5 5

Surveillance for action not for statistics

(Surveillance for monitor disease pattern)

(Surveillance for outbreak detection)

(Surveillance for disease forecasting)

(Surveillance for program planning, monitoring and evaluation)

Effects

IT infrastructure

incentive

Causes
Lab

o
(National Health Authority
Function)
o
(National Public Health
Surveillance)



(Determinants)

(Behavioral risk)

Biological determinants
Social determinants

(Program Response)

/
(Morbidity/Mortality)

(Event-based surveillance)

. .

5-year roadmap



Rabies

Review current status

Source:

Source:

Review current status

1)
.. 2521-2556
Source:
2) .36 . 2551 -2556
Source:
3) .. 25242556
Source:
4)
.. 2553-2556
Source:

Correlation: Pearson Correlation Coefficient
Geographic Information System (GIS)
Multivariate linear regression: backward-elimination procedure


1
.. 2521-2556

- .. 2521 224 6 .. 2556

2
.. 2521-2556

:
-
-
-


1 Correlation

R= -0.741
R= 0.952
R= 0.915

P-value
0.004
<0.0001
<0.0001

R=-0.908
<0.0001

2 Multivariate linear regression

Coefficient
0.072
-3.293

Standard Error
0.010
1.763

F-test
52.503
3.489

P-Value
0.001
0.048

Correlation coefficient: r2 = 0.96

= 0.072 ( )-3.293


3

.. 2554 - 2556
Year
2556
2555
2554
2553

Case
6
7
8
15

Rabid animals
117
155
163
249

Risk areas for human

Formula
5.131
7.867
8.443
14.635

Goal of human and dog rabies

elimination by 2020

1) Rabies
2)

Key message
1.

2.

 ( Zoonoses)

 ( Zoonoses)

 ( Zoonoses)

5-year roadmap