have developed a solution based on
the Citi Cubes Index that has been able to
deliver relatively high risk-adjusted returns
against a low correlation with the majority
of asset classes.
In EMEA, we have made available several
other such potential opportunities for
clients in index rebalancing strategies. An
example of this exists on the major equity
markets tracked by many passive index
funds that, by definition, have to rebalance
their portfolios as close as possible to the
point that a company enters or leaves the
index. The increase in demand for a new
entrant into an index can potentially lead
to a boost in stock prices. However, if the
entrants to the index are announced before
they actually join, buying them before the
passive indexers, trackers and other funds
means investors could be well placed to
benefit if there is any uplift.
Finally, potentially suitable for those
investors wishing to mitigate market
downside risk at a time when protection
costs have been high are a number of other
tail-risk strategies that apply risk analysis
and structuring to gain cheaper exposure
to correlated markets. There is, for example,
a high correlation between the Australian
dollar and Japanese yen exchange rate
and equity markets that has made this
an alternative strategy for hedging in
some situations.
With such a broad set of opportunities,
risks vary. Working closely with our clients,
we look to provide appropriate, timely and
tailored solutions.
PHILIP WATSON IS HEAD OF CITI PRIVATE
BANKS INVESTMENT LAB EMEA
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
51
25
HANDOVER OF WEALTH
BEGINNING TRANSFER
DURING LIFETIME
OF ALL HNWIs
52%
STRATEGIC THINKING
THE KEY MOTIVATIONS FOR HNWIs IN DIFFERENT REGIONS WHEN
MAKING INVESTMENT DECISIONS
OF ASIA-PACIFIC HNWIs
For more
survey results
and investor
intelligence turn
to Databank
on p58
80
80
%
80
80
%
Total
80
%
80
Wealth preservation
Capital growth
Regular income/
dividend
65%
60%
47%
BONDS
CASH
23%
19%
10%
GOLD
CURRENCY
PROPERTY
COMMODITIES
%
-77
Performance
stability
PORTFOLIO SPLITS
HOW HNWIs ALLOCATE
THEIR INVESTMENTS
EQUITIES
3%
21%
21%
23%
12% ER
OTH
15%
3%
2%
PORTFOLIO
52
PASSION
PLAY
ANDREW SHIRLEY
Editor of
The Wealth Report
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
53
Americas
NFL is one of
a number of
global sporting
franchises
attracting
investor interest
PORTFOLIO
JAMES BEDFORD
Liquid gold:
wine has
consistently
outperformed
the FTSE 100
TEAM GAMES
While an equity
portfolio can lose
its value overnight,
investments of passion
are more tangible
even if their value falls,
they can still be enjoyed
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
55
OVERSEAS INTERESTS
LUXURY SPENDING
33%
21%
11
GIVING
PHILANTHROPY
21%
OF US HNWI WEALTH
DONATED
HNWI POINT OF VIEW
FAVOURITE THINGS?
Equities ASIAN
Books and reading materials
SINGAPORE
The latest gadgets and cars
INDIAN
7%
6%
33%
For more
survey results
and investor
intelligence, turn
to Databank
on p58
PORTFOLIO
TWENTY TWENTY
VISION
57
PORTFOLIO
DATABANK
ASSET PERFORMANCE
PAGES 59-61
PIRI
PAGE 62
GLOBAL CITIES
PAGE 63
ATTITUDES SURVEY
PAGES 64-65
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
59
DATA
ANALYSIS
Knight Franks
international network of
research teams collects
an unrivalled range
of data analysing the
worlds most important
prime residential and
commercial property
markets. The graphs
on the following pages
illustrate the five-year
change in capital values
of luxury homes in
selected locations and the
change in rental values
of office space in the
worlds most important
financial centres.
RESIDENTIAL DATA ENQUIRIES:
KATE.EVERETT-ALLEN@KNIGHTFRANK.COM
COMMERCIAL DATA ENQUIRIES:
MATTHEW.COLBOURNE@KNIGHTFRANK.COM
PRIME INTERNATIONAL
RESIDENTIAL MARKETS
PAGES 26-35
Lehman Brothers
bank collapses
Index
300
LONDON
Six-month % change: 5%
Annual % change: 12%
Five-year % change: 29%
250
200
150
100
50
2007
2008
2009
2010
300
2011
MOSCOW
Six-month % change: 4%
Annual % change: 10%
Five-year % change: 32%
250
200
150
100
50
2007
2008
2009
300
2010
2011
ST PETERSBURG
250
200
150
100
50
2007
2008
2009
2010
300
2011
MONACO
250
200
150
100
50
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
DATABANK
PARIS
250
300
300
SINGAPORE
250
250
200
200
200
150
150
150
100
100
100
50
2007
300
2008
2009
2010
50
2007
2011
250
2008
2009
2010
300
50
2007
2011
Six-month % change: 1%
Annual % change: 8%
Five-year % change: 96%
200
200
150
150
150
100
100
100
2008
2009
300
2010
50
2007
2011
HONG KONG
250
2008
2009
2010
300
200
150
150
150
100
100
100
2009
2010
50
2007
2011
2008
2009
2010
2009
2010
50
2007
2011
2011
KUALA LUMPUR
250
200
2008
2008
300
2011
JAKARTA
200
50
2007
2010
Six-month % change: 7%
Annual % change: 14%
Five-year % change: 59%
50
2007
2011
SHANGHAI
250
2009
250
200
50
2007
2008
300
BEIJING
250
MUMBAI
2008
2009
2010
2011
London
NY
HK
Spore
Beijing
KL
London
(W.End) (City)
Paris
Spore
Shanghai HK
Moscow
2007 Q1
2007 Q2
2007 Q3
2007 Q4
2008 Q1
2008 Q2
2008 Q3
2008 Q4
2009 Q1
2009 Q2
2009 Q3
2009 Q4
2010 Q1
2010 Q2
2010 Q3
2010 Q4
2011 Q1
2011 Q2
2011 Q3
2011 Q4
100
109
117
118
120
115
108
98
92
95
99
104
110
114
113
115
119
123
126
129
100
100
104
111
119
128
135
125
120
118
117
115
120
119
119
120
124
127
129
132
100
109
117
126
135
145
168
189
168
168
171
172
182
178
163
170
184
199
176
177
100
106
117
125
137
145
159
175
172
169
166
161
148
140
134
134
131
128
124
121
100
104
108
108
109
110
117
135
110
110
110
110
110
123
143
133
135
135
135
129
100
100
115
127
147
131
119
122
150
106
95
107
108
106
109
120
109
113
119
124
100
106
114
127
138
142
131
95
99
112
126
133
141
144
151
153
162
167
163
160
100
108
117
126
130
130
127
119
99
94
108
116
123
127
136
135
134
131
130
129
100
105
122
138
140
142
134
129
128
141
156
165
176
177
179
181
188
193
197
196
100
111
125
132
133
140
129
125
123
124
132
145
159
166
171
175
177
179
177
169
100
129
143
157
143
153
143
143
143
143
164
171
186
200
200
201
181
169
164
164
100
101
102
103
107
111
124
137
134
131
133
135
136
136
138
139
144
149
154
159
100
105
110
116
121
128
131
134
131
128
130
132
140
140
140
140
146
138
133
132
100
110
110
113
113
113
110
95
77
72
67
67
74
85
85
87
92
95
95
95
100
107
110
110
104
100
100
93
81
77
74
77
81
87
91
96
96
96
96
96
100
105
111
111
111
111
111
111
111
104
97
93
93
93
99
99
99
103
105
105
100
111
126
141
152
162
157
151
138
123
112
108
111
114
121
127
131
135
135
133
100
101
108
115
123
132
129
126
115
111
109
105
108
109
111
113
118
121
129
132
100
117
121
126
143
159
153
146
125
103
109
114
119
124
129
133
147
160
172
162
100
109
125
140
149
158
133
108
90
72
73
74
82
90
90
91
94
98
98
99
Six-month change
Annual change
Five-year change
5%
12%
29%
4%
10%
32%
-11%
4%
77%
-5%
-10%
21%
-5%
-3%
29%
10%
3%
24%
-4%
5%
60%
-2%
-5%
29%
1%
8%
96%
-6%
-3%
69%
-3%
-18%
64%
7%
14%
59%
-4%
-6%
32%
0%
9%
-5%
0%
0%
-4%
3%
7%
5%
-1%
4%
33%
9%
17%
32%
1%
22%
62%
1%
9%
-1%
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
61
STOCK MARKETS
FTSE 100
Dow Jones Ind Av
Shanghai (SSE 50)
200
Six-month % change: 0%
Annual % change: 9%
Five-year % change: -5%
250
300
200
200
100
150
150
50
100
100
350
300
2008
2009
2010
50
2007
2011
COMMODITIES
Oil
Gold
Wheat
2008
2009
300
2011
LONDON (CITY)
Six-month % change: 0%
Annual % change: 0%
Five-year % change: -4%
250
250
2010
Six-month % change: 1%
Annual % change: 22%
Five-year % change: 62%
250
150
0
2007
HONG KONG
50
2007
2008
2009
2010
300
MOSCOW
Six-month % change: 1%
Annual % change: 9%
Five-year % change: -1%
250
200
200
150
150
100
100
2011
200
150
100
50
2007
2008
2009
2010
50
2007
2011
2008
2009
2010
300
PARIS
Six-month % change: 3%
Annual % change: 7%
Five-year % change: 5%
250
150
100
100
2009
FTSE
100
100
103
106
109
110
111
111
111
107
103
101
100
99
97
97
97
100
103
103
103
100
110
118
113
121
120
120
100
89
85
81
79
77
80
81
84
85
87
91
94
0%
6%
3%
8%
12%
-6%
2011
SINGAPORE
250
Frankfurt NY
2010
Shanghai
(SSE 50)
Oil
Gold
Wheat
150
150
100
105
103
102
90
89
78
70
62
67
81
86
90
78
88
94
94
94
81
88
100
127
188
185
123
95
79
61
80
104
96
112
103
79
84
86
91
87
74
71
100
110
126
150
168
219
164
59
83
111
109
118
127
124
127
152
185
181
175
173
100
96
108
124
139
138
145
176
189
167
184
202
218
245
245
269
265
278
308
302
100
107
172
184
196
157
101
106
111
106
96
96
96
104
162
182
203
183
161
155
100
100
-6%
-6%
-12%
-2%
6%
-1%
-19%
-18%
-29%
-4%
14%
73%
8%
12%
202%
-15%
-15%
55%
2009
2010
300
2011
SHANGHAI
Six-month % change: 9%
Annual % change: 17%
Five-year % change: 32%
250
200
150
100
50
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2008
2009
2010
2011
NEW YORK
Six-month % change: 8%
Annual % change: 12%
Five-year % change: -6%
250
Dow
Jones
Ind Av
100
109
112
107
99
92
88
71
62
68
79
84
88
79
87
94
100
100
88
99
2011
FRANKFURT
300
200
2008
2010
Six-month % change: 0%
Annual % change: 6%
Five-year % change: 3%
50
2007
200
50
2007
2009
250
150
2008
2008
300
200
300
COMMODITIES
50
2007
200
50
2007
STOCK MARKETS
2011
50
2007
Index
2008
2009
2010
Lehman Brothers
bank collapses
2011
DATABANK
IN
DEX
K NI G
FR
2012
PIRI
IA
TERNATION
IDENT
IN
RES
PRIME
INTERNATIONAL
RESIDENTIAL
INDEX
AL
A N K S P RI M
62
Location
$ per
sq m
$ per
sq ft
per
sq ft
per
sq m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
Monaco
58,300
Cap Ferrat
51,800
London
48,900
Hong Kong*
47,500
Courchevel
44,000
St Moritz
42,600
Gstaad
39,900
St Tropez
38,800
Geneva
31,900
Hong Kong** 28,300
Paris
27,200
Cannes
25,900
Singapore
25,600
Moscow
24,000
Sardinia
24,000
Zurich
23,900
NY (Manhattan) 23,300
Sydney
22,400
Val dIsere
22,000
Meribel
21,400
St Petersburg 20,200
Shanghai
19,600
Mustique
19,400
Verbier
18,700
Rome
18,100
Beijing
17,400
Megeve
15,500
Vienna
14,200
Amsterdam
12,900
Mougins
12,900
Florence
12,300
Mallorca
11,900
Lake Como
11,700
Marbella
11,700
Venice
11,700
Mumbai
11,400
Milan
11,000
Cayman Islands 10,800
Aspen
10,500
Chamonix
10,400
Madrid
10,100
Barbados
9,700
Tuscany
8,700
Cyprus
8,700
BV Islands
8,600
Telluride
8,200
Auckland
7,900
Kiev
7,900
Provence
7,800
Revelstoke
7,400
Bangkok
6,500
W. Algarve
6,500
Miami
6,300
Cape Town
6,000
Brussels
5,800
Barcelona
5,300
Kuala Lumpur
5,000
Umbria
4,400
Christchurch
3,400
Jakarta
2,900
Bali
2,600
Kenyan Coast
2,100
Nairobi
1,700
5,400
4,800
4,500
4,400
4,100
4,000
3,700
3,600
3,000
2,600
2,500
2,400
2,400
2,200
2,200
2,200
2,200
2,100
2,000
2,000
1,900
1,800
1,800
1,700
1,700
1,600
1,400
1,300
1,200
1,200
1,100
1,100
1,100
1,100
1,100
1,100
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
900
900
800
800
800
800
700
700
700
700
600
600
600
600
500
500
500
400
300
300
200
200
200
3,500
3,100
2,900
2,900
2,600
2,600
2,400
2,300
1,900
1,700
1,600
1,600
1,500
1,400
1,400
1,400
1,400
1,300
1,300
1,300
1,200
1,200
1,200
1,100
1,100
1,000
900
900
800
800
700
700
700
700
700
700
700
600
600
600
600
600
500
500
500
500
500
500
500
400
400
400
400
400
400
300
300
300
200
200
200
100
100
45,000
40,000
37,800
36,700
34,000
32,900
30,800
30,000
24,700
21,900
21,000
20,000
19,700
18,500
18,500
18,500
18,000
17,300
17,000
16,500
15,600
15,100
14,900
14,400
14,000
13,400
12,000
11,000
10,000
10,000
9,500
9,200
9,000
9,000
9,000
8,800
8,500
8,300
8,100
8,000
7,800
7,500
6,800
6,700
6,700
6,400
6,100
6,100
6,000
5,700
5,000
5,000
4,900
4,600
4,500
4,100
3,900
3,400
2,600
2,200
2,000
1,600
1,300
* (houses) ** (apartments)
Local currency/
measure
EUR 45,000/ sq m
EUR 40,000/ sq m
GBP 2,900/ sq ft
HKD 34,300/ sq ft
EUR 34,000/ sq m
CHF 40,000/ sq m
CHF 37,500/ sq m
EUR 30,000/ sq m
CHF 30,000/ sq m
HKD 20,500/ sq ft
EUR 21,000/ sq m
EUR 20,000/ sq m
SGD 3,100/ sq ft
USD 24,000/ sq m
EUR 18,500/ sq m
CHF 22,500/ sq m
USD 2,200/ sq ft
AUD 22,000/ sq m
EUR 17,000/ sq m
EUR 16,500/ sq m
USD 20,200/ sq m
RMB 124,400/ sq m
USD 19,400/ sq m
CHF 17,600/ sq m
EUR 14,000/ sq m
RMB 110,600/ sq m
EUR 12,000/ sq m
EUR 11,000/ sq m
EUR 10,000/ sq m
EUR 10,000/ sq m
EUR 9,500/ sq m
EUR 9,200/ sq m
EUR 9,000/ sq m
EUR 9,000/ sq m
EUR 9,000/ sq m
INR 57,500/ sq ft
EUR 8,500/ sq m
USD 1,000/ sq ft
USD 1,000/ sq ft
EUR 8,000/ sq m
EUR 7,800/ sq m
USD 900/ sq ft
EUR 6,800/ sq m
EUR 6,700/ sq m
USD 800/ sq ft
USD 800/ sq ft
NZD 10,200/ sq m
USD 7,900/ sq m
EUR 6,000/ sq m
CAD 700/ sq ft
THB 205,000 / sq m
EUR 5,000/ sq m
USD 600/ sq ft
ZAR 49,000/ sq m
EUR 4,500/ sq m
EUR 4,100/ sq m
MYR 1,500/ sq ft
EUR 3,400/ sq m
NZD 4,400/ sq m
IDR 26.3m/ sq m
IDR 23.5m/ sq m
KES 180,000/ sq m
KES 150,000/ sq m
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
63
SOURCES OF POWER
PAGES 14-21
Quality of life
GLOBAL
CITIES
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
London
Singapore
New York
Geneva
Sydney
Hong Kong
Paris
Vancouver
Miami
Dubai
Barcelona
Madrid
Zurich
Melbourne
Vienna
Monaco
Houston
Toronto
Dallas
Rome
Knowledge
& influence
London
New York
Boston
Paris
Geneva
Washington DC
Hong Kong
Singapore
Beijing
Chicago
Dubai
Shanghai
Tokyo
Houston
Melbourne
Miami
Mexico City
Vienna
Berlin
Moscow
Political power
Washington DC
London
New York
Beijing
Paris
Berlin
Brussels
Frankfurt
Shanghai
Riyadh /Jeddah
Singapore
Rome
Moscow
Mexico City
Hong Kong
Geneva
Miami
Jakarta
Milan
Vienna
Economic
activity
London
New York
Hong Kong
Shanghai
Singapore
Beijing
Dubai
Paris
Tokyo
Frankfurt
Madrid
Moscow
Geneva
Bangkok
Miami
Sao Paulo
Rome
Mexico City
Vienna
Berlin
RESPONSE
BY REGION
Now
Now
In 10 years
North America
1
London
2
New York
3
Hong Kong
4
Paris
5
Miami
Fastest growing
in importance
New York
London
Beijing
Hong Kong
Washington DC
Beijing
New York
London
Shanghai
Singapore
South America
New York
2
Miami
3
London
4
Madrid
5
Mexico City
London
Beijing
Miami
New York
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
Shanghai
Beijing
New York
Miami
Asia Pacific
1
London
2
New York
3
Hong Kong
4
Singapore
5
Shanghai
New York
Shanghai
London
Beijing
Singapore
Shanghai
Beijing
Singapore
Hong Kong
London
London
New York
Shanghai
Singapore
Hong Kong
London
Singapore
Shanghai
Beijing
Hong Kong
London
Dubai
Beijing
Hong Kong
New York
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
In 10 years
London
New York
Hong Kong
Paris
Singapore
Miami
Geneva
Shanghai
Beijing
Berlin
Moscow
Rome
Dubai
Monaco
Frankfurt
Madrid
Vancouver
Sao Paulo
Tokyo
Mexico City
London
New York
Beijing
Shanghai
Singapore
Hong Kong
Paris
Sao Paulo
Geneva
Berlin
Miami
Washington DC
Rome
Moscow
Dubai
Mumbai
Vienna
Vancouver
Tokyo
New Delhi
Fastest growing
in importance
Beijing
Shanghai
London
Singapore
Hong Kong
New York
Sao Paulo
Dubai
Mumbai
Paris
Berlin
Geneva
Miami
Rio de Janeiro
Rome
Istanbul
Mexico City
New Delhi
Sydney
Vienna
DATABANK
LOCATIONS AND
SECOND-HOMES
PAGES 14-21 & 26-35
RESULTS OF THE
WEALTH REPORT
ATTITUDES
SURVEY 2011
5%
26%
18%
47%
4%
North
Latin
Europe Africa &
America America & Russia Middle
East
0%
0%
14%
0%
5%
40%
38%
20%
15%
20%
21%
25%
75%
27%
24%
55%
5%
13%
3%
0%
Asia
Pacific
6%
27%
9%
55%
3%
Very pessimistic
Pessimistic
Neither optimistic
nor pessimistic
Optimistic
Very optimistic
Personal security
and safety
Economic openness
Social stability
Availability of
luxury housing
Presence of other
HNWIs
Excellent education
systems
Political influence
Internationally
diverse residents
Easy access to
other cities
Excellent healthcare
services
Excellent transport
network
Vibrant arts scene
Freedom of speech/
press
All
HNWIs
North
Latin
Europe
America America & Russia
63%
60%
51%
50%
56%
56%
92%
58%
67%
60%
60%
38%
68%
50%
36%
62%
69%
64%
27%
17%
25%
29%
55%
16%
25%
44%
17%
26%
32%
16%
21%
17%
6%
28%
8%
8%
29%
14%
27%
9%
20%
22%
16%
6%
0%
12%
36%
18%
14%
0%
25%
19%
23%
9%
13%
11%
8%
19%
9%
11%
12%
6%
11%
0%
8%
8%
14%
12%
9%
5%
13%
2%
3%
0%
0%
5%
5%
2%
North
Latin
Europe
America America & Russia
Lifestyle
67%
90%
86%
Investment
55%
50%
50%
Safe haven
for capital
40%
30%
36%
Education
12%
0%
7%
Tax
6%
5%
0%
Business opportunities 5%
5%
0%
*Respondents were asked to choose two factors
73%
50%
Africa &
Middle
East
60%
50%
45%
67%
46%
4%
8%
8%
55%
15%
0%
0%
33%
24%
12%
9%
Decrease a lot
Decrease a little
No change
Increase a little
Increase a lot
All
HNWIs
North
Latin
Europe
America America & Russia
2%
11%
30%
50%
7%
0%
5%
60%
30%
5%
0%
7%
8%
64%
21%
8%
8%
28%
52%
4%
Africa &
Middle
East
0%
0%
10%
74%
16%
42%
32%
2%
46%
39%
3%
40%
33%
0%
35%
29%
0%
45%
30%
0%
Asia
Pacific
All
HNWIs
North
Latin
Europe
America America & Russia
91%
100%
87%
93%
80%
94%
61%
85%
33%
55%
75%
55%
54%
65%
67%
38%
70%
45%
52%
6%
2%
90%
25%
0%
33%
0%
0%
52%
0%
0%
40%
5%
10%
45%
3%
0%
Asia
Pacific
0%
24%
34%
42%
0%
3%
9%
45%
25%
5%
Asia
Pacific
All
North
Latin
Europe Africa &
HNWIs America America & Russia Middle
East
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
23%
25%
27%
36%
25%
Global economic
factors
Local economic
factors
Local political
instability
Global political
instability
Terrorism
Climate change
All
HNWIs
All
HNWIs
Already own one
40%
Interested in owning 23%
North
Latin
Europe
America America & Russia
24%
14%
16%
11%
18%
17%
North
Latin
Europe
America America & Russia
44%
22%
38%
43%
52%
20%
Africa &
Middle
East
16%
8%
Africa &
Middle
East
38%
19%
Asia
Pacific
4%
11%
Asia
Pacific
24%
18%
1
2
3
4
5
All
HNWIs
North
Latin
Europe
America America & Russia
US
UK
France
Spain
Spore
US
US
UK
Spain
France
Mexico
Mexico
UK
Caribbean France
UK
France
US
Spain
Italy
Africa &
Middle
East
UK
France
US
UAE
Saudi A.
Asia
Pacific
UK
US
Spore
HK
China
WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET
65
North
Latin
Europe
America America & Russia
Residential
76%
94%
62%
Offices
59%
65%
69%
Retail
31%
29%
62%
Hotels
22%
35%
8%
Farmland
18%
24%
8%
Logistics, eg
warehouses
13%
29%
38%
Healthcare
8%
18%
0%
Infrastructure, eg
airports
6%
18%
8%
*%age of HNWIs expressing an increased interest
Asia
Pacific
63%
42%
21%
13%
29%
Africa &
Middle
East
100%
75%
20%
15%
5%
4%
4%
0%
15%
9%
3%
4%
5%
0%
69%
56%
34%
31%
19%
Capital growth
51%
Wealth preservation 42%
Performance stability 31%
Other
2%
*Respondents could select two
North
Latin
Europe
America America & Russia
47%
18%
53%
0%
33%
58%
42%
8%
43%
52%
17%
4%
Africa &
Middle
East
60%
55%
25%
0%
Asia
Pacific
59%
34%
28%
0%
All
HNWIs
North
Latin
Europe
America America & Russia
11%
13%
0%
5%
86%
87%
92%
90%
90%
78%
3%
0%
8%
5%
0%
3%
TRADITIONAL AND
ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS
PAGES 48-55
Property
Equities
Bonds
Gold
Commodities
Currencies
Cash
Other
North
Latin
Europe
America America & Russia
23%
21%
21%
3%
2%
3%
15%
12%
20%
18%
24%
3%
4%
2%
14%
15%
13%
23%
34%
3%
2%
2%
11%
12%
16%
19%
20%
2%
2%
2%
15%
24%
31%
24%
16%
2%
2%
4%
19%
2%
50%
62%
73%
29%
52%
11%
North
Latin
Europe
America America & Russia
Wine
Fine art/collectables
Jewellery
Renewable energy
Venture capital
Sporting teams
All
HNWIs
North
Latin
Europe
America America & Russia
22%
28%
25%
59%
32%
16%
21%
11%
13%
63%
28%
28%
22%
50%
20%
56%
23%
0%
41%
33%
38%
56%
22%
18%
Africa &
Middle
East
0%
30%
43%
81%
60%
14%
Asia
Pacific
23%
24%
14%
43%
26%
11%
All
HNWIs
North
Latin
Europe
America America & Russia
70%
95%
87%
68%
65%
52%
25%
5%
5%
0%
13%
0%
29%
3%
20%
15%
42%
6%
29%
67%
44%
28%
39%
6%
North
Latin
Europe
America America & Russia
North
Latin
Europe
America America & Russia
11%
42%
30%
22%
54%
13%
Asia
Pacific
All
HNWIs
64%
89%
67%
25%
67%
61%
Asia
Pacific
37%
59%
52%
21%
49%
20%
Africa &
Middle
East
13%
30%
29%
0%
35%
0%
PHILANTHROPY
AND SUCCESSION
PAGES 52-55
North
Latin
Europe
America America & Russia
Mainly cash
Cash and
borrowing
Mainly
borrowing
Wine
Fine art/collectables
Jewellery
Renewable energy
Venture capital
Sporting teams
All
HNWIs
All
HNWIs
53%
59%
42%
67%
52%
48%
Africa &
Middle
East
55%
40%
35%
29%
42%
17%
35%
26%
40%
50%
Asia
Pacific
44%
25%
53%
47%
Decreased a lot
Decreased a little
No change
Increased a little
Increased a lot
Unknown
All
HNWIs
North
Latin
Europe
America America & Russia
2%
9%
46%
20%
1%
23%
0%
10%
45%
40%
0%
5%
7%
0%
67%
7%
0%
20%
4%
11%
54%
11%
0%
21%
Africa &
Middle
East
0%
10%
60%
5%
0%
25%
Asia
Pacific
0%
9%
21%
30%
3%
36%
North
Latin
Europe
America America & Russia
11%
21%
9%
9%
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or oblige in any way any other entity or practice that
operates under the name Knight Frank (including Knight
Frank LLP). Where applicable, references to Knight
Frank include the Knight Frank global network.
CITI PRIVATE BANK
The Wealth Report is provided as a service to clients
of Citi Private Bank. The views expressed herein are
those of Knight Frank LLP and associates, and do
not necessarily reflect the views of Citi Private Bank,
Citigroup Inc., Citigroup Global Markets Inc., and its
affiliates. All opinions are subject to change without
notice. Neither the information provided nor any opinion
expressed constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or
sale of any security. Past performance is no guarantee of
future results.
Citi Private Bank is a business of Citigroup Inc.
(Citigroup), which provides its clients access to a broad
array of products and services available through bank
and non-bank affiliates of Citigroup. Not all products and
services are provided by all affiliates or are available at
all locations. In the U.S., brokerage products and services
are provided by Citigroup Global Markets Inc. (CGMI),
member SIPC. Accounts carried by Pershing LLC,
member FINRA, NYSE, SIPC. CGMI and Citibank,
N.A. are affiliated companies under the common control
of Citigroup. Outside the U.S., brokerage products
and services are provided by other Citigroup affiliates.
Investment Management services (including portfolio
management) are available through CGMI, Citibank,
N.A. and other affiliated advisory businesses.
In the United Kingdom, Citibank N.A., London branch
and Citibank International plc, Canada Square, Canary
Wharf, London E14 5LB, are authorized and regulated by
the Financial Services Authority. The contact number for
Citibank N.A. London branch and Citibank International
plc in the United Kingdom is +44 (0)20 7508 8000. In
Jersey, this document is communicated by Citibank
N.A., Jersey Branch which has its registered address at
PO Box 104, 38 Esplanade, St Helier, Jersey JE4 8QB.
Citibank N.A., Jersey Branch is regulated by the Jersey
Financial Services Commission to conduct deposit taking
business under the Banking Business (Jersey) Law 1991
and investment business under the Financial Services
(Jersey) Law 1998. Citibank N.A., Jersey Branch is a
member of the Depositors Compensation Scheme as set
out in the Banking (Depositors Compensation) (Jersey)
Regulations 2009. Further details of the scheme are
available on request.
Citi, and Citi with the arc design are registered service
marks of Citigroup or its affiliates.
2012 Citigroup. All rights reserved
THE WEALTH REPORT A GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE ON PRIME PROPERTY AND WEALTH 2012
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