79

78

77

76

75

74

73

72
0

10

15

20

25

1/12/2015
1/13/2015
1/14/2015
1/15/2015
1/16/2015
1/19/2015
1/20/2015
1/21/2015
1/22/2015
1/23/2015
1/26/2015
1/27/2015
1/28/2015
1/29/2015
1/30/2015
2/2/2015
2/3/2015
2/4/2015
2/5/2015
2/6/2015

n
xm
ym

x
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

210
suma x

1521.85
suma y

xy
76.72
152.9
228.84
296.2
375.9
451.08
533.68
613.92
698.85
778.3
852.5
909.36
991.12
1092
1138.65
1199.84
1281.8
1361.34
1436.59
1489.4

76.72
76.45
76.28
74.05
75.18
75.18
76.24
76.74
77.65
77.83
77.5
75.78
76.24
78
75.91
74.99
75.4
75.63
75.61
74.47

15958.99
suma xy

x2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
196
225
256
289
324
361
400

yp
76.3844286
76.3536992
76.3229699
76.2922406
76.2615113
76.230782
76.2000526
76.1693233
76.138594
76.1078647
76.0771353
76.046406
76.0156767
75.9849474
75.954218
75.9234887
75.8927594
75.8620301
75.8313008
75.8005714

2870
suma x2

20
10.5
76.0925

solucion

b0

1521.85
15958.99

b1
20
210

210
2870

76.0925
-20.435

1
0

10.5
665

76.4151579
-0.03072932

1
0
sxx
sxy

0 b0
1 b1
665
-20.435

76.4151579 76.4151579
-0.03072932 -0.03072932

intervalo de p74.289724966

77.250875

(y-ym)^2
0.39375625
0.12780625
0.03515625
4.17180625
0.83265625
0.83265625
0.02175625
0.41925625
2.42580625
3.01890625
1.98105625
0.09765625
0.02175625
3.63855625
0.03330625
1.21550625
0.47955625
0.21390625
0.23280625
2.63250625
22.826175
sst

alfa

Fuente de
Variacion
Regresion
Error
Total

(y-yp)2
0.1126081837
0.0092738348
0.0018464144
5.027642915
1.1696666449
1.1041427167
0.0015957922
0.3256718865
2.2843481423
2.9657501236
2.0245438454
0.0709721648
0.0503209466
4.060437108
0.0019552355
0.8714011937
0.2428118248
0.0538379558
0.0489740228
1.7704203265
22.1982212782
sse

Suma de
Cuadrados
0.62795372
22.1982213
22.826175

Fuente
GL
SC
Regresin 1 0.6280
Error
18 22.1982 1
Total
19 22.8262

Y0

0.62795372
ssr

0.01

y0 = -0.0307x + 76.415
Y0=
raiz mse/n
x testada
x0
sxx
1/n
intervalo de pronostico

74.2897249664

75.7703
0.24831779
10.5
21
665
0.05

0.51444581

1.48057503

tstudent

2.878

77.250875

Grados de
Libertad

Varianza
Area a
F Calculada
F de Alfa
Conclucion
(ms)
Comparar
1 0.62795372 0.50919246 0.48463889 8.28541956 aceptar h0
18 1.23323452
19

nte
GL
SC
MC
F
P
resin 1 0.6280 0.62795 0.51 0.485
r
18 22.1982 1.23323
l
19 22.8262

1/12/2015
1/13/2015
1/14/2015
1/15/2015
1/16/2015
1/19/2015
1/20/2015
1/21/2015
1/22/2015
1/23/2015
1/26/2015
1/27/2015
1/28/2015
1/29/2015
1/30/2015
2/2/2015
2/3/2015
2/4/2015
2/5/2015
2/6/2015

x
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

210
Suma x

1521.85
Suma y

15958.99
Suma xy

76.72
76.45
76.28
74.05
75.18
75.18
76.24
76.74
77.65
77.83
77.5
75.78
76.24
78
75.91
74.99
75.4
75.63
75.61
74.47

xy
76.72
152.9
228.84
296.2
375.9
451.08
533.68
613.92
698.85
778.3
852.5
909.36
991.12
1092
1138.65
1199.84
1281.8
1361.34
1436.59
1489.4

n
xm
ym

20
10.5
76.0925

solucion
1521.85
15958.99
217677.09

b0
20
210
2870

b1
210
2870
44100

b2
2870
44100
722666

76.0925
-20.435
-708.385

1
0
0

10.5
665
13965

143.5
13965
310821

76.4151579

1
0
0

0
1
0

-77
21
17556

-0.030729323

-279.25

x2y

x2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
196
225
256
289
324
361
400
2870
Suma x2

76.72
305.8
686.52
1184.8
1879.5
2706.48
3735.76
4911.36
6289.65
7783
9377.5
10912.32
12884.56
15288
17079.75
19197.44
21790.6
24504.12
27295.21
29788
217677.09
Suma x2y

75.1903772
0.30330178
-0.01590624

1
0
0

0
1
0

0
0
1

b0
b1
b2

x3

x4

yp

(y-ym)^2

(y-yp)2

1
8
27
64
125
216
343
512
729
1000
1331
1728
2197
2744
3375
4096
4913
5832
6859
8000

1
16
81
256
625
1296
2401
4096
6561
10000
14641
20736
28561
38416
50625
65536
83521
104976
130321
160000

75.4777727
75.7333558
75.9571263
76.1490844
76.30923
76.4375631
76.5340837
76.5987919
76.6316875
76.6327707
76.6020414
76.5394995
76.4451452
76.3189785
76.1609992
75.9712075
75.7496032
75.4961865
75.2109573
74.8939156

0.39375625
0.12780625
0.03515625
4.17180625
0.83265625
0.83265625
0.02175625
0.41925625
2.42580625
3.01890625
1.98105625
0.09765625
0.02175625
3.63855625
0.03330625
1.21550625
0.47955625
0.21390625
0.23280625
2.63250625

1.5431286
0.51357894
0.1042474
4.40615538
1.27516041
1.58146498
0.08648524
0.01993974
1.03696032
1.43335805
0.80632973
0.57683956
0.04208457
2.82583339
0.0630006
0.96276806
0.12222241
0.01790606
0.15923509
0.17970442

44100
Suma x3

722666
Suma x4

22.826175
sst

17.756403
sse

y= -0.0159x^2 + .3033x +75.19

74.5474
raiz mse/n
0.22852727
x testada
10.5
x0
21
sxx
665
1/n
0.05

intervalo de pronostico
0.49351997
t-student
2.878
1.42035048
73.1270495

75.9677505

sxx

5.06977205
ssr

665

Fuente de
Variacion
Regresion
Error
Total

Suma de
Grados de
Varianza
F Calculada
Cuadrados
Libertad
(ms)
5.06977205
2 2.53488602 2.42690271
17.756403
17 1.04449429
22.826175
19

Fuente
GL
SC
MC
F
P
Regresin 2 5.0698 2.53489 2.43 0.118
Error
17 17.7564 1.04449
Total
19 22.8262
alfa

0.01

Area a
F de Alfa
Conclucion
Comparar
0.11825941 6.11211372 aceptar h0

1/12/2015
1/13/2015
1/14/2015
1/15/2015
1/16/2015
1/19/2015
1/20/2015
1/21/2015
1/22/2015
1/23/2015
1/26/2015
1/27/2015
1/28/2015
1/30/2015
2/2/2015
2/3/2015
2/4/2015
2/5/2015
2/6/2015

x
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
16
17
18
19
20

210
Suma x
n
xm
ym

20
10.5
76.0925

solucion
1521.85
15958.99
217677.09
3337871.77

b0

76.72
76.45
76.28
74.05
75.18
75.18
76.24
76.74
77.65
77.83
77.5
75.78
76.24
75.91
74.99
75.4
75.63
75.61
74.47

xy
76.72
152.9
228.84
296.2
375.9
451.08
533.68
613.92
698.85
778.3
852.5
909.36
991.12
1138.65
1199.84
1281.8
1361.34
1436.59
1489.4

1521.85
Suma y

15958.99
Suma xy

b2

b1

x2y

x2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
225
256
289
324
361
400

76.72
305.8
686.52
1184.8
1879.5
2706.48
3735.76
4911.36
6289.65
7783
9377.5
10912.32
12884.56
17079.75
19197.44
21790.6
24504.12
27295.21
29788

2870 217677.09
Suma x2
Suma x2y

20
210
2870
44100

210
2870
44100
722666

2870
44100
722666
12333300

b3
44100
722666
12333300
216455810

76.0925
-20.435
-708.385
-17807.48

1
0
0
0

10.5
665
13965
259616

143.5
13965
310821
6004950

2205
259616
6004950
119215310

76.4151579
-0.03072932
-279.25
-9829.656

1
0
0
0

0
1
0
0

-77
-1894.2
21
390.4
17556
553014
553014 17861223.6

75.1903772
0.30330178
-0.01590624
-1033.281

1
0
0
0

0
1
0
0

0
0
1
0

531.3
-271.1
31.5
441282.6

76.4344376
-0.3314898
0.05785228
-0.00234154

1
0
0
0

0
1
0
0

0
0
1
0

0
0
0
1

x3

x4

x3y

x5

x6

yp

1
8
27
64
125
216
343
512
729
1000
1331
1728
2197
3375
4096
4913
5832
6859
8000

1
16
81
256
625
1296
2401
4096
6561
10000
14641
20736
28561
50625
65536
83521
104976
130321
160000

76.72
611.6
2059.56
4739.2
9397.5
16238.88
26150.32
39290.88
56606.85
77830
103152.5
130947.84
167499.28
256196.25
307159.04
370440.2
441074.16
518608.99
595760

1
32
243
1024
3125
7776
16807
32768
59049
100000
161051
248832
371293
759375
1048576
1419857
1889568
2476099
3200000

1
64
729
4096
15625
46656
117649
262144
531441
1000000
1771561
2985984
4826809
11390625
16777216
24137569
34012224
47045881
64000000

76.1584585
75.9841347
75.8974171
75.8842562
75.9306029
76.022408
76.1456222
76.2861962
76.4300809
76.5632269
76.6715851
76.7411062
76.7577409
76.5761543
76.3498345
76.0144314
75.5558958
74.9601783
74.2132298

44100
Suma x3

722666
Suma x4

3337871.77
Suma x3y

12333300
Suma x5

216455810
Suma x6

CONCLUSIN:
Los datos no se ajustan bajo ningun modelo y se necesita realizar
regresion multiple

73.7061
raiz mse/n
x testada
x0
sxx
1/n

0.21892446
10.5
21
665
0.05

intervalo de pronostico
0.48303973
t-student
2.878
1.39018835
72.3159117
accion

75.0962883

(y-ym)^2

(y-yp)2

0.39375625
0.12780625
0.03515625
4.17180625
0.83265625
0.83265625
0.02175625
0.41925625
2.42580625
3.01890625
1.98105625
0.09765625
0.02175625
0.03330625
1.21550625
0.47955625
0.21390625
0.23280625
2.63250625

0.31532886
0.21703044
0.14636971
3.36449583
0.56340477
0.70965126
0.00890717
0.20593786
1.48820263
1.60471401
0.68627125
0.92372506
0.26805562
0.44376155
1.84914992
0.37752597
0.00549144
0.42226823
0.06593093

22.826175 15.3369338 7.48924117

sst
sse
ssr

o y se necesita realizar

Fuente de
Variacion
Regresion
Error
Total

Suma de
Cuadrados
7.48924117
15.3369338
22.826175

Fuente
GL
SC
MC
F
Regresin 3 7.4892 2.49641 2.
Error
16 15.3369 0.95856
Total
19 22.8262

alfa

0.01

sxx

665

Varianza
Area a
F Calculada
F de Alfa
Conclucion
(ms)
Comparar
3 2.49641372 2.60434191 0.0877288 5.29221405 aceptar h0
16 0.95855836
19

Grados de Libertad

nte
GL
SC
MC
F
P
resin 3 7.4892 2.49641 2.60 0.088
r
16 15.3369 0.95856
l
19 22.8262