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Indonesia
1.
1.
()
13 5.78% (: 6.5%)
09(4.6%)
, , ,
09)6.1%(
10)6.5%(
11)6.2%(
12)5.8%(
13)
* : 4.6%(
14
14 , WB,
14 (
13 10 )
14 GDP 6.0% *, ADB
6.0%
* , (4) (7)
2014
: 6%, 5.5%, 10,500, 870B/D, 1,240B/D
1840, 1670Rp, 175 Rp, GDP 1.69%
* 2013 2.49%
: 3336000Rp, : 558000Rp
(WB)
*, **
* GDP 30%
** FDI FDI
, ,
,
96
2014
The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / Resources
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
()
4.63
6.22
6.49
6.23
5.78
1 GDP
US$
2,300
2,985
3,509
3,591
3,417
US $
5,387
7,093
8,456
8,778
8,703
2.78
6.96
3.79
4.28
7.57
7.87
7.14
6.56
6.14
6.25
US $
1,165
1,578
2,035
1,900
1,826
US $
968
1,357
1,774
1,917
1,866
US $
197
222
261
-16
-40
US $
108
162
195
246
286
GDP
* : IMF, /
(/) ,
11.12
13 GDP
-3.4% , (
13.12) 994
()
97 ,
.
11.12): BB+BBB-(), Moodys(
12.1): Ba1Baa3,(),
* Fitch(
S&P(
13.5.2.): BB+ ( )
* :
,
* , , , / 50%
*
05 1000 ,
11 2000
12
12
44 , 27 127
4
2010
2011
2012
280
416
103
2013
370
326
-11.75
17.87
138
123
102
-16.99
5.59
40
49
42
43
3.26
2.35
137
229
205
181
-11.65
9.93
1,297
1,620
1,530
1,499
-2.03
82.13
517
558
573
2.86
3.14
1222
1,161
1,130
-2.67
61.91
347
313
312
-0.55
17.08
1,578
2,036
1,900
1,826
-3.92
100
274
407
426
453
6.35
24.25
86
111
108
136
-3.15
7.28
180
281
287
286
1.94
15.31
14
31
31
118.17
1.67
1,083
1,367
1,491
1,414
-5.2
75.75
1,357
1,774
1,917
1,866
-2.64
100
222
263
-17
-40
2,935
3,810
3,817
3,692
Gas
Gas
* : , :
()
13 398.6Rp(27.3% ) 390.3Rp
(DDI) 128.2Rp(39.0% , 108.9% ), (FDI) 286
(270.4Rp, 22.4% , 99.2%), 67.8%
,
10
FDI
98
* :
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
1,221
3,076
4,342
4,579
9,612
108
162
196
246
286
2014
The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / Resources
,
10) 34.9(
11) 47.9(
12) 55.4(
13)
* 2 : 20.6%(
(WB) :
(WB)
2009~2012 (GDP) 1.8% ,
(3.4%), (3.2%), (2.5%)
*
* BCA
2.
()
13 10
13 915 1.4%(13.2)
*
* 1: (286.6B), 2: (139.9B), 3: UAE(110.8B), 4: (90.7B), 5
: (86B), 6: (48.2B), 7: (40.1B), 8: (20.6B), 9: (16
B)
()
13 2
13 39,326 11.6%(4,534)
*
* 1: (13,617), 3: (4,477), 4: (4,152), 5: (3,692)
99
()
12 2
12 117,619 32.2%(37,917)
*
* 1: (42,849), 3: (11,850), 4: (11,408), 5: (6,704)
()
12 2 ()
12 37,443 9.8%(3,657)
*
* 1: (14,959), 3: (2,880), 4: (2,432), 5: (1,194)
(
12)
(A)
(B)
A/B(%)
12
()
55.29
8,609
0.6
14
3.9 (5)
800
4,900
16.3
41 (2)
28,000
680,000
4.1
430 (11)
3,000
52,000
5.8
95 (8)
3,900
75,000
5.2
320 (2)
40
20,000
0.2
28
88/ (22)
m3
3.1
221
1.4
13
820 (10)
( , , , , )
* : USGS() Mineral commodity summaries, 2013
3.
12 12 , 12
: (4), (2), SK(1), (1),
(1), GS(3), GS(2), (2), (1),
E&R(1), (1), (1)
12
100
12
2,013
2014
The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / Resources
11 , 2
13 47*
( : , %)
09
10
()
()
11
()
()
285(28)
875(33)
350(27)
2,958(30)
238(23)
700(27)
205(16)
1,311(13)
178(17)
542(21)
189(15)
1,203(12)
130(13)
181(14)
1,129(12)
74(7)
58(2)
52(5)
42(2)
34(3)
32(1)
35(3)
169(6)
1,026(100)
222(8)
497(5)
77(6)
487(5)
35(3)
344(4)
127(10)
1,881(19)
2,640(100)
115(9)
1,279(100)
9,811(100)
2.
1.
. ,
1 , ,
1/3 .1)
5 , 1 . , .
, . , -
- .
101
2) , , , , , , , , , , , .
3) 2013 DMO 72.2( 82.02 , ), CoWs 61.76, IUP 10.31
.
102
2014
The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / Resources
(
12)
13
()
13
()
(A)
(B)
A/B(%)
()
211.32
9,090.64
2.3%
14
3.91 (5)
3.06 (1)
, ,
,
()
800
4,900
16.3%
100 (2)
88.0 (1)
28,000
680,000
4.1%
716 (11)
450.0 (6)
()
3,000
52,000
5.8%
88 (8)
3,900
75,000
5.2%
37,000 (2)
60.0 (3)
()
4)
, , , ,
, .
4) 13 : 54, 11
103
(
13)
53.5
91
4,130
52.3
91
1,376
37
93
2,486
28.8
89
Berau
1,291
20.3
94
Tanjung Eninm
7,295
Batu Hijau
,,
Buli
Grasberg
,,
Bahubulu
Kaltim Prima
Coal(KPC)
PT Bumi Resources,
Tata Power
7,057
Adaro
Pasir
Arutimin
()
16
906,810
222
()
99
54,400
27
()
01
2,664,000
600
()
72
90,750
2.
) , ) ,
) , ) , ) 5), )
( ) .
, .
5) , , , , CSR
104
2014
The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / Resources
C&C6)
3,560
2,444
6,004
Non C&C
3,433
1,480
4,913
6,993
3,924
10,917
3.
, 1852
. 1899 (Indies mining law)
, ( / ) .
105
1918 , 75 40 ,
, .
. (1945-1998)
106
2014
The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / Resources
, GR37/1986 .
, . ,
.
1996, (75/1996) .
. (1998-)
/ , CoW, CCoW
. .
Law 4/2009 4 .
, , ,
.
. 10)
(1)
2 1967 , )
, ) 2007
.
Cow, KP , ,
(licencing) .
, , , ,
.
10) PWC Mining in Indonesia Investment and Taxation Guide(2013), 2009, Mining and Development in
Indonesia: An Overview of the Regulatory Framework and Policies(2013)
107
,
.
, 3
, . , 2014
1 .
(2)
2009 1945 33 . ,
, , , DMO, , ,
, .
2009
108
2014
The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / Resources
3.
1.
(2013) 51.6%, 23.6%, 12.5%, 7.9%, 4.4%
(2022) 66%, 16.3%, 1.7%, 5%, 11%
109
(2012 )
: 81,806MW (13)
- (%): 30.7, LNG 26.8, 25.3, 6.5, 5.7, 5.0
- : 87.8%, 12.2% (LNG 72%, 19%, 6%, 3%)
: 508,380MW
- (%): 39.4, 29.6, LNG 24.9, 3.1, 2.3, 0.7
. (electrification rate)
14) , ,
, , .
(MP3EI) 2025 90GW
, 2022 97.7% .
2014 2022 59.5GW . ( 6GW )
110
2014
The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / Resources
, , , .
(RUKN) 10 .
, , , 2020
4.9 12.4% .
(RUPTL) (PLN) .
10 , , , ,
.
RUPTL(2012-2021) , 2021 57.3GW .
37.7GW , 6.3GW , 5.7GW , 4.1GW , 2.5GW ,
0.9GW .
, 27.8GW(48%) IPP (329) 6.29GW FTP
, 4.61GW PPP, 16.9GW PLN regular program .
(RUKD) 2009 .
RUKN , licensing tariff
, .
2.
25
. 7.8% , 15) 2013 188TWh
2022 386TWh (8.4%) .
111
2009 , , , ,
6 .
11 : 455TWH (8)
- 53.2%, 29.9%, 16.9%
(
02-
11) 5.6%
- 6.4%, 6.0%, 4.6%
2007-30 7 ,
.
112
2014
The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / Resources
. , ,
, ,
.
1970 , ,
, , (Irian Jaya)
.
IPP PLN , CPP
.
2022 56,314kmc , PLN17) 77
.
4.
. 18)
1.
1885
1990 40% . 2005 20%
2012 24% .
. 27
2013 37barrel (proven reserve) .
, ,
.
113
,
*19) .
,
. .
2013 10 ,
14, - 1, 3 .
103 TCF,
.
Natuna , Kalimantan, Sumatra, Papua
. Natuna D-Alpha block( 46TCF)
.
, (2012 1 )
Oil Reserves
Gas Resources
3,414.75
9.28
East Java
969.6
5.26
South Sumatra
813.6
16.08
Borneo
608.9
16.65
West Java
504.4
2.98
Natuna
308.6
90.27
NAD
125.21
7.38
North Sumatra
116.24
1.23
Papua
85.07
24.14
Celebes
46.52
2.57
Moluccas
22.24
15.21
7,015.13
191.05
Central Sumatra
Total
* : Indonesia Petroleum Association Report
114
2014
The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / Resources
2.
.
1962 OPEC .
20) 04 .
OPEC 21) 2008 OPEC .
, , .
, , .
2009 19.3% , (14.6%),
(8.7%), (3.9%) .
Pertamina
, 2013 70%~80% .
Pertamina
.
Pertamina (KPC) 2
, ARAMCO
.
70% 400,000bpd
.
30 LNG , 1999
2,910 . , 5
LNG .
10 LNG ,
.
19) .
20) 1995 1.6 .
21) OPEC 2010 2,484 /.
115
Oil
37
27 (>> )
0.2%
Gas
103 TCF
14 (>>> )
1.6%
882 /
24 (>>> )
1.1%
70.4 BCM
14 (>>> )
1.6%
51.2
Oil
Gas
Oil
Gas
Oil
* 5 LNG
(>>>> )
1,623/
34BCM
: 50BCM
Gas
* 2013 , 2014. 6 BP
3.
2010 29
. 157 , , 59
.
116
2014
The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / Resources
40
21
Pertamina
15
BP Berau
15
Pertamina
13
PHE-ONWJ
ConocoPhilips(Gresik)Ltd.
13
CNOOC
ConocoPhilips Ind.Ltd
ConocoPhilips Indonesia
Vico Ind
CICO
ExxonMobil Oil
Kangean Energy
PetroChina Int.(Jabung)Ltd
PetroChina Int.(Jabung)Ltd
15
16
90% 20 , Cepu
. 2008
.
.
Irian Jaya, Gorontalo Basin, Sulawesi, Maluku, Arafura Sea
.
(Oil)
Cepu
* Java Cepu oil project
4 fileds (Banyu Urip, Jambaran, Alas Tua, Kedung Keris) Oil 600million
barrel Gas 1.7TCF .
* : ExxonMobil 45%, Pertamina 45%, 10%
* 20b/d , 20 barrel
* Conoco Phillips , PT Medco Energi
50MCF/d 3
* : Chevron 100%
Minas
* Sumatra Chevron 40
barrel
* 1995 US$ 400 million 13 zone steam flooding system(EOR)
, chemical injection project(EOR)
Mahakam
* Total 2008 South Mahakam, Stupa, West Stupa, East Mandu discoveries
* South Mahakam liquids 14,700 b/d, Gas 114 mcf/d
118
2014
The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / Resources
(Gas)
* Chevron Kalimantan
* Floating production units 2 barge 30 sunsea wells,
130km gas export lines
Ganal-Rapak
Natuna
D-Alpha block
* ExxonMobil
Pertamina , Peratmina 60%
* 46tcf
Offshore
Mahakam
North Belut
Woeteland
Oyong
119
Project
Bontang
Badak,
East Kalimantan
Arun
North Sumatra
Tangguh
Donggi-
Senoro
West Papua
Central Sulawesi
Capacity
(mtpa:million metric
tons pers annum)
22.5 (8trains)
10 (6trains)
Gas Sourced
from
Pertamina 55%
Vico 20%, Total 10%
JILCO 15%
Total
Chevron
VICO
Japan
Korea
Taiwan
Pertamina 55%
ExxonMobil 30%
JILCO 15%
ExxonMobil
7.6
(2Trains:
2009 )
*3Train 2018
(3.8; 40% PLN )
BP 37.16%
CNOOC 16.96%
Mitsubishi 16.3%
Nippon oil 12.23%
KG 10%
LNG Japon 7.35%
BP
2.0
2014
(280 )
Medco11%
Pertamina:29%
Mitsubishi:44.9%
Kogas:15%
Matindok
gas block
Japan
Korea
China
Korea
Mexico
Japan
Japan
Korea
4.
Pertamina 6 , 1.03 /
.
, 2007 / LPG .
Pertamina
(/)
RU II Dumai-Sungai Pakening
162
RU III Plaju
124
348
260
125
10
RU IV Cilacap
RU V Balikpapan
RU VI Balongan
RU VII Kasim-Sorong
* : ReforMiner Institute
120
2014
The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / Resources
5.
5.7% .
(A)
/(B)
(B/A)
75,000 MW
7,572 MW
10.1%
28,617 MW
1,343.5 MW
4.7%
49,810 MW
1,716.5 MW
5.26%
4.8 kWh//d
42.77 MW
3-6 m/s
1.87 MW
9 GW
0.01 MW
12 yr
150.7 TSCF
89 yr
CBM
453.3 TSCF
574 TSCF
Shael Gas
103.35 BSCF
35 yr
* :
2.5 2-2.5% ,
. 5-6% 7-8%
, .
2011, 6,5 BOE/, 3.3 BOE/. ,
2019 . 2019
.
24) Integrated LNG Supply Project: Arun(), Bontang(), Tangguh(), Non-integrated LNG Project:: Dongggi Senoro
LNG Plant( LNG )
121
* : - (2014) NNREC
,
. 2006 (, No.5/2006) 2007
(No.30/2007) (diversification)
(conservation) .
) )
, , , )
(solid, gas, liquid) , ) /
, ) (, , CBM, ) /
.
25) : CBM, , , ,
: , , , (), (2007, )
122
2014
The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / Resources
(
25)
(17)
(%)
20
30
33
, ,
(
25)
()
2010
2015
2020
2025
(Kilo Liter)
2,410,000
4,250,000
7,230,000
10,220,000
(Kilo Liter)
1,480,000
2,780,000
4,530,000
6,280,000
30
60
120
200
(MW)
1,320
4,340
5,090
5,270
(MW)
10
40
80
160
(MW)
80
100
120
580
(MW)
450
740
950
950
(MW)
(PLN)
(Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources) No. 1122
(Geothermal Law) No. 27(2006) .
No. 36(2010) .
, 95%,
90% .
,
.
, , 6 5% , ,
10% , 10 .
123