Aeotab 3

ref2014.
d102413a
2011
2012
Report
Annual Energy Outlook 2014
Scenario
ref2014
Datekey
d102413a
Release Date
3. Energy Prices by Sector and Source

(2012 dollars per million Btu, unless otherwise noted)
Sector and Source
2011
2012
Propane
25.28
24.12
Distillate Fuel Oil
26.93
27.30
Natural Gas
10.98
10.46
Electricity
34.95
34.83
Propane
22.20
20.75
Distillate Fuel Oil
26.43
26.81
Residual Fuel
19.41
22.84
Residential
Commercial
Natural Gas
8.96
8.11
30.53
29.55
Propane
22.63
21.09
Distillate Fuel Oil
27.04
27.41
Residual Fuel Oil
19.17
20.90
Natural Gas 2/
5.09
3.77
Metallurgical Coal
7.13
7.25
Other Industrial Coal
3.31
3.24
--
--
20.35
19.50
Propane
26.29
25.14
E85 3/
44.13
35.06
Motor Gasoline 4/
30.32
30.68
Jet Fuel 5/
23.02
22.99
Diesel Fuel (distillate fuel oil) 6/
28.37
28.80
Residual Fuel Oil
18.05
20.07
Electricity
Industrial 1/
Coal to Liquids
Electricity
Transportation
Natural Gas 7/
15.90
14.64
Electricity
34.00
31.43
Distillate Fuel Oil
23.79
24.12
Residual Fuel Oil
Electric Power 8/
15.94
20.68
Natural Gas
4.88
3.44
Steam Coal
2.42
2.39
Propane
24.39
23.24
E85 3/
44.13
35.06
Motor Gasoline 4/
30.18
30.44
Jet Fuel 5/
23.02
22.99
Distillate Fuel Oil
27.95
28.36
Residual Fuel Oil
17.80
20.41
Natural Gas
6.83
5.38
Metallurgical Coal
7.13
7.25
Other Coal
2.48
2.44
--
--
29.52
28.85
Residential
249.85
234.06
Commercial
183.94
173.25
Industrial 1/
232.59
213.75
Transportation
757.76
755.09
1424.14
1376.15
0.12
0.50
1424.26
1376.66
Propane
24.83
24.12
Distillate Fuel Oil
26.46
27.30
Natural Gas
10.79
10.46
Electricity
34.34
34.83
Propane
21.81
20.75
Distillate Fuel Oil
25.97
26.81
Residual Fuel
19.07
22.84
Average Price to All Users 9/
Coal to Liquids
Electricity
Non-Renewable Energy Expenditures by Sector
(billion 2012 dollars)
Total Non-Renewable Expenditures

Transportation Renewable Expenditures
Total Expenditures
Prices in Nominal Dollars

Residential
Commercial
Natural Gas
8.80
8.11
30.00
29.55
Propane
22.24
21.09
Distillate Fuel Oil
26.56
27.41
Residual Fuel Oil
18.84
20.90
Natural Gas 2/
5.00
3.77
Metallurgical Coal
7.01
7.25
Other Industrial Coal
3.25
3.24
--
--
19.99
19.50
Propane
25.83
25.14
E85 3/
43.36
35.06
Motor Gasoline 4/
29.79
30.68
Jet Fuel 5/
22.61
22.99
Diesel Fuel (distillate fuel oil) 6/
27.87
28.80
Residual Fuel Oil
17.73
20.07
Natural Gas 7/
15.62
14.64
Electricity
33.40
31.43
Distillate Fuel Oil
23.37
24.12
Residual Fuel Oil
15.67
20.68
Natural Gas
4.80
3.44
Steam Coal
2.38
2.39
Propane
23.96
23.24
E85 3/
43.36
35.06
Motor Gasoline 4/
29.66
30.44
Jet Fuel 5/
22.61
22.99
Distillate Fuel Oil
27.46
28.36
Residual Fuel Oil
17.49
20.41
Natural Gas
6.71
5.38
Metallurgical Coal
7.01
7.25
Other Coal
2.43
2.44
--
--
29.01
28.85
Electricity
Industrial 1/
Coal to Liquids
Electricity
Transportation
Electric Power 8/
Average Price to All Users 9/
Coal to Liquids
Electricity
Non-Renewable Energy Expenditures by Sector
(billion nominal dollars)
Residential
245.47
234.06
Commercial
180.72
173.25
Industrial 1/
228.52
213.75
Transportation
744.51
755.09
1399.23
1376.15
Total Non-Renewable Expenditures

Transportation Renewable Expenditures
Total Expenditures
0.12
0.50
1399.35
1376.66
1/ Includes energy for combined heat and power plants that have a non-regulatory status, and small on-site generating sys
2/ Excludes use for lease and plant fuel.
3/ E85 refers to a blend of 85 percent ethanol (renewable) and 15 percent motor gasoline (nonrenewable). To address cold
the percentage of ethanol varies seasonally. The annual average ethanol content of 74 percent is used for this forecast.
4/ Sales weighted-average price for all grades. Includes Federal, State, and local taxes.
5/ Kerosene-type jet fuel. Includes Federal and State taxes while excluding county and local taxes.
6/ Diesel fuel for on-road use. Includes Federal and State taxes while excluding county and local taxes.
7/ Natural gas used as fuel in motor vehicles, trains, and ships. Includes estimated motor vehicle fuel taxes and estimated
8/ Includes electricity-only and combined heat and power plants that have a regulatory status.
9/ Weighted averages of end-use fuel prices are derived from the prices shown in each sector and the corresponding secto
Btu = British thermal unit.
- - = Not applicable.
Note: Data for 2011 and 2012 are model results and may differ from official EIA data reports.
Sources: 2011 and 2012 prices for motor gasoline, distillate fuel oil, and jet fuel are based on prices
in the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), Petroleum Marketing Monthly, DOE/EIA-0380(2013/08) (Washington, DC,
2011 residential, commercial, and industrial natural gas delivered prices: EIA,
Natural Gas Annual 2011, DOE/EIA-0131(2011) (Washington, DC, January 2013). 2012 residential, commercial, and industria
delivered prices: EIA, Natural Gas Monthly, DOE/EIA-0130(2013/06) (Washington, DC, June 2013).
2011 transportation sector natural gas delivered prices are based on: EIA, Natural Gas Annual
2011, DOE/EIA-0131(2011) (Washington, DC, January 2013) and estimated State taxes, Federal taxes, and dispensing costs o
2012 transportation sector natural gas delivered prices are model results.
2011 and 2012 electric power sector distillate and residual fuel oil prices:
EIA, Monthly Energy Review, DOE/EIA-0035(2013/09)(Washington, DC, September 2013). 2011 and
2012 electric power sector natural gas prices: EIA, Electric Power Monthly,
April 2012 and April 2013, Table 4.2, and EIA, State Energy Data System
2011, DOE/EIA-0214(2011) (Washington, DC, June 2013).
2011 and 2012 coal prices based on: EIA, Quarterly Coal Report,
October-December 2012, DOE/EIA-0121(2012/4Q) (Washington, DC, March 2013) and EIA, AEO2014 National Energy Modelin
2011 and 2012 electricity prices: EIA, Monthly Energy Review,
DOE/EIA-0035(2013/09) (Washington, DC, September 2013).
2011 and 2012 E85 prices derived from monthly prices in the Clean Cities
Alternative Fuel Price Report. Projections: EIA, AEO2014 National Energy Modeling System run ref2014.d102413a.
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
nnual Energy Outlook 2014

Reference case
April 2014
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
23.39
22.92
22.41
22.44
22.97
23.38
23.62
27.03
25.52
24.46
23.78
23.52
23.72
24.21
10.39
11.20
11.00
10.68
11.01
11.46
11.63
34.02
34.41
34.94
35.16
35.52
35.91
36.18
19.84
19.27
18.65
18.68
19.33
19.82
20.12
26.54
25.03
21.22
20.70
20.58
20.81
21.32
22.14
21.37
14.32
13.85
13.62
13.73
14.02
8.31
9.09
8.92
8.72
9.01
9.41
9.55
29.46
29.62
29.99
30.14
30.37
30.72
31.01
20.11
19.52
18.87
18.91
19.59
20.11
20.43
27.14
25.62
21.42
21.01
20.98
21.23
21.78
20.23
19.58
14.90
14.42
14.17
14.27
14.53
4.59
4.80
4.94
5.15
5.43
5.85
5.95
7.43
7.51
7.76
7.95
8.05
8.19
8.30
3.32
3.28
3.38
3.44
3.46
3.52
3.56
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
20.08
19.87
20.11
20.11
20.29
20.59
20.86
24.44
23.97
23.46
23.49
24.02
24.43
24.68
33.54
31.85
31.42
28.60
25.72
25.07
24.92
29.71
28.13
26.41
25.53
25.16
25.11
25.23
21.94
20.71
19.06
18.40
18.19
18.39
18.99
28.31
26.88
25.87
25.51
25.52
25.79
26.35
19.46
18.82
12.21
11.79
11.63
11.78
12.14
15.45
15.50
15.64
15.73
15.81
15.99
15.91
30.39
29.94
29.73
29.66
29.59
29.78
30.03
23.94
22.59
20.43
19.77
19.53
19.71
20.20
18.99
17.68
13.01
12.57
13.07
13.18
13.48
4.32
4.47
4.43
4.47
4.69
5.06
5.18
2.37
2.33
2.40
2.42
2.49
2.55
2.59
22.32
21.76
21.16
21.16
21.71
22.13
22.38
33.54
31.85
31.42
28.60
25.72
25.07
24.92
29.55
28.04
26.41
25.53
25.16
25.11
25.22
21.94
20.71
19.06
18.40
18.19
18.39
18.99
27.92
26.47
24.82
24.43
24.42
24.69
25.25
19.63
18.95
12.84
12.43
12.34
12.50
12.82
6.21
6.60
6.49
6.43
6.71
7.11
7.22
7.43
7.51
7.76
7.95
8.05
8.19
8.30
2.43
2.38
2.46
2.49
2.55
2.61
2.65
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
28.69
28.73
29.06
29.10
29.29
29.60
29.87
237.80
239.49
239.03
238.76
242.88
247.54
250.44
175.74
176.85
177.08
178.02
181.32
185.61
188.96
223.10
225.17
233.73
242.31
253.54
265.39
274.07
734.49
693.45
650.93
633.90
626.12
624.07
626.76
1371.13
1334.97
1300.78
1292.99
1303.87
1322.60
1340.23
0.64
0.69
0.55
1.05
2.01
2.93
3.96
1371.77
1335.66
1301.33
1294.04
1305.88
1325.53
1344.19
23.73
23.68
23.52
23.91
24.83
25.66
26.33
27.44
26.37
25.67
25.34
25.43
26.04
26.99
10.54
11.57
11.54
11.39
11.90
12.58
12.96
34.52
35.56
36.67
37.47
38.40
39.43
40.33
20.14
19.91
19.57
19.91
20.90
21.76
22.43
26.94
25.87
22.28
22.06
22.25
22.84
23.77
22.47
22.09
15.03
14.76
14.72
15.08
15.63
8.44
9.39
9.36
9.30
9.74
10.33
10.64
29.90
30.61
31.48
32.12
32.84
33.73
34.58
20.41
20.17
19.80
20.15
21.18
22.08
22.77
27.54
26.47
22.48
22.39
22.69
23.31
24.28
20.53
20.24
15.64
15.37
15.32
15.66
16.19
4.66
4.96
5.18
5.49
5.87
6.42
6.63
7.54
7.76
8.14
8.47
8.70
8.99
9.25
3.36
3.39
3.54
3.66
3.74
3.86
3.97
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
20.38
20.54
21.10
21.43
21.93
22.61
23.25
24.80
24.77
24.62
25.03
25.98
26.82
27.51
34.04
32.92
32.97
30.48
27.81
27.52
27.78
30.16
29.07
27.72
27.21
27.21
27.56
28.12
22.27
21.40
20.00
19.61
19.67
20.19
21.17
28.73
27.78
27.15
27.18
27.60
28.31
29.38
19.75
19.45
12.82
12.56
12.58
12.94
13.53
15.68
16.01
16.41
16.76
17.09
17.56
17.74
30.84
30.94
31.20
31.61
31.99
32.70
33.48
24.30
23.35
21.44
21.07
21.11
21.64
22.52
19.27
18.27
13.65
13.40
14.13
14.47
15.03
4.39
4.62
4.65
4.77
5.07
5.56
5.77
2.41
2.41
2.52
2.58
2.69
2.80
2.89
22.66
22.49
22.21
22.55
23.47
24.30
24.95
34.04
32.92
32.97
30.48
27.81
27.52
27.78
29.99
28.97
27.72
27.21
27.21
27.56
28.12
22.27
21.40
20.00
19.61
19.67
20.19
21.17
28.34
27.35
26.05
26.04
26.41
27.10
28.15
19.93
19.58
13.48
13.25
13.34
13.72
14.30
6.31
6.82
6.81
6.85
7.25
7.80
8.05
7.54
7.76
8.14
8.47
8.70
8.99
9.25
2.46
2.46
2.58
2.65
2.76
2.87
2.95
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
29.12
29.69
30.50
31.01
31.67
32.49
33.30
241.35
247.49
250.86
254.44
262.61
271.74
279.20
178.36
182.76
185.85
189.71
196.05
203.75
210.65
226.42
232.70
245.30
258.22
274.14
291.34
305.54
745.43
716.62
683.15
675.51
676.98
685.10
698.72
1391.57
1379.57
1365.16
1377.87
1409.78
1451.93
1494.12
0.65
0.72
0.58
1.12
2.17
3.22
4.41
1392.22
1380.28
1365.74
1378.99
1411.95
1455.15
1498.54
tus, and small on-site generating systems.
line (nonrenewable). To address cold starting issues,
percent is used for this forecast.
d local taxes.
y and local taxes.
otor vehicle fuel taxes and estimated dispensing costs or charges.
h sector and the corresponding sectoral consumption.
ased on prices
EIA-0380(2013/08) (Washington, DC, August 2013).
esidential, commercial, and industrial natural gas
Federal taxes, and dispensing costs or charges.
. 2011 and
A, AEO2014 National Energy Modeling System run ref2014.d102413a.
em run ref2014.d102413a.
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
23.79
24.06
24.28
24.44
24.63
24.86
25.06
24.67
25.14
25.64
26.08
26.53
26.95
27.26
11.59
11.80
11.90
12.06
12.31
12.48
12.58
36.15
36.06
35.80
35.70
36.04
36.14
36.25
20.33
20.66
20.93
21.13
21.37
21.66
21.91
21.77
22.26
22.78
23.19
23.59
24.01
24.33
14.40
14.74
15.27
15.59
15.86
16.13
16.58
9.49
9.68
9.76
9.90
10.13
10.29
10.38
30.80
30.63
30.29
30.16
30.50
30.55
30.63
20.64
20.99
21.28
21.49
21.75
22.06
22.33
22.22
22.72
23.26
23.65
24.02
24.45
24.79
14.88
15.25
15.71
16.06
16.36
16.65
17.01
5.79
5.93
5.95
6.05
6.23
6.32
6.36
8.43
8.53
8.63
8.74
8.85
8.95
9.04
3.59
3.61
3.64
3.67
3.70
3.73
3.76
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
20.77
20.75
20.65
20.66
20.95
21.08
21.24
24.85
25.12
25.34
25.50
25.69
25.92
26.12
25.61
25.84
25.75
26.66
27.24
27.53
27.70
25.59
25.95
26.36
26.78
27.13
27.37
27.58
19.47
20.00
20.58
21.05
21.52
21.96
22.30
26.80
27.30
27.85
28.23
28.59
29.02
29.37
12.46
12.82
13.19
13.52
13.86
14.16
14.43
15.62
15.63
15.50
15.43
15.53
15.57
15.55
29.86
29.74
29.50
29.43
29.79
30.09
30.35
20.66
21.14
21.64
22.08
22.52
22.94
23.27
13.86
14.19
14.65
14.95
15.30
15.59
15.91
5.07
5.24
5.29
5.42
5.62
5.76
5.81
2.61
2.64
2.68
2.70
2.74
2.77
2.81
22.54
22.83
23.06
23.22
23.43
23.68
23.90
25.61
25.84
25.75
26.66
27.24
27.53
27.70
25.58
25.95
26.36
26.78
27.13
27.37
27.58
19.47
20.00
20.58
21.05
21.52
21.96
22.30
25.70
26.21
26.76
27.16
27.54
27.98
28.33
13.15
13.51
13.92
14.25
14.58
14.88
15.18
7.09
7.25
7.29
7.40
7.59
7.72
7.77
8.43
8.53
8.63
8.74
8.85
8.95
9.04
2.67
2.70
2.74
2.76
2.80
2.83
2.87
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
29.72
29.60
29.35
29.26
29.58
29.67
29.79
249.25
250.33
250.54
251.90
255.89
258.12
260.26
189.44
191.14
191.86
193.68
197.83
200.39
202.94
279.45
287.01
293.27
300.24
308.59
315.89
321.11
632.05
637.47
643.26
648.44
651.76
653.92
655.12
1350.18
1365.95
1378.93
1394.26
1414.06
1428.32
1439.43
4.89
6.10
7.67
8.65
9.63
10.53
11.27
1355.07
1372.06
1386.61
1402.91
1423.69
1438.85
1450.71
26.94
27.70
28.41
29.09
29.83
30.63
31.40
27.94
28.95
30.01
31.05
32.13
33.19
34.15
13.13
13.59
13.92
14.35
14.90
15.37
15.76
40.94
41.51
41.91
42.49
43.64
44.52
45.42
23.02
23.79
24.50
25.15
25.88
26.69
27.45
24.66
25.63
26.66
27.60
28.56
29.57
30.49
16.31
16.96
17.87
18.56
19.21
19.87
20.77
10.75
11.15
11.42
11.78
12.26
12.67
13.01
34.88
35.26
35.46
35.90
36.93
37.63
38.38
23.38
24.17
24.91
25.58
26.34
27.18
27.98
25.17
26.16
27.23
28.16
29.09
30.12
31.07
16.85
17.56
18.39
19.11
19.82
20.51
21.32
6.56
6.83
6.97
7.20
7.54
7.79
7.96
9.55
9.82
10.10
10.40
10.71
11.03
11.33
4.07
4.16
4.26
4.36
4.48
4.59
4.71
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
23.52
23.89
24.17
24.60
25.37
25.96
26.61
28.14
28.92
29.65
30.35
31.11
31.93
32.73
29.00
29.74
30.14
31.73
32.99
33.92
34.71
28.98
29.88
30.85
31.88
32.85
33.72
34.56
22.06
23.02
24.08
25.05
26.07
27.05
27.94
30.35
31.43
32.59
33.60
34.63
35.75
36.80
14.11
14.75
15.44
16.10
16.79
17.44
18.08
17.69
17.99
18.15
18.37
18.80
19.18
19.49
33.82
34.23
34.53
35.03
36.08
37.07
38.03
23.40
24.33
25.32
26.28
27.27
28.26
29.16
15.70
16.34
17.15
17.80
18.52
19.21
19.94
5.75
6.03
6.20
6.45
6.81
7.09
7.29
2.96
3.04
3.13
3.22
3.32
3.42
3.52
25.53
26.28
26.99
27.65
28.37
29.17
29.94
29.00
29.74
30.14
31.73
32.99
33.92
34.71
28.98
29.87
30.85
31.88
32.85
33.71
34.56
22.06
23.02
24.08
25.05
26.07
27.05
27.94
29.11
30.18
31.33
32.33
33.35
34.46
35.50
14.90
15.55
16.29
16.96
17.66
18.32
19.02
8.04
8.35
8.53
8.80
9.20
9.51
9.74
9.55
9.82
10.10
10.40
10.71
11.03
11.33
3.03
3.11
3.20
3.29
3.39
3.49
3.59
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
33.66
34.08
34.36
34.83
35.82
36.55
37.33
282.30
288.18
293.24
299.86
309.87
317.94
326.13
214.56
220.04
224.56
230.56
239.56
246.83
254.30
316.50
330.40
343.26
357.40
373.69
389.11
402.38
715.87
733.85
752.90
771.91
789.25
805.47
820.92
1529.23
1572.47
1613.97
1659.74
1712.37
1759.34
1803.73
5.54
7.03
8.98
10.29
11.66
12.97
14.13
1534.77
1579.50
1622.95
1670.03
1724.04
1772.32
1817.85
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
25.25
25.41
25.58
25.75
25.92
26.11
26.32
27.69
27.97
28.32
28.60
28.94
29.31
29.74
12.72
12.90
13.18
13.50
13.65
13.71
13.94
36.47
36.58
36.73
36.98
37.26
37.34
37.37
22.15
22.35
22.57
22.79
23.01
23.25
23.52
24.76
25.03
25.37
25.66
26.00
26.37
26.76
17.02
17.15
17.66
17.92
18.25
18.57
18.88
10.50
10.66
10.91
11.19
11.29
11.29
11.48
30.83
30.91
31.02
31.26
31.51
31.55
31.54
22.59
22.80
23.04
23.27
23.50
23.76
24.05
25.22
25.47
25.81
26.11
26.46
26.83
27.20
17.42
17.66
18.04
18.29
18.59
18.91
19.22
6.43
6.53
6.74
6.99
7.10
7.22
7.42
9.15
9.27
9.38
9.51
9.59
9.67
9.76
3.78
3.82
3.85
3.88
3.92
3.94
3.98
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
21.46
21.59
21.74
21.99
22.24
22.34
22.44
26.31
26.47
26.64
26.81
26.98
27.17
27.38
27.90
27.76
27.82
27.91
28.17
28.59
29.08
27.93
28.03
28.29
28.54
28.84
29.17
29.52
22.75
23.02
23.40
23.71
24.10
24.55
24.97
29.80
30.05
30.38
30.68
31.04
31.41
31.81
14.76
15.00
15.27
15.50
15.75
16.05
16.35
15.59
15.91
16.25
16.63
16.83
16.98
17.29
30.68
30.93
31.23
31.68
32.04
32.05
32.02
23.71
24.00
24.36
24.65
24.99
25.37
25.78
16.28
16.61
16.93
17.14
17.44
17.75
18.08
5.91
6.03
6.24
6.49
6.62
6.73
6.93
2.84
2.86
2.89
2.93
2.95
2.97
3.00
24.11
24.28
24.47
24.66
24.85
25.06
25.30
27.90
27.76
27.82
27.91
28.17
28.59
29.08
27.93
28.02
28.28
28.53
28.84
29.17
29.51
22.75
23.02
23.40
23.71
24.10
24.55
24.97
28.76
29.02
29.36
29.67
30.02
30.41
30.78
15.53
15.77
16.09
16.32
16.59
16.90
17.20
7.86
7.99
8.22
8.49
8.61
8.71
8.92
9.15
9.27
9.38
9.51
9.59
9.67
9.76
2.89
2.92
2.95
2.98
3.01
3.03
3.06
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
30.01
30.13
30.29
30.56
30.83
30.93
30.99
263.25
265.87
269.20
272.82
275.83
277.58
280.02
206.21
208.97
212.24
215.91
219.14
221.31
224.08
327.69
333.16
337.71
343.02
347.61
351.78
355.93
659.67
659.49
663.44
667.67
673.87
681.15
689.33
1456.82
1467.49
1482.59
1499.43
1516.45
1531.83
1549.37
11.96
12.35
12.70
12.96
13.18
13.29
13.33
1468.78
1479.85
1495.29
1512.39
1529.62
1545.12
1562.70
32.20
32.97
33.81
34.67
35.59
36.57
37.62
35.31
36.29
37.42
38.50
39.72
41.04
42.50
16.21
16.74
17.42
18.18
18.74
19.20
19.93
46.50
47.47
48.53
49.78
51.15
52.29
53.41
28.25
29.01
29.83
30.68
31.58
32.56
33.61
31.57
32.48
33.52
34.54
35.70
36.93
38.24
21.70
22.25
23.34
24.12
25.06
26.01
26.98
13.38
13.83
14.42
15.07
15.51
15.81
16.40
39.31
40.11
40.98
42.08
43.25
44.18
45.07
28.80
29.58
30.44
31.32
32.26
33.27
34.37
32.16
33.06
34.11
35.15
36.32
37.58
38.88
22.21
22.92
23.84
24.62
25.53
26.48
27.47
8.20
8.48
8.90
9.41
9.75
10.12
10.60
11.67
12.02
12.39
12.81
13.17
13.55
13.95
4.83
4.95
5.08
5.23
5.38
5.52
5.68
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
27.36
28.01
28.72
29.60
30.53
31.29
32.07
33.55
34.35
35.20
36.09
37.04
38.05
39.13
35.58
36.02
36.76
37.57
38.67
40.04
41.56
35.61
36.37
37.38
38.42
39.59
40.86
42.18
29.01
29.87
30.92
31.91
33.09
34.37
35.68
37.99
38.99
40.15
41.30
42.61
43.99
45.46
18.82
19.46
20.18
20.86
21.62
22.48
23.37
19.88
20.64
21.47
22.38
23.10
23.77
24.71
39.11
40.14
41.27
42.65
43.99
44.89
45.76
30.23
31.14
32.18
33.18
34.31
35.53
36.84
20.76
21.56
22.37
23.08
23.95
24.86
25.83
7.53
7.82
8.25
8.74
9.08
9.42
9.90
3.62
3.72
3.82
3.94
4.05
4.17
4.29
30.74
31.51
32.34
33.20
34.12
35.10
36.16
35.58
36.02
36.76
37.57
38.67
40.04
41.56
35.61
36.36
37.37
38.41
39.59
40.85
42.18
29.01
29.87
30.92
31.91
33.09
34.37
35.68
36.67
37.66
38.80
39.94
41.22
42.58
43.99
19.81
20.47
21.26
21.97
22.78
23.66
24.59
10.02
10.37
10.86
11.43
11.83
12.20
12.74
11.67
12.02
12.39
12.81
13.17
13.55
13.95
3.69
3.79
3.90
4.02
4.13
4.25
4.37
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
38.27
39.10
40.02
41.13
42.33
43.32
44.29
335.66
345.01
355.72
367.27
378.68
388.73
400.19
262.92
271.18
280.45
290.65
300.84
309.93
320.25
417.81
432.32
446.25
461.77
477.21
492.64
508.68
841.10
855.79
876.66
898.80
925.12
953.90
985.15
1857.49
1904.30
1959.08
2018.49
2081.85
2145.20
2214.28
15.24
16.03
16.78
17.45
18.09
18.61
19.06
1872.73
1920.33
1975.86
2035.94
2099.94
2163.81
2233.33
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
26.66
26.84
27.02
27.15
27.27
27.45
27.64
30.24
30.57
30.91
31.23
31.60
32.11
32.64
14.34
14.61
14.99
15.15
15.28
15.62
15.98
37.57
37.82
38.08
38.30
38.37
38.58
38.83
23.91
24.14
24.37
24.54
24.69
24.92
25.17
27.39
27.69
28.03
28.34
28.66
29.16
29.72
19.20
19.36
19.61
19.88
20.14
20.54
20.99
11.75
11.95
12.26
12.37
12.46
12.76
13.08
31.73
31.98
32.25
32.46
32.53
32.75
33.01
24.50
24.73
24.98
25.16
25.33
25.56
25.84
27.72
27.97
28.29
28.57
28.87
29.36
29.92
19.56
19.79
20.06
20.33
20.60
21.02
21.48
7.57
7.76
8.04
8.09
8.13
8.34
8.59
9.84
9.93
10.01
10.10
10.11
10.14
10.20
4.00
4.03
4.06
4.09
4.12
4.15
4.19
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
22.65
22.91
23.19
23.41
23.52
23.76
24.05
27.82
28.01
28.20
28.33
28.44
28.62
28.82
30.03
30.68
31.63
32.60
33.60
34.49
35.49
30.13
30.40
30.79
31.14
31.49
32.06
32.67
25.46
25.83
26.23
26.57
26.98
27.50
28.07
32.32
32.60
32.91
33.15
33.45
33.96
34.53
16.69
16.94
17.22
17.47
17.74
18.13
18.55
17.75
18.09
18.59
18.80
18.94
19.25
19.67
32.29
32.65
32.96
33.25
33.44
33.80
34.19
26.34
26.68
27.04
27.37
27.75
28.26
28.81
18.47
18.74
19.05
19.32
19.57
19.97
20.42
7.09
7.29
7.57
7.63
7.68
7.90
8.16
3.02
3.05
3.08
3.10
3.12
3.15
3.19
25.68
25.89
26.09
26.24
26.37
26.57
26.79
30.03
30.68
31.63
32.60
33.60
34.49
35.49
30.13
30.40
30.79
31.14
31.49
32.06
32.67
25.46
25.83
26.23
26.57
26.98
27.50
28.07
31.33
31.58
31.91
32.19
32.48
32.98
33.54
17.54
17.79
18.07
18.33
18.59
18.99
19.42
9.13
9.33
9.66
9.75
9.82
10.08
10.38
9.84
9.93
10.01
10.10
10.11
10.14
10.20
3.08
3.11
3.14
3.16
3.18
3.22
3.25
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
31.21
31.49
31.77
32.00
32.10
32.35
32.63
284.09
287.79
292.06
295.22
297.71
301.97
306.56
228.31
232.66
237.56
241.60
245.08
250.18
255.39
360.75
365.43
370.92
375.84
379.56
385.00
390.91
703.34
711.27
721.81
731.45
741.97
756.75
772.91
1576.49
1597.14
1622.35
1644.12
1664.32
1693.90
1725.77
13.56
13.30
12.97
12.56
12.03
11.93
11.80
1590.05
1610.44
1635.32
1656.69
1676.34
1705.83
1737.56
38.90
39.98
41.11
42.20
43.30
44.53
45.83
44.11
45.53
47.03
48.54
50.17
52.09
54.12
20.92
21.75
22.81
23.55
24.26
25.34
26.49
54.81
56.33
57.94
59.52
60.91
62.59
64.39
34.89
35.95
37.07
38.13
39.20
40.42
41.74
39.96
41.24
42.65
44.04
45.50
47.31
49.27
28.00
28.84
29.83
30.90
31.97
33.32
34.80
17.14
17.80
18.66
19.22
19.78
20.69
21.68
46.29
47.64
49.07
50.44
51.64
53.13
54.73
35.74
36.84
38.00
39.10
40.21
41.47
42.83
40.44
41.66
43.04
44.40
45.83
47.64
49.61
28.53
29.47
30.51
31.59
32.71
34.10
35.61
11.05
11.55
12.24
12.58
12.91
13.53
14.25
14.35
14.80
15.23
15.70
16.05
16.44
16.91
5.84
6.00
6.18
6.36
6.54
6.73
6.95
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
33.05
34.13
35.28
36.38
37.34
38.55
39.88
40.58
41.71
42.90
44.03
45.15
46.43
47.79
43.80
45.69
48.12
50.66
53.34
55.95
58.85
43.96
45.28
46.85
48.40
50.00
52.01
54.17
37.15
38.47
39.90
41.29
42.83
44.62
46.53
47.16
48.56
50.07
51.52
53.10
55.09
57.25
24.34
25.23
26.20
27.16
28.17
29.41
30.76
25.90
26.95
28.27
29.21
30.07
31.23
32.61
47.11
48.63
50.15
51.67
53.09
54.83
56.68
38.42
39.74
41.13
42.54
44.06
45.85
47.77
26.94
27.92
28.98
30.03
31.08
32.40
33.86
10.34
10.85
11.52
11.86
12.19
12.81
13.53
4.41
4.54
4.68
4.82
4.95
5.12
5.29
37.47
38.55
39.69
40.77
41.86
43.10
44.42
43.80
45.69
48.12
50.66
53.34
55.95
58.85
43.96
45.28
46.84
48.40
50.00
52.00
54.17
37.15
38.47
39.90
41.29
42.83
44.62
46.53
45.70
47.04
48.54
50.02
51.56
53.50
55.61
25.59
26.49
27.49
28.48
29.52
30.80
32.20
13.31
13.90
14.69
15.15
15.59
16.35
17.22
14.35
14.80
15.23
15.70
16.05
16.44
16.91
4.50
4.63
4.77
4.91
5.05
5.22
5.39
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
45.53
46.90
48.34
49.74
50.97
52.48
54.11
414.46
428.63
444.33
458.81
472.63
489.87
508.27
333.09
346.52
361.41
375.48
389.08
405.86
423.44
526.29
544.27
564.31
584.10
602.58
624.57
648.12
1026.10
1059.37
1098.13
1136.76
1177.93
1227.66
1281.47
2299.94
2378.79
2468.19
2555.15
2642.21
2747.97
2861.30
19.78
19.81
19.74
19.52
19.09
19.35
19.56
2319.72
2398.59
2487.93
2574.67
2661.30
2767.32
2880.86
2012-2040
0.5%
0.6%
1.5%
0.4%
0.7%
0.4%
-0.3%
1.7%
0.4%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
3.0%
1.2%
0.9%
-0.8%
0.5%
0.0%
0.2%
0.7%
0.7%
-0.3%
1.1%
0.3%
0.6%
0.0%
3.1%
1.0%
0.5%
0.0%
0.3%
0.7%
0.6%
-0.2%
2.4%
1.2%
1.0%
-0.4%
1.0%
1.4%
2.2%
0.1%
0.8%
11.9%
0.8%
2.3%
2.5%
3.4%
2.2%
2.5%
2.2%
1.5%
3.6%
2.2%
2.6%
2.1%
1.9%
4.9%
3.1%
2.8%
-2.6%
2.3%
1.9%
2.1%
2.5%
2.5%
1.5%
2.9%
2.1%
2.5%
1.8%
5.0%
2.9%
2.3%
1.9%
2.1%
2.5%
2.4%
1.6%
4.2%
3.1%
2.9%
-2.3%
2.8%
3.2%
4.0%
1.9%
2.6%
14.0%
2.7%

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ref2014.

3. Energy Prices by Sector and Source

Distillate Fuel Oil

Distillate Fuel Oil

Distillate Fuel Oil

Residual Fuel Oil

Other Industrial Coal

Diesel Fuel (distillate fuel oil) 6/

Residual Fuel Oil

Distillate Fuel Oil

Residual Fuel Oil

Distillate Fuel Oil

Residual Fuel Oil

Distillate Fuel Oil

Distillate Fuel Oil

Average Price to All Users 9/

Total Non-Renewable Expenditures

Prices in Nominal Dollars

Distillate Fuel Oil

Residual Fuel Oil

Other Industrial Coal

Diesel Fuel (distillate fuel oil) 6/

Residual Fuel Oil

Distillate Fuel Oil

Residual Fuel Oil

Distillate Fuel Oil

Residual Fuel Oil

Average Price to All Users 9/

Total Non-Renewable Expenditures

nnual Energy Outlook 2014

tus, and small on-site generating systems.

line (nonrenewable). To address cold starting issues,

percent is used for this forecast.

y and local taxes.

otor vehicle fuel taxes and estimated dispensing costs or charges.

h sector and the corresponding sectoral consumption.

EIA-0380(2013/08) (Washington, DC, August 2013).

esidential, commercial, and industrial natural gas

Federal taxes, and dispensing costs or charges.

A, AEO2014 National Energy Modeling System run ref2014.d102413a.

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