Trng i hc Quy Nhn

Khoa KT-CN

Cng Ha X Hi Ch Ngha Vit Nam

c lp-T do-Hnh phc
**************

THI HC PHN:

XC SUT THNG K

Dng cho Ngnh: KT

Kha: 21
Hnh thc o to: Va lm va hc
a im dy: Trng H Quy Nhn
Thi gian lm bi: 90 pht (khng k thi gian pht )
(Khng c s dng ti liu tham kho khi lm bi)

Lp: KT

Cu 1. Pht biu cng thc xc sut Bayes. Cho v d minh ha.

Cu 2. Trng qun chnh t chc bn n tht cp chng ch tt nghip cho hc vin.
Theo quy nh mi hc vin bn 2 vin n vo mt tm bia, nu 2 vin u trng ch th
hc vin mi c cp chng ch. Kh nng bn trng ch mi vin n ca hai hc vin
A, B tng ng l 0, 6; 0, 9. Gi s kt qu bn ca mi hc vin l hon ton c lp nhau.
Hai hc vin A v B vo d thi. Gi X l s chng ch c cp cho 2 hc vin A, B.
a) Hy lp bng phn phi xc sut ca X.
b) Xc nh cng thc hm phn phi xc sut ca X.
Cu 3. C bn linh in L1 , L2 , L3 , L4 trong mt mch in, chng c th b hng mt cch
c lp nhau trong khong thi gian T vi xc sut tng ng: 0,3; 0,3; 0,4; 0,4. Tm xc sut
mch b hng trong khong thi gian T nu mch mc song song. Cu hi tng t cho
trng hp mc ni tip.
Cu 4. Hng v Nhn cng nhau thi bn sng. C hai ng thi bn vo mt mc tiu. Gi
s xc sut bn trng mc tiu ca Hng l 0, 7; trong khi Nhn, mt cch c lp vi Hng,
bn trng mc tiu vi xc sut 0, 9.
a) Cho bit c ng mt pht bn trng mc tiu. Tm xc sut pht bn l ca Nhn?
b) Cho bit mc tiu b bn trng. Tm xc sut Nhn bn trng mc tiu?
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