Market Indexes Must Confirm Each
Other
Dow Theory argues that similar indices must have
a correlation as they have the same exposure to
current economic conditions.
This concept is meant to apply to two stock
market average indexes:
- Dow Industrial Average
- Dow Rail Average
It asserted that two indexes have to confirm each
other by moving in the same direction before a
trend determination can be made.
Volume Must Confirm the Trend
According to Dow theory, the main signals for buying and
selling are based on the price movements of the indexes.
Volume is also used as a secondary indicator to help
confirm what the price movement is suggesting.
From this tenet it follows that volume should increase
when the price moves in the direction of the trend and
decrease when the price moves in the opposite direction
of the trend.
If volume confirms the trend in this manner, it is an
indication that the trend is strong and should continue.
Trend Remains in Effect Until Clear
Reversal Occurs
This tenet says that investor should not assume
the trend has changed until all the indicators
have confirmed the switch.
The investors needs to wait for clear picture of
trend reversal in the primary trend with a
secondary trend or brief correction.
Criticism of Dow Theory
The Dow Theory is criticized for being too late.
It is considered out dated and no longer an
accurate reflection of an economy.
ELLIOTT WAVE THEORY
Elliott Wave Theory
It was discovered by Ralph Nelson Elliott.
Market Prices
patterns.
Trend
and
Reverse
in
recognizable
These recognizable patterns take the shapes of Waves.
It is not an forecasting tool but a detailed description of
behavior of markets. Insight into mass psychology.
Elliott wave patterns consists of impulsive waves and
corrective waves.
Impulsive Waves
It is subdivided into 5
waves.
Always move in the
direction as the trend.
They are called as
impulsive
because
they powerfully impel
the market.
Corrective Waves
It is subdivided into 3
waves.
The main objective to
correct the impulsive
waves.
Corrective waves are
labeled using letters.
The Complete Cycle