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Chapter 2

Insurance Mechanism

What do you think people would do


for fraudulent insurance claims?

Takeoutapieceofpaperandwriteit
down.Letsseewhatpeoplewould
dotocheatinsurancecompanies!
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Agenda
Definition and Basic Characteristics of
Insurance
Characteristics of An Ideally Insurable Risk
Adverse Selection and Insurance
Insurance vs. Gambling
Insurance vs. Hedging
Types of Insurance
Benefits and Costs of Insurance to Society
Outcome
Understand the terms above and their
applications in an insurance contract
Understand the basics of different types of
insurance contracts
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Definition of Insurance
Insurance is the pooling of ______
losses by transfer of such risks to insurers,
who agree to indemnify insureds for such
losses, to provide other pecuniary benefits
on their occurrence, or to render services
connected with the risk

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M1yzSOxxAjk

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Basic Characteristics of Insurance


Pooling of losses

Spreading losses incurred by the few over the entire group


Risk reduction based on the Law of Large Numbers

Example:

Two business owners own identical buildings valued at $50,000


There is a 10 percent chance each building will be destroyed by
a peril in any year; loss to either building is an independent
event
Expected value and standard deviation of the loss for each
owner is:

Expected loss ___________________ $5,000


Standard deviation 0.90 0 $5,000 0.10 $50,000 $5,000
2

$15,000
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Basic Characteristics of Insurance


Example, continued:
If the owners instead pool (combine) their loss exposures, and
each agrees to pay an equal share of any loss that might
occur:
What will be the expected loss?
How about the standard deviation?

As additional individuals are added to the pooling arrangement,


the standard deviation continues to decline while the expected
value of the loss remains unchanged
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Basic Characteristics of Insurance


Payment of fortuitous losses

Insurance pays for losses that are unforeseen, unexpected, and


occur as a result of chance

Risk transfer

A pure risk is transferred from the insured to the insurer, who


typically is in a stronger financial position

Indemnification

The insured is restored to his or her approximate financial


position prior to the occurrence of the loss

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Characteristics of an Ideally
Insurable Risk
1.Large number of exposure units
to predict ________

2.Accidental and unintentional loss


to control __________
to assure _________

3.Determinable and measurable loss


to facilitate loss adjustment
insurer must be able to determine if the loss is
covered and if so, how much should be paid.

Lossofafinger?

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Requirements of an Insurable Risk


4.No catastrophic loss
to allow the pooling technique to work
exposures to catastrophic loss can be
managed by:
dispersing coverage over a large geographic
area
using reinsurance

5.Calculable chance of loss


to establish an ______________
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Requirements of an Insurable Risk


6.Economically feasible premium
so people can afford to buy
Premium must be substantially less than the face
value of the policy

Based on these requirements:


Most personal, property and liability risks can be
insured
Market risks, financial risks, production risks and
political risks are difficult to insure

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Does the risk of fire satisfy the above


requirement for insurable risk?

2-11

In class exercise :
Risk of Fire as an Insurable Risk

Takeoutapieceofpaperandanswerthequestions
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Exhibit 2.2 Risk of Unemployment as an


Insurable Risk
Largenumberofexposureunits?
Accidental/unintentionalloss?
Determinableandmeasureloss?
Nocatastrophicloss?
Calculablechanceofloss?
Economicallyfeasiblepremium?
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Adverse Selection and Insurance


Adverse selection is the tendency of persons with
a higher-than-average chance of loss to seek
insurance at standard rates
If not controlled, adverse selection result in
higher-than-expected loss levels
Adverse selection can be controlled by:
careful underwriting
policy provisions

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Insurance vs. Gambling


Are they the same?

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Insurance vs. Gambling


Insurance

Gambling

Insurance is a technique
for handing an already
existing pure risk
Insurance is socially
productive:

both parties have a


common interest in the
prevention of a loss

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Insurance vs. Hedging


Hedging

Insurance
Risk is transferred by a
contract
Insurance involves the
transfer of insurable risks

Risk is transferred by a
contract
Hedging involves risks that
are typically uninsurable
Remember the requirement
for insurable risks?

Insurance can reduce the


objective risk of an insurer
through the Law of Large
Numbers

Hedging does not result in


reduced risk
Why?

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Types of Insurance
Private Insurance
Life and Health
Property and Liability

Government Insurance
Social Insurance
Other Government Insurance

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Private Insurance
Life and Health
Life insurance pays _____ benefits to beneficiaries when
the insured dies
Health insurance covers _____ expenses because of
sickness or injury
Disability plans pay ______ benefits

Property and Liability


Property insurance indemnifies property owners against
the loss or damage of real or personal property
Liability insurance covers the insureds legal liability
arising out of property damage or bodily injury to others
Casualty insurance refers to insurance that covers
whatever is not covered by fire, marine, and life
insurance
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Private Insurance (Property and Liability )


Private insurance coverages can be
grouped into two major categories
Personal lines
coverages that insure the real estate and personal
property of individuals and families or provide
protection against legal liability

Commercial lines
coverages for business firms, nonprofit organizations,
and government agencies

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Exhibit 2.3 Property and Casualty Insurance


Coverages

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Trytofindmoredetailsyourselves

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Government Insurance
Social Insurance Programs

Financed entirely or in large part by contributions from


employers and/or employees
Benefits are heavily weighted in favor of low-income
groups
Eligibility and benefits are prescribed by statute
Examples:
Social Security, Unemployment, Workers Comp

Other Government Insurance Programs


Found at both the federal and state level
Examples:

Federal flood insurance, state health insurance pools

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Social Benefits of Insurance


Indemnification for Loss
Contributes to family and business stability

Reduction of Worry and Fear


Insureds are less worried about losses

Source of Investment Funds


Premiums may be invested, promoting economic growth

Loss Prevention
Insurers support loss-prevention activities that reduce direct
and indirect losses

Enhancement of Credit
Insured individuals are better credit risks than individuals
without insurance

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Social Costs of Insurance


Cost of Doing Business

Insurers consume resources in providing insurance to society


An expense loading is the amount needed to pay all
expenses, including commissions, general administrative
expenses, state premium taxes, acquisition expenses, and
an allowance for contingencies and profit
Sales & administrative expenses (property and casualty) account for
26% of each underwriting dollars
Operating expenses for life insurance: 12%
The U.S. spends more than $2 trillion on healthcare annually. At least 3
percent of that spending or $68 billion is lost to fraud each year.
(National Health Care Anti-Fraud Association, 2008)

Cost of Fraudulent and Inflated Claims

Payment of fraudulent or inflated claims results in higher


premiums to all insureds, thus reducing disposable income
and consumption of other goods and services
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Social Costs of Insurance

(similar figures can be found in the Text)


Cost of Fraudulent and Inflated Claims

Payment of fraudulent or inflated claims results in higher


premiums to all insureds, thus reducing disposable income
and consumption of other goods and services
Cost estimated to be greater than $80 billion annually
Suspected fraud of bodily injury up from 9% to 11% (2002 to 2007)
Of which 20% (2007) involve buildup up from 18%, 2002

Buildup: Excessive treatment, unnecessary treatment or diagnosis leading


to inflation

about 45 million (20%) US adult believe it is


acceptable to defraud insurers under certain
conditions

Three percent of slip-and-fall injuries are fraudulent. (National


Floor Safety Institute)
Bogus injury claims and related costs such as litigation
amount to nearly $2 billion a year. (ibid)
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Minor fraud?
Will you claim for insurance for work-related
injury which is actually a sport injury?
You have property insurance, an expensive
mirror (HKD2000) is broken due to your
carelessness, will you claim for the insurance
saying the mirror is broken with unknown
cause?
Would you stay home after your have
recovered from illness to continue collecting
compensation?
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Case application
Based on the definition of insurance mentioned,
indicates which of the following is considered
insurance.
a. A TV set is guaranteed by the manufacturer against
defects for 90 days.
b. A new set of radial tires is guaranteed by the
manufacturer against road defects for 50,000 miles.
c. A builder of new homes gives a 10-year guarantee
against structural defects in the home.
d. A cosigner of a note agrees to pay the loan balance if
the original debtor defaults on the payments.
e. A large group of homeowners agrees to pay for losses
to homes that burn during the year because of fire.
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Appendix (Reference)
Basic Statistics and the Law of Large
Numbers

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Probability and Statistics


The probability of an event is the long-run relative
frequency of the event, given an infinite number
of trials with no changes in the underlying
conditions.
Events and probabilities can be summarized
through a probability distribution
Distributions may be discrete or continuous

A probability distribution is characterized by:


A mean, or measure of central tendency
A variance, or measure of dispersion

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Probability and Statistics


The mean or expected value is:

or EV X i Pi
Amountof
Loss(Xi)

Probability
ofLoss(Pi)

X i Pi

$0

0.30

$0

$360

0.50

$180

$600

0.20

$120

X P

$300

i i

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Probability and Statistics


The variance of a probability distribution is:

2 Pi X i EV

For the previous loss distribution,

2 0.30(0 300) 2 0.50(360 300) 2


0.20(600 300) 2
27,000 1,800 1,800
46,800

The standard deviation = 216.33


Higher standard deviations, relative to the mean, are
associated with greater uncertainty of loss; therefore, the risk
is greater
2

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Law of Large Numbers


The law of large numbers is the mathematical
foundation of insurance.
Average losses for a random sample of n exposure
units will follow a normal distribution because of the
Central Limit Theorem.
Regardless of the population distribution, the distribution
of sample means will approach the normal distribution as
the sample size increases.
The standard error of the sampling distribution can be
reduced by simply increasing the sample size

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Exhibit A2.1 Sampling Distribution


Versus Sample Size

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Exhibit A2.2 Standard Error of the Sampling


Distribution Versus Sample Size

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Law of Large Numbers


When an insurer increases the size of the
sample of insureds:
Underwriting risk _______, because more
insured units could suffer a loss.
But, underwriting risk does not increase
proportionately. It increases by the square root
of the increase in the sample size.
There is safety in numbers for insurers!

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Question 1
Compare the risks of
Fire with
War
in terms of how well they meet the requirements
of an ideally insurable risk

Nomodelanswersgiven

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Question 1.1
As a private insurer, you are considering
insuring buildings of a flooding zone, which
of the requirements of insurable risk are
not met?

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Question 2
Explain the following benefits of insurance
to the society
Indemnification for loss
Enhancement of credit
Source of funds for capital investment and
accumulation

What are the major costs of insurance to


society

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Question 2
Explain the following benefits of insurance
to the society
Indemnification for loss
Enhancement of credit
Source of funds for capital investment and
accumulation

What are the major costs of insurance to


society

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