RNC National Survey

March 9-11, 2010
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Methodology
The following national survey was conducted by OnMessage Inc. Telephone interviews were conducted March 9-11, 2010. This survey consists of 1200 likely voters and interviews were stratified by previous election results to reflect historic voter trends. The margin of error for this survey is +/- 2.8%.

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Generic Ballot – Congressional
History

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Image: Obama
History •President’s image has fallen to 1 to 1, favorable to unfavorable for the first time in his Presidency.

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Image: Pelosi
History •Speaker Pelosi remains very unpopular with a net image rating of -27.

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Image: Reid
History •Leader Reid’s total image has risen to 63% with a net image rating of -23.

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Image Tests
Pres. Obama’s HC Reform
Net: -19

Very Fav Somewhat Fav Somewhat Unfav Very Unfav

No Opinion Never Heard Of

36

55
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Image – POTUS HC Reform
Party Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

23%

13%

20%

16%

21%

27%

UGB = undecided on generic ballot

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Image Tests
Pres. Obama’s HC Reform •The image of President Obama’s health care reform has fallen to a net rating of -19, with 44% of all voters holding a VERY unfavorable opinion of the measure.

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Job Approval: Obama Overall
History •President Obama’s overall job approval is now just +2.

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Job Approval: Obama Health Care
History •As this chart demonstrates, the fall of Obama’s overall job approval is being driven in large part by his handling of the health care issue.

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Do you favor or oppose the health care reform bill currently being considered in Congress?

Note: Asking a favor/oppose of health care reform in Congress Paid for by same results as asking the favorable/unfavorable of the yields the the Republican National Committee Not Authorized By Any Candidate Or Candidate's Committee President’s health care reform. www.gop.com

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Health Care Legislation
Party Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on generic ballot

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Concerning the current health care bill being pushed by President Obama and the Democrats in Congress, which of the following comes closest to your opinion?
1.Some people say Congress should scrap the current health care bill altogether and focus on the economy. 2.Other people say Congress should scrap the current health care bill and start over with a new bill. 3.Still other people say Congress should pass the current health care bill as soon as possible.

•63% Scrap and start over or Scrap and move to economy •Only 27% pass now

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Scrap HC Bill
Party Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on generic ballot

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Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Health care reform in Congress has gotten out of control. Congress is spending too much, cutting Medicare too much, raising taxes too much and growing the deficit too much. They should scrap what they have done so far and start over.

70 25

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Would you be more or less likely to vote for a candidate who voted for President Obama’s health care bill? •41% of the voters saying this vote would make them MUCH less likely to vote for them is significant but ...

51 36

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More/Less Likely to Vote For Candidate that voted for HC
Party Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on generic ballot

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Recent news reports state that the current health care reform bill proposed by President Obama and the Democrats in Congress will result in $400 billion dollars in cuts to Medicare and Medicaid. Knowing this, would you be more or less likely to vote to re-elect your current member of Congress if they voted for this bill? •Voting for a reform that results in cutting Medicare by $400 billion is downright deadly.

65

18

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More/Less Likely to Vote For Candidate/ Medicare $400 Billion Cut
Party Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on generic ballot

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Would you be more or less likely to support the re-election of a Congressman or Senator if you knew that they made a backroom deal to trade their vote for President Obama’s health care bill in exchange for more Federal money for their state? •The backroom deals Democrats have pursued are as deadly as the bill itself.

74

11
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More/Less Likely to Vote if you knew of backroom deals
Party Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on generic ballot

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22

Thinking about the elections this year, which of the following candidates for Congress would you most likely vote for?
A Republican candidate who would be a check and balance to President Obama and the Democrats in Congress. A Democratic candidate who would help President Obama and the Democrats in Congress pass their agenda.

OR

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Check & Balance vs. Help Obama
Party Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on generic ballot

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Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? I would consider voting for a Republican for Congress to send a message to President Obama and the Democrats and make them listen to the concerns of voters like me.

54 36

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Send A Message
Party Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on generic ballot

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