34 12

2 0 1 3 12

ACTA ARMAMENTARII

Vol. 34 No. 12
Dec.

2013

, , ,
( , 100191)

: ,
, ( GERT)

,
,

: ; ; ; ;
: TJ590

: A

DOI: 10. 3969 / j. issn. 10001093. 2013. 12. 018

: 10001093(2013)12161105

Aircraft Support Process Time Analysis

Based on Graphic Evaluation and Review Technique
WU Yong, PAN Xing, KANG Rui, MA Lin

( School of Reliability and System Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China)

Abstract: To deal with the uncertainty problem about the logical relationship and time of aircraft support

activities, a support process model based on random network is built by analyzing the aircraft support operating
process. The support operating time is solved by graphical evaluation and review technique ( GERT) , and
the solution steps are given. A support process example is studied to demonstrate the effectiveness and
applicability of the proposed methodology. According to sensitivity parameter analysis, the corresponding
suggestions on aircraft support operations are presented.

Key words: systems engineering methodology; aircraft; support process; random network; graphic
evaluation and review technique

,, MAS

[1] ,
( ) ,
2 :1)
,

[2 - 6]

[2] [4] Petri

[5] ;2)
[7 - 10] ,
[7]
[8]
[9 - 10]
,
,

: 2013 - 05 - 30

: (71171008)
: (1982) ,, Email:skyworldwy@ dse. buaa. edu. cn;
(1966) ,,, Email:kangrui@ buaa. eud. cn

1612

34

,
;,
,,
,
,
,,
,

( PERT) ( GERT) ,
GERT
[11] GERT Eisner 1962 ,1966

Pritsker [12] , GERT ,

Whitehouse [13]
GERT , GERT

,GERT
[14 - 15] [16]

[17]

,,
GERT ;
,

Fig. 1 Flow chart of aircraft support

3 ;
, 1

Tab. 1 Node type of random network

1
1 1
,

F / A18C ,

,;
,,
,

,:

1) ,

,,

, ,

;,

;;

1 2

2) ,

 12

1613

3) ,

,,

1 ,

Fig. 2 Random network model of aircraft support operations

,(i,j) 2 :(i,j)
P ij t ij .

2
GERT
GERT , [12]
M E ( s) n s = 0
t n ,

W ij ( s) ;L j ( m,s) j
m W j ( s) ;H( s) GERT

, 1
[13]

W E ( s) P E

M E ( s) ,
W E ( s) = P E M E ( s) .

(1)

W E ( s)

d
E( t) = M E ( s)
.
(2)
ds
s =0
E( t) , M E ( s) t ij

W E (0) = P E M E (0) = P E

E[ t ] =

dn
M E ( s)
ds n

:p i ( s) j

s =0

st

- e f( t) dt,
st
M( s) = E( e ) =
e st P( t) ,
t

;
.

(3)
:f( t) ( i,j) t ;
P( t) t

2 :( i,j)
i Pij (i,j)
M ij ( s) . GERT ,

W ij ( s) = P ij M ij ( s) .

(4)

GERT

W E ( s) =

p i ( s)

[ 1 + ( - 1)
m

H( s)

L j ( m,s)

[15]

s = 0 ,

M E ( s) =

e st f( t) dt

W E ( s)
.
W E (0)

M E ( s)

s =0

(6)

= PE ,

(7)
(8)

1) ,

2)

:
;

3) ,(4)

GERT
W E ( s) ;

4) W E ( s) ,

M E ( s) ,
E( t) .

(5)

3
,

1614

1 + 45 F / A18

[18]

, 2

2 1 + 45

Tab. 2 Statistics of support activities at 1 + 45 tempo

i

CAD

/ min

/ min

34

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12,L1 ( m,s) = 1;

012 3 5 6 7 8 9 10 12,L2 (m,s) = 1;

0 1 2 7 8 9 10 12,L3 ( m,s) = 1.

2 1 :
3 4 6 7 8 9 10 11 3,

3 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 3.

12 0

GERT

5 0
5 0

193 0

3 0

14 0

CAD

100 0

2 0

8 3

3 0 min

10 2

WE(s) =

38 8(2 91 106 -1 28 107s +1 36 107s2 -1 97 106s3 +76 000s4)e0 27s

.
(1 13 108 -5 94 108s +7 93 108s2 -1 99 108s3 +2 03 107s4 -9 34 105s5 +16 000s6)
(7)

3 0
1 2

W E (0) = 1,

M E ( s) = W E ( s) / W E (0) = W E ( s) .

(2)

60 10

W01W12W1012(W27 +W23W35W56W67 +W23W34W46W67)

=
1 -W67W1011W113(W34W46 +W35W56)

E( t) =

50 ~ 70

d
M ( s)
ds E

F / A18 24% .

,10%

4 1

1 4 1, 14%
3% .
,
,
, 3

1 00

0 25

e0 25s

1 00

0 59

1 00

CAD(27) 0 76

1 00

1 00

1 00

(12)

0 24

0 41

1 00

CAD(67) 1 00

1 00

0 03

(23)
(34)
(35)
(46)
(56)

(78)
(89)

(910)
(1011)
(113)
(1012)

0 97

1 148 1 60 = 68 886 min,,

,

4 2

Tab. 3 Parameters of aircraft support activities

(01)

= 1 148 1 h.

( i - j)

s =0

12 50

12 5 / (12 5 - s)

0 31

0 31 / (0 31 - s)

12 50
0 60

12 5 / (12 5 - s)

12 5 / (12 5 - s)

20 00

20 / (20 - s)

20 00

20 00

20 / (20 - s)

12 50
0 02

0 3]. 3

20 / (20 - s)

4 35 / (4 35 - s)

12 50

, 2 a,b[0,

12 5 / (12 5 - s)

4 35
5 88

0 6 / (0 6 - s)

12 50
12 50

F / A18 a

5 88 / (5 88 - s)

Fig. 3 The effect of the change in operating

12 5 / (12 5 - s)
12 5 / (12 5 - s)
e

0 02s

0 12 ,
L j ( m,s) . 3 :0 1

probability on operation time

 12

4 3

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