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CMPS 5323 Computational Epidemiology

Project 1 - SIR in Excel


SIR Simulation by Rohit Mukherjee

SIR Model
Total
Population
100000

Beta
0.000008

Days
Infective
4

120000

Gamma
0.25

100000
80000

Day
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18

Susceptible
99999
99998
99997
99995
99992
99987
99980
99969
99952
99925
99884
99820
99721
99568
99332
98967
98406
97545

Infected
1
2
2
4
6
9
14
21
33
52
80
124
192
297
459
709
1093
1681

Removed
0
0
1
1
2
4
6
9
15
23
36
56
87
135
209
324
501
774

60000

Population
40000
20000
0

TIme
Susceptible

Infected

Removed

19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51

96233
94253
91305
87010
80951
72799
62553
50823
38906
28354
20194
14516
10796
8400
6840
5803
5094
4599
4245
3988
3799
3658
3553
3472
3411
3365
3329
3302
3281
3264
3252
3242
3234

2572
3909
5880
8705
12588
17593
23441
29311
33900
35976
35143
32035
27746
23206
18964
15261
12154
9611
7562
5928
4635
3617
2819
2194
1707
1327
1031
800
621
482
374
291
225

1195
1838
2815
4285
6461
9608
14006
19866
27194
35669
44663
53449
61458
68394
74196
78937
82752
85790
88193
90083
91565
92724
93629
94333
94882
95309
95640
95898
96098
96253
96374
96467
96540

52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62

3229
3224
3221
3218
3216
3214
3213
3212
3211
3211
3210

175
136
105
82
63
49
38
30
23
18
14

96596
96640
96674
96700
96721
96737
96749
96759
96766
96772
96776

Removed

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