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The Outline: Developing Indonesia Downstream Industry: Potential and Challenge
The Outline: Developing Indonesia Downstream Industry: Potential and Challenge
Paulus Tjakrawan
Indonesia Biofuels Producer Association
Asosiasi Produsen Biofuel Indonesia
Comparison
Population
GDP/Capita- US$
China
China
US
US
EU
EU
9,300
COMPARISON
Russia
Russia
Indonesia
-
248
Million
1,000,000,000 2,000,000,000
Indonesia
4,700
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
Oil Consumption/Capita/Day-Lt
China
GORVERNMENT POLICY
1,349
Million
1.15
US
NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
FOCUS ON :
ENVIRONMENT
EU
Russia
Indonesia
0.83
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
Plantations
RFM
Oleochemicals
Biodiesel + HVC
APKASINDO
GIMNI, AIMMI
APOLIN
APROBI
Source. GIMNI
Association
GAPKI &
APKASINDO
DownStream
Industries
Product
50,000
45,100
40,000
30,000
21,600
23,500
22,000
20,000
10,000
2011
2012
2013
2011
RFM (000Ton)
21,600
2012
22,000
2013
23,500
DOWNSTREAM INDUSTRY
5000
2014*
4000
3000
Fatty Alcohol
2000
Fatty Acid
1000
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
PO Oleochemicals Production Capacity (Installed and Projection)
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
2014*
45,100
Source. GIMNI
Fatty Acid
Fatty Alcohol
280 280
315
570 690
690
790
Source. APOLIN
(Kl, Installed)
2007
1,709,195
5,670,000
4,880,966
5,000,000
2008
3,137,931
2009
3,528,092
2010
3,936,138
2011
4,280,966
2012
4,880,966
2013
5,670,000
4,280,966
4,000,000
3,936,138
3,528,092
3,137,931
3,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
1,709,195
214,943
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
DOWNSTREAM INDUSTRY
214,943
DOWNSTREAM INDUSTRY
2006
10
Biofuel Mandatory
35,000
30,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
Export CPO
Export Biodiesel
Export Non Biodiesel
Biodiesel
Non Food
Food
2009
2010
Domestic
Food
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
4,835
5,415
5,600
2011
2012
2013
Export,
Export
Total
Export
Downstream
Export CPO
Downstream
Production
Biodiesel
Product
Non Biodiesel
7,296
10,870
23,246
40.1%
7,591
11,137
24,835
40.5%
1,070 12,295
26,784
40.2%
300
7,208
1,372
8,095
28,022
61.1%
582
11,386
1,020
12,086
1,500
8,114
29,550
62.6%
BIOETHANOL (Minimum)
Sector
Transportation,
Sept.2013
Jan 2014
Jan. 2015
Jan. 2016
Jan. 2020
Jan. 2025
0.5%
1%
2%
5%
20%
1%
1%
2%
5%
10%
20%
1%
2%
5%
10%
20%
DOWNSTREAM INDUSTRY
20,000
DOWNSTREAM INDUSTRY
E
X
P
O
R
T
25,000
Transportation,
Non PSO
Industry
BIODIESEL (Minimum)
Sector
Transportation,
Sept.2013
Jan. 2014
Jan. 2015
Jan. 2016
Jan. 2020
Jan. 2025
10%
10%
10%
20%
20%
25%
3%
10%
10%
20%
20%
25%
Transportation,
Non PSO
Industry
Electricity
5%
10%
10%
20%
20%
25%
7.5%
20%
25%
30%
30%
30%
Source. GIMNI
11
12
Biodiesel Production
Export
35%
8,2%
80%
69,7%
61%
2013*) PROJECTION
48.500
Emmission Reduction
3.5 mil. kl
Source, Pertamina, APROBI, US EPA
13
14
Biodiesel Programs
Emission Reduction
56,7% - 59,8%
56%
DOWNSTREAM INDUSTRY
DOWNSTREAM INDUSTRY
DOWNSTREAM INDUSTRY
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013*)
DOWNSTREAM INDUSTRY
Year
15
16
Year of Challenge
Year 2014 will be a Year of Challenge for palm oil in the global market.
Palm oil and its derivatives export destination will implement a number of
regulations that suppress Indonesian products.
One is the EU regulations concerning the obligation to include the name of palm
oil on the label, which will take effect on December 13, 2014.
US EPA NODA, that the reduction of emissions by Palm Oil biodiesel is only 17%,
whereas the requirement is stated to be 20% in order to be accepted in the USA.
Indonesia and Malaysia already submitted the life cycle emission calculation to
US EPA, Which is 59% for the emission saving.
YEAR OF CHALLENGE
DOWNSTREAM INDUSTRY
18
17
19