Forecast for Round: 1

1. Operating Forecast (Grey box = decision entered online)

Workforce [Wk]
Automation investment and allocation
Units of Automation [A]
Effective workforce [We = Wk + (8 * A)]
Productivity cars/worker/year [Pr]
Potential Production (no O/T) [Pp = We * Pr]
Target Production [N = Pp????]
Weekly wage [W]
Total Labour Cost [Lt = Wk * W * 50]
Labour cost per car [Lc = Lt / N]
Raw material cost per car [Mr]
Design cost per car [Md]
Offered options cost per car [O]
Option take-up factor [Ot] (See note below)
Average option cost per car [Mo= O * Ot]
Average material cost per car [Mc = Mr + Md + Mo]
Total Material Cost [Mt = Mc * N]
Average direct cost per car [C = Lc + Mc]
Average Selling Price [P]
Average Gross Margin [GM = 100 * (P C) / P]
Unsold stock from previous round [U]
Forecast Sales [S = U + N]
Sales Income [I = S * P]
Note:
OT = 0.0 means no options actually selected; OT = 1.0 means all options actually selected.
2. Profit Forecast (all figures to the nearest 1 million)

Sales Income
Cost of Sales (see below)
Gross Profit

Overheads
Fixed Overheads (See manual)
Promotion
Research & Development
Training Costs
Total Overheads
Depreciation (See manual)
Operating Profit
Net Interest Payment
Pre-tax profit
Tax Payment (30% of pre-tax profit)
Post-tax profit
Cost of Sales calculation:
Unsold stock from previous round
plus Total Material Cost
plus Total Labour Cost
less Closing Stock (hopefully 0!)
Cost of Sales
Note: there may be other costs that are not listed here.
3. Cash Flow Forecast (to nearest 1 million) (Grey box = decision entered online)

Opening Bank Balance

Sales Income
Total Material Cost
Total Labour Cost
Total Overheads
Factory Cost
Automation Expenditure
Tax Payment
Net Interest Payment

Bank Balance before Loan

Loan requested
Closing Bank Balance
Net Debt
Overdraft + outstanding loan at the start of this round + loan requested in this round
Note: there may be other costs that are not listed here.

Group:

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

165
90%
165
1320

539
10%
18
665

340
0%
0
340

44

41

58080

27265

3060

58080

27265

3060

3,795,000.00

460.00
11,319,000.00

7,820,000.00

65.34

415.15

2,555.56

6,599.85

893.52
1,690.57
0.33

3,116.14
7,394.99
0.33

5,455.03
17,480.97
0.33

557.89

2,440.35

5,768.72

8,051.26
467,617,070.45
12%
8,116.60
10,545.23
23.03%

0
58080
612,466,771.60

13,301.23

18,857.72
514,155,645.83
23%
19,272.86
25,303.13
23.83%

0
27265
689,889,704.18

26,907.07

38,130.82
116,680,309.51
50%
40,686.38
62,977.74
35.40%
0
3060
192,711,873.86

OT is your estimate of the proportion of options that will actually be selected by the average customer.

Income
1495 M

Costs
1121 M

374 M

115 M
100 M
10 M
1 M
226 M
67 M
81 M
4 M
77 M
17 M
60 M

M
1098 M
23 M
M
1121 M

Cash In
117 M

Cash Out

1495 M
1098 M
23 M
226 M
M
21 M
17 M
4 M

20 M

222 M
M
222 M

Team:

Total

1044
20,910,000.00
7,100,000.00
28,010,000.00

88405

22,934,000.00

2,293,400.00

1,098,453,025.78

82,383,976.93
30141450

erage customer.

1,495,068,349.64

1,032.43
9,149.03

114,818,826.93
1,298.78

215240162

140m
11200000
12000000