Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 543 Calgary Foothills residents by Smart IVR on

August 18, 2015. A mixture of landlines and cell phones were surveyed.
Margin of Error: +/- 4.18%, 19 times out of 20.
Results were weighed by age and gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.

A2
"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyright.
The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republished
with full and proper credit and attribution to Mainstreet/Postmedia.

FOOTHILLS SHOWDOWN: WILDROSE NARROWLY LEADS

August 21, 2015 (Toronto, ON) A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds the Wildrose party
narrowly leading the race in Calgary Foothills with the NDP a strong second. The
Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.18%, 19 times out of 20.
This race is going to be 100% about turnout, said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet Research.
With the parties currently polling so close together, within the polls margin of error, this is going
to be about who can bring the most voters out on Election Day.
Complicating matters is the fact a federal election campaign is underway and that voters may be
suffering from a severe case of democracy. Calgary Foothills voters have gone to the polls again,
and again, and again. And after the by election is over they will have the federal vote to look
forward to.
This situation is unprecedented. I really cannot remember the last time resident have face this
many elections in such a short time span - while a Federal campaign rages on in the background.
Right now the most motivated supporters are those of the NDP and PCs (27% and 24%, certain to
vote) but the Wildrose is doing very well with those likely to vote (36%), one tier below.
It should come as no surprise that the runaway issue is the economy. The price of oil continues
to drop and unemployment numbers for Calgary and Alberta continue to rise. Meanwhile, Premier
Notley holds a 43% approval rating though 1 in 4 residents of Calgary Foothills arent sure what to
make of her yet and hold no opinion at all. Its these voters, and those who are undecided, that are
up for grabs for both the NDP and the opposition parties, he finished.
About Mainstreet Research
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three
levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
public affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public
opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal
government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently,
Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of Novembers Toronto mayoral election.
-30Available for Interview from Toronto: Quito Maggi, quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
For more information: David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.ca

A3

LEANING AND DECIDED

Including Undecided
Prasad Panda (Wildrose)
Janet Keeping (Green)
Blair Houston (PC)
Bob Hawkesworth (NDP)
Ali Bin Zahid (Liberals)
Mark Taylor (Alberta Party)
Undecided

Prasad Panda (Wildrose)

Janet Keeping (Green)
Blair Houston (PC)
Bob Hawkesworth (NDP)
Ali Bin Zahid (Liberals)
Mark Taylor (Alberta Party)
Undecided
Sample

Prasad Panda (Wildrose)

Janet Keeping (Green)
Blair Houston (PC)
Bob Hawkesworth (NDP)
Ali Bin Zahid (Liberals)
Mark Taylor (Alberta Party)
Undecided

23%
5%
16%
21%
10%
5%
19%

Decided Only
Prasad Panda (Wildrose)
Janet Keeping (Green)
Blair Houston (PC)
Bob Hawkesworth (NDP)
Ali Bin Zahid (Liberals)
Mark Taylor (Alberta Party)

18-34
19%
7%
12%
21%
11%
5%
25%
83

35-49
24%
6%
17%
22%
13%
4%
13%
134

Certain
19%
2%
24%
27%
9%
4%
15%

50-64
28%
2%
22%
17%
6%
6%
20%
160
Likely
36%
3%
7%
16%
6%
2%
30%

65+
23%
7%
17%
25%
5%
8%
16%
166
Might
27%
28%
5%
0%
19%
9%
12%

29%
7%
20%
26%
12%
7%

Male Female
26%
21%
7%
4%
14%
19%
22%
19%
11%
9%
4%
7%
16%
21%
252
291
Unlikely
11%
9%
3%
16%
13%
24%
25%

A4

19%

5%

10%

21%

16%

5%

23%

LEANING AND DECIDED

A5

And, which of these is the most important

issue DECIDED
in deciding your vote in the provincial by
LEANING AND
election? Is it, Jobs and the Economy, Taxes and Government Finances, Energy Policy and
the Royalty Review, Education and Schools, Health Care, Ethics within Government, the
Environment or Something Else?

JOBS AND THE ECONOMY

TAXES AND GOVERNMENT FINANCES
ENERGY POLICY AND ROYALTY REVIEW
EDUCATION AND SCHOOL
HEALTH CARE
ETHICS WITHIN GOVERNMENT
THE ENVIRONMENT
SOMETHING ELSE
NOT SURE

JOBS AND THE ECONOMY

TAXES AND GOVERNMENT FINANCES
ENERGY POLICY AND ROYALTY REVIEW
EDUCATION AND SCHOOL
HEALTH CARE
ETHICS WITHIN GOVERNMENT
THE ENVIRONMENT
SOMETHING ELSE
NOT SURE
SAMPLE

18-34
53%
2%
11%
7%
12%
1%
4%
10%
8%
83

35-49
43%
7%
10%
7%
6%
6%
4%
7%
5%
134

45%
5%
11%
9%
10%
4%
5%
7%
4%

50-64
40%
5%
12%
11%
13%
5%
5%
4%
3%
160

65+ Male Female

40% 43% 48%
5%
6%
5%
11% 10%
11%
6%
12% 12%
12%
9%
12%
5%
3%
4%
8%
5%
5%
6%
4%
8%
4%
4%
5%
166 252
291

A6

And, which of these is the most LEANING

importantAND
issueDECIDED
in deciding your vote in the provincial by
election? Is it, Jobs and the Economy, Taxes and Government Finances, Energy Policy and the
Royalty Review, Education and Schools, Health Care, Ethics within Government, the
Environment or Something Else?

4%
7%
5%
4%
45%
10%

9%

11%

5%

Jobs & Economy

Taxes & Government Finances

Energy & Royalty Review

Education and School

Health Care

Ethics Within Government

The Environment

Something Else

Not Sure

A7

LEANING AND DECIDED

25%

43%

33%

Approve

STRONGLY APPROVE
SOMEWHAT APPROVE
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE
NOT SURE
SAMPLE

Disapprove

18-34
20%
24%
14%
13%
28%
83

Not Sure

35-49
22%
23%
10%
19%
26%
134

50-64
23%
15%
22%
21%
20%
160

65+
25%
16%
14%
22%
22%
166

Male Female
18%
25%
22%
19%
14%
16%
18%
18%
28%
22%
252
291

A8

How likely are you to vote in the provincial by election?

Certain to vote
Likely to vote
Might vote
Unlikely to vote
And if the provincial by election were held today, which candidate would you support?
Prasad Panda (Wildrose)
Janet Keeping (Green)
Blair Houston (PC)
Bob Hawkesworth (NDP)
Ali Bin Zahid (Liberals)
Mark Taylor (Alberta Party)
Undecided
And, which of these is the most important issue in deciding your vote in the provincial by
election? Is it, Jobs and the Economy, Taxes and Government Finances, Energy Policy and
the Royalty Review, Education and Schools, Health Care, Ethics within
Government, the Environment or Something Else?
Jobs & Economy
Taxes and Government Finances
Energy Policy and Royalty Review
Education and School
Health Care
Ethics Within Government
The Environment
Something Else
Not Sure
And, do you approve or disapprove of the way Rachel Notley is handling her job as
Premier?
Strongly Approve
Somewhat Approve
Somewhat Disapprove
Strongly Disapprove
Not Sure