534 CHAPTER 8 Section I: Multiple Ch ‘T8.1 The Gallup Poll interviews 1600 people, OF these, 18% say that they jog regularly The news report adds: “The poll had a margin of rrorof phis or rninus three percentage points at a 95% eonfidenee level.” You ean safely conclude that (a) 95% of all Gallap Poll samples like this one give answers within +3% of the true population value {b) the percent of the population who jog is certain to be between 15% and 21%: () 95% of the population jog between 15% and 2! the time of (d) we can be 95% confident that the sample proportion is captured by the confidence interval (6) if Gallup took many samples, 95% of them would find that 18% of the people in the sample jog. ‘T8.2. The weights (in pounds) of three adult males are 160, 2 these three weights is (3) 190. fb) 27.84. (c) 22.73. (a) 1607. (e) 13.13 ‘T83_In preparing to construct a one-ample t interval fora population mean, suppose we are not sure if the population distribution is Normal, In which of the following cireurnstances would we not be safe constructing the mterval based on an SRS of size 24 fiom the population? {@) A stemplot of © (©) Aboxplot ofthe data has a large outlier. 1 data is roughly bell-shaped A histogram of the data shows slight skewness (A) The sample standard dev A Normal probability plot of the data is fairly linear. ‘T84. Many television viewers express doubts about the va lidity of certain commercials. In an atfempt to answer their critics, Timex Group USA wishes to estimate the proportion of consumers who believe what is shown in Timex television commercials. Let p represent the true proportion of consumers who believe what is shown in ‘Timex television commercials. What isthe ESTIMATING WITH CONFIDENCE Chapter 8 AP® Statistics Practice Test Select the best answer for each question. 'T8.5. You want to compute a 90% conf "T8.6. A radio talk show host with a large audience isin and 195, The standard error of the mean of ‘smallest number of consumers that Times ean sun to guarantee a margin of error of 0.05 or less at a 99% confidence level? (b) 600 (a) 550 (©) 650 (d) 70) 750 nce interval fr the mean of a population with unknown poptlatiy standard deviation. The sample size is 3D. The val of t* you would use for this interval is (a) 1.645. (b) 1.699, fe) 1.697. (@) 1.95. (©) 2.045 terested in the proportion p of adults in his listening. area who think the drinking age should be lowered” = to eighteen. To find this out, he poses the follow- ing question to his listeners: ‘Do you think that the drinking age should be reduced to eighteen in light ofthe fact that eighteen-yearolds are eligible for anilitay service?” He asks listeners to phone in and vote "Yes" ifthey agree the drinking age should be lowered and “No” if not. OF the 100 people who phoned in, 70 answered “Yes.” Which of the follow ing conditions for inference about a proportion wsing ronfidence interval are violated? 1, The data are a random sample fiom the population of interest I. ‘The population is atleast 10 times as large as the sample. UL. nis so large that both nf and 1(l ~ fare at least 10 (a) Fonly——(e} MLonly () 1.1 and It (b) Honky (@) Land ttonly T8.7 A 90% confidence interval for the mean p of pope lation is computed from a random sample and is found to be 9 + 3. Which of the following could be the 95% confidesice interval based on the same dale? | b) 923 (d) 928 a) 9 le 924 (€) Without knowing the sample size, any ofthe above answers could be the 95% confidence interval.148 Suppose we want a 90% confidence interval forthe average amount spent on books by feshmen in their first year ata major university. The interval sto have a margin of exror of $2, Based on last year’s book sales, we estimate thatthe standard deviation of the amount spent will be clase to $30, The number of observations required is closest to 25. (b) 30, (6) 608. (2) 609. (e) 865, telephone poll of an SRS of 1234 adults found thal 62% are generally satisfied with ther lives. The announced margin of error for the poll was 3%. Does the margin of extor account forthe fae that some arts do not have telephones? Yes. The margin of error includes al sources of error inthe poll Yes. Taking an SRS eliminates any possible bies i ‘estimating the population proportion fe} Yes. The margin of error includes undereo ol nonresponse. No.‘Thhe margin of ertor includes nonresponse but not undercoverage {11 The US. Forest Senice is considering altonal re- stictions on the mumber of vehicles allowed to enter Yellowstone National Park. To assess public reaction, the service asks a randoms sample of 150 visitors if they favor the proposal, OF these, 89 say “Y Construct and interpret a.99% confidence interval for the proportion of al visitors to Yellowstone who favor the restrictions, Based on your work in part (a), cam the U.S, Forest Service conchude that more than half of vistors to Yellowstone National Park favor the proposal? Justify your answer. How many people live in South African house- holds? ‘To find out, we collected data from an SI ‘0f 48 out ofthe over 700,000 South African stud ‘who took part in the GensusAtSchool survey proj- cect, The mean number of people living in a house hold was 6.208; the standard deviation sas 2,576. nts fe) No, The margin of enor only includes sainpling variability T8.10 A Census Buceau report on the income of Ameticans says that with 90% confidence the median ineome of all US. households in a recent year was $57,005 with a margin of error of +$742, This eneans that (a) 90% ofall households had incomes inthe range s S742. (b) we can be sure thatthe median income forall households in the countsy lies in the interval 005» $742. (6) 90% of the househokisin the sample interiewed by the Census Bureau had incomes in the interval $57,008 = $742. {a} the Census Buceat got the result $57,005 = $742 using a method that will capture the true median income 90% of the time when used repeatedly () 90% of all possible samples ofthis same size would result in a sample median that falls within $742 of $57,005, ion I Free Response Show all your work, Indicate clearly the methods you use, because you will be graded on of your methods ae well as on the accuracy and completeness of your results and explanations. (@) Is the Normal/Large Sample condition met inthis cease? Justify (6) Mautice claims that a 95% confidence interval for the population mean is 6. Explain why this interval is wrong. Then give the correct interval 78.3. A milk processor monitors the nnmber of bacteria per milter in raw milk received atthe Factory. ran- dom sample of 10 one-milliliter specimens of mill supplied by one producer gives the following data 5870 48¢0 5190 4500 5260 5150 4900 4760 4700 4870 pret a 90% confidence interval np Construct and int for the population mAnswers to Chapter 8 AP® Statistics Practice Test Tat 782 183 4 TSS 186 8. Sd TSH e 1810 d 7831 @) Sp rapertion of al vise to Yellowstone svho weil soy they fvor the estetions. F: Onesamplez interval for p. Kandom: the vistors were selected randomly. LOS: the sample size (150) is les than 10% of all visitors to Yellowstone National Park. Large Counts: np = 892 10 and nfl — 6] = 10, D: (0.490, 0.696).C: We are 99% confident that the interval from 0.490 ta 0.696 captures the tne preportion of al vis tocs we would say that they favor the restrictions. (bj Because there are values smaller than 0.50 in the confidence interval, the US, Porest Service cannot conchade that more than half of visitors yo Yellowstone Netional Park Favor the propos 'TS.12 (a} Because the sample size is large (n= 48 = 30), the Nermal/Large Sample condition is met. (b) Matrice’s interval usee az critical value insead of af critical value, Also, Maurice used the wrong value in the aquase ro0t—it should be m= 48, Comet ving. 9.528» 200(228) Va technology: (5.46, 6.956) with aF= 47 Y8.13 Sie the truc read niiber of bacteria per milliliter of saw milk received atthe factory. P: One-sample & interval for, Rando: The data come froma random sample. 10%: the sample 10) is less than 10% of all Lan! specimens that artive atthe factory. Normal/Laige Sample: the dotplot shows that there iso stzong skewness or outlier. 4576959). Using ma ‘actos D: Using af = 9,(4794.37,5105.63).C: We ate 90% confident that the interval from 4794.37 to 3105.63 lacterilfn! captures the true mean number of bacteria in the mill received at this factory Chapter 9 Section ~