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Anzalone Liszt Grove On IA 01 10/21/15
Anzalone Liszt Grove On IA 01 10/21/15
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research conducted a poll among N=500 likely June 2016 Democratic primary voters in
Iowas first congressional district. The poll was conducted by telephone using professional interviewers, including
30% of all interviews conducted via cell phone. Interviews were conducted October 5-8, 2015. The margin of error
for the whole sample is +/- 4.4 percentage points at the 95% level of confidence.
3. The congressional race begins essentially tied, with Vernon leading Murphy by
two points. Vernon begins the race with 40% of the vote, Murphy takes 38%, and Gary
Kroeger takes 6% of the vote. The remaining 16% of voters are undecided.
4. Vernon has a double-digit lead among voters who know both candidates. Among
the 51% of voters who know both Vernon and Murphy, Vernon leads 53% / 39%. Murphy
is able to keep the race close due to his higher name ID at this stage. Vernon also leads
among people who voted in the June 2014 primary by six points, 44% / 38%.