Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone ANDRES Discussion

Number 31

000
WTPZ41 KNHC 042040
TCDEP1
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012015
200 PM PDT THU JUN 04 2015
Although the low-level center of Andres remains intact, organized
deep convection has been absent from the center for more than 12
hours. In addition, what minimal convection remains is displaced a

considerable distance to the northeast of the center. On this

basis, Andres is being designated as a remnant low, and advisories
are being terminated at this time. Gradual weakening of the vortex
is expected to continue during the next couple of days due to
unfavorable environmental conditions, and global models show Andres
degenerating into an open trough by Saturday. The NHC forecast
calls for dissipation between 48 and 72 hours.
The initial motion estimate is 095/03. Now a shallow system, the
remnants of Andres are expected to be primarily steered by the
combination of low-level ridging to the northwest, along with a tug
by the large circulation of Hurricane Blanca to the east. This
should induce a slow east-southeastward to southeastward motion
until complete dissipation.
For additional information on this remnant low please see High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under
AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN01 KWBC.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 04/2100Z 20.1N 124.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 05/0600Z 20.0N 124.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 05/1800Z 19.7N 123.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 06/0600Z 19.1N 123.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 06/1800Z 18.7N 122.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Kimberlain

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCDEP1.shtml