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ENGINEERING ECONOMY

(GE401)

CHAPTER 2

Factors: How Time


and
Interest Affect
Money
Foundations:
Overview
1.
2.
3.
4.

F/P and P/F Factors


P/A and A/P Factors
F/A and A/F Factors
Interpolate Factor Values

5.
6.
7.
8.

P/G and A/G Factors


Geometric Gradient
Calculate i
Calculate n

F/P and P/F Factors


Basic Derivations: F/P
factor

F/P Factor To find F


given P

Derivation by Recursion: F/P


factor
F = P(1+i)
F = F (1+i)..but:
F = P(1+i)(1+i) = P(1+i)2
F =F (1+i) =P(1+i) 2 (1+i)
1
2

2
3

= P(1+i) 3
In general:

Fn = P(1+i)n
Fn = P(F/P,i%,n)

Present Worth Factor


from F/P
Since Fn = P(1+i)n
We solve for P in terms of
FN
P = F{ 1/ (1+i)n} = F(1+i)n

Thus:
P = F(P/F,i%,n) where
(P/F,i%,n) = (1+i)-n
Thus, the two factors are:
1. F = P(1+i)n finds the future
worth of P;
2. P = F(1+i)-n
finds the present worth
from F

P/F factordiscounting back in


time

Discounting back from the


future

Example- F/P Analysis

Example:
P= 1,000; n=3; i=10%
What is the future
value, F?

Example P/F Analysis


Assume F = $100,000, 9 years
from now.
What is the present worth
of this amount nowif i
=15%?

P/A and A/P Factors


Uniform Series Present
Worth and Capital
Recovery Factors

Annuity Cash Flow

Uniform Series Present


Worth and Capital
Recovery Factors

Desire an expression
for the present worth
P of a stream of
equal, end of period
cash flows A

Uniform Series Present


Worth and Capital
Recovery Factors
Write a Present worth
expression

Uniform Series Present


Worth and Capital
Recovery Factors
The second equation

Uniform Series Present


Worth and Capital
Recovery Factors
Setting up the
subtraction

Uniform Series Present


Worth and Capital
Recovery Factors
Simplifying Eq. [3] further

Uniform Series Present


Worth and Capital
Recovery Factors
This expression will
convert an annuity cash
flow to an equivalent
present worth amount
one period to the left of
the first annuity cash
flow.

Capital Recovery
Factor A/P, i%, n

F/A and A/F Factors


F/A and A/F
Derivations

Sinking Fund and Series


Compound amount
factors (A/F and F/A)

A/F Factor

F/A factor from the A/F


Factor

F/A and A/F


Derivations

Example:
Formosa Plastics has
major
fabrication plants in
Riyadh and in Jaddh. It is

desired to know the


future worth of
$1,000,000 invested at
the end of each year for 8
years, starting one year
from now.
The interest rate is
assumed to be 14% per
year.
Sol. Example:
A = $1,000,000/yr; n = 8 yrs, i =
14%/yr
F8 = ??

Solution of Example
The cash flow diagram shows
the annual payments starting
at the end of year 1 and
ending in the year the future
worth is desired.
Cash flows are indicated in $1000
units. The F value in 8 years is

F = l000(F/A,14%,8) =
1000(13.23218)
= $13,232.80 = 13.232 million
8 years
from now.

Example:
How much money must Carol
deposit every year starting, l year
from now at 5.5% per year in

order to accumulate $6000 seven


years from now?

Solution of Example
The cash How diagram from
Carol's perspective fits the A/F
factor.
A= $6000 (A/F,5.5%,7)
=6000(0.12096)
= $725.76 per year
The A/F factor Value 0f 0.12096
was computed using the A/F
factor formula

Interpolation in Interest
Tables

Interpolation of
Factors
All texts on Engineering
economy will provide
tabulated values of the
various interest factors
usually at the end of the text
in an appendix
Refer to the back of your
text for those tables.

Interpolation of
Factors
Typical Format for Tabulated
Interest Tables

Interpolation (Estimation
Process)
At times, a set of interest tables
may not have the exact interest
factor needed for an analysis
One may be forced to interpolate
between two tabulated values
Linear Interpolation is not exact
because:
The functional relationships of the
interest factors are non-linear
functions

Hence from 2-5% error may be


present
with interpolation.

An Example
Assume you need the value of
the A/P factor for i = 7.3% and n =
10 years.
7.3% is most likely not a
tabulated value in most
interest tables
So, one must work with i =
7% and i = 8% for n fixed at
10
Proceed as follows

Basic Setup for


Interpolation
Work with the following basic
relationships

i = 7.3% using the A/P


factor
For 7% we would observe:
COMPOUND PRESENT SINKING COMPOUND CAPITAL IN
AMT. FACTOR WORTH FUND AMOUNT RECOVERY F/P P/F
A/F F/A A/P
10 1.9672 0.5083 0.0724 13.8164 0.14238

i = 7.3% using the A/P


factor
For i = 8% we observe:
COMPOUND PRESENT SINKING COMPOUND CAPITAL
N AMT. FACTOR WORTH FUND AMOUNT RECOVERY
F/P P/F A/F F/A A/P
10 2.1589 0.4632 0.0690 14.4866 0.14903

Estimating for i =
7.3%
Form the following
relationships

Final Estimated Factor


Value
Observe for i increasing from
7% to 8% the A/P factors also
increases.
One then adds the estimated
increment to the 7% known value
to yield:

The Exact Value for


7.3%

Using a previously
programmed spreadsheet
model the exact value for
7.3% is:

P/G and A/G Factors


Arithmetic Gradient
Factors
In applications, the annuity
cash flow pattern is not the
only type of pattern
encountered
Two other types of end of
period patterns are common
The Linear or arithmetic
gradient
The geometric (% per period)
gradient

This section presents the


Arithmetic Gradient

Arithmetic Gradient
Factors
An arithmetic (linear)
Gradient is a cash flow series
that either increases or
decreases by a constant
amount over n time periods.
A linear gradient is always
comprised of TWO
components:

Arithmetic Gradient
Factors

The Two Components


are:
The Gradient component

The base annuity


component
The objective is to find a
closed form expression
for the
Present Worth of an
arithmetic gradient
Linear Gradient Example

Example: Linear
Gradient
Typical Negative, Increasing
Gradient:

G=$50

Example: Linear
Gradient
Desire to find the Present
Worth of this cash flow

Arithmetic Gradient
Factors
The G amount is the
constant arithmetic change
from one time period to the
next.
The G amount may be
positive or negative!
The present worth point
is always one time period
to the left of the first
cash flow in the series or,

Two periods to the left of


the first gradient cash
flow!

Derivation: Gradient Component


Only
Focus Only on the gradient
Component

Present Worth Point

The Present worth point


of a linear gradient is
always:

2 periods to the left


of the 1G point or,

1 period to the left of


the very first cash flow
in the gradient series.

DO NOT FORGET
THIS!
Present Worth Point

Gradient Component

Present Worth Point


PW of the Base Annuity is at
t=0
PWBASE Annuity=$100(P/A,i
%,7)

Present Worth: Linear


Gradient
The present worth of a
linear gradient is the
present worth of the two
components:
1. The Present Worth of the
Gradient Component and,
2. The Present Worth of the
Base Annuity flow
Requires 2 separate
calculations!
Present Worth: Gradient
Component
The PW of the Base
Annuity is simply the
Base Annuity A{P/A, i%,
n} factor

What is needed is a
present worth expression
for the gradient
component cash flow.
We need to derive a
closed form expression
for the gradient
component.
Present Worth: Gradient
Component
General CF Diagram
Gradient Part Only

To Begin- Derivation of P/G,i


%,n

Next Step:
Factor out G and re-write
as ..
Factoring G out. P/G
factor

What is inside of the


{ }s?
Replace (P/Fs) with closedform

Multiply both sides by


(1+i)
Mult. Both Sides By (n+1)
..

We have 2 equations [1] and


[2].
Next, subtract [1] from [2]
and work with the resultant
equation.
Subtracting [1] from [2]
..

The P/G factor for i and N

Extension The A/G factor


Some authors also
include the
derivation of the A/G
factor.
A/G converts a linear
gradient to an equivalent
annuity cash flow.
Remember, at this point one
is only working with gradient
component There still
remains the annuity
component that you must
also handle separately!
The A/G Factor

Convert G to an
equivalent A

How to do it
A/G factor using A/P with
P/G

The results follow..


Resultant A/G factor

Gradient Example

Consider the following cash


flow

Gradient Example- Base


Annuity
First, The Base Annuity of
$100/period

PW(10%) of the base annuity =


$100(P/A,10%,5)
PWBase = $100(3.7908)= $379.08
Not Finished: We need the PW of the
gradient component and then add that
value to the $379.08 amount

Focus on the Gradient


Component

We desire the PW of the


Gradient
Component at t = 0

The Set Up

PW of the Gradient
Component

Calculating or looking up
the
P/G,10%,5 factor yields
the following:

Pt=0 = $100(6.8618) =
$686.18 for the gradient
PW

Gradient Example: Final


Result
PW(10%)Base Annuity =
$379.08
PW(10%)Gradient Component =
$686.18
Total PW(10%) = $379.08 +
$686.18
Equals $1065.26
Note: The two sums occur
at t =0 and can be added
together concept of
equivalence

Example Summarized

This Cash Flow

Shifted Gradient Example: i


=10%
Consider the following Cash
Flow

Shifted Gradient
Example
Consider the following Cash
Flow

1. This is a shifted
negative, decreasing
gradient.
2. The PW point in time is at t
= 3 (not t = o)

Shifted Gradient
Example
Consider the following Cash
Flow

The base annuity is a $600


cash flow for 3 time periods

Shifted Gradient
Example: Base Annuity
PW of the Base Annuity: 2
Steps

Shifted Gradient Example:


Gradient
PW of Gradient
Component: G = -$50

Geometric Gradient
Geometric Gradients
An arithmetic (linear)
gradient changes by a fixed
dollar amount each time
period.
A GEOMETRIC gradient
changes by a fixed
percentage each time period.
We define a UNIFORM RATE
OF CHANGE (%) for each time
period
Define g as the constant
rate of change in decimal
form by which amounts
increase or decrease from one
period to the next

Geometric Gradients:
Increasing
Typical Geometric Gradient
Profile
Let A1 = the first cash flow in the
series

Geometric Gradients:
Decreasing
Typical Geometric Gradient
Profile
Let A1 = the first cash flow in the
series

Geometric Gradients:
Derivation

First Major Point to


Remember:
A1 does NOT define a Base
Annuity;
There is no BASE ANNUITY
for a Geometric Gradient!
The objective is to determine
the Present Worth one period
to the left of the A1 cash flow
point in time
Remember: The PW point in
time is one period to the left
of the first cash flow A1!

Geometric Gradients:
Derivation
For a Geometric Gradient
the following parameters are
required:
The interest rate per
period i
The constant rate of
change g

No. of time periods n


The starting cash flow
A1

Geometric Gradients:
Starting
Pg = The Ajs time the
respective (P/F,i,j) factor
Write a general present
worth
relationship to find Pg.

Now, factor out the A1 value and


rewrite as..

Geometric Gradients

Subtract (1) from (2) and the


result is..

Geometric Gradients

Geometric Gradient P/A


factor

This is the (P/A,g,i,n) factor


and is valid if g is not equal to
i.

Geometric Gradient P/A


factor
Note: If g = i we have a division
by 0 undefined.
For g = i we can derive the closed
form PW factor for this special
case.
We substitute i for g into the Pg
relationship to yield:

Geometric Gradient: i = g
Case

Geometric Gradients:
Summary

Geometric Gradient:
Notes
The geometric gradient
requires
knowledge of:
A1, i, n, and g

There exist an infinite


number of combinations for
i, n, and g: Hence one will
not find tabulated tables for
the (P/A,g,i,n) factor.

Geometric Gradient:
Notes

You have to calculated


either from the closed form
for each problem or apply a
pre-programmed
spreadsheet model to find
the needed factor value
No spreadsheet built-in
function for this factor!

Geometric Gradient:
Example

Assume maintenance
costs for a particular
activity will be $1700 one
year from now.
Assume an annual
increase of 11% per year
over a 6-year time period.

Geometric Gradient:
Example

If the interest rate is 8% per


year,
determine the present
worth of the future
expenses at time t = 0.
First, draw a cash flow
diagram to represent the
model.

Geometric Gradient Example


(+g)
g = +11% per period; A1 =
$1700; i = 8%/yr

Solution

P=
$1700(P/A,11%,8%,7)
Need to calculate the P/A
factor from the closed-form
expression for a geometric
gradient.
From a spreadsheet we
see:

Geometric Gradient (
-g )
Consider the following
problem with a negative
growth rate g.

We simply apply a g value =


-0.10

Geometric Gradient (-g


value)

Determination of an
Unknown Interest
Rate
When the i rate is
unknown

A class of problems may


deal with all of the

parameters know except


the interest rate.
For many application-type
problems, this can become a
difficult task
Termed, rate of return
analysis
In some cases:
i can easily be
determined
In others, trial and error
must be used

Example: i unknown
Assume on can invest $3000
now in a venture in
anticipation of gaining $5,000
in five (5) years.

If these amounts are


accurate, what interest rate
equates these two cash
flows?

Example: i unknown
The Cash Flow Diagram
is

Example: i unknown

For i unknown
In general, solving for
i in a time value
formulation is not
straight forward.
More often, one will
have to resort to some
form of trial and error
approach as will be
shown in future sections.
A sample spreadsheet
model for this problem
follows.

Example of the IRR


function

Determination of
Unknown Number of
Years
Unknown Number of
Years
Some problems require
knowing the number of time

periods required given the


other parameters
Example:
How long will it take for
$1,000 to double in value if
the discount rate is 5% per
year?
Draw the cash flow diagram
as.

Unknown Number of
Years

i = 5%/year; n is
unknown!

Unknown Number of
Years
Solving we have..

Fn=? = 1000(F/P,5%,x):
2000 = 1000(1.05)x
Solve for x in closed
form

Unknown Number of
Years
Solving we have..
(1.05)x = 2000/1000
Xln(1.05) =ln(2.000)
X = ln(1.05)/ln(2.000)

X = 0.6931/0.0488 =
14.2057 yrs
With discrete compounding
it will take 15 years to a
mass $2,000 (have a little
more that $2,000)

No. of Years NPER


function
From Excel one can
formulate as:

Chapter Summary

This chapter presents the


fundamental time value of
money relationships common
to most engineering
economic analysis
calculations
Derivations have been
presented for:
Present and Future WorthP/F and F/P
Annuity Cash flows P/A,
A/P, F/A and A/F
Gradients P/G, A,G and
P/A,g,i,n
One must master these
basic time value of money

relationships in order to
proceed with more
meaningful analysis that can
impact decision making.
These relationships are
important to you
professionally and in your
personal lives.
Master these concepts!!!

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