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-

.
,
.
,
,


2014

vs


-


(TARP)


:
o

- ,

, -
,

2007 2008

.

o
o
o

o 2
o
o

( )

2013

2014Q3

10,716

12,551

17.13%

10,034.23

11,500

14.61%

117.15

463

295.01%

564.26

589

4.32%

5.27%

4.69%

-0.58%

2012
1.87 2008
.

4.32%-
295%-
.

33.4%-

.

65 , ,

: 44.4% (2013)- 35.2% (2014Q3)
.

1-

3 2% 3%
.

Moodys

S&P

Fitch

B2 (negative)

B+ (stable)

B+

B3 (negative)

B (negative)

B3 (negative)

B (negative)

B (negative)

B3 (negative)

B (negative)


Moody's

S&P

Fitch

Aaa

AAA

AAA

Aa1

AA+

AA+

Aa2

AA

AA

Aa3

AA-

AA-

A1

A+

A+

A2

A3

A-

A-

Baa1

BBB+

BBB+

Baa2

BBB

BBB

Baa3

BBB-

BBB-

Ba1

BB+

BB+

Ba2

BB

BB

Ba3

BB-

BB-

B1

B+

B+

B2

B3

B-

B-

Caa1

CCC+

Caa2

CCC

Caa3

CCC-

Ca
C

CCC

CC

C
D

DDD


OECD Gert Wehinger- 2014 SMEs and the credit crunch: Current financing
difficulties, policy measures and a review of literature
. :

.
.
- ,
.

,
.

.
.
, -
.


.

2011

2012

2013

1-9

193,985

217,505

231,735

10-19

63,264

54,114

54,941

20-49

112,332

97,428

103,155

369,581

369,047

389,831

1,037,733

1,056,400

1,103,600

161,612

162,769

169,448

876,121

893,631

934,152

506,540

524,584

544,321

303.32

278.89

301.90

o - 51

o -
42
.
o

16.96%
- .
o - 2

.

-
- ,
.
- 4
:
- (-10%)
- , - 4% 6%
- - 15%
-- -
4
.
1.
2.
3. (TARP)
4. ( , , ,
)

1.
o

,
4.5- , , ,
,
.

18 5
.
2011 - 2014

2014 3-


( )

9.90%

215.59

17.78%

9.66%

1.72

, ,

29.80%

141.19

7.47%

15.07%

1.12

7.65%

70.63

5.63%

10.00%

0.56

39.38%

63.60

3.82%

13.28%

0.51

9.70%

44.44

1.51%

23.48%

0.35

-
(CORREL = 0.0267).
, .

?

:
y = -0.1557x + 0.1505

R2 = 60.2%
SD = 0.53%

2.



.
-
8

.


4.2.
:
4.2.1. ;
4.2.2. .
6.1.

.
11.1.

12.4. ,
,


= +

3. (TARP )
2007 2008
.

,
.

245.10

6.06

3.39

-

,

AIG (American
International Group)

67.84

8.25

19.09

:
:


.
, :
-
(refinance)
.
:

79.69

13.48

419.97

23.62

11.90

29.69

28.78
(6.85%)

, :

700 , 1
1.4
.

3. (TARP ) -

: 1.05
: 10.44%


y = 6E-09x + 0.0742

R = 18%


y = 7E-05x + 1001

CORREL = 0.42

CORREL= 0.78

+ 4.38%

6.37%

R = 61%

,
,

-
, -

- , -
,
-


- ,


(
)


, ,

,
,


, ,


(http://www.mongolbank.mn)
(http://www.nso.mn)
,
2014 69 2015

2014
(- )
(2014 , 5- , 3,
)
2014 3- ( , http://www.mba.mn)
. 2014. Mongolia Economic Update, June 2014. www.worldbank.org/mongolia
. (2009). Country case study on the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis in Asia and the Pacific: Case of
Mongolia.
Troubled Asset Relief Program: Implementation and Status Baird Webel ; Congressional Research Service ; June 27, 2013
Report on the Troubled Asset Relief Program Congressional Budget Office - May 23, 2013
http://www.sme.gov.mn
http://www.lgf.mn
http://www.smefund.mn/files/SME_INTRODUCTION_2013.pdf
http://www.cdm-mongolia.com/files/3.%2020130916_TSL%20Bayarlkham%20B.pdf
http://www.oecd.org/dev/pgd/COMPLETE-%20Pocket%20EditionPGD2013.pdf
http://www.med.gov.mn/mn/images/BS_12-06_Huraangui.pdf
http://www.unescap.org/tid/publication/indpub2621.pdf

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