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  • Us Historical Probs 2-1-10

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    Deliajrs
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    These probabilities were generated using monthly data on non-farm payroll employment, industrial production, real personal income excluding transfer payments, and real manufacturing and trade sales. All data was obtained on February 1, 2009.

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    These probabilities were generated using monthly data on non-farm payroll employment, industrial production, real personal income excluding transfer payments, and real manufacturing and trade sales. All data was obtained on February 1, 2009.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    7 views1 page

    Us Historical Probs 2-1-10

    Uploaded by

    Deliajrs
    These probabilities were generated using monthly data on non-farm payroll employment, industrial production, real personal income excluding transfer payments, and real manufacturing and trade sales. All data was obtained on February 1, 2009.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    of 1

    Historical U.S.

    Recession Probabilities
    June 1967 – November 2009

    1.0

    0.8

    0.6

    0.4

    0.2

    0.0
    1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    Notes: These probabilities were generated using monthly data on non-farm payroll
    employment, industrial production, real personal income excluding transfer payments,
    and real manufacturing and trade sales. All data was obtained on February 1, 2009.
    Shaded areas indicate NBER recession dating.

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