I.

1. Vi gi thuyt: E n =a

^
k =

C nk n

C nk
+ E( . E n =

^
E k = E k

k + a.

C nk

^
nn E k =

(x x )
S xx

x n . x
=

=0

S xx

Cnk

^
Vy vi gi thuyt trn th tnh cht E k =
2. F=

Cnk

vn ng.

( ESS RESSU )/J

ESSU /( N K )

Ta c J, N-K,

ESSU

lun ln 0. V m hnh (U) c nhiu bin hn (R) nn (U) s

c mc gii thch tt hn tc l

ESSU < ESS R

ESS RESSU

>0F

>0

^
3. se( k ) =

s /S
2

xx

m s2 = 1/(N-K).

e 2n
n

nn vi m hnh (U) c K

^
ln hn => s2 ln hn => se( k ) tng .
4. Vi b d liu A: cc quan st l sinh vin c tui, cng vic chnh
(hc), thu nhp tng i ging nhau, chnh lch khng nhiu
Vi b d liu B: cc quan st l dn qun 3, thnh phn dn c tnh cht
ngh nghip, tui,.. khc bit nhau nhieeug v a dng. Phn nh ng
tnh cht ca tng th lad chi tiu theo thu nhp ca ngi dn TP. HCM.
Do chn b du liu B s c chnh xc cao hn.
II.
1. LnQ = -2.8365 + 1.43LnY 0.57LnP

(1.408) (0.2275)

(0.2137)

R 2=0.5973 , ESS= 4.15

N= 30,

2. LnY: khi thu nhp bnh qun/ngi tng 1% th lng cu bnh qun/ngi
v thc phm A tng 1 %

LnP: khi gi thc phm

tng 1% th lng cu bnh qun/ngi v

thc phm A gim 1 %.

2 , khong tin cy 0.95:

3. H s ca bin Ln=
Ta c:

4.

^ 2 t 27
0.025
^
2

2 . se( 2 ) )

(0.963 ; 1.897)

H 0 : 0=0.5
H 1 : 0 0.5
3
^
|t| = se ( 3) = 0.3276 <

Gi tr kim nh:

t 27
0.025 =2.052
chp nhp H0

nh vy nhn nh a ra l chp nhn c mc ngha 5%

5.

H 0 : 1 =2 =3 =0
H 1 :khng phi H 0

Fc =

R2 /( K1)
(1R2 )/( N K )

0.625/(31)
(10.625)/( 303)

f (2,27)
0.05
= 4.41

= 22.5 >

nn bc b H0 tc l cc bin c ngha gii thch cho m hnh.

6. LnQ =

1 +

2 LnY+

3 LnP

H 0 : 2+ 3 =0
H 1 : 2 + 3 0

^^
^
^
^^
Var( 2 + 3 )= Var( 2 ) + Var( 3 )+ 2Cor( 2 , 3 ) = 0.22752+
^^
0.21372 + 2. 0.00248= 0.1024 se( 2 , 3 )=
Gia tr kim nh: t=

Var ( ^ +^ )

(1.430.570)
= 2.6875 >
0.32

H0 tc l nhn nh a ra l sai.

= 0.32

t 27
0.025 =2.052 bc b