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Introduction
You have already seen with Arash the global energy scene and the main areas of production
and consumption throughout the world. Now, in this session, we will see together how oil
and gas, extracted from reservoirs, are priced and traded in international energy markets.
As a matter of fact, practitioners apply some sort of benchmarking system that not only
takes into account these quality differences, but also the transport arbitration, resulting
from the multiple locations of crude sources.
Oil markers are the benchmarks that are used for pricing crude oil from different regions of
the world.
WTI, Oman-Dubai and Brent are the most famous examples, respectively used in North
America, Asia and Europe and even beyond.
To become a reliable marker, both physical and financial infrastructures are needed, which
means enough reserves, considerable production, proper geographical location, solid
financial liquidity, and of course geopolitical stability.
In the second pricing system, I mean gas-to-gas competition, we use gas hubs as a reference.
These hubs are somehow comparable to oil markers. Henry hub in the United States, and
the National Balancing Point (NBP) in the United Kingdom are the two most active ones.
As for oil markers, natural gas hubs must also have solid properties both in terms of physical
and financial infrastructure, so as to be considered as a reliable reference point for both
producers and consumers.
Lets take the example of an airline company that needs to supply its aircraft fleet with jet
fuel. This company will want to hedge itself against a future price increase of fuel. To do so,
it can buy oil products under forward contracts in the physical market for the coming
months. Now, imagine at the delivery date agreed in the contract, the price of fuel is far
below the one previously set between the two contractors. So, in some sense, the airline
company will lose money as it is buying fuel at a higher price than what is being announced
on the spot market.
In order to prevent this loss, the company could have covered itself by taking an opposite
position on the financial market. By this, I mean to make a financial deal with another
counter-party in which the airline company bets on the price decrease. In other words, the
airline company will get paid if the price of fuel decreases in the future. And this can
compensate the former loss already produced in the previous physical contract.
Through this example, we have talked only about futures contracts on the financial markets.
But there are also more financial products such as swaps, options and other derivatives that
can help market players in their hedging strategies against future price variation.
Roughly speaking, for market players, better hedging strategy brings more certainty and
stability in terms of the future price of the commodity and hence future income.
W1V2 Energy commodity markets p. 6
IFPEN - IFP School 2015 / TOTAL SA 2015 / IFP Training 2015
Conclusion
Since the emergence and the gradual development of financial markets, more and more
liquidity and financial security has been brought into the energy commodity markets. These
phenomena have both pros and cons: pros in the sense that they have provided the market
players with many trading and risk management tools to hedge against price instability. On
the other hand, these financial markets have also encouraged the arrival of speculators,
who are pure financial gamblers without any hedging strategy.
Nowadays, trading on financial markets is the predominant type of transaction for
exchanging commodities. But what really matter, in the long term, are the physical market
fundamentals: in simple words, the balance between supply and demand remains the main
driver for determining the price of crude oil and energy commodities in general. And the
current sharp fall in oil prices is a striking example to observe.