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Update Data Ekonomi Makro PDF
Update Data Ekonomi Makro PDF
Economics Update
Research Team of Phintraco Securities
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5/29/2015
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5/29/2015
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5/29/2015
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5/29/2015
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Indonesia Macro
Economic Update
Research Team of Phintraco Securities
5/29/2015
Q4-2013
Q3-2014
Q4-2014
%YoY
%QoQ
GDP (YoY)
5.72%
5.01%
5.01%
GDP (QoQ)
-1.42%
3.16%
-2.06%
Inflation Rate
8.38%
4.53%
8.36%
-0.24%
84.55%
Interest Rate
7.50%
7.50
7.75
3.33%
3.33%
48.60
45.18
43.59
-10.31%
-3.52%
46.28
46.06
36.90
-20.27%
-19.89%
99.39
111.16
111.14
11.82%
-0.02%
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Kebijakan-Kebijakan
Bank Sentral
Research Team of Phintraco Securities
5/29/2015
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melalui
Jepang
80 triliun / tahun
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Nov 2014
Mar 2015
5.60%
5.35%
Deposito
2.75%
2.50%
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Okt 2014
3.00%
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Pergerakan Bursa
Global dan Regional
Research Team of Phintraco Securities
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APBN-P 2015
Research Team of Phintraco Securities
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Fokus Pembangunan
Infrastruktur
Research Team of Phintraco Securities
Kementerian
APBN 2015
APBN-P 2015
% perubahan
84.9
118.5
39.58%
Pertahanan
96.9
102.3
5.57%
Perhubungan
44.9
65.0
44.77%
Agama
56.4
60.3
6.91%
Polri
51.6
57.1
10.66%
DikBud
46.8
53.3
13.89%
Kesehatan
47.8
51.3
7.32%
RisTek
42.3
43.6
3.07%
Pertanian
15.9
32.8
106.29%
Keuangan
18.7
25.7
37.43%
Lainnya
141.1
185.7
31.61%
Total Anggaran
647.3
795.5
22.90%
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Kebijakan Ekonomi
Pemerintah RI
Research Team of Phintraco Securities
Penetapan Harga
Bersubsidi
Ditetapkan
subsidi.
Khusus Penugasan
BBM yang
jauh/sulit.
Umum
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Pemerintah
dengan
didistribusikan
memperhitungkan
untuk
wilayah
yang
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Non-Energi
Rp74.3 triliun
35%
65%
Energi
Rp137.8 triliun
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50.2
70.0
341.8
344.7
45.1
39.7
35%
52.8
306.5
310.0
74.3
255.6
65%
140.0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
137.8
APBN
2015
APBN-P
2015
16
5/29/2015
53%
Listrik
Rp73.1 triliun
BBM
Rp64.7 triliun
47%
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68.7.0
100.0
90.4
35%
57.6
211.9
210.0
165.2
240.0
276.0
73.1
65%
82.4.0
2010
64.7
2011
2012
2013
2014
APBN
2015
APBN-P
2015
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Bank Konvensional
Bank Syariah
Rumah Pertama
Rumah Kedua
70%
80%
60%
70%
Tipe > 70 m2
Bank Konvensional
Bank Syariah
Rumah Pertama
70%
80%
Rumah Kedua
60%
70%
50%
60%
Bank
Indonesia
(BI)
berencana
menurunkan LTV untuk Kredit Pemilikan
Rumah (KPR).
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Sektor Potensial
Berdasarkan Laporan Keuangan FY-2014
Dalam satuan Rp miliar
IHSG 2015
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Konstruksi
PT Adhi Karya Tbk (ADHI)
Penyertaan Modal Negara Rp1.4 triliun
Proyek Monorail
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Bank
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia Tbk (BBRI)
LDR : 80.47% | NPL : 2.17% | NIM : 7.57%
KPR : 3.11% dari total Loans
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Infrastruktur
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLKM)
Solo-Ngawi-Kertosono
Gempol-Padaan
Medan-Tebingtinggi
Dll.
NPM : 17.00% | PER : 32.89 | PBV : 3.99
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Barang Konsumsi
PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk (INDF)
Net Profit : Rp870.08 miliar (-37.2% yoy)
NPM : 6.00% | PER : 18.10 | PBV : 1.52
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