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ROLE OF TECHNLOGY
SELECTION
BANKABILITY OF
SOLAR PROJECTS
www.firstgreen.co
IMPACT OF O&M ON
BANKABILITY
SOLAR RESOURCE
ASSESSMENT
FIRSTGREEN CONSULTING
U28A/3 FF
DLF Phase III, GURGAON
122002 INDIA
www.firstgreen.co
Table of Contents
I.
Introduction ........................................................................................................... 2
II.
III.
IV.
V.
VI.
Introduction
While conventional power projects are facing the
fuel availability challenges and fuel price
uncertainty, investors are looking renewable as
preferred options to remain in power sector.
Especially solar PV projects are much more
appealing to the investors due to their scalability
and flexibility in nature. While Indian
Government has withdrawn the accelerated
depreciation from wind projects, solar provides a
yet another tax aversion tool to the investors. The
cash flow of solar present a much more stable
and risk free cash flow as compared to the
conventional power projects where you cannot
predict the fuel prices.
The higher cost of capital can significantly make
projects unviable. Hence it is important for the
project developers to take care of the factors
which affects the bankability of solar projects.
There are five major parameters which affects the
bankability of solar projects which include
Most of the solar projects face delays due to the reason of the financial
closure and hence bankability of a solar project is a major issue. The
degree of bankability is dependent on the reliability technology
supplier, reliability of EPC contractor, Reliability of the yield assessment,
and the financial health of the promoter company.
kwh/m2/year
Design Optimisation
Selecting an appropriate technology for your solar project plays
a very important role in the bankability of a solar project. The
major aspects in the technology selection are selection of PV
module supplier which should be from the reputed
manufacturer who provide the warranties for 5-10 year
workmanship and performance guarantee for a period of 25
years.
The guarantees and warranties of BOS also play an important
role as PV module contributes only 50% of the project cost.
Typically all the PV module manufacturers offer long term
performance warrantee, however the question remains on the
effectiveness of the warrantees. If a PV module manufacturer
goes bankrupt, then there is no entity left to the developer for
honoring the warrantees of the bankrupt of the manufacturer.
Many developers take warrantee insurance to mitigate the risk
associated with the bankruptcy of PV module supplier which
help them in maintaining bankability of their solar projects.
Apart from guarantees and warrantees most of the PV module
suppliers conduct IEC and UL certification tests to justify their
module degradation, performance and reliability. Selecting a
PV module supplier with IEC and UL certification not only
justifies the bankability of the selected modules, but also
reduces risk of technology failure.
EPC Selection
Selecting the right EPC is key to ensure the project
commissioning as scheduled and as per the quality standards
specified. Reputed EPCs offers significant advantage through
their linkages for equipment procurement and standard
installation practices. Many times the banks and financial
institutes have their comfort for some of the empanelled EPC
contractors who maintain certain quality standards and
developers are required shortlist EPCs from the empanelled
EPCs only. Some of the developers would like to reduce their
upfront cost through fragmenting the single EPC into multiple
EPC contractors, however this exposes the developer in terms
of performance guarantee of the overall plant. If the EPC
contractor is not reputed this increases the project risk ratings
and in-turn increases the cost of capital available to the project.
While selecting EPC the developer should consider not only
experience and reliability but also the balance sheet of EPC
should also take in to consideration so that the EPC can honor
the guarantees and warrantees for the future.
We have personally seen that in 2009-2011 years, many
investors in India adopted only one criteria for the selection of
EPC contractor. Yes, you are right, it was Money. At present
many of those are not happy with their plant and for some of
them, conditions are so bad that when they want to sell their
solar plant to get rid of it, they didnt find any buyer.
Banks/ financial institution are the major stakeholder in the
solar plant investment. Selection of a reputed EPC contractor
for your solar money plant can help you to get cheaper
finance. Typically saying a 0.5% decrease in cost of debt can
reduce the LCOE (Levelized cost of electricity) even by 30
paisa/ kWh.
Technology
Selection
PV module
supplier
BOS
DC/AC Ratio
5-10 year
workmanship
Performance
Guarantee
Corporate
Sustainability
Other Issues
Operation and Maintenance
O&M of solar project becomes significant in maintaining the
bankability of solar project, the banks and financial institutes
typically wants to ensure the projected generation. Some of the
insurance companies have also come up to cover the
generation risk and started offering generation insurance.
However the developer should consider the generation
insurance is available at what cost. In recent installations the
local site conditions were not taken in to consideration while
deciding the inverter parameters which led tripping of inverter
of solar plants this reduces generation. In order to cover the
generation risk many financing institutions look for strong
balance sheet of the developer in order to cover the generation
short falls. Some of the financing institutions also create to a
DSRA (Debt service reserve account) to mitigate the
generation risk of the solar project. It is equally important to
consider the adequate availability of spares so that equipment
failures do not cause generation reduction in solar projects.
The recent experiences in solar plants also highlight the
reduced generation because of grid tripping. Solar project
developers should take in to consideration the grid tripping
data of their respective sub-station to estimate the project
electricity generation estimates. The bankability of solar project
is also affected by O&M cost and its expected escalation.
Project developer should do sensitivity analysis of their LCOE
with reference to their O&M cost escalation.
2000
Mwh
1500
1000
500
0
1
5
Mwh
Conclusion
Making solar projects bankable needs careful attention to
the not only five key factors which are highlighted in this
paper but also there are many other factors such as PPA,
Local issues, curtailment which may affect the project
economic viability. The project developer should strive in
reducing the risk associated with solar radiation and collect
local and satellite based data to attract more investors and
lower the cost of capital in the project. In other words
bankability of the solar projects is key for future capacity
installations and developers have experienced this issues in
recent installations.
Structuring a project as a bankable project requires detailed
consideration on the technical, legal and economic aspects
of the project. Every bank and financial has its own set of
criteria through which it assess the bankability of a project.
However the basic requirement is that the project should
have a stable and visible cash flow throughout the entire
financing period of the project.
The major aspect which any bank or financial institution
assess for the bankability of a solar project is the local site
conditions. The local site conditions are typically evaluated
on the basis of solar radiation available at the site and
expected yield (Annual Energy Generation) which dictates
the cash flow of the project. It is not only important to
assess the energy yield for a single year, there is a
requirement to have the energy yield assessment on longterm basis for which you are required to have the historical
solar radiation data at least for 10 years for the site location.
So that the trend can be forecasted to give the expected
future energy generation for the banker.
Firstgreen Consulting
Firstgreen provides consulting services in the area of
Renewable Energy, Building Energy Efficiency, and
Climate Change. We are one of the leading consulting
firm in the field of Solar PV projects in India and have
been involved in MW class grid connected as well as
Rooftop Solar projects. We have provided Project
Management consulting, Design and Engineering
services for over 200 MW of solar projects since 2010
of which about 100 MW is already being
commissioned and balance is under various stages of
development.
We provide various services to the client right from
the inspection of project, Design and Engineering
support, Policy and Regulatory support, financing
support and strategic business advisory to our clients.
Firstgreen has been conducting training and capacity
building programs for solar, wind and building energy
efficiency projects in India and abroad. Our training
programs has been widely attended by senior
management of various organizations which provide
hands on experience and step by step approach to
implement solar, wind, and building energy efficiency
projects.
We believe in sharing our knowledge through
technical
articles
on
our
blog
(www.firstgreen.co/blog). So far we have published
around 680 articles which reflect our experience i
policy,
technology,
financing,
and
project
management. Our blog is visited by 64 countries in
the world and having footfall over 1,40,000 people
across the globe.
We provide 360 degree turnkey solutions for solar
projects and also provide EPC services. Some of the
clients who believe in getting a quality installations
(Grid connected/Rooftop) through us.