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MA 2040 Solutions Set ve Note thd if mt ' pena ptha—> tater Conmaet PCtner= RI Ane BR, Xa =) Creephicely , we hark (o> R poem m4 neo From @ and GD, r+ qollewsameed ae oo Aeyaenee OF mgrks Loma & js veh a Markey erin, FG) Lek on bershe IniBek” distenge “Vedette, apace ave fly, shale sper = [40% 77! ny morvey chain gdh adeker os drsdenet 3 3 Jranaition prooabidi bes mah ae form ot2s * Gigi oe - i le 6 8 7 2g -4 03 aor eset antiie ae ° nlo ° 3s Nowe ee fio = P( Ada cemsing od 1M place cod spider mores a Step Bee Given ane da bert i4 ome unl ae Py = PC fly meets owny one vm and spine moves a rile towend) 4 | bees wewween Yider =z) jh ore Une | ese mes Ane position of Spider ana Spider Yeosen of tly | aitina ween Shan ona, Se i oo 20) state 0 is ecurvend and aR other stares QOS Avan bent @_ Ss markov choin com de represented . eriod 2 This jminkev chain js periode arth r phe do subsele are $94,619} ond teasg 6 O Reeurend steta ave 12,4, 5 a4 6, Avanaien’ skte ip 3 perioate shaker are 4, 5,6, Odea RAL ANS (yt oy ones © proces pap tr shakes cith probebily 2 proces feeves ptake 5 eitn ponely Avials yp to and preludny dhe trick on which proces Leave shke 3 js freoweddc vendo varicbso aheh parsweter 8. Here? gayecter pricks QD 14 proc goes fom steles te shi g, Hen iP never @nter site d ene the prooaeilety oF ener ender sik 4 14 eee erate 3 © eswed probediby = Paes ere Betis) + (Pa) Vow (artre tes) + (Pos Pow te Pre Pee + (ss) pag 2 states t (oh setae 3 = +3084 ® — P(_ preees was yn stoke ¢ after tre Bosh ane] percess ls wm she 4 adie jo trek) = p(in she atter esl 5 Gtade ge afer fietd Jed) PC ea a pC shle agter Ie teint) * = (Ms tse Fir) «Poe or 5oay 2 os ARF 2 492 0. 3084 one-sdep F.(9) Trantikion probability pati is gen by % +6 0 Pris ag oa, o +2 8 rhe stelg- shle pobarititiea mm Aksey. TG Zieh, J1a,s ths imply, T= 4 + e3 Ty or 66% = 63m Tas CM + Seat amy osm seem +R My Ty Omron, ov M2 20s Fy ™M=°2 Alternates fer Lege nm, Gay neater) [oo ek se ag 5 using, oe : Be aH irae Pasron] matted Periieatcent which > mpl x (er) = v5, (100) = Ys)(I90) = 9, iA) = Fay Cem) = aCe) ap IO) = 69400) = CaaCion)ang. n- Step a dton't sae be. fhe prove vileigs BOD depends OM InitiaQ state. Ta other words Ar probabilly oy gor g. ae shies frm stk, sider ad Stade 3 i Sart ond 4 eyueQ fo +2, ade Probebilay 1K ot for dee Ayadem ty bets Shee apd @ veechng Aborly jade © SCE) Derived proeadility = P( transition fam shied to 2 | chain io m she 1) P(r shi) +P C#remition from siater to z] chen is ph shte 2) © PCim shete x) S bk DE rams = DFOB HZ, sce). PC Fiest chenge of Shite 4 4 bieth) Foie : = PC thargaieg, state| ehacs js pi states) PC SRA skier) +P Gremnge of Shit ia birth | chen ia 1s gdake 2) PCn sexe) dn . TP (Charge oy Stile te beth | chad ia js shes) ¥Cm see) = ana + 22 Rt # Ome 3 + S rate = +36 sa), P( proeew ws stale 2] firsk trendilio ja 9 bint) = pC pecs tae Seka ane fish pranmbion is birs) Pea eee peo PC fish Hansdion iA birth) =p Fak transi iso birth) process arse 19 stter) Se ee anges P(proces wes ii ste 2) 5 ak 22 TC uring seu) = 94, s(e). Similar to part 5), @ SCH). PC Fiat observed tention 12 6 birth NV " PC proces wes 14 shisez| fiat chege O state (4 bivth) | prea ent ie stk 2) teak change oF Stake is birt eC 4 a oe eC Het Omye 7 Stk ia bins) PC poeas ear ns sha) Fics obsewed “peanmon ombaed in change wax) pltas ppsered franmtin jA abirth ana jt vemutded In change 03 Shite PC Fee obsered trannition remuthed mi change of Shie acai ae GK DFID H pia Mt (bostPa)Mat Pan Ged SHE HD Hg aot a W Gna e aoe ene sC#) PC Fiat observed Aranaition Reads to rete | tes L-- Ghaeceed dean aiken rewutled i change OF she) drenntin heeds to AZ end id alto ccidal wi chong: a3 ShMe) p (ttrah obsenes ee eee PC Feat obaeres Franson -remtied 16 = os Stale Pio + Ps2%s Pam + (Pest rn)mt Ponts v Bh Cae ee eG me Dt SBT Dh t

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