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For 95% confidence intervals, t(6, 0.025) = 2.

447
GDPMillionsofUSD
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
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2009
2010
2011
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2015
2016
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2018
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2029
2030

80560.94
78773.97
76700.99
77002.31
77786.48
79221.10
86803.20
95872.97
109329.64
123981.25
146610.34
192216.17
194848.34
208112.60
231569.66
257288.82
281113.15

prediction
80326.28
76689.59
79582.37
73239.64
86473.70
76475.54
84161.36
98892.87
105733.33
126405.55
153469.38
180335.37
197486.75
208892.92
231917.73
236305.17
243256.94
251377.43
256064.90
272003.41
282889.65
289532.21
304552.79
311396.81
310614.03
310790.37
305117.55
296335.59
286561.71
273947.45
264111.92
254461.62
241370.67
229618.22

std. error

4391.545
5749.265
7366.717
8765.437
9614.758
9954.273
10145.412
10576.995
11367.634
12623.095
13840.192
14962.532
16163.812
17023.340
17727.940
18469.097
19141.673
19906.733
20821.478

Forecast evaluation statistics


Mean Error
Mean Squared Error
Root Mean Squared Error
Mean Absolute Error
Mean Percentage Error
Mean Absolute Percentage Error
Theil's U
Bias proportion, UM
Regression proportion, UR
Disturbance proportion, UD

29420
9.367e+08
30606
29420
10.811
10.811
1.589
0.92402
0.07598
0

225559.45
229188.99
233351.72
234616.65
248476.94
258532.42
264707.28
278671.81
283581.21
279726.43
276924.64
268505.55
256784.16
244907.10
230568.75
218919.67
207623.63
192660.65
178669.90

95% interval

247050.90
257324.88
269403.13
277513.16
295529.87
307246.88
314357.14
330433.76
339212.41
341501.63
344656.10
341729.54
335887.01
328216.32
317326.16
309304.17
301299.60
290080.69
280566.54

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