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10-21-14 Smart Beta Alpha - CAPE - Webcast Slides (Final)
10-21-14 Smart Beta Alpha - CAPE - Webcast Slides (Final)
MeetSmartAlpha
LiveWebcastHostedBy:
JeffreySherman,CFA
PortfolioManager
October21,2014
Disclaimer
TheFundsinvestmentobjectives,risks,chargesandexpensesmustbeconsidered
carefullybeforeinvesting.Thestatutoryandsummaryprospectuscontainthisandother
importantinformationabouttheFunds,andmaybeobtainedbycalling1(877)354
6311/1(877)DLINE11,orvisitingwww.doublelinefunds.com.Readcarefullybefore
investing.
TheDoubleLine Shiller EnhancedCAPEmayinvestinforeignsecuritieswhichinvolvegreatervolatilityandpolitical,economicandcurrencyrisksanddifferencesinaccountingmethods.Theserisks
aregreaterforinvestmentsinemergingmarkets.Inordertoachieveitsinvestmentobjectives,theFundmayusecertaintypesofexchangetradedfundsorinvestmentderivatives.Derivatives
involverisksdifferentfrom,andincertaincases,greaterthantheriskspresentedbymoretraditionalinvestments.Derivativesmayinvolvecertaincostsandriskssuchasliquidity,interestrate,
market,credit,managementandtheriskthatapositioncouldnotbeclosedwhenmostadvantageous.Investinginderivativescouldlosemorethantheamountinvested.. ETFinvestmentsinvolve
additionalriskssuchasthemarketpricetradingatadiscounttoitsnetassetvalue,anactivesecondarytradingmarketmaynotdeveloporbemaintained,ortradingmaybehaltedbythe
exchangeinwhichtheytrade,whichmayimpactafundsabilitytosellitsshares.
Investmentsindebtsecuritiestypicallydecreaseinvaluewheninterestratesrise.Thisriskisusuallygreaterforlongertermdebtsecurities.InvestmentsinAssetBackedandMortgageBacked
securitiesincludeadditionalrisksthatinvestorsshouldbeawareofincludingcreditrisk,prepaymentrisk,possibleilliquidityanddefault,aswellasincreasesusceptibilitytoadverseeconomic
developments.Investmentsinlowerratedandnonratedsecuritiespresentagreaterriskoflosstoprincipalandinterestthanhigherratedsecurities.TheFundmayalsoinvestinsecuritiesrelated
torealestate,whichmaydeclineinvalueasaresultoffactorsaffectingtherealestateindustry.
Equitiesmaydeclineinvalueduetobothrealandperceivedgeneralmarket,economicandindustryconditions.Thefundmaymake shortsalesofsecurities,whichinvolvestheriskthatlossesmay
exceedtheoriginalamountinvested.
BarclaysCapitalInc.anditsaffiliates("Barclays")isnottheissuerorproducerofDoubleLine Shiller EnhancedCAPE (theFund)andBarclayshasnoresponsibilities,obligationsordutiesto
investorsintheFund.TheShiller BarclaysCAPE USSectorUSDIndex(theIndex)isatrademarkownedbyBarclaysBankPLCandlicensedforusebytheFund.WhiletheFundmayexecute
transaction(s)withBarclaysinorrelatingtotheIndex,FundinvestorsacquireinterestssolelyintheFundandinvestorsneitheracquireanyinterestintheIndexnorenterintoanyrelationshipof
anykindwhatsoeverwithBarclaysuponmakinganinvestmentintheFund.TheFundisnotsponsored,endorsed,soldorpromotedbyBarclaysandBarclaysmakesnorepresentationregardingthe
advisabilityofthe FundoruseoftheIndexoranydataincludedtherein.BarclaysshallnotbeliableinanywaytotheFund, investorsortootherthirdpartiesinrespectoftheuseoraccuracyofthe
Indexoranydataincludedtherein.
TheShillerBarclaysCAPE USIndexFamily(theIndexFamily)hasbeendevelopedinpartbyRSBBI,LLC,theresearchprincipalofwhichisRobertJ.Shiller.RSBBI,LLCisnotaninvestmentadvisor
anddoesnotguaranteetheaccuracyandcompletenessoftheIndexFamilyoranydataormethodologyeitherincludedthereinoruponwhichitisbased.RSBBI,LLCshallhavenoliabilityforany
errors,omissionsorinterruptionsthereinandmakesnowarrantiesexpressedorimplied,astotheperformanceorresultsexperiencedbyanypartyfromtheuseofanyinformationincluded
thereinoruponwhichitisbased,andexpresslydisclaimsallwarrantiesofthemerchantabilityorfitnessforaparticularpurposewithrespectthereto,andshallnotbeliableforanyclaimsorlosses
ofanynatureinconnectionwiththeuseofsuchinformation,includingbutnotlimitedto,lostprofitsorpunitiveorconsequentialdamageseven,ifRSBBI,LLCisadvisedofthepossibilityofsame.
CreditdistributionisdeterminedfromthehighestavailablecreditratingfromanyNationallyRecognizedStatisticalRatingOrganization(S&P,MoodysandFitch).
WhiletheFundisnoload,managementfeesandotherexpensesstillapply.
Pleaserefertotheprospectusforfurtherdetails.
Diversificationdoesnotassureaprofitorprotectagainstlossinadecliningmarket.
DoubleLineisaregisteredtrademarkofDoubleLine CapitalLP.
DoubleLine FundsaredistributedbyQuasarDistributors,LLC.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha1
FundOfferings
Shiller EnhancedCAPE
RetailandInstitutionalClass
Ticker
MinInvestment1
MinIRAInvestment
Gross ExpenseRatio
NetExpenseRatio2
ExpenseCap2
Retail
Nshare
Inst.
Ishare
DSENX
$2,000
$500
1.63%
1.24%
0.90%
DSEEX
$100,000
$5,000
1.38%
0.99%
0.65%
WhiletheFundisnoload,managementfeesandotherexpensesstillapply.Pleaserefertotheprospectusforfurtherdetails.
1. Subsequentinvestmentminimumsare$500,$250fortheIRA.A$100minimumsubsequentpurchaseamountappliesforautomaticinvestmentplans.Pleaseseetheprospectusfor
furtherdetails. Periodicinvestmentplansdonotassureaprofitanddonotprotectagainstlossindecliningmarkets.
2. TheAdvisorhascontractuallyagreedtowaiveitsinvestmentadvisoryfeeandtoreimbursetheFundforotherordinaryoperating expensestotheextentnecessarytolimitordinary
operatingexpensestoanamountnottoexceed0.65%forClassIsharesand0.90%forClassNshares.Ordinaryoperatingexpenses excludetaxes,commissions,markups,litigation
expenses,indemnificationexpenses,interestexpenses,AcquiredFundFeesandExpenses,andanyextraordinaryexpenses.These expenselimitationsareexpectedtoapplyuntilatleast
July31,2015,exceptthattheymaybeterminatedbytheBoardofTrusteesatanytime.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha2
ShillerEnhancedCAPE(DSEEX/DLSNX)
QuarterEndReturnsasofSeptember30,2014
QuarterEnd
September30,2014
Ishare
Nshare
S&P500Index
3Q
2014
(103113to93014)
0.41%
0.47%
15.80%
15.57%
1.13%
14.47%
SinceInception
AsofSeptember30,2014
GrossSEC30DayYield
NetSEC30DayYield
IShare
3.05%
3.31%
NShare
2.78%
3.04%
AsofSeptember30,2014
GrossExpenseRatio
NetExpenseRatio*
Expense Cap*
IShare
1.38%
0.99%
0.65%
NShare
1.63%
1.24%
0.90%
Performancedataquotedrepresentspastperformance;pastperformancedoesnotguaranteefutureresults.Theinvestmentreturn
andprincipalvalueofaninvestmentwillfluctuatesothataninvestor'sshares,whenredeemed,maybeworthmoreorlessthan
originalcost.Currentperformanceofthefundmaybelowerorhigherthantheperformancequoted.Performancedatacurrenttothe
mostrecentmonthendmaybeobtainedbycalling213.633.8200orbyvisitingwww.doublelinefunds.com.
QuarterEndReturnsofSeptember30,2014.Subjecttochangewithoutnotice.
Theperformanceinformationshownassumesthereinvestmentofalldividendsanddistributions.
*TheAdvisorhascontractuallyagreedtowaiveitsinvestmentadvisoryfeeandtoreimbursetheFundforotherordinaryoperatingexpensestotheextentnecessarytolimitordinary
operatingexpensestoanamountnottoexceed0.65%forClassIsharesand0.90%forClassNshares.Ordinaryoperatingexpenses excludetaxes,commissions,markups,litigation
expenses,indemnificationexpenses,interestexpenses,AcquiredFundFeesandExpenses,andanyextraordinaryexpenses.These expenselimitationsareexpectedtoapplyuntilat
leastJuly31,2015,exceptthattheymaybeterminatedbytheBoardofTrusteesatanytime.
S&P500 Acapitalizedweightedindexof500stockschosenformarketsize,liquidityandindustrygrouping,amongotherfactors.Thisindexisdesignedtobealeadingindicatorof
U.S.equitiesandismeanttoreflecttherisk/returncharacteristicsofthelargecapuniverse.Youcannotinvestdirectlyinanindex.
Source:DoubleLine.Sectorallocationsaresubjecttochangeandshouldnotbeconsideredarecommendationtobuyorsellany security.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha3
Announcements
WebcastNews
LuzPadilla November13,2014
DoubleLine EmergingMarketsFixedIncomeFundandLowDurationEmergingMarketsFund
1:15pmPDT/4:15pmEDT
PhilipBarach November25,2014
DoubleLine LowDurationBondFund
1:15pmPDT/4:15pmEDT
JeffreyGundlach December9,2014
DoubleLine TotalReturnBondFundandCoreFixedIncomeFund
1:15pmPDT/4:15pmEDT
ToReceivePresentationSlides,Emailfundinfo@doubleline.com
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha4
TABI
DoubleLineShillerEnhancedCAPEStrategy
Source:
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha5
WhatisDoubleValue?
TheDoubleLineShillerEnhancedCAPEStrategycreatesDoubleValuefor
investorswhencombiningtwouniquesourcesofvalue:
TheShillerBarclaysCAPEU.S.SectorIndexattemptstoshiftportfolio
exposurestothecheapestsectorsofthelargecapequitymarkets
DoubleLines FixedIncomestrategystrivestoshiftitsexposurestothe
cheapestsectorsofthefixedincomemarkets.
Bothstrategiesattempttoofferavalueplayintheirrespectivemarkets,and
when combinedinvestorshavethepotential toreceiveDoubleValue.
Fordefinitions,pleaseseetheAppendix.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha6
DoubleLineShillerCAPEStructure
ThedistinctstructureoftheDoubleLineShillerEnhancedCAPEStrategyallowsinvestorsto
simultaneouslyaccessreturnsoftheequitymarketsandfixedincomemarkets.Byusinganequity
indexswap,$1investedinthestrategyprovidesapproximately$1ofexposuretoeachmarket.
InitialInvestment
DoubleLineShiller
EnhancedCAPE
ShillerBarclays
CAPEUSSector
TRUSDIndex
*AportionoftheInitialInvestmentmaybepledgedascollateralundertheswap
**Marketfluctuationsmayprecludefull$1for$1exposurebetweentheswapsandthefixedincomeportfolio
DoubleLine
ActivelyManaged
FixedIncome
Portfolio
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha7
TABII
DefiningtheCAPERatio
Source:
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha8
WhatistheCAPE Ratio?
AcclaimedvalueinvestorsBenjaminGrahamandDavidDoddnotedinSecurity
Analysis thatequityvaluationstendtofollowabusinesscycleof37years
TheCAPERatiowasformulatedintheseminal1988piece1 fromProfessorRobert
ShillerandJohnCampbell.
CAPE=CyclicallyAdjustedP/E (PricetoEarnings)
CAPE
TheCAPEratioseekstoassesslongertermequityvaluationbyusinganinflation
adjustedearningshorizonthatis10timeslongerthanthetraditionalP/Emeasure
SimilartothetraditionalP/EtheCAPEcanbeappliedtoasingleequity,aportfolio
ofequities,asectororabroadbasedindex
Inflation=therateofchangeofpricescalculatedonamonthlyorannualbasis.
P/E=PriceEarningsRatioisthevaluationratioofacompanysmarketvaluepersharedividedbythecompanysearningspershare(EPS).
Shiller BarclaysCAPEUSSectorTRUSDIndexincorporatestheprinciplesoflongterminvestingdistilledbyDr.RobertShiller andexpressedthroughtheCAPE(CyclicallyAdjustedPriceEarnings)
ratio(theCAPERatio).ItaimstoidentifyundervaluedsectorsbasedonamodifiedCAPERatio,andthenusesamomentumfactortoseektomitigatetheeffectsofpotentialvaluetraps.You
cannotinvestdirectlyinanindex.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha9
1.Campbell,J.Y.,andR.J.Shiller,StockPrices,Earnings,andExpectedDividends,JournalofFinance,43:3,66176,1988
35%
25%
15%
5%
5%
15%
InvestmentStart19831989
InvestmentStart19901996
InvestmentStart19972003
InvestmentStart20042010
25%
CAPEinSept2012:
20.43
45%
CAPEinSept2012:
20.01
SubsequentAnnualized2YearTotalReturn
SubsequentAnnualized2YearTotalReturn
45%
CAPE ratioandsubsequentreturnforS&P500Utilitysector
(19832012)
35%
25%
15%
5%
5%
15%
25%
InvestmentStart19831989
InvestmentStart19901996
InvestmentStart19972003
InvestmentStart20042010
35%
35%
45%
10
15
20
25
30
CAPERatio
35
40
45
15
25
35
CAPERatio
Source:ChangingTimes,ChangingValues:AHistoricalAnalysisofSectorswithintheUSStockMarket18722012,OliverD.BunnandRobertJ.Shiller,September4,2012
Anydataonpastperformance,modellingorbacktestingcontainedhereinisnoindicationastofutureperformance.
Youcannotinvestdirectlyinanindex.
PleaseseetheAppendixforindexdefinitions.
45
55
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha10
RelativeCAPEIndicator
ToaccountforidiosyncraticdifferencesbetweensectorswhereCAPEratioshave
historicallybeenofdifferentmagnitudesonecanconstructaRelativeCAPEratio
Thismayallowinvestorstocomparesectorvaluationsonalevelplayingfield
60
2.1
CAPERatio
50
RelativeCAPERatio
1.8
1.5
40
1.2
30
0.9
20
0.6
10
0
2002
Technology
0.3
Utilities
0.0
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
Technology
Utilities
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
TheRelativeCAPEratioisusedtocomparerelativevaluationamongequitysectors
Source:ChangingTimes,ChangingValues:AHistoricalAnalysisofSectorswithintheUSStockMarket18722012,OliverD.BunnandRobertJ.Shiller,September4,2012
Anydataonpastperformance,modellingorbacktestingcontainedhereinisnoindicationastofutureperformance.SeeHistoricalIndexPerformanceDisclaimer.
Shiller BarclaysCAPEUSSectorTRUSDIndexincorporatestheprinciplesoflongterminvestingdistilledbyDr.RobertShiller andexpressedthroughtheCAPE(CyclicallyAdjustedPriceEarnings)ratio
(theCAPERatio).ItaimstoidentifyundervaluedsectorsbasedonamodifiedCAPERatio,andthenusesamomentumfactortoseektomitigatetheeffectsofpotentialvaluetraps.Youcannot
investdirectlyinanindex.
PleaseseetheAppendixforHistoricalIndexPerformanceDisclaimer.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha11
TABIII
SmartBeta:ShillerBarclaysCAPEU.S.SectorIndex
Source:
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha12
ShillerBarclaysCAPEU.S.SectorIndex
InitialInvestment
DoubleLineShiller
EnhancedCAPE
ShillerBarclays
CAPEUSSector
TRUSDIndex
*AportionoftheInitialInvestmentmaybepledgedascollateralundertheswap
**Marketfluctuationsmayprecludefull$1for$1exposurebetweentheswapsandthefixedincomeportfolio
DoubleLine
ActivelyManaged
FixedIncome
Portfolio
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha13
ShillerBarclaysCAPEU.S.SectorIndexSectorSelectionRules
10U.S.Sectors(aspertabletotheright)
Examine30yearsworthofindexvaluesandearningsfor10U.S.sectors
RelativeCAPEIndicatorforEachSector
Select5mostundervaluedsectorsbasedonRelativeCAPEindicator
Momentum
Removethesectorwiththelowest12monthpricemomentumforselectedsectors
Ranking
Equalweightin4favored,undervaluedsectorswithmostpositivepricemomentum
Source:DoubleLineCapital,BarclaysCapital
CAPE=CyclicallyAdjustedPriceEarnings
Shiller BarclaysCAPEU.S.SectorIndex=Shiller BarclaysCAPEUSSectorTRUSDIndexincorporatestheprinciplesoflongterminvestingdistilledbyDr.RobertShiller and
expressedthroughtheCAPE(CyclicallyAdjustedPriceEarnings)ratio(theCAPERatio).ItaimstoidentifyundervaluedsectorsbasedonamodifiedCAPERatio,andthen
usesamomentumfactortoseektomitigatetheeffectsofpotentialvaluetraps.Youcannotinvestdirectlyinanindex.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha14
RelativeCAPERatioforValueInvesting Sectors
TheShillerBarclaysCAPEU.S.SectorIndexusestheRelativeCAPERatiotoselectthemost
undervaluedsectorsinthemarket
Energy
ConsumerStaples
Technology
Materials
HealthCare
RealEstate
Industrials
Financials
ConsumerDiscretionary
Utilities
2.00
1.80
RelativeCAPERatio
September2002 September2014
RealEstate
1.60
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
Discretionary
Utilities
Materials
Financials
HealthCare
Industrials
Staples
Energy
Technology
0.60
0.40
0.20
Source:BarclaysCapital,DoubleLine
Inthechart,theverticalaxisrepresentstheRelativeCAPERatio.Fordefinitions,pleaseseetheAppendixsectionofthis
presentation.Forillustrativepurposesonly.Anydataonpastperformance,modelingorbacktestingcontainedhereinisno
indicationastofutureperformance.SeeHistoricalIndexPerformanceDisclaimerintheAppendixsectionofthispresentation.DataRange:September2002 September2014
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha15
HistoricalSectorRotationofShillerBarclaysCAPE
U.S.SectorTotalReturnIndex
PortfolioweightsarereconstitutedonamonthlybasisusingtheRelativeCAPEratio
RealEstate
BarclaysShillerCAPEUSSectorExposures
September2002 October2014
Utilities
Technology
Materials
Industrials
Healthcare
Financials
Energy
ConsumerStaples
ConsumerDiscretionary
Source:BarclaysCapital,DoubleLine Capital.
Shiller BarclaysCAPEUSSectorTRUSDIndexincorporatestheprinciplesoflongterminvestingdistilledbyDr.RobertShiller andexpressedthroughtheCAPE(CyclicallyAdjusted
PriceEarnings)ratio(theCAPERatio).ItaimstoidentifyundervaluedsectorsbasedonamodifiedCAPERatio,andthenusesamomentumfactortoseektomitigatetheeffects
ofpotentialvaluetraps.Youcannotinvestdirectlyinanindex.PleasesetheAppendixforindexdefinitions.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha16
HistoricalSectorExposuresofShillerBarclaysCAPE
U.S.SectorTotalReturnIndex
Overthepast146months,theindexwasprimarilyallocatedtofivesectors:
Industrial:93%ofthetime
HealthCare:76%ofthetime
Energy:70%ofthetime
ConsumerStaples:68%ofthetime
Financial:56%ofthetime
Industrial
136
Healthcare
111
Energy
102
ConsumerStaples
99
Financial
82
Technology
31
Utilities
RealEstate
ConsumerDiscretionary
Materials
3
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
NumberofMonthsInvested
Source:Barclays,DoubleLine.PleaseseetheAppendixforfurtherdefinitions.InceptionoftheShiller BarclaysCAPEUSSectorTotalReturnIndexwasSeptember4,2002.
Shiller BarclaysCAPEUSSectorTRUSDIndexincorporatestheprinciplesoflongterminvestingdistilledbyDr.RobertShiller andexpressedthroughtheCAPE(CyclicallyAdjustedPriceEarnings)ratio
(theCAPERatio).ItaimstoidentifyundervaluedsectorsbasedonamodifiedCAPERatio,andthenusesamomentumfactortoseektomitigatetheeffectsofpotentialvaluetraps.Youcannotinvest
directlyinanindex.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha17
WhyDoubleLineChoosesShillerBarclaysCAPEU.S.
SectorTotalReturnIndexOverTraditionalEquityIndices?
Identifiesandinvestsinrelativelyundervaluedequitysectors
Doesnotrelyonsubjectiveforecasts
Usesalongtermestimateofvalue,avoidingshorttermbias
IsbasedontherigorousresearchofProfessorRobertShillerandJohnCampbell
WhichinturnisbaseduponthevalueinvestingprinciplesofBenjaminGraham&
DavidDodd
WebelieveitisanIntelligentAlternativetoCapitalizationWeightedPortfolios(S&P500)
Source:BarclaysCapital,DoubleLine Capital
PleaseseetheAppendixfordefinitions.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha18
TABIV
FixedIncomePortfolio
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha19
FixedIncomePortfolio
InitialInvestment
DoubleLineShiller
EnhancedCAPE
ShillerBarclays
CAPEUSSector
TRUSDIndex
*AportionoftheInitialInvestmentmaybepledgedascollateralundertheswap
**Marketfluctuationsmayprecludefull$1for$1exposurebetweentheswapsandthefixedincomeportfolio
DoubleLine
ActivelyManaged
FixedIncome
Portfolio
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha20
FixedIncomeInvestmentProcess
Economic
Discussions
Investment
Outlook
Implementation
AssetAllocationCommitteeholds
amonthlymeeting.Account
reviewandmarketsector
chartbookareevaluated.
Macroeconomicgroupdiscussion
ofinterestrates,currencies,
commodities,yieldcurve,spread
andgeneralfixedincomemarket
analysis.
TheCommitteeproposesasset
allocationchanges.The
CommitteeChairmanmakesthe
finalassetallocationdecision.
FixedIncomeAssetAllocation
ChartBookreviewsportfolio
characteristics,returnanalysis,
andriskmeasures.
FixedIncomeAssetAllocation
Chartbookgraphicallydepicts
historicalassetclassspreadsand
relativegrowthtrendsinthe
globalfixedincomemarketplace.
Sectorswithopportunitiesare
identifiedbasedontheportfolio
managersassessmentoftheir
respectivesectorsoutlookand
sectorattractivenessrelativeto
otherassetclasses.
Sectorteamsreviewclient
guidelinesandareresponsiblefor
securityselection.
TheAssetAllocationFixed
Incometeammonitors
implementationandperforms
portfolioanalytics.
Strategyrisksarereviewed.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha21
AssetAllocationFramework
ThedecisiontooverweightorunderweightasectorisdeterminedbytheDoubleLineFixedIncome
AssetAllocationCommittee.TheCommitteesdecisiontoover/underweightasectorisdrivenby
sectorvaluationandevolvingfundamentalconditions.
QuantitativeProcess
Valuation
Overweight
Neutral
Improving
Cheap
Stable
Average
Deteriorating
Rich
Underweight
QualitativeProcess
FundamentalConditions
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha22
SmartAlpha
Thefixedincomeportfoliohasgeneratedarelativelyconsistentreturninadditiontothereturns
derivedfromtheShillerBarclaysCAPEindex
Thisconsistency,asopposedtochunkysourcesofalpha,iswhatdistinguishestheDoubleLine
doublevalueproposition
1.00%
FixedIncomePortfolioContributiontoReturn
October31,2013 September30,2014
0.80%
0.76%
0.73%
0.61%
0.59%
0.60%
0.44%
0.40%
0.40%
0.19%
0.20%
0.05%
0.00%
0.02%
0.20%
0.17%
0.25%
0.40%
Nov13
Dec13
Jan14
Feb14
Mar14
Apr14
May14
Jun14
Jul14
Pastperformanceisnoguaranteeoffutureresults.Indexperformanceisnotrepresentativeoffundperformance.
Aug14
Sep14
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha23
FixedIncomePortfolio SectorAllocation
Strivestobebroadlydiversifiedacrossfixedincomesectors
Duration
Yield
WeightedAverage Life
Coupon
1.8
3.9%
International
Emerging
20.9%
4.6
Cash U.S.Government
2.1%
AgencyResidential
6.0%
MortgageBacked
Securities
2.7%
4.6%
NonAgency
Residentail
MortgageBacked
Securities
17.5%
BankLoan
4.9%
InvestmentGrade
Credit
9.5%
CollateralizedLoan
Obligations
18.4%
CommercialMortgage
BackedSecurities
13.6%
HighYieldCredit
4.5%
Source:DoubleLineCapital.RepresentativeportfoliosectorallocationisasofSeptember30,2014andissubjecttochangewithoutnotice.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha24
FixedIncomePortfolio RatingsDistribution
AveragecreditqualityisBBB
Unrated Cash
1.5% 2.1%
Government
6.1%
Agency
2.6%
Below
Investment
Grade
39.8%
Investment
Grade
47.9%
Source:DoubleLineCapital.RepresentativeportfolioratingsdistributionisasofSeptember30,2014andissubjecttochangewithoutnotice.
AverageCreditRatingreferstotheaverageratingofthesecuritiesinthefixedincomeportfolioofthefund.Thefunditself,northefixedincomeportfolio,doesnothaveacreditrating.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha25
FixedIncomePortfolio DurationBuckets
Portfoliodurationis1.8years
45.0%
39.3%
PercentageofFixedIncomePortfolio
40.0%
35.0%
28.7%
30.0%
25.0%
20.1%
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
7.0%
2.8%
2.1%
0.0%
Cash
<1Year
13Years
3to5years
5to7years
>7years
Source:DoubleLineCapital.RepresentativeportfoliodurationallocationandoveralldurationisasofSeptember30,2014and is subjecttochangewithoutnotice.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha26
TABV
DoubleLineShiller EnhancedCAPEPerformanceMetrics
Source:
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha27
DoubleLineShillerEnhancedCAPE
InitialInvestment
DoubleLineShiller
EnhancedCAPE
Shiller Barclays
CAPEUSSector
TRUSDIndex
DoubleLine
ActivelyManaged
FixedIncome
Portfolio
*AportionoftheInitialInvestmentmaybepledgedascollateralundertheswap
**Marketfluctuationsmayprecludefull$1for$1exposurebetweentheswapsandthefixedincomeportfolio
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha28
BarclaysShillerCAPEUSSectorIndexExposures
November2013throughOctober2014
Consumer Consumer
Discretionary Staples
Energy
Financial
Healthcare Industrial
Nov13
Staples
Energy
Healthcare
Industrial
Dec13
Staples
Energy
Healthcare
Industrial
Jan14
Staples
Energy
Healthcare
Industrial
Feb14
Staples
Healthcare
Industrial
Materials Technology
Energy
Apr14
Energy
Healthcare
Industrial
Technology
May14
Energy
Healthcare
Industrial
Technology
June14
Energy
Healthcare
Industrial
Technology
July14
Energy
Healthcare
Industrial
Technology
Aug14
Energy
Healthcare
Industrial
Technology
Sep14
Energy
Healthcare
Industrial
Technology
Healthcare
Industrial
Technology
Oct14
Staples
Healthcare
RealEstate
Technology
Mar14
Financial
Utilities
Technology
Source:Barclays,DoubleLineCapital
Fundholdingsandsectorallocationsaresubjecttochangeandnotarecommendationtobuyorsellanysecurity.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha29
EnergySectorHadWorstPerformanceinthe3rd Quarter
June30,2014throughSeptember30,2014
S&P500SectorReturns
June30,2014 September30,2014
8%
5.46%
6%
3.81%
4%
2.33%
1.95%
2%
1.13%
0.26%
0.22%
0%
2%
1.09%
4%
3.96%
6%
8%
10%
8.62%
Source:Bloomberg,DoubleLineCapital
*TotalReturn(notsumofsectorreturns)
Pastperformanceisnoguaranteeoffutureresults.Indexperformanceisnotrepresentativeoffundperformance.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha30
DSEEXContributiontoReturn
June30,2014throughSeptember30,2014
DSEEX
Over/Under
Performance
1.54%
ContributiontoReturn
June30,2014 September30,2014
3%
2.21%
1.82%
2%
1.13%
1%
0%
0.47%
1%
2%
3%
4%
3.84%
5%
Source:Bloomberg,DoubleLine
CurrentlyinCAPEIndex
WasinCAPEIndexpreviously in2014
**TotalReturn,NotContributiontoReturn
Performancedataquotedrepresentspastperformance;pastperformancedoesnotguaranteefutureresults.Theinvestmentreturn
andprincipalvalueofaninvestmentwillfluctuatesothataninvestor'sshares,whenredeemed,maybeworthmoreorlessthan
originalcost.Currentperformanceofthefundmaybelowerorhigherthantheperformancequoted.Performancedatacurrenttothe
mostrecentmonthendmaybeobtainedbycalling213.633.8200orbyvisitingwww.doublelinefunds.com.
Theperformanceinformationshownassumesthereinvestmentofalldividendsanddistributions.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha31
S&P500SectorPerformance
December31,2013throughSeptember30,2014
S&P500SectorReturns
December31,2013 September30,2014
18%
16.62%
16%
14.11%
14%
13.95%
12%
10%
8.87%
7.23%
8%
8.34%
7.42%
6%
3.23%
4%
2%
2.87%
0.86%
0%
Source:Bloomberg,DoubleLineCapital
*TotalReturn(notsumofsectorreturns)
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha32
DSEEXContributiontoReturn
ContributiontoReturn
December31,2013 September30,2014
December31,2013throughSeptember30,2014
12%
11.13%
10%
DSEEX
Over/Under
Performance
2.79%
8.34%
8.12%
8%
6%
4.09%
3.83%
4%
2%
0.47%
3.02%
0.42%
0%
2%
0.26% 0.44%
CurrentlyinCAPEIndex
WasinCAPEIndexpreviously in2014
**TotalReturn,NotContributiontoReturn
Source:Bloomberg,DoubleLine
Performancedataquotedrepresentspastperformance;pastperformancedoesnotguaranteefutureresults.Theinvestmentreturnandprincipalvalueofan
investmentwillfluctuatesothataninvestor'sshares,whenredeemed,maybeworthmoreorlessthanoriginalcost.Currentperformanceofthefundmaybe
lowerorhigherthantheperformancequoted.Performancedatacurrenttothemostrecentmonthendmaybeobtainedbycalling213.633.8200orbyvisiting
www.doublelinefunds.com.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha33
Theperformanceinformationshownassumesthereinvestmentofalldividendsanddistributions.
S&P500SectorPerformance
October31,2013throughSeptember30,2014
S&P500SectorReturns
October31,2013 September30,2014
25%
23.12%
22.38%
20%
15.60%
14.73%
15%
14.46%
12.82%
11.06%
9.56%
10%
6.80%
7.38%
5%
0%
Source:Bloomberg,DoubleLineCapital
*TotalReturn(notsumofsectorreturns)
Pastperformanceisnoguaranteeoffutureresults.Indexperformanceisnotrepresentativeoffundperformance.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha34
DSEEXContributiontoReturn
ContributiontoReturn
October31,2013 September30,2014
October31,2013throughSeptember30,2014
18%
15.80%
16%
DSEEX
Over/Under
Performance
1.34%
14.46%
13.10%
14%
12%
10%
8%
5.38%
6%
4.32%
4%
2.38%
2%
2.70%
0%
CurrentlyinCAPEIndex
WasinCAPEIndexpreviously duringsampleperiod
**TotalReturn,NotContributiontoReturn
Source:Bloomberg,DoubleLine
Performancedataquotedrepresentspastperformance;pastperformancedoesnotguaranteefutureresults.Theinvestmentreturn
andprincipalvalueofaninvestmentwillfluctuatesothataninvestor'sshares,whenredeemed,maybeworthmoreorlessthan
originalcost.Currentperformanceofthefundmaybelowerorhigherthantheperformancequoted.Performancedatacurrentto
themostrecentmonthendmaybeobtainedbycalling213.633.8200orbyvisitingwww.doublelinefunds.com.
Theperformanceinformationshownassumesthereinvestmentofalldividendsanddistributions.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha35
DSEEXPerformanceRelativetoMorningstarUniverse
December31,2013throughSeptember30,2014
1Month
1Q2014
2Q2014
3Q2014
YeartoDate
Fund
2.69%
3.49%
7.84%
0.41%
11.13%
ExcessReturn+/ S&P500TRUSD
1.29%
1.68%
2.61%
1.54%
2.79%
ExcessReturn+/ Category
0.52%
1.21%
3.32%
0.14%
4.81%
MorningstarLargeValue Category
Source:Morningstar
Performancedataquotedrepresentspastperformance;pastperformancedoesnotguaranteefutureresults.
Theinvestmentreturnandprincipalvalueofaninvestmentwillfluctuatesothataninvestor'sshares,when
redeemed,maybeworthmoreorlessthanoriginalcost.Currentperformanceofthefundmaybeloweror
higherthantheperformancequoted.Performancedatacurrenttothemostrecentmonthendmaybeobtained
bycalling213.633.8200orbyvisitingwww.doublelinefunds.com.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha36
DSEEXPerformanceRelativetoMorningstarUniverse
November1,2013throughSeptember30,2014
Source:Morningstar,Zephyr
Pastperformanceisnoguaranteeoffutureresults.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha37
DSEEXSharpeRatioRelativetoMorningstarUniverse
November1,2013throughSeptember30,2014
Source:Morningstar,Zephyr
Pastperformanceisnoguaranteeoffutureresults.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha38
TABVI
PortfolioManagementTeam
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha39
DoubleLineShillerEnhancedCAPEManagementTeam
EquityDerivatives
Management/Trading
JeffreySherman
SamuelLau
EricDhall
RobertHerron
JeffreyMayberry
Mortgages
GlobalDeveloped
Credit
JeffreyGundlach
PhilipBarach
JoelDamiani
JosephGalligan
SamuelGarza
BonnieBaha
RobertCohen
International
DevelopedSovereign
Debt
Government/
Municipals
JeffreyGundlach
GregoryWhiteley
EmergingMarkets
LuzPadilla
MarkChristensen
SuFeiKoo
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha40
SmartBeta,
MeetSmartAlpha
LiveWebcastHostedBy:
JeffreySherman,CFA
PortfolioManager
October21,2014
IndexDescriptions
Alpha() Ameasureofperformanceonariskadjustedbasis.Alphatakesthevolatility(pricerisk)ofamutualfundandcomparesitsriskadjustedperformanceto
abenchmarkindex.
Beta() Themeasureofamutualfund'svolatilityinrelationtothemarket.Bydefinition,themarkethasabetaof1.0,andindividualmutualfundsareranked
accordingtohowmuchtheydeviatefromthemarket.Abetaofabove1.0meansthefundswingsmorethanthemarket.Ifthefundmoveslessthanthemarket,
thebetaislessthan1.0.
BasisPoint Abasispointisaunitthatisequalto1/100th of1%,andisusedtodenotethechangeinafinancialinstrument.
ShillerBarclaysCAPEU.S.SectorIndex Anindexthattakesalongpositionin4favoredsectorsthatareundervaluedandpossessrelativelystrongerprice
momentumoverthepast12months.Eachmonth,theindexranksthe10U.S.sectorsbasedonmodifiedCAPEratioand12monthpricemomentum,equally
allocatingacrossthetop4rankedsectors.
SharpeRatio Arewardtovariabilityratioandameasureoftheexcessreturn(orRiskPremium)perunitofriskinaninvestmentassetoratradingstrategy.
MorningstarLargeValueCategory LargevalueportfoliosinvestprimarilyinbigU.S.companiesthatarelessexpensiveorgrowingmoreslowlythanotherlarge
capstocks.Stocksinthetop70%ofthecapitalizationoftheU.S.equitymarketaredefinedaslargecap.Valueisdefinedbasedonlowvaluations(lowprice
ratiosandhighdividendyields)andslowgrowth(lowgrowthratesforearnings,sales,bookvalue,andcashflow).
WeightedAverageLife(WAL) Theaveragenumberofyearsforwhicheachdollarofunpaidprincipalonaloanormortgageremainsoutstanding.Oncecalculated,
WALtellshowmanyyearsitwilltaketopayhalfoftheoutstandingprincipal.
Duration Durationisacommonlyusedmeasureofthepotentialvolatilityofthepriceofadebtsecurity,ortheaggregatemarketvalueofaportfolioofdebt
securities,priortomaturity.Securitieswithalongerdurationgenerallyhavemorevolatilepricesthansecuritiesofcomparablequalitywithashorterduration.
S&P500TRIndex Isafreefloatcapitalizationweightedindexpublishedsince1957ofthepricesof500largecapcommonstocksactivelytradedintheUnited
States.
StandardDeviation Sigma=standarddeviation.Itshowshowmuchvariationthereisfromtheaverage(mean,orexpected/budgetedvalue).Alow standard
deviationindicatedthatthedatapointtendtobeveryclosetothemean,whereashighstandarddeviationindicatedthatthe dateisspreadoutoveralargerange
ofvalues.
BelowInvestmentGrade Referstoasecuritythatisratedbelowinvestmentgrade.Thesesecuritiesareseenashavinghigherdefaultriskorotheradversecredit
events,buttypicallypayhigheryieldsthanbetterqualitybondsinordertomakethemattractive.Theyarelesslikelytopayback100centsonthedollar.
InvestmentGrade Referstoabondconsideredinvestmentgradeifit'screditratingisBBB orhigherbyStandard&Poor'sorBaa3orhigherby Moody's.Ratings
arebasedonacorporatebondmodel.Thehighertheratingthemorelikelythebondwillpaybackpar/100centsonthedollar.
CAPERatio(CyclicallyAdjustedPricetoEarnings) Ameasureofthepriceofacompany'sstockrelativetoaverageearningsgrowthoverthepast10years.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha42
HistoricalIndexPerformanceDisclaimer
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha43
BarclaysDisclaimer
BarclaysCapitalInc.anditsaffiliates("Barclays")isnottheissuerorproducerofDoubleLines Shiller EnhancedCAPE (theStrategy)andBarclayshasno
responsibilities,obligationsordutiestoinvestorsinthestrategy.TheShiller BarclaysCAPE USSectorUSDIndex(theIndex)isatrademarkownedby
BarclaysBankPLCandlicensedforusebytheStrategy.WhiletheStrategymayexecutetransaction(s)withBarclaysinorrelatingtotheIndex,Strategy
investorsacquireinterestssolelyusingthestrategyandinvestorsneitheracquireanyinterestintheIndexnorenterintoany relationshipofanykind
whatsoeverwithBarclaysuponmakinganinvestmentintheStrategy.TheStrategyisnotsponsored,endorsed,soldorpromoted by BarclaysandBarclays
makesnorepresentationregardingtheadvisabilityoruseoftheIndexoranydataincludedtherein.Barclaysshallnotbeliableinanywaytoinvestorsorto
otherthirdpartiesinrespectoftheuseoraccuracyoftheIndexoranydataincludedtherein.
TheShiller BarclaysCAPE USIndexFamily(theIndexFamily)hasbeendevelopedinpartbyRSBBI,LLC,theresearchprincipalofwhichisRobertJ.Shiller.
RSBBI,LLCisnotaninvestmentadvisoranddoesnotguaranteetheaccuracyandcompletenessoftheIndexFamilyoranydataor methodologyeither
includedthereinoruponwhichitisbased.RSBBI,LLCshallhavenoliabilityforanyerrors,omissionsorinterruptionsthereinandmakesnowarranties
expressedorimplied,astotheperformanceorresultsexperiencedbyanypartyfromtheuseofanyinformationincludedtherein oruponwhichitisbased,
andexpresslydisclaimsallwarrantiesofthemerchantabilityorfitnessforaparticularpurposewithrespectthereto,andshallnotbeliableforanyclaimsor
lossesofanynatureinconnectionwiththeuseofsuchinformation,includingbutnotlimitedto,lostprofitsorpunitiveorconsequentialdamageseven,if
RSBBI,LLCisadvisedofthepossibilityofsame.
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha44
Disclaimer
ImportantInformationRegardingThisReport
Issueselectionprocessesandtoolsillustratedthroughoutthispresentationaresamplesandmaybemodifiedperiodically.Suchchartsarenottheonlytoolsused
bytheinvestmentteams,areextremelysophisticated,maynotalwaysproducetheintendedresultsandarenotintendedforusebynonprofessionals.
DoubleLinehasnoobligationtoproviderevisedassessmentsintheeventofchangedcircumstances.Whilewehavegatheredthisinformationfromsources
believedtobereliable,DoubleLinecannotguaranteetheaccuracyoftheinformationprovided.Securitiesdiscussedarenotrecommendationsandarepresented
asexamplesofissueselectionorportfoliomanagementprocesses.Theyhavebeenpickedforcomparisonorillustrationpurposesonly.Nosecuritypresented
withiniseitherofferedforsaleorpurchase.DoubleLinereservestherighttochangeitsinvestmentperspectiveandoutlook withoutnoticeasmarketconditions
dictateorasadditionalinformationbecomesavailable.
ImportantInformationRegardingRiskFactors
Investmentstrategiesmaynotachievethedesiredresultsduetoimplementationlag,othertimingfactors,portfoliomanagementdecisionmaking,economicor
marketconditionsorotherunanticipatedfactors.Theviewsandforecastsexpressedinthismaterialareasofthedateindicated,aresubjecttochangewithout
notice,maynotcometopassanddonotrepresentarecommendationorofferofanyparticularsecurity,strategy,orinvestment. Pastperformanceisno
guaranteeoffutureresults.
ImportantInformationRegardingDoubleLine
Inpreparingtheclientreports(andinmanagingtheportfolios),DoubleLineanditsvendorspriceseparateaccountportfolio securitiesusingvarioussources,
includingindependentpricingservicesandfairvalueprocessessuchasbenchmarking.
ToreceiveacomplimentarycopyofDoubleLinescurrentFormADVPartII(whichcontainsimportantadditionaldisclosureinformation),acopyoftheDoubleLines
proxyvotingpoliciesandprocedures,ortoobtainadditionalinformationonDoubleLinesproxyvotingdecisions,pleasecontact DoubleLinesClientServices.
ImportantInformationRegardingDoubleLinesInvestmentStyle
DoubleLineseekstomaximizeinvestmentresultsconsistentwithourinterpretationofclientguidelinesandinvestmentmandate.WhileDoubleLineseeksto
maximizereturnsforourclientsconsistentwithguidelines,DoubleLinecannotguaranteethatDoubleLinewilloutperformaclient'sspecifiedbenchmark.
Additionally,thenatureofportfoliodiversificationimpliesthatcertainholdingsandsectorsinaclient'sportfoliomayberisinginpricewhileothersarefalling;or,
thatsomeissuesandsectorsareoutperformingwhileothersareunderperforming.Suchoutorunderperformancecanbetheresultofmanyfactors,suchasbut
notlimitedtoduration/interestrateexposure,yieldcurveexposure,bondsectorexposure,ornewsorrumorsspecifictoasinglename.
DoubleLineisanactivemanagerandwilladjustthecompositionofclientsportfoliosconsistentwithourinvestmentteamsjudgmentconcerningmarket
conditionsandanyparticularsecurity.TheconstructionofDoubleLineportfoliosmaydiffersubstantiallyfromtheconstruction ofanyofavarietyofbondmarket
indices.Assuch,aDoubleLineportfoliohasthepotentialtounderperformoroutperformabondmarketindex.Sincemarketscanremaininefficientlypricedfor
longperiods,DoubleLinesperformanceisproperlyassessedoverafullmultiyearmarketcycle.
ReferencestootherFundsshouldnotbeinterpretedasanofferofthosesecurities.
Diversification doesnotassureaprofitorprotectagainstalossinadecliningmarket.
Opinionsexpressedaresubjecttochangeatanytime,arenotaguaranteeandshouldnotbeconsideredinvestmentadvice.
2014DoubleLineCapitalLP
102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha45
SmartBeta,
MeetSmartAlpha
LiveWebcastHostedBy:
JeffreySherman,CFA
PortfolioManager
October21,2014
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102114 SmartBeta,SmartAlpha47