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Long-Term Tidal Level Distribution Using A Wave-By-wave Approach
Long-Term Tidal Level Distribution Using A Wave-By-wave Approach
www.elsevier.com/locate/advwatres
Abstract
Tidal analysis is usually performed in the time domain by means of the decomposition of the time series of the free surface in a number
of harmonics, characterizing every single component along a shelf or inside an estuary. Although this kind of analysis has proven to be
very useful in numerous studies, when it comes to characterizing the tide statistically (i.e., the long-term sea level distribution) this
approach is inadequate. This paper presents a dierent approach. Instead of working with the complete time series, some statistical properties of the signal, such as the probability density function (pdf) of the tidal wave heights (TWH) are used. The tidal elevation (TE) pdf is
obtained by means of a statistical procedure that consists of the denition of the compound pdf as a function of the TWH pdf and the Ushaped pdf for the elevations of a single wave. In order to have an analytical representation of the probability density functions, the use
of kernel density functions is explored. An extension to account for asymmetries in the tidal elevations is also proposed. Both, the symmetric and the asymmetric models are applied to dierent tide gauge data along the Worlds coastline (symmetric and asymmetric positive and negative skewed ). The results show that the symmetric approach is capable of representing the TE pdfs for roughly symmetric
tides. However, in shallow areas where the distortion of the tide is more pronounced, the asymmetric model provides a better description
of the TE pdfs.
2007 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Tidal elevation; Tidal range; Statistical analysis; Tidal asymmetry; Nodal cycle; Probability density function; Kernel density model
1. Introduction
Knowledge of sea level uctuations in a bay or estuary
has been the key stone of many scientic studies and estuarine restoration and protection projects. Designing a
channel entrance with navigation criteria, establishing
ood defences, preventing shoreline erosion and, in general, any man-made alterations to these systems require
the determination of sea level. Sea level analysis in tidal
dominated embayments, has traditionally been performed
through the calculation and prediction of tides and
currents. Usually, this has been done decomposing a
tidal record into a number of harmonics constituents
*
Corresponding author. Tel.: +34 942 201810; fax: +34 942 20 18 60.
E-mail addresses: castanedos@unican.es (S. Castanedo), mendezf@
unican.es (F.J. Mendez), medinar@unican.es (R. Medina), ana-julia.abascal
@alumnos.unican.es (A.J. Abascal).
0309-1708/$ - see front matter 2007 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2007.05.005
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Fig. 1. TE pdfs at (a) Santander in Spain, (b) Newlyn in England, (c) Delfzijl in the Netherlands, (d) Bonanza in Spain, (e) Bremen in Germany, (f) Heywood
Shoal in Australia, (g) Boston in USA, (h) New Brunswick in Canada, and (i) Sheerness in England. Tidal level above mean sea level. Data from Spanish
tidal gauges are obtained from Puertos del Estado (Ministerio de Fomento, Spain); rest of data: from X-tide package (http://www.aterco.com/xtide/).
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Table 1
Location of the tide gauges
Tide gauge
Country
Longitude
Latitude
Location
Santander
Newlyn
Delfzijl
Bonanza
Bremen
HeywoodShoal
Boston
New Brunswick
Sheerness
N Spain
SW England
NE The Netherlands
SW Spain
N Germany
NW Australia
E USA
E Canada
SE England
3.79W
5.54W
6.93E
6.35W
8.72W
124.05E
71.05W
66.87W
0.74E
43.46N
50.1N
53.3N
36.8N
53.12N
13.47S
42.35N
45.05N
51.44N
R tT
2
tidal wave, and s T1 t zw t m dt is the standard
deviation of the elevations. Here, a, b are referenced to the
local MSL and m is referenced to the overall MSL. Note that,
Fig. 2. Example of the application of the up-crossing method to a tidal record (Santander tidal gauge, N Spain).
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Fig. 3. Tidal elevation time series (left panels), joint probability density function of tidal wave height and tidal wave period (central panels) and marginal
empirical distribution of tidal wave height (right panels) for the tide at Newlyn in England, Delfzijl in the Netherlands, Bremen in Germany and Heywood
Shoal in Australia.
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Fig. 4. Univariate kernel density model for tidal wave height (fH (H)) (solid line). Comparison with the empirical pdf, pH(H) (bars), at Santander. For this
particular case, DH = 0.1 m and h = 0.17 m.
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Fig. 5. (a) Symmetric wave prole; (b) tidal elevation pdf associated to (a).
Fig. 6. Theoretical dimensionless tidal wave height pdfs (left) and associated tidal elevation pdfs (right). The labels are represented in the (i) and (j) cases.
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Fig. 7. Horizontal axis: Tidal wave height, H (m). Vertical axis: crest (a) and trough (b) amplitude, standard deviation (r) and mean water level (l) as a
0:51; r
function of H. Data: Santander tidal gauge. Solid line: mean value of the parameters a 0:49; b
0:355; l
0.
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consequently, dierent density of probability in the negative and positive part of the function). Moreover, the pdf
should be expressed in terms of easily obtained parameters,
such as the crest and trough amplitudes, and the standard
deviation of a single wave.
It has been found that the beta pdf is an adequate
approximate function to describe the above requirements
[2]. This pdf is dened on the interval [b + m, a + m]
and can be expressed as
fB z; a; b; s; m
z b m
q1
a z m
r1
a bqr1 Bq; r
bab s2
;
a bs2
aab s2
a bs2
p
Note that for a symmetric wave (a = b = 0.5H, s 2H =4
and m = 0), the parameters q = r = 0.5, and the beta pdf
reduces to the one given in Eq. (3).
The performance of the beta pdf is as follows: one of the
most frequently observed causes of tide asymmetry is the
generation of compound tidal constituents and higher harmonics (overtides) of the principal constituents due to nonlinear eects in shallow waters, that is, the generation of the
M4 overtide and its interaction with the semi-diurnal lunar
tide, M2. Let us assume that the TE for these two harmonics is expressed as
zw t AM 2 cos2pt=T M 2 /M 2 AM 4 cos4pt=T M 4 /M 4
Fig. 8. Theoretical beta pdfs. Dots: empirical pdf (histogram) for the tidal elevation corresponding to Eq. (8). Solid line: approximate analytical solution
given by Eq. (6), beta pdf.
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The astronomical tide is strongly distorted during its propagation from oshore into a shallow tidal basin. This distortion is due to two mechanisms: (1) Energy dissipation of the
fundamental constituents (M2, S2) by friction and (2) transfer
from the fundamental constituents to the overtides by nonlinear advection, non-linear continuity and friction [21]. As
mentioned, this generation of overtides is the most frequently
observed cause of tidal asymmetry. Moreover, the higher the
ocean tidal height, the higher the tide distortion [7].
To investigate this, in Fig. 10 the Bonanza dimensionless
tidal wave parameters, (a, b, r, l), as a function of TWH,
H, are presented.
Comparing these results with those presented in Fig. 7,
it can be observed that assuming constant parameters for
the Santander tide is a quite good approximation. However, at Bonanza the tidal wave parameters strongly
depend on the TWH. According to this, and in order to
better represent the TE pdf in shallow water areas, the
wave parameters have been expressed as a function of the
TWH by means of a linear t,
aH a1 H a2 ;
rH r1 H r2 ;
bH b1 H b2 ;
lH l1 H l2
10
11
Fig. 10. Horizontal axis: Tidal wave height, H (m). Vertical axis: Crest (a) and trough (b) amplitude, standard deviation (r) and mean water level (l) as a
function of H. Data: Bonanza tidal gauge. Solid line: linear t.
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Fig. 11. Comparison between the empirical tidal elevation pdfs (dots) and the model pdfs (solid line) resulting from Eq. (4) assuming that every single
wave has the symmetric pdf of Eq. (3).
Fig. 12. Comparison between the empirical tidal elevation pdfs (dots) and the model pdfs (solid line) resulting from Eq. (9) assuming that every single wave
0:503; r
0:51; r
0:351; l
0, Boston: a 0:49; b
0:35; l
0,
has the a symmetric pdf of Eq. (6). Mean parameters at Newlyn: a 0:497; b
0:49; r
0:57; r
Bonanza:
a 0:51; b
0:356; l
0:0045 and Delfzijl: a 0:43; b
0:352; l
0:0014.
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Fig. 13. Comparison between the empirical pdfs (dots) and the asymmetric model pdfs resulting from Eq. (11) assuming that every single wave has the
asymmetric pdf of Eq. (6). Dashed line: using mean parameters. Solid line: using linear parameters.
0:57; r
0:352; l
0:0014, the
nounced,
a 0:43; b
improvement is much more evident although the model
performance is not as good as in Bonanza.
Therefore, it seems that this simple approach in dening
r
; l
is
the asymmetry in terms of average parameters
a; b;
good enough in most of the cases. However, as seen in
Fig. 12 some discrepancies can be detected if the tide distortion becomes important.
Fig. 13 shows the comparison between the empirical TE
pdf and that obtained with Eq. (11) and the parameterization given by Eq. (10) for the Bonanza and Delfzijl tidal
gauges. Although no clear improvement is obtained in
the Delfzijl case, the t becomes better for the Bonanza
curves. In this case, the peak of density coincides more
accurately with the empirical TE pdf peaks and the tails
are perfectly predicted by the model. Thus, the above analysis shows that TE pdfs in shallow areas can be calculated
by the proposed method even when the tide asymmetry is
important.
5. Conclusions
A statistical approach has been presented to obtain the
tidal elevation (TE) pdf at a specic site. The proposed
method explores the parallelism between the short-term
probabilistic description of the free surface in a sea state
and the analysis of a tidal record. The TE pdf is calculated
by means of a compound pdf expressed in terms of the tidal
wave heights (TWH) pdf and the U-shaped pdf for the elevations of a single wave. Using tidal records along the
Worlds coastline, it has been demonstrated that this
approach predicts quite accurately the TE pdf for the cases
where the tidal asymmetry is not determinant.
An extension to account for asymmetries in the tidal elevations is also proposed. The asymmetry is dened in terms
of easy wave parameters such as the dimensionless crest (a),
trough, (b), mean sea level elevation (l) and standard deviation of the elevations (r). The results show that the pro-
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